Zira vs Qabala Result & Analysis

Zira face Qabala with the model favouring an away win, a 52% chance against Zira’s 21% home win probability and a 28% draw likelihood. The expected total of 2.5 goals points to a modestly open game, with the single most likely scoreline 1-1 at 13.2%. Zira, playing at home against a weaker side, have averaged no goals scored or conceded in recent fixtures, while Qabala’s away form shows a 0-0 draw and a recent 0-0 stalemate. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 77.8%, Under 5.5 cards at 76.8%, Under 3.5 goals at 76.6% (hit) and Over 1.5 goals at 71.7% (hit). Zira are on a three-game winning run, whereas Qabala are coming off a draw, setting the stage for a competitive encounter.

The upset came as Zira edged Qabala 2-1, overturning the pre-match favourite, an away win that the model had predicted with a 52% probability. The model’s call was therefore wrong. The final score of 2-1 gave a home win, contrary to expectations. The model’s selection for Under 3.5 goals hit, with a 76.6% probability, and its choice of Over 1.5 goals also hit, at 71.7%. Zira’s form was on a three-game winning run, while Qabala had just drawn, yet the home side prevailed. The match finished with a 2-1 scoreline, confirming the home victory.