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Zimbru II vs Spartanii Selemet Prediction & Stats

Date: 23/10/2026
Time: 11:00
Zimbru II
Zimbru II
Vs
73%
16%
11%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Spartanii Selemet
Spartanii Selemet
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Zimbru II are clear favourites, with the model assigning a 73% chance of a home win, 16% for a draw and 11% for a Spartanii Selemet victory. The 73% edge stems from Zimbru’s strong home form, scoring an average of two goals and conceding less than a goal against similar opposition, while Spartanii have struggled away, netting only 0.86 goals and conceding 2.86. The expected total of 3.9 goals points to a high-scoring affair, and the most likely scoreline is 2-1 for Zimbru, with an 8.6% probability. The model also projects a 6+ goal total with a 20% chance, reflecting the offensive imbalance.

The suggested picks mirror this narrative. The model’s selections include Away under 3.5 goals at 97.6%, Home +2 handicap at 96.0%, Under 7.5 at 95.3%, Home over 0.5 goals at 94.2%, Over 1.5 at 90.9%, Away under 2.5 goals at 90.4%, Under 6.5 at 89.7% and Home or Draw at 89.1%. These picks underline the expectation that Zimbru will dominate the match, with Spartanii unlikely to score many goals. The recent form notes - four straight defeats for Zimbru and three for Spartanii - add context to the predicted outcome, reinforcing the model’s confidence in a Zimbru victory.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zimbru II win
73.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
15.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Spartanii Selemet win
10.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Zimbru IIZimbru II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-541W01L10W01L15L40W24L12L13L15LH·OLI20/03H·FĂL03/04A·SHE10/04H·OGU17/04A·FCM24/04H·SPA31/07A·UNI07/08H·ISK14/08H·FCM21/08A·VUL28/08
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.851.811.861.361.852.31
vs Stronger (11)2.361.452.401.602.331.33
vs Similar (8)2.001.382.000.802.002.33
vs Weaker (8)1.002.751.001.751.003.75
Clean sheet %19% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartanii Selemet) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet

Last 10 – goals for & against
100-1052W02L02L30W14L04L11D26L010L16LH·FC 01/05A·POL04/05H·ISK09/05H·FĂL16/05H·FLO20/05A·ZIM31/07H·FCM08/08A·VUL14/08A·ISK21/08H·UNI29/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
5.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
3.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.102.801.292.640.942.94
vs Stronger (14)1.003.641.174.170.883.25
vs Similar (12)1.082.081.401.000.862.86
vs Weaker (4)1.502.001.332.332.001.00
Clean sheet %17% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%20%3%07%116%220%320%415%520%6+
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (20%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
90.9%
Under 1.5
9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75.1%
Under 2.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
55.2%
Under 3.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
62.8%
No
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
2-0
8.0%
3-0
7.6%
1-1
6.7%
4-1
5.8%
4-0
5.4%
1-0
5.0%
Zimbru II goals ↓
Spartanii Selemet goals →
01234
02.6%1.5%1.2%0.4%0.1%
15.0%6.7%3.3%1.2%0.3%
28.0%8.6%4.7%1.7%0.5%
37.6%8.2%4.4%1.6%0.4%
45.4%5.8%3.2%1.1%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zimbru II goals (down), columns = Spartanii Selemet goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Stăuceni
2.53
Floreşti
2.07
Spartanii Selemet
1.94
FCM Ungheni
1.91
Iskra
1.80
Univer Comrat
1.73
Zimbru II
1.64
FC National Ialoveni
1.49
Vulturii Cutezători
1.49
Oguzsport
0.86
Făleşti
0.73
Victoria Bardar
0.68
Zimbru II is 0.31 points worse than Spartanii Selemet in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 1.94).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Stăuceni
3.00
Floreşti
2.87
FCM Ungheni
2.59
Spartanii Selemet
2.53
Univer Comrat
2.00
FC National Ialoveni
1.95
Vulturii Cutezători
1.95
Iskra
1.93
Zimbru II
1.86
Victoria Bardar
1.23
Făleşti
1.14
Oguzsport
1.09
Zimbru II is 0.67 goals worse than Spartanii Selemet in terms of goals scored per game (1.86 vs 2.53).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Stăuceni
0.80
Floreşti
0.87
Spartanii Selemet
1.37
FCM Ungheni
1.55
Zimbru II
1.59
Oguzsport
1.64
Univer Comrat
1.68
FC National Ialoveni
1.78
Vulturii Cutezători
1.78
Iskra
1.93
Făleşti
2.55
Victoria Bardar
2.91
Zimbru II is 0.22 goals worse than Spartanii Selemet in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.37).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Zimbru II or Draw
89.1%
Avg Implied -
73%
16%
11%
covers Zimbru II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II or Spartanii Selemet
84.2%
Avg Implied -
73%
16%
11%
covers Zimbru II + Spartanii Selemet
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Spartanii Selemet
26.8%
Avg Implied -
73%
16%
11%
covers Draw + Spartanii Selemet
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Zimbru II over/under 0.5
Over
94.2%
Under
5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 1.5
Over
77.7%
Under
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 2.5
Over
54.2%
Under
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 3.5
Over
31.8%
Under
68.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartanii Selemet over/under 0.5
Over
66.0%
Under
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartanii Selemet over/under 1.5
Over
29.3%
Under
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartanii Selemet over/under 2.5
Over
9.6%
Under
90.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartanii Selemet over/under 3.5
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Zimbru II, so a minus line means Zimbru II give that many goals of a start and Spartanii Selemet receive them. At -1, Zimbru II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Zimbru II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Zimbru II)
Zimbru II -2
33.8%
Draw -2
20.1%
Spartanii Selemet +2
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Zimbru II)
Zimbru II -1
53.8%
Draw -1
19.4%
Spartanii Selemet +1
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Zimbru II)
Zimbru II +1
89.1%
Draw +1
7.0%
Spartanii Selemet -1
4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Zimbru II)
Zimbru II +2
96.0%
Draw +2
2.9%
Spartanii Selemet -2
1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Zimbru IIZimbru II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L10W00D04L10W02L01L01L14LH·OLI20/03H·FĂL03/04A·SHE10/04H·OGU17/04A·FCM24/04H·SPA31/07A·UNI07/08H·ISK14/08H·FCM21/08A·VUL28/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.890.890.790.571.001.23
vs Stronger (11)1.090.641.200.801.000.50
vs Similar (8)0.750.620.400.201.331.33
vs Weaker (8)0.751.500.750.750.752.25
Clean sheet %48% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartanii Selemet) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W00D02L10W01L01L01L03L04L13LH·FC 01/05A·POL04/05H·ISK09/05H·FĂL16/05H·FLO20/05A·ZIM31/07H·FCM08/08A·VUL14/08A·ISK21/08H·UNI29/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.400.641.430.251.38
vs Stronger (14)0.362.070.672.670.121.62
vs Similar (12)0.330.830.600.400.141.14
vs Weaker (4)1.000.750.670.672.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zimbru II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartanii Selemet over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartanii Selemet over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartanii Selemet over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Zimbru IIZimbru II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W00D00D01L11D30W22D11D12L01LH·OLI20/03H·FĂL03/04A·SHE10/04H·OGU17/04A·FCM24/04H·SPA31/07A·UNI07/08H·ISK14/08H·FCM21/08A·VUL28/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.960.931.070.790.851.08
vs Stronger (11)1.270.821.200.801.330.83
vs Similar (8)1.250.751.600.600.671.00
vs Weaker (8)0.251.250.251.000.251.50
Clean sheet %26% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartanii Selemet) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-631W02L00D20W13L03L10W23L06L03LH·FC 01/05A·POL04/05H·ISK09/05H·FĂL16/05H·FLO20/05A·ZIM31/07H·FCM08/08A·VUL14/08A·ISK21/08H·UNI29/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.400.641.210.691.56
vs Stronger (14)0.641.570.501.500.751.62
vs Similar (12)0.751.250.800.600.711.71
vs Weaker (4)0.501.250.671.670.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zimbru II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartanii Selemet over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartanii Selemet over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartanii Selemet over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Away under 3.5 goals97.6%-------
Home +2 handicap96.0%-------
Under 7.595.3%-------
Home over 0.5 goals94.2%-------
Over 1.590.9%-------
Away under 2.5 goals90.4%-------
Under 6.589.7%-------
Home or Draw89.1%-------
Home +1 handicap89.1%-------
Home or Away84.2%-------
Under 5.579.7%-------
Home over 1.5 goals77.7%-------
Over 2.575.1%-------
Home win73.2%-------
Away under 1.5 goals70.7%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (12)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
Zimbru II's squad is €1m less valuable than Spartanii Selemet's (€0m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
Zimbru II and Spartanii Selemet have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
Zimbru II and Spartanii Selemet have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
Zimbru II and Spartanii Selemet have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
ZI wins
0
Draws
0
SS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Zimbru II vs Spartanii Selemet · H/A from ZI
DateH/AGameScore
31/07/26HZI Vs Spartanii Selemet4-0

Zimbru IIZimbru II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26AVulturii Cutezători Vs ZI5-1
21/08/26HZI Vs FCM Ungheni1-3
14/08/26HZI Vs Iskra1-2
07/08/26AUniver Comrat Vs ZI4-2
31/07/26HZI Vs Spartanii Selemet4-0
24/04/26AFCM Ungheni Vs ZI5-1
17/04/26HZI Vs Oguzsport0-1
10/04/26ASheriff II Vs ZI0-1
03/04/26HZI Vs Făleşti0-1
20/03/26HZI Vs Olimp Comrat4-1

Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HSS Vs Univer Comrat1-6
21/08/26AIskra Vs SS10-0
14/08/26AVulturii Cutezători Vs SS6-2
08/08/26HSS Vs FCM Ungheni1-1
31/07/26AZimbru II Vs SS4-0
20/05/26HSS Vs Floreşti1-4
16/05/26HSS Vs Făleşti3-0
09/05/26HSS Vs Iskra0-2
04/05/26APolitehnica UTM Vs SS2-0
01/05/26HSS Vs FC Stăuceni5-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Zimbru II
Zimbru II
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL1.44
HomeLLWLL1.43
AwayWWLLL1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%43%46%
AVG goals3.673.214.15
Over 1.5 %85%79%92%
Over 2.5 %81%71%92%
Over 3.5 %56%50%62%
Scored1.851.861.85
Conceded1.811.362.31
BTTS63%64%62%
Clean Sheet19%14%23%
Corners---
Cards---
Spartanii Selemet
Spartanii Selemet
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL0.64
HomeLWLDL0.57
AwayWLLLL0.70
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %16%13%19%
AVG goals3.963.834.07
Over 1.5 %90%91%89%
Over 2.5 %68%61%74%
Over 3.5 %56%48%63%
Scored0.920.960.89
Conceded3.042.873.19
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet12%13%11%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Vulturii CutezătoriVulturii Cutezători513
80%
2.6
208+12
5.6
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0004.01.6
-
2IskraIskra512
80%
2.4
186+12
4.8
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.61.2
-
3FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni57
40%
1.4
1310+3
4.6
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.62.0
-
4OguzsportOguzsport47
50%
1.8
31+2
1.0
25%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.2
-
5Univer ComratUniver Comrat57
40%
1.4
1514+1
5.8
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.02.8
-
6FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni47
50%
1.8
65+1
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
7FăleştiFăleşti47
50%
1.8
32+1
1.2
25%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.5
-
8FC National IaloveniFC National Ialoveni44
25%
1.0
34-1
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.0
-
9Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar43
25%
0.8
36-3
2.2
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
10Zimbru IIZimbru II53
20%
0.6
914-5
4.6
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.8
-
11Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet51
0%
0.2
427-23
6.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.85.4
-
12FloreştiFloreşti00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

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