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Zrinjski vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo Result & Analysis

Date: 19/04/2025
Time: 15:30
Final 5-0
Zrinjski
Zrinjski
Vs
57%
26%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zrinjski win✓ Hit
57.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo win✗ Miss
17.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ZrinjskiZrinjski

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W11D11D10W30W01L32W50W01L00DH·ZEL16/02A·SIR21/02A·FK 25/02H·VEL01/03A·IGM08/03H·FK 11/03H·SLO16/03H·SLO28/03H·BOR06/04A·FK 11/04
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.600.702.070.801.130.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.501.200.401.600.600.80
vs Weaker (20)2.150.452.900.401.400.50
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Zeljeznicar Sarajevo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-881W11D11D31W32W32W03L10W32W10WA·KRU25/02A·POS02/03H·BOR09/03H·KRU12/03A·RAD16/03H·POS28/03A·SIR02/04A·IGM05/04H·GOŠ12/04H·SIR16/04
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.100.902.200.802.001.00
vs Stronger (4)0.251.250.501.500.001.00
vs Similar (11)1.820.822.170.501.401.20
vs Weaker (15)2.800.872.710.862.880.88
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Zrinjski) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%017%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.1%
Under 1.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.1%
Under 2.5
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.2%
Under 3.5
72.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.6%
No
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.3%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.2%
Zrinjski goals ↓
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo goals →
01234
08.3%5.2%2.8%0.8%0.2%
111%12%4.9%1.4%0.3%
211%9.7%4.3%1.3%0.3%
36.5%5.7%2.5%0.7%0.2%
42.8%2.5%1.1%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zrinjski goals (down), columns = Zeljeznicar Sarajevo goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zrinjski
2.48
Borac Banja Luka
2.45
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.97
FK Sarajevo
1.97
Siroki Brijeg
1.39
Sloga Doboj
1.33
Velež
1.27
Radnik Bijeljina
1.21
Posušje
1.12
Igman Konjic
0.88
GOŠK Gabela
0.48
Sloboda Tuzla
0.30
Zrinjski is 0.52 points better than Zeljeznicar Sarajevo in terms of average points per game (2.48 vs 1.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zrinjski
2.18
FK Sarajevo
1.79
Borac Banja Luka
1.76
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.67
Velež
1.36
Radnik Bijeljina
1.33
Siroki Brijeg
1.30
Posušje
1.09
Sloga Doboj
1.06
Igman Konjic
0.91
GOŠK Gabela
0.85
Sloboda Tuzla
0.64
Zrinjski is 0.52 goals better than Zeljeznicar Sarajevo in terms of goals scored per game (2.18 vs 1.67).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.39
Zrinjski
0.52
FK Sarajevo
0.73
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.15
Velež
1.18
Posušje
1.18
Sloga Doboj
1.36
Siroki Brijeg
1.39
Radnik Bijeljina
1.58
Igman Konjic
2.00
Sloboda Tuzla
2.15
GOŠK Gabela
2.30
Zrinjski is 0.64 goals better than Zeljeznicar Sarajevo in terms of goals conceded per game (0.52 vs 1.15).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ZrinjskiZrinjski

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W10W00D00D01L12L10W01L00DH·ZEL16/02A·SIR21/02A·FK 25/02H·VEL01/03A·IGM08/03H·FK 11/03H·SLO16/03H·SLO28/03H·BOR06/04A·FK 11/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.370.670.600.470.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.400.600.401.200.400.00
vs Weaker (20)0.650.250.800.300.500.20
Clean sheet %73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Zeljeznicar Sarajevo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-660W00D11D10W10W20W02L00D20W10WA·KRU25/02A·POS02/03H·BOR09/03H·KRU12/03A·RAD16/03H·POS28/03A·SIR02/04A·IGM05/04H·GOŠ12/04H·SIR16/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.301.000.200.600.40
vs Stronger (4)0.250.750.500.500.001.00
vs Similar (11)0.730.181.170.000.200.40
vs Weaker (15)1.000.271.000.291.000.25
Clean sheet %77% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Zrinjski) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zrinjski over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zrinjski over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zrinjski over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ZrinjskiZrinjski

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D01L01L10W30W00D20W40W00D00DH·ZEL16/02A·SIR21/02A·FK 25/02H·VEL01/03A·IGM08/03H·FK 11/03H·SLO16/03H·SLO28/03H·BOR06/04A·FK 11/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.331.400.200.670.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.100.600.000.400.200.80
vs Weaker (20)1.500.202.100.100.900.30
Clean sheet %73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Zeljeznicar Sarajevo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W11D00D21W22D12L01L10W12L00DA·KRU25/02A·POS02/03H·BOR09/03H·KRU12/03A·RAD16/03H·POS28/03A·SIR02/04A·IGM05/04H·GOŠ12/04H·SIR16/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.601.200.601.400.60
vs Stronger (4)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (11)1.090.641.000.501.200.80
vs Weaker (15)1.800.601.710.571.880.62
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Zrinjski) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zrinjski over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zrinjski over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zrinjski over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.8%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Zrinjski · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nemanja Bilbija40%
Slobodan Jakovljević33%
Vitalie Damașcan25%
Karlo Abramović20%
Mario Ćuže17%
Leo Mikić12%
Duje Dujmović12%
Stefano Surdanović0%
Hrvoje Barišić0%
Kerim Memija0%
Petar Mamić0%
Marijan Ćavar0%
Neven Đurasek0%
Antonio Ivančić0%
Marko Vranjković0%
Tyler Burey0%
Goran Karačić0%
Ilija Mašić0%
Igor Savić0%
Jakov Pranjic0%
Matej Šakota0%
Borna Filipović0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Neven Đurasek57%
Vitalie Damașcan50%
Karlo Abramović40%
Kerim Memija33%
Ilija Mašić25%
Duje Dujmović25%
Nemanja Bilbija20%
Marko Vranjković20%
Igor Savić14%
Matej Šakota14%
Leo Mikić12%
Mario Ćuže0%
Stefano Surdanović0%
Hrvoje Barišić0%
Petar Mamić0%
Marijan Ćavar0%
Antonio Ivančić0%
Tyler Burey0%
Goran Karačić0%
Slobodan Jakovljević0%
Jakov Pranjic0%
Borna Filipović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marko Vranjković20%
Neven Đurasek14%
Matej Šakota14%
Leo Mikić12%
Mario Ćuže0%
Stefano Surdanović0%
Nemanja Bilbija0%
Hrvoje Barišić0%
Kerim Memija0%
Petar Mamić0%
Marijan Ćavar0%
Antonio Ivančić0%
Tyler Burey0%
Vitalie Damașcan0%
Goran Karačić0%
Slobodan Jakovljević0%
Karlo Abramović0%
Ilija Mašić0%
Igor Savić0%
Duje Dujmović0%
Jakov Pranjic0%
Borna Filipović0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nemanja Bilbija40%
Mario Ćuže33%
Petar Mamić14%
Stefano Surdanović0%
Hrvoje Barišić0%
Kerim Memija0%
Marijan Ćavar0%
Neven Đurasek0%
Antonio Ivančić0%
Marko Vranjković0%
Tyler Burey0%
Vitalie Damașcan0%
Goran Karačić0%
Slobodan Jakovljević0%
Leo Mikić0%
Karlo Abramović0%
Ilija Mašić0%
Igor Savić0%
Duje Dujmović0%
Jakov Pranjic0%
Matej Šakota0%
Borna Filipović0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
RB (27)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
Zrinjski's squad is €4m more valuable than Zeljeznicar Sarajevo's (€8m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
RB (12)
€2m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
SB (5)
€1m
Zrinjski's attack is €2m more valuable than Zeljeznicar Sarajevo's (€4m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
RB (4)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
Zrinjski and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
RB (11)
€1m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
Zrinjski's defence is €2m more valuable than Zeljeznicar Sarajevo's (€3m vs €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
6
ZRI wins
1
Draws
1
ZS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Zrinjski vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo · H/A from ZRI
DateH/AGameScore
16/02/25HZRI Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo1-0
21/09/24AZeljeznicar Sarajevo Vs ZRI0-2
16/03/24HZRI Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo2-0
17/02/24AZeljeznicar Sarajevo Vs ZRI0-0
24/09/23HZRI Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo2-1
14/04/23HZRI Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo2-0
08/10/22AZeljeznicar Sarajevo Vs ZRI0-1
24/07/22HZRI Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo1-2

ZrinjskiZrinjski

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/04/25AFK Sarajevo Vs ZRI0-0
06/04/25HZRI Vs Borac Banja Luka0-1
28/03/25HZRI Vs Sloboda Tuzla5-0
16/03/25HZRI Vs Sloboda Tuzla3-2
11/03/25HZRI Vs FK Sarajevo0-1
08/03/25AIgman Konjic Vs ZRI0-3
01/03/25HZRI Vs Velež1-0
25/02/25AFK Sarajevo Vs ZRI1-1
21/02/25ASiroki Brijeg Vs ZRI1-1
16/02/25HZRI Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo1-0

Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/04/25HZS Vs Siroki Brijeg1-0
12/04/25HZS Vs GOŠK Gabela3-2
05/04/25AIgman Konjic Vs ZS0-1
02/04/25ASiroki Brijeg Vs ZS3-0
28/03/25HZS Vs Posušje3-2
16/03/25ARadnik Bijeljina Vs ZS2-3
12/03/25HZS Vs Kruševo3-1
09/03/25HZS Vs Borac Banja Luka1-1
02/03/25APosušje Vs ZS1-1
25/02/25AKruševo Vs ZS1-8

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Zrinjski
Zrinjski
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLD2.24
HomeWLWWL2.24
AwayWDDWD2.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %70%72%68%
AVG goals2.582.922.24
Over 1.5 %66%68%64%
Over 2.5 %44%48%40%
Over 3.5 %26%36%16%
Scored1.902.241.56
Conceded0.680.680.68
BTTS34%24%44%
Clean Sheet52%56%48%
Corners---
Cards---
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW1.80
HomeDWWWW2.04
AwayWDWLW1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%60%48%
AVG goals2.542.362.72
Over 1.5 %68%64%72%
Over 2.5 %46%40%52%
Over 3.5 %20%24%16%
Scored1.661.681.64
Conceded0.880.681.08
BTTS36%40%32%
Clean Sheet40%44%36%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ZrinjskiZrinjski3382
79%
2.5
7217+55
2.7
67%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4232.20.5
-
2Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka3381
79%
2.5
5813+45
2.2
64%
30%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5141.80.4
-
3FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo3365
55%
2.0
5924+35
2.5
73%
48%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.80.7
-
4Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo3365
61%
2.0
5538+17
2.8
76%
55%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.71.2
-
5Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg3346
39%
1.4
4346-3
2.7
73%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.31.4
-
6Sloga DobojSloga Doboj3344
39%
1.3
3545-10
2.4
67%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.11.4
-
7VeležVelež3342
30%
1.3
4539+6
2.5
70%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.41.2
-
8Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina3340
36%
1.2
4452-8
2.9
82%
48%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.31.6
-
9PosušjePosušje3337
30%
1.1
3639-3
2.3
73%
48%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
10Igman KonjicIgman Konjic3329
24%
0.9
3066-36
2.9
79%
61%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
11GOŠK GabelaGOŠK Gabela3316
12%
0.5
2876-48
3.2
88%
67%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.3
-
12Sloboda TuzlaSloboda Tuzla3310
3%
0.3
2171-50
2.8
76%
42%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.2
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

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