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Zrinjski vs Siroki Brijeg Result & Analysis

Date: 03/05/2024
Time: 18:30
Final 3-0
Zrinjski
Zrinjski
Vs
70%
19%
10%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Siroki Brijeg
Siroki Brijeg
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zrinjski win✓ Hit
70.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
19.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Siroki Brijeg win✗ Miss
10.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ZrinjskiZrinjski

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W11D01L20W21W40W10W20W43W10WH·IGM25/02A·SLO02/03H·BOR10/03H·ZEL16/03A·BOR30/03H·ZVI08/04H·VEL13/04A·SLO20/04H·FK 24/04A·POS28/04
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.830.872.360.711.381.00
vs Stronger (3)0.331.001.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (7)1.291.291.751.500.671.00
vs Weaker (20)2.250.702.780.331.821.00
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Siroki Brijeg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W01L01L01L32W22D13L41W01L12LH·ZEL26/02A·IGM02/03H·SLO09/03A·POS17/03A·ZVI30/03H·GOŠ08/04A·TUZ12/04H·IGM20/04A·ZEL23/04H·BOR28/04
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.301.431.000.811.56
vs Stronger (7)0.861.570.501.501.331.67
vs Similar (20)1.101.101.780.780.551.36
vs Weaker (3)1.672.002.001.001.502.50
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Zrinjski) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.1%
Under 1.5
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.0%
Under 2.5
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.6%
Under 3.5
64.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.5%
No
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-0 ✓
9.4%
1-1
9.3%
3-1
7.1%
0-0
5.8%
4-0
5.3%
Zrinjski goals ↓
Siroki Brijeg goals →
01234
05.8%2.9%1.4%0.4%0.1%
110%9.3%3.2%0.8%0.2%
212%9.5%3.6%0.9%0.2%
39.4%7.1%2.7%0.7%0.1%
45.3%4.0%1.5%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zrinjski goals (down), columns = Siroki Brijeg goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.36
Zrinjski
2.30
Velež
1.79
FK Sarajevo
1.70
Posušje
1.45
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.30
Sloga Doboj
1.27
Siroki Brijeg
1.18
GOŠK Gabela
1.03
Igman Konjic
1.00
Tuzla City
0.82
Zvijezda 09
0.64
Zrinjski is 1.12 points better than Siroki Brijeg in terms of average points per game (2.30 vs 1.18).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zrinjski
2.30
Borac Banja Luka
2.06
FK Sarajevo
1.73
Velež
1.52
Tuzla City
1.36
Igman Konjic
1.21
GOŠK Gabela
1.15
Sloga Doboj
1.12
Siroki Brijeg
1.12
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.06
Posušje
1.06
Zvijezda 09
1.00
Zrinjski is 1.18 goals better than Siroki Brijeg in terms of goals scored per game (2.30 vs 1.12).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.79
Zrinjski
0.82
Velež
0.85
Posušje
0.88
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.09
FK Sarajevo
1.15
Siroki Brijeg
1.36
Sloga Doboj
1.52
GOŠK Gabela
1.94
Igman Konjic
2.03
Tuzla City
2.09
Zvijezda 09
2.18
Zrinjski is 0.55 goals better than Siroki Brijeg in terms of goals conceded per game (0.82 vs 1.36).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ZrinjskiZrinjski

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W00D01L00D10W30W10W00D31W10WH·IGM25/02A·SLO02/03H·BOR10/03H·ZEL16/03A·BOR30/03H·ZVI08/04H·VEL13/04A·SLO20/04H·FK 24/04A·POS28/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.331.570.360.620.31
vs Stronger (3)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (7)1.000.711.500.750.330.67
vs Weaker (20)1.250.251.780.220.820.27
Clean sheet %73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Siroki Brijeg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D00D01L11D10W11D11D00D01LH·ZEL26/02A·IGM02/03H·SLO09/03A·POS17/03A·ZVI30/03H·GOŠ08/04A·TUZ12/04H·IGM20/04A·ZEL23/04H·BOR28/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.530.570.430.380.62
vs Stronger (7)0.141.140.001.000.331.33
vs Similar (20)0.500.250.670.220.360.27
vs Weaker (3)1.001.002.000.000.501.50
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Zrinjski) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zrinjski over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zrinjski over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zrinjski over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siroki Brijeg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siroki Brijeg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siroki Brijeg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ZrinjskiZrinjski

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D00D20W11D10W00D20W12L00DH·IGM25/02A·SLO02/03H·BOR10/03H·ZEL16/03A·BOR30/03H·ZVI08/04H·VEL13/04A·SLO20/04H·FK 24/04A·POS28/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.530.790.360.750.69
vs Stronger (3)0.331.001.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (7)0.290.570.250.750.330.33
vs Weaker (20)1.000.451.000.111.000.73
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Siroki Brijeg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L01L00D21W12L02L30W01L11DH·ZEL26/02A·IGM02/03H·SLO09/03A·POS17/03A·ZVI30/03H·GOŠ08/04A·TUZ12/04H·IGM20/04A·ZEL23/04H·BOR28/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.770.860.570.440.94
vs Stronger (7)0.710.430.500.501.000.33
vs Similar (20)0.600.851.110.560.181.09
vs Weaker (3)0.671.000.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Zrinjski) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zrinjski over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zrinjski over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zrinjski over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siroki Brijeg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siroki Brijeg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siroki Brijeg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.1%-------✓ Hit
Home win70.4%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Zrinjski
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Zvonimir Kožulj25%
Aldin Hrvanović17%
Nemanja Bilbija12%
Antonio Ivančić12%
Josip Ćorluka12%
Matija Malekinušić12%
Mario Ćuže0%
Filip Bradarić0%
Kerim Memija0%
Dario Čanađija0%
Matej Senić0%
Stipe Radić0%
Marko Marić0%
Damir Zlomislić0%
Petar Mišić0%
Tomislav Kiš0%
Slobodan Jakovljević0%
Mario Tičinović0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Zvonimir Kožulj50%
Dario Čanađija43%
Nemanja Bilbija38%
Aldin Hrvanović33%
Slobodan Jakovljević29%
Filip Bradarić25%
Matija Malekinušić25%
Kerim Memija14%
Mario Ćuže12%
Antonio Ivančić12%
Matej Senić0%
Stipe Radić0%
Marko Marić0%
Damir Zlomislić0%
Petar Mišić0%
Tomislav Kiš0%
Josip Ćorluka0%
Mario Tičinović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tomislav Kiš25%
Antonio Ivančić12%
Josip Ćorluka12%
Matija Malekinušić12%
Mario Ćuže0%
Filip Bradarić0%
Nemanja Bilbija0%
Kerim Memija0%
Dario Čanađija0%
Matej Senić0%
Stipe Radić0%
Marko Marić0%
Zvonimir Kožulj0%
Damir Zlomislić0%
Petar Mišić0%
Slobodan Jakovljević0%
Mario Tičinović0%
Aldin Hrvanović0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dario Čanađija14%
Mario Ćuže12%
Filip Bradarić0%
Nemanja Bilbija0%
Kerim Memija0%
Antonio Ivančić0%
Matej Senić0%
Stipe Radić0%
Marko Marić0%
Zvonimir Kožulj0%
Damir Zlomislić0%
Petar Mišić0%
Tomislav Kiš0%
Josip Ćorluka0%
Slobodan Jakovljević0%
Mario Tičinović0%
Matija Malekinušić0%
Aldin Hrvanović0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
Zrinjski's squad is €5m more valuable than Siroki Brijeg's (€8m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
SB (5)
€1m
Zrinjski's attack is €3m more valuable than Siroki Brijeg's (€4m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
Zrinjski and Siroki Brijeg have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
Zrinjski's defence is €2m more valuable than Siroki Brijeg's (€3m vs €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
4
ZRI wins
1
Draws
0
SB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Zrinjski vs Siroki Brijeg · H/A from ZRI
DateH/AGameScore
10/12/23ASiroki Brijeg Vs ZRI0-2
22/11/23HZRI Vs Siroki Brijeg3-1
01/04/23HZRI Vs Siroki Brijeg3-1
30/10/22ASiroki Brijeg Vs ZRI1-1
05/10/22HZRI Vs Siroki Brijeg3-0

ZrinjskiZrinjski

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/04/24APosušje Vs ZRI0-1
24/04/24HZRI Vs FK Sarajevo4-3
20/04/24ASloga Doboj Vs ZRI0-2
13/04/24HZRI Vs Velež1-0
08/04/24HZRI Vs Zvijezda 094-0
30/03/24ABorac Banja Luka Vs ZRI1-2
16/03/24HZRI Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo2-0
10/03/24HZRI Vs Borac Banja Luka0-1
02/03/24ASloga Doboj Vs ZRI1-1
25/02/24HZRI Vs Igman Konjic5-0

Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/04/24HSB Vs Borac Banja Luka1-2
23/04/24AZeljeznicar Sarajevo Vs SB1-0
20/04/24HSB Vs Igman Konjic4-1
12/04/24ATuzla City Vs SB3-1
08/04/24HSB Vs GOŠK Gabela2-2
30/03/24AZvijezda 09 Vs SB2-3
17/03/24APosušje Vs SB1-0
09/03/24HSB Vs Sloga Doboj0-1
02/03/24AIgman Konjic Vs SB1-0
26/02/24HSB Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Zrinjski
Zrinjski
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.82
HomeLWWWW2.12
AwayDDWWW1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%68%44%
AVG goals2.963.602.32
Over 1.5 %74%84%64%
Over 2.5 %52%64%40%
Over 3.5 %32%44%20%
Scored1.862.441.28
Conceded1.101.161.04
BTTS48%60%36%
Clean Sheet32%28%36%
Corners9.578.1411.00
Cards4.504.714.29
Siroki Brijeg
Siroki Brijeg
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLL1.22
HomeWLDWL1.72
AwayLLWLL0.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%48%20%
AVG goals2.382.242.52
Over 1.5 %64%68%60%
Over 2.5 %42%32%52%
Over 3.5 %22%20%24%
Scored1.141.320.96
Conceded1.240.921.56
BTTS46%44%48%
Clean Sheet28%44%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka3378
73%
2.4
6826+42
2.8
76%
52%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5142.10.8
-
2ZrinjskiZrinjski3376
73%
2.3
7627+49
3.1
79%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4232.30.8
-
3VeležVelež3359
48%
1.8
5028+22
2.4
61%
36%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.50.8
-
4FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo3356
48%
1.7
5738+19
2.9
76%
58%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.71.2
-
5PosušjePosušje3348
39%
1.5
3529+6
1.9
61%
24%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.9
-
6Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo3343
39%
1.3
3536-1
2.2
61%
42%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.11.1
-
7Sloga DobojSloga Doboj3342
39%
1.3
3750-13
2.6
67%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.11.5
-
8Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg3339
33%
1.2
3745-8
2.5
70%
45%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.11.4
-
9GOŠK GabelaGOŠK Gabela3334
24%
1.0
3864-26
3.1
79%
67%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.9
-
10Igman KonjicIgman Konjic3333
27%
1.0
4067-27
3.2
82%
58%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
11Tuzla CityTuzla City3327
21%
0.8
4569-24
3.5
91%
64%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.1
-
12Zvijezda 09Zvijezda 093321
18%
0.6
3372-39
3.2
85%
61%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

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