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Zvijezda 09 vs GOŠK Gabela Result & Analysis

Date: 13/04/2024
Time: 11:30
Final 1-2
Zvijezda 09
Zvijezda 09
Vs
50%
25%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
GOŠK Gabela
GOŠK Gabela
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zvijezda 09 win✗ Miss
50.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
GOŠK Gabela win✓ Hit
24.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Zvijezda 09Zvijezda 09

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W12L30W02L10W02L21W13L23L04LH·ZRI04/12H·BOR09/12H·SIR17/12A·POS17/02H·FK 24/02A·TUZ02/03H·ZEL10/03A·BOR17/03H·SIR30/03A·ZRI08/04
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.002.081.421.330.622.77
vs Stronger (17)1.062.181.381.120.783.11
vs Similar (8)0.881.881.501.750.252.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %16% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (GOŠK Gabela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GOŠK GabelaGOŠK Gabela

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D03L10W21W24L03L11D04L01L22DH·SIR03/12A·FK 09/12H·ZEL16/12A·IGM17/02H·SLO23/02A·BOR04/03H·POS09/03A·FK 16/03H·POS30/03A·SIR08/04
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.122.001.172.001.082.00
vs Stronger (11)0.732.640.802.800.672.50
vs Similar (14)1.431.501.431.431.431.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %24% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Zvijezda 09) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.8%
Under 1.5
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.6%
Under 2.5
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.2%
Under 3.5
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.2%
No
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.9%
1-0
7.6%
1-2 ✓
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.8%
3-1
5.8%
Zvijezda 09 goals ↓
GOŠK Gabela goals →
01234
05.8%4.8%3.6%1.5%0.5%
17.6%12%6.5%2.7%0.8%
27.9%9.6%5.9%2.4%0.7%
34.8%5.8%3.6%1.5%0.4%
42.2%2.6%1.6%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zvijezda 09 goals (down), columns = GOŠK Gabela goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.36
Zrinjski
2.30
Velež
1.79
FK Sarajevo
1.70
Posušje
1.45
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.30
Sloga Doboj
1.27
Siroki Brijeg
1.18
GOŠK Gabela
1.03
Igman Konjic
1.00
Tuzla City
0.82
Zvijezda 09
0.64
Zvijezda 09 is 0.39 points worse than GOŠK Gabela in terms of average points per game (0.64 vs 1.03).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zrinjski
2.30
Borac Banja Luka
2.06
FK Sarajevo
1.73
Velež
1.52
Tuzla City
1.36
Igman Konjic
1.21
GOŠK Gabela
1.15
Sloga Doboj
1.12
Siroki Brijeg
1.12
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.06
Posušje
1.06
Zvijezda 09
1.00
Zvijezda 09 is 0.15 goals worse than GOŠK Gabela in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.15).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.79
Zrinjski
0.82
Velež
0.85
Posušje
0.88
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.09
FK Sarajevo
1.15
Siroki Brijeg
1.36
Sloga Doboj
1.52
GOŠK Gabela
1.94
Igman Konjic
2.03
Tuzla City
2.09
Zvijezda 09
2.18
Zvijezda 09 is 0.24 goals worse than GOŠK Gabela in terms of goals conceded per game (2.18 vs 1.94).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Zvijezda 09Zvijezda 09

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L20W01L00D01L11D01L11D03LH·ZRI04/12H·BOR09/12H·SIR17/12A·POS17/02H·FK 24/02A·TUZ02/03H·ZEL10/03A·BOR17/03H·SIR30/03A·ZRI08/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.401.080.420.580.381.54
vs Stronger (17)0.471.120.500.380.441.78
vs Similar (8)0.251.000.251.000.251.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %36% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (GOŠK Gabela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GOŠK GabelaGOŠK Gabela

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D10W13L01L10W02L00D01LH·SIR03/12A·FK 09/12H·ZEL16/12A·IGM17/02H·SLO23/02A·BOR04/03H·POS09/03A·FK 16/03H·POS30/03A·SIR08/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.360.720.500.750.230.69
vs Stronger (11)0.181.000.201.000.171.00
vs Similar (14)0.500.500.710.570.290.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %52% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Zvijezda 09) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zvijezda 09 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zvijezda 09 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zvijezda 09 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GOŠK Gabela over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GOŠK Gabela over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GOŠK Gabela over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Zvijezda 09Zvijezda 09

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W11D10W01L10W01L10W12L12L01LH·ZRI04/12H·BOR09/12H·SIR17/12A·POS17/02H·FK 24/02A·TUZ02/03H·ZEL10/03A·BOR17/03H·SIR30/03A·ZRI08/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.001.000.750.231.23
vs Stronger (17)0.591.060.880.750.331.33
vs Similar (8)0.620.881.250.750.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %28% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (GOŠK Gabela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GOŠK GabelaGOŠK Gabela

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L10W11D11D02L01L02L01L21WH·SIR03/12A·FK 09/12H·ZEL16/12A·IGM17/02H·SLO23/02A·BOR04/03H·POS09/03A·FK 16/03H·POS30/03A·SIR08/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.761.280.671.250.851.31
vs Stronger (11)0.551.640.601.800.501.50
vs Similar (14)0.931.000.710.861.141.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %24% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Zvijezda 09) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zvijezda 09 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zvijezda 09 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zvijezda 09 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GOŠK Gabela over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GOŠK Gabela over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GOŠK Gabela over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
SB (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
Z0 wins
0
Draws
2
GG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Zvijezda 09 vs GOŠK Gabela · H/A from Z0
DateH/AGameScore
12/11/23HZ0 Vs GOŠK Gabela1-2
12/08/23AGOŠK Gabela Vs Z02-0

Zvijezda 09Zvijezda 09

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/04/24AZrinjski Vs Z04-0
30/03/24HZ0 Vs Siroki Brijeg2-3
17/03/24ABorac Banja Luka Vs Z03-1
10/03/24HZ0 Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo2-1
02/03/24ATuzla City Vs Z02-0
24/02/24HZ0 Vs FK Sarajevo1-0
17/02/24APosušje Vs Z02-0
17/12/23HZ0 Vs Siroki Brijeg3-0
09/12/23HZ0 Vs Borac Banja Luka1-2
04/12/23HZ0 Vs Zrinjski2-1

GOŠK GabelaGOŠK Gabela

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/04/24ASiroki Brijeg Vs GG2-2
30/03/24HGG Vs Posušje0-1
16/03/24AFK Sarajevo Vs GG4-0
09/03/24HGG Vs Posušje1-1
04/03/24ABorac Banja Luka Vs GG3-0
23/02/24HGG Vs Sloga Doboj2-4
17/02/24AIgman Konjic Vs GG1-2
16/12/23HGG Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo1-0
09/12/23AFK Sarajevo Vs GG3-0
03/12/23HGG Vs Siroki Brijeg0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Zvijezda 09
Zvijezda 09
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL0.68
HomeLWWWL1.42
AwayLLLLL0.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%42%0%
AVG goals3.082.753.38
Over 1.5 %80%75%85%
Over 2.5 %56%58%54%
Over 3.5 %32%17%46%
Scored1.001.420.62
Conceded2.081.332.77
BTTS48%58%38%
Clean Sheet16%33%0%
Corners---
Cards---
GOŠK Gabela
GOŠK Gabela
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLD1.00
HomeDWLDL1.00
AwayLWLLD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%25%23%
AVG goals3.123.173.08
Over 1.5 %80%75%85%
Over 2.5 %68%58%77%
Over 3.5 %48%50%46%
Scored1.121.171.08
Conceded2.002.002.00
BTTS48%42%54%
Clean Sheet24%33%15%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka3378
73%
2.4
6826+42
2.8
76%
52%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5142.10.8
-
2ZrinjskiZrinjski3376
73%
2.3
7627+49
3.1
79%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4232.30.8
-
3VeležVelež3359
48%
1.8
5028+22
2.4
61%
36%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.50.8
-
4FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo3356
48%
1.7
5738+19
2.9
76%
58%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.71.2
-
5PosušjePosušje3348
39%
1.5
3529+6
1.9
61%
24%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.9
-
6Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo3343
39%
1.3
3536-1
2.2
61%
42%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.11.1
-
7Sloga DobojSloga Doboj3342
39%
1.3
3750-13
2.6
67%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.11.5
-
8Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg3339
33%
1.2
3745-8
2.5
70%
45%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.11.4
-
9GOŠK GabelaGOŠK Gabela3334
24%
1.0
3864-26
3.1
79%
67%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.9
-
10Igman KonjicIgman Konjic3333
27%
1.0
4067-27
3.2
82%
58%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
11Tuzla CityTuzla City3327
21%
0.8
4569-24
3.5
91%
64%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.1
-
12Zvijezda 09Zvijezda 093321
18%
0.6
3372-39
3.2
85%
61%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

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