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Zimbru II vs Univer Comrat Prediction & Stats

Date: 11/09/2026
Time: 14:00
Zimbru II
Zimbru II
Vs
38%
22%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Univer Comrat
Univer Comrat
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The model signals a high-scoring affair, with an average of 3.9 goals and a 20% chance of six or more. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying an 8.4% probability, and the favored outcome is an away win. Home side Zimbru II, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 2.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, while Univer Comrat, on the road against a weaker side, averages 3.0 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. Home win probability stands at 38%, draw at 22%, and away win at 40%. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (95.3%), Over 1.5 (91.0%), Under 6.5 (89.7%), Home under 3.5 goals (86.8%), Away over 0.5 goals (86.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (86.0%), Home over 0.5 goals (85.6%), and Under 5.5 (79.7%). Zimbru II have endured four straight defeats, losing 1-5 to Vulturii Cutezători, while Univer Comrat, fresh from a 6-1 win over Spartanii Selemet, look poised to exploit their offensive edge.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zimbru II win
37.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
22.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Univer Comrat win
39.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Zimbru IIZimbru II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-541W01L10W01L15L40W24L12L13L15LH·OLI20/03H·FĂL03/04A·SHE10/04H·OGU17/04A·FCM24/04H·SPA31/07A·UNI07/08H·ISK14/08H·FCM21/08A·VUL28/08
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.851.811.861.361.852.31
vs Stronger (11)2.361.452.401.602.331.33
vs Similar (8)2.001.382.000.802.002.33
vs Weaker (8)1.002.751.001.751.003.75
Clean sheet %19% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Univer Comrat) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Univer ComratUniver Comrat

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D20W43W11D23L02L42W26L33D61WH·SHE03/04A·OGU10/04H·FCM17/04A·VIC24/04H·OGU06/05H·ISK31/07H·ZIM07/08A·FCM15/08H·VUL21/08A·SPA29/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
4.7
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.181.932.061.942.331.92
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.221.891.401.401.002.50
vs Weaker (19)2.631.952.362.183.001.62
Clean sheet %21% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%20%3%06%116%220%320%415%520%6+
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (20%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
91.0%
Under 1.5
9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75.0%
Under 2.5
25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
55.1%
Under 3.5
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
74.6%
No
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
8.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
7.3%
1-3
5.0%
2-3
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
3-2
4.7%
Zimbru II goals ↓
Univer Comrat goals →
01234
02.7%3.2%3.9%2.6%1.3%
13.1%8.4%7.6%5.0%2.5%
23.7%7.4%7.3%4.8%2.4%
32.4%4.8%4.7%3.1%1.6%
41.2%2.3%2.3%1.5%0.8%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zimbru II goals (down), columns = Univer Comrat goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Stăuceni
2.53
Floreşti
2.07
Spartanii Selemet
1.94
FCM Ungheni
1.91
Iskra
1.80
Univer Comrat
1.73
Zimbru II
1.64
FC National Ialoveni
1.49
Vulturii Cutezători
1.49
Oguzsport
0.86
Făleşti
0.73
Victoria Bardar
0.68
Zimbru II is 0.09 points worse than Univer Comrat in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 1.73).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Stăuceni
3.00
Floreşti
2.87
FCM Ungheni
2.59
Spartanii Selemet
2.53
Univer Comrat
2.00
FC National Ialoveni
1.95
Vulturii Cutezători
1.95
Iskra
1.93
Zimbru II
1.86
Victoria Bardar
1.23
Făleşti
1.14
Oguzsport
1.09
Zimbru II is 0.14 goals worse than Univer Comrat in terms of goals scored per game (1.86 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Stăuceni
0.80
Floreşti
0.87
Spartanii Selemet
1.37
FCM Ungheni
1.55
Zimbru II
1.59
Oguzsport
1.64
Univer Comrat
1.68
FC National Ialoveni
1.78
Vulturii Cutezători
1.78
Iskra
1.93
Făleşti
2.55
Victoria Bardar
2.91
Zimbru II is 0.09 goals better than Univer Comrat in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.68).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Zimbru II or Draw
60.3%
Avg Implied -
38%
22%
40%
covers Zimbru II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II or Univer Comrat
77.6%
Avg Implied -
38%
22%
40%
covers Zimbru II + Univer Comrat
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Univer Comrat
62.1%
Avg Implied -
38%
22%
40%
covers Draw + Univer Comrat
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Zimbru II over/under 0.5
Over
85.6%
Under
14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 1.5
Over
57.7%
Under
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 2.5
Over
30.6%
Under
69.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 3.5
Over
13.2%
Under
86.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Univer Comrat over/under 0.5
Over
86.2%
Under
13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Univer Comrat over/under 1.5
Over
59.0%
Under
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Univer Comrat over/under 2.5
Over
31.9%
Under
68.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Univer Comrat over/under 3.5
Over
14.0%
Under
86.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Zimbru II, so a minus line means Zimbru II give that many goals of a start and Univer Comrat receive them. At -1, Zimbru II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Zimbru II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Zimbru II)
Zimbru II -2
9.4%
Draw -2
11.5%
Univer Comrat +2
79.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Zimbru II)
Zimbru II -1
20.9%
Draw -1
17.0%
Univer Comrat +1
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Zimbru II)
Zimbru II +1
60.3%
Draw +1
17.5%
Univer Comrat -1
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Zimbru II)
Zimbru II +2
77.8%
Draw +2
12.0%
Univer Comrat -2
10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Zimbru IIZimbru II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L10W00D04L10W02L01L01L14LH·OLI20/03H·FĂL03/04A·SHE10/04H·OGU17/04A·FCM24/04H·SPA31/07A·UNI07/08H·ISK14/08H·FCM21/08A·VUL28/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.890.890.790.571.001.23
vs Stronger (11)1.090.641.200.801.000.50
vs Similar (8)0.750.620.400.201.331.33
vs Weaker (8)0.751.500.750.750.752.25
Clean sheet %48% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Univer Comrat) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Univer ComratUniver Comrat

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L00D31W01L01L01L20W15L31W31WH·SHE03/04A·OGU10/04H·FCM17/04A·VIC24/04H·OGU06/05H·ISK31/07H·ZIM07/08A·FCM15/08H·VUL21/08A·SPA29/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.040.931.130.730.921.17
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.221.000.200.600.251.50
vs Weaker (18)1.440.891.600.801.251.00
Clean sheet %41% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.0%
Under 0.5
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
42.0%
Under 1.5
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.7%
Under 2.5
80.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zimbru II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
47.8%
Under
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
15.5%
Under
84.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Univer Comrat over/under 0.5 HT
Over
55.4%
Under
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Univer Comrat over/under 1.5 HT
Over
16.7%
Under
83.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Univer Comrat over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.3%
Under
95.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Zimbru IIZimbru II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W00D00D01L11D30W22D11D12L01LH·OLI20/03H·FĂL03/04A·SHE10/04H·OGU17/04A·FCM24/04H·SPA31/07A·UNI07/08H·ISK14/08H·FCM21/08A·VUL28/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.960.931.070.790.851.08
vs Stronger (11)1.270.821.200.801.330.83
vs Similar (8)1.250.751.600.600.671.00
vs Weaker (8)0.251.250.251.000.251.50
Clean sheet %26% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Univer Comrat) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Univer ComratUniver Comrat

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W12L10W22D01L22D11D02L30WH·SHE03/04A·OGU10/04H·FCM17/04A·VIC24/04H·OGU06/05H·ISK31/07H·ZIM07/08A·FCM15/08H·VUL21/08A·SPA29/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.221.001.071.201.420.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.000.891.200.800.751.00
vs Weaker (18)1.331.061.001.401.750.62
Clean sheet %37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
82.7%
Under 0.5
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
53.8%
Under 1.5
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
30.1%
Under 2.5
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zimbru II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
54.8%
Under
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
23.2%
Under
76.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.4%
Under
94.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Univer Comrat over/under 0.5 2H
Over
57.8%
Under
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Univer Comrat over/under 1.5 2H
Over
27.6%
Under
72.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Univer Comrat over/under 2.5 2H
Over
7.4%
Under
92.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.9%-------
Away under 2.5 HT goals95.7%-------
Under 7.595.3%-------
Home under 2.5 2H goals94.6%-------
Away under 2.5 2H goals92.6%-------
Over 1.591.0%-------
Under 6.589.7%-------
Home under 3.5 goals86.8%-------
Away over 0.5 goals86.2%-------
Away under 3.5 goals86.0%-------
Home over 0.5 goals85.6%-------
Home under 1.5 HT goals84.5%-------
Away under 1.5 HT goals83.3%-------
Over 0.5 2H goals82.7%-------
Under 2.5 HT goals80.3%-------
Under 5.579.7%-------
Away +2 handicap79.1%-------
Home +2 handicap77.8%-------
Home or Away77.6%-------
Home under 1.5 2H goals76.8%-------
Over 0.5 HT goals76.0%-------
Over 2.575.0%-------
BTTS Yes74.6%-------
Away under 1.5 2H goals72.4%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (12)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
ZI wins
0
Draws
1
UC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Zimbru II vs Univer Comrat · H/A from ZI
DateH/AGameScore
07/08/26AUniver Comrat Vs ZI4-2
13/03/26AUniver Comrat Vs ZI0-4

Zimbru IIZimbru II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26AVulturii Cutezători Vs ZI5-1
21/08/26HZI Vs FCM Ungheni1-3
14/08/26HZI Vs Iskra1-2
07/08/26AUniver Comrat Vs ZI4-2
31/07/26HZI Vs Spartanii Selemet4-0
24/04/26AFCM Ungheni Vs ZI5-1
17/04/26HZI Vs Oguzsport0-1
10/04/26ASheriff II Vs ZI0-1
03/04/26HZI Vs Făleşti0-1
20/03/26HZI Vs Olimp Comrat4-1

Univer ComratUniver Comrat

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26ASpartanii Selemet Vs UC1-6
21/08/26HUC Vs Vulturii Cutezători3-3
15/08/26AFCM Ungheni Vs UC6-2
07/08/26HUC Vs Zimbru II4-2
31/07/26HUC Vs Iskra0-2
06/05/26HUC Vs Oguzsport2-3
24/04/26AVictoria Bardar Vs UC1-1
17/04/26HUC Vs FCM Ungheni4-3
10/04/26AOguzsport Vs UC0-2
03/04/26HUC Vs Sheriff II1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Zimbru II
Zimbru II
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL1.44
HomeLLWLL1.43
AwayWWLLL1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%43%46%
AVG goals3.673.214.15
Over 1.5 %85%79%92%
Over 2.5 %81%71%92%
Over 3.5 %56%50%62%
Scored1.851.861.85
Conceded1.811.362.31
BTTS63%64%62%
Clean Sheet19%14%23%
Corners---
Cards---
Univer Comrat
Univer Comrat
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDW1.61
HomeWLLWD1.62
AwayWWDLW1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%50%50%
AVG goals4.114.004.25
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %68%69%67%
Over 3.5 %57%56%58%
Scored2.182.062.33
Conceded1.931.941.92
BTTS64%62%67%
Clean Sheet21%19%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Vulturii CutezătoriVulturii Cutezători513
80%
2.6
208+12
5.6
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0004.01.6
-
2IskraIskra512
80%
2.4
186+12
4.8
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.61.2
-
3FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni57
40%
1.4
1310+3
4.6
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.62.0
-
4OguzsportOguzsport47
50%
1.8
31+2
1.0
25%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.2
-
5Univer ComratUniver Comrat57
40%
1.4
1514+1
5.8
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.02.8
-
6FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni47
50%
1.8
65+1
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
7FăleştiFăleşti47
50%
1.8
32+1
1.2
25%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.5
-
8FC National IaloveniFC National Ialoveni44
25%
1.0
34-1
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.0
-
9Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar43
25%
0.8
36-3
2.2
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
10Zimbru IIZimbru II53
20%
0.6
914-5
4.6
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.8
-
11Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet51
0%
0.2
427-23
6.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.85.4
-
12FloreştiFloreşti00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

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