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Zira vs Şamaxı FK Result & Analysis

Date: 07/10/2022
Time: 13:30
Final 1-0
Zira
Zira
Vs
38%
25%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Şamaxı FK
Şamaxı FK
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zira win✓ Hit
37.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Şamaxı FK win✗ Miss
36.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ZiraZira

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-703L00D21W13L00D12L21W21W17L31WH·MAC21/07A·MAC28/07A·KAP05/08H·SAB12/08H·SUM21/08A·NEF26/08H·QAB04/09A·SƏB10/09H·QAR18/09A·TUR01/10
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.900.802.801.601.00
vs Stronger (3)0.333.330.505.000.000.00
vs Similar (3)1.672.001.003.002.001.50
vs Weaker (4)1.500.751.000.502.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Şamaxı FK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Şamaxı FKŞamaxı FK

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L13L11D04L01L11D12L01LH·NEF07/08A·QAB14/08H·SƏB19/08A·QAR27/08H·TUR03/09A·SUM11/09A·KAP18/09H·SAB02/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.750.251.000.752.50
vs Stronger (3)0.002.000.001.000.004.00
vs Similar (5)0.801.600.501.001.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-31pp vs league)
This opponent (Zira) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
84.0%
Under 1.5
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.1%
Under 2.5
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.8%
Under 3.5
60.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.8%
No
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
1-0 ✓
5.5%
0-1
5.4%
2-0
5.3%
0-2
5.1%
Zira goals ↓
Şamaxı FK goals →
01234
05.1%5.4%5.1%2.7%1.1%
15.5%11%8.3%4.4%1.7%
25.3%8.4%6.7%3.5%1.4%
32.8%4.5%3.6%1.9%0.8%
41.2%1.8%1.5%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zira goals (down), columns = Şamaxı FK goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Qarabag
2.50
Sabah FA
2.25
Neftchi Baku
1.89
Qabala
1.39
Zira
1.39
Turan
1.08
Sumqayıt
0.86
Kapaz
0.86
Səbail
0.81
Şamaxı FK
0.69
Zira is 0.69 points better than Şamaxı FK in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 0.69).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Qarabag
2.53
Sabah FA
2.08
Neftchi Baku
1.75
Qabala
1.31
Zira
1.25
Turan
1.00
Kapaz
0.94
Səbail
0.89
Sumqayıt
0.72
Şamaxı FK
0.72
Zira is 0.53 goals better than Şamaxı FK in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 0.72).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sabah FA
0.67
Qarabag
0.69
Neftchi Baku
1.06
Zira
1.28
Qabala
1.31
Turan
1.36
Şamaxı FK
1.44
Səbail
1.72
Kapaz
1.72
Sumqayıt
1.94
Zira is 0.17 goals better than Şamaxı FK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.44).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ZiraZira

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D11D12L00D01L11D21W11D21WH·MAC21/07A·MAC28/07A·KAP05/08H·SAB12/08H·SUM21/08A·NEF26/08H·QAB04/09A·SƏB10/09H·QAR18/09A·TUR01/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.000.601.201.000.80
vs Stronger (3)0.331.000.501.500.000.00
vs Similar (3)1.001.331.002.001.001.00
vs Weaker (4)1.000.750.500.501.501.00
Clean sheet %20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Şamaxı FK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Şamaxı FKŞamaxı FK

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L01L01L00D11D10W00DH·NEF07/08A·QAB14/08H·SƏB19/08A·QAR27/08H·TUR03/09A·SUM11/09A·KAP18/09H·SAB02/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.250.750.000.250.501.25
vs Stronger (3)0.000.330.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (5)0.401.000.000.500.671.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Zira) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zira over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zira over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zira over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Şamaxı FK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Şamaxı FK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Şamaxı FK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ZiraZira

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L00D10W01L00D11D10W00D06L10WH·MAC21/07A·MAC28/07A·KAP05/08H·SAB12/08H·SUM21/08A·NEF26/08H·QAB04/09A·SƏB10/09H·QAR18/09A·TUR01/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.900.201.600.600.20
vs Stronger (3)0.002.330.003.500.000.00
vs Similar (3)0.670.670.001.001.000.50
vs Weaker (4)0.500.000.500.000.500.00
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Şamaxı FK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Şamaxı FKŞamaxı FK

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W10W03L01L00D02L01LH·NEF07/08A·QAB14/08H·SƏB19/08A·QAR27/08H·TUR03/09A·SUM11/09A·KAP18/09H·SAB02/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.251.000.250.750.251.25
vs Stronger (3)0.001.670.001.000.003.00
vs Similar (5)0.400.600.500.500.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %38% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Zira) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zira over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zira over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zira over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Şamaxı FK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Şamaxı FK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Şamaxı FK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QAR (25)
€25m
SF (24)
€17m
NB (23)
€13m
ZIR (23)
€12m
TUR (23)
€10m
SUM (22)
€9m
KAP (24)
€5m
QAB (18)
€5m
ŞF (15)
€4m
SƏB (4)
€1m
Zira's squad is €8m more valuable than Şamaxı FK's (€12m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QAR (9)
€8m
ZIR (10)
€6m
SF (7)
€5m
NB (7)
€4m
SUM (7)
€4m
TUR (7)
€3m
QAB (5)
€1m
ŞF (6)
€1m
KAP (8)
€1m
SƏB (0)
€0m
Zira's attack is €5m more valuable than Şamaxı FK's (€6m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SF (7)
€5m
QAR (3)
€3m
NB (6)
€3m
SUM (4)
€2m
TUR (4)
€2m
KAP (6)
€2m
ŞF (3)
€1m
ZIR (3)
€1m
QAB (3)
€1m
SƏB (1)
€0m
Zira and Şamaxı FK have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QAR (13)
€14m
SF (10)
€7m
NB (10)
€6m
ZIR (10)
€6m
TUR (12)
€5m
SUM (11)
€4m
QAB (10)
€3m
KAP (10)
€3m
ŞF (6)
€2m
SƏB (3)
€1m
Zira's defence is €4m more valuable than Şamaxı FK's (€6m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
ZIR wins
0
Draws
0
ŞF wins

Head-to-head

Zira vs Şamaxı FK · H/A from ZIR
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

ZiraZira

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/10/22ATuran Vs ZIR1-3
18/09/22HZIR Vs Qarabag1-7
10/09/22ASəbail Vs ZIR1-2
04/09/22HZIR Vs Qabala2-1
26/08/22ANeftchi Baku Vs ZIR2-1
21/08/22HZIR Vs Sumqayıt0-0
12/08/22HZIR Vs Sabah FA1-3
05/08/22AKapaz Vs ZIR1-2
28/07/22AMaccabi Tel Aviv Vs ZIR0-0
21/07/22HZIR Vs Maccabi Tel Aviv0-3

Şamaxı FKŞamaxı FK

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/10/22HŞF Vs Sabah FA0-1
18/09/22AKapaz Vs ŞF2-1
11/09/22ASumqayıt Vs ŞF1-1
03/09/22HŞF Vs Turan0-1
27/08/22AQarabag Vs ŞF4-0
19/08/22HŞF Vs Səbail1-1
14/08/22AQabala Vs ŞF3-1
07/08/22HŞF Vs Neftchi Baku0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Zira
Zira
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLW1.40
HomeLLDWL0.80
AwayDWLWW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%20%60%
AVG goals3.103.602.60
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %80%80%80%
Over 3.5 %30%40%20%
Scored1.200.801.60
Conceded1.902.801.00
BTTS70%60%80%
Clean Sheet20%20%20%
Corners12.0013.0011.00
Cards5.005.00-
Şamaxı FK
Şamaxı FK
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLL0.25
HomeLDLL0.25
AwayLLDL0.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %0%0%0%
AVG goals2.251.253.25
Over 1.5 %62%25%100%
Over 2.5 %38%0%75%
Over 3.5 %25%0%50%
Scored0.500.250.75
Conceded1.751.002.50
BTTS50%25%75%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1QarabagQarabag3690
78%
2.5
9125+66
3.2
81%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
25
83142.50.7
-
2Sabah FASabah FA3681
69%
2.2
7524+51
2.8
78%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
17
5572.10.7
-
3Neftchi BakuNeftchi Baku3668
56%
1.9
6338+25
2.8
81%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
4361.81.1
-
4QabalaQabala3650
36%
1.4
4747+0
2.6
81%
56%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1131.31.3
-
5ZiraZira3650
36%
1.4
4546-1
2.5
72%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
6161.21.3
-
6TuranTuran3639
28%
1.1
3649-13
2.4
69%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3251.01.4
-
7KapazKapaz3631
17%
0.9
3462-28
2.7
78%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1230.91.7
-
8SumqayıtSumqayıt3631
22%
0.9
2670-44
2.7
69%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
4240.71.9
-
9SəbailSəbail3629
19%
0.8
3262-30
2.6
75%
56%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.7
-
10Şamaxı FKŞamaxı FK3625
11%
0.7
2652-26
2.2
61%
36%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.71.4
-
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa stats & trends →

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