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Zvijezda 09 vs FK Sarajevo Result & Analysis

Date: 24/02/2024
Time: 12:00
Final 1-0
Zvijezda 09
Zvijezda 09
Vs
38%
28%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FK Sarajevo
FK Sarajevo
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zvijezda 09 win✓ Hit
38.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo win✗ Miss
33.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Zvijezda 09Zvijezda 09

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L00D13L12L01L21W12L30W02LH·TUZ07/10A·ZEL21/10H·VEL29/10A·IGM04/11H·GOŠ12/11A·SLO26/11H·ZRI04/12H·BOR09/12H·SIR17/12A·POS17/02
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.002.051.331.330.702.70
vs Stronger (12)1.002.171.201.000.863.00
vs Similar (7)1.001.861.501.750.332.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %16% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Sarajevo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D21W03L11D10W62W01L30W02L13LA·BOR18/10A·IGM22/10A·SLO28/10H·BOR05/11A·POS11/11H·TUZ24/11A·VEL01/12H·GOŠ09/12A·ZRI18/12H·SIR18/02
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.231.941.061.501.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.401.201.600.801.201.60
vs Weaker (20)1.901.252.091.181.671.33
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Zvijezda 09) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.7%
Under 1.5
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.7%
Under 2.5
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.8%
Under 3.5
72.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.3%
No
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
2-1
8.5%
1-0 ✓
8.4%
0-0
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
0-1
7.7%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
5.7%
Zvijezda 09 goals ↓
FK Sarajevo goals →
01234
08.2%7.7%5.7%2.5%0.8%
18.4%14%7.9%3.4%1.1%
26.6%8.5%5.5%2.3%0.8%
33.0%3.9%2.5%1.1%0.3%
41.1%1.4%0.9%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zvijezda 09 goals (down), columns = FK Sarajevo goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.36
Zrinjski
2.30
Velež
1.79
FK Sarajevo
1.70
Posušje
1.45
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.30
Sloga Doboj
1.27
Siroki Brijeg
1.18
GOŠK Gabela
1.03
Igman Konjic
1.00
Tuzla City
0.82
Zvijezda 09
0.64
Zvijezda 09 is 1.06 points worse than FK Sarajevo in terms of average points per game (0.64 vs 1.70).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zrinjski
2.30
Borac Banja Luka
2.06
FK Sarajevo
1.73
Velež
1.52
Tuzla City
1.36
Igman Konjic
1.21
GOŠK Gabela
1.15
Sloga Doboj
1.12
Siroki Brijeg
1.12
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.06
Posušje
1.06
Zvijezda 09
1.00
Zvijezda 09 is 0.73 goals worse than FK Sarajevo in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.73).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.79
Zrinjski
0.82
Velež
0.85
Posušje
0.88
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.09
FK Sarajevo
1.15
Siroki Brijeg
1.36
Sloga Doboj
1.52
GOŠK Gabela
1.94
Igman Konjic
2.03
Tuzla City
2.09
Zvijezda 09
2.18
Zvijezda 09 is 1.03 goals worse than FK Sarajevo in terms of goals conceded per game (2.18 vs 1.15).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Zvijezda 09Zvijezda 09

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D12L01L00D00D01L20W01LH·TUZ07/10A·ZEL21/10H·VEL29/10A·IGM04/11H·GOŠ12/11A·SLO26/11H·ZRI04/12H·BOR09/12H·SIR17/12A·POS17/02
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.421.050.330.560.501.50
vs Stronger (12)0.501.080.400.200.571.71
vs Similar (7)0.291.000.251.000.331.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %42% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Sarajevo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D11D01L01L10W41W00D00D02L00DA·BOR18/10A·IGM22/10A·SLO28/10H·BOR05/11A·POS11/11H·TUZ24/11A·VEL01/12H·GOŠ09/12A·ZRI18/12H·SIR18/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.501.060.440.570.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.500.500.800.200.200.80
vs Weaker (20)1.000.501.180.550.780.44
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Zvijezda 09) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zvijezda 09 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zvijezda 09 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zvijezda 09 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Zvijezda 09Zvijezda 09

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L00D01L11D01L21W11D10W01LH·TUZ07/10A·ZEL21/10H·VEL29/10A·IGM04/11H·GOŠ12/11A·SLO26/11H·ZRI04/12H·BOR09/12H·SIR17/12A·POS17/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.581.001.000.780.201.20
vs Stronger (12)0.501.080.800.800.291.29
vs Similar (7)0.710.861.250.750.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %26% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Sarajevo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W02L10W00D21W01L30W00D13LA·BOR18/10A·IGM22/10A·SLO28/10H·BOR05/11A·POS11/11H·TUZ24/11A·VEL01/12H·GOŠ09/12A·ZRI18/12H·SIR18/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.730.880.620.930.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.900.700.800.601.000.80
vs Weaker (20)0.900.750.910.640.890.89
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Zvijezda 09) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zvijezda 09 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zvijezda 09 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zvijezda 09 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.572.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
SB (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
Z0 wins
0
Draws
1
FS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Zvijezda 09 vs FK Sarajevo · H/A from Z0
DateH/AGameScore
30/09/23AFK Sarajevo Vs Z02-0

Zvijezda 09Zvijezda 09

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/02/24APosušje Vs Z02-0
17/12/23HZ0 Vs Siroki Brijeg3-0
09/12/23HZ0 Vs Borac Banja Luka1-2
04/12/23HZ0 Vs Zrinjski2-1
26/11/23ASloga Doboj Vs Z01-0
12/11/23HZ0 Vs GOŠK Gabela1-2
04/11/23AIgman Konjic Vs Z03-1
29/10/23HZ0 Vs Velež0-0
21/10/23AZeljeznicar Sarajevo Vs Z01-0
07/10/23HZ0 Vs Tuzla City1-1

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/02/24HFS Vs Siroki Brijeg1-3
18/12/23AZrinjski Vs FS2-0
09/12/23HFS Vs GOŠK Gabela3-0
01/12/23AVelež Vs FS1-0
24/11/23HFS Vs Tuzla City6-2
11/11/23APosušje Vs FS0-1
05/11/23HFS Vs Borac Banja Luka1-1
28/10/23ASloga Doboj Vs FS3-0
22/10/23AIgman Konjic Vs FS1-2
18/10/23ABorac Banja Luka Vs FS1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Zvijezda 09
Zvijezda 09
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWL0.58
HomeDLWLW1.22
AwayLLLLL0.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %16%33%0%
AVG goals3.052.673.40
Over 1.5 %79%78%80%
Over 2.5 %53%56%50%
Over 3.5 %26%11%40%
Scored1.001.330.70
Conceded2.051.332.70
BTTS47%56%40%
Clean Sheet16%33%0%
Corners---
Cards---
FK Sarajevo
FK Sarajevo
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLL1.56
HomeWDWWL1.84
AwayWLWLL1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%52%36%
AVG goals2.702.602.80
Over 1.5 %72%72%72%
Over 2.5 %48%48%48%
Over 3.5 %28%24%32%
Scored1.481.681.28
Conceded1.220.921.52
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet28%44%12%
Corners11.5010.0013.00
Cards6.006.00-

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka3378
73%
2.4
6826+42
2.8
76%
52%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5142.10.8
-
2ZrinjskiZrinjski3376
73%
2.3
7627+49
3.1
79%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4232.30.8
-
3VeležVelež3359
48%
1.8
5028+22
2.4
61%
36%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.50.8
-
4FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo3356
48%
1.7
5738+19
2.9
76%
58%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.71.2
-
5PosušjePosušje3348
39%
1.5
3529+6
1.9
61%
24%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.9
-
6Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo3343
39%
1.3
3536-1
2.2
61%
42%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.11.1
-
7Sloga DobojSloga Doboj3342
39%
1.3
3750-13
2.6
67%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.11.5
-
8Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg3339
33%
1.2
3745-8
2.5
70%
45%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.11.4
-
9GOŠK GabelaGOŠK Gabela3334
24%
1.0
3864-26
3.1
79%
67%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.9
-
10Igman KonjicIgman Konjic3333
27%
1.0
4067-27
3.2
82%
58%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
11Tuzla CityTuzla City3327
21%
0.8
4569-24
3.5
91%
64%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.1
-
12Zvijezda 09Zvijezda 093321
18%
0.6
3372-39
3.2
85%
61%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

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