This opponent (1. FC Nürnberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
1. FC Nürnberg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
1.43
1.87
1.33
2.00
1.53
vs Stronger (3)
2.33
1.33
3.00
1.00
2.00
1.50
vs Similar (17)
1.94
1.47
2.11
0.89
1.75
2.12
vs Weaker (10)
1.80
1.40
1.20
2.20
2.40
0.60
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Heidenheim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.0%
Under 1.5
18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.9%
Under 2.5
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.5%
Under 3.5
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.1%
No
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
5.8%
0-1
5.5%
1. FC Heidenheim goals ↓
1. FC Nürnberg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.8%
5.5%
4.7%
2.2%
0.8%
1
6.7%
12%
7.7%
3.6%
1.3%
2
6.4%
9.0%
6.3%
3.0%
1.0%
3
3.5%
5.0%
3.5%
1.6%
0.6%
4
1.5%
2.0%
1.4%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = 1. FC Heidenheim goals (down), columns = 1. FC Nürnberg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
VfB Stuttgart
2.03
Hannover 96
1.97
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.94
Union Berlin
1.76
Dynamo Dresden
1.47
1. FC Heidenheim
1.35
FC St. Pauli
1.32
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.32
VfL Bochum
1.29
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.24
SV Sandhausen
1.24
1. FC Nürnberg
1.24
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.21
Erzgebirge Aue
1.15
Arminia Bielefeld
1.09
Munich 1860
1.06
Wurzburger Kickers
1.00
Karlsruher SC
0.74
1. FC Heidenheim is 0.12 points better than 1. FC Nürnberg in terms of average points per game (1.35 vs 1.24).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
VfB Stuttgart
1.85
Dynamo Dresden
1.56
Union Berlin
1.50
Hannover 96
1.50
Arminia Bielefeld
1.47
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.47
1. FC Nürnberg
1.35
1. FC Heidenheim
1.26
VfL Bochum
1.24
SV Sandhausen
1.21
FC St. Pauli
1.15
Munich 1860
1.09
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.09
Erzgebirge Aue
1.09
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0.97
Wurzburger Kickers
0.94
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0.85
Karlsruher SC
0.79
1. FC Heidenheim is 0.09 goals worse than 1. FC Nürnberg in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 1.35).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hannover 96
0.94
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0.97
FC St. Pauli
1.03
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.06
SV Sandhausen
1.06
VfB Stuttgart
1.09
Union Berlin
1.15
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.15
1. FC Heidenheim
1.15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.18
Wurzburger Kickers
1.21
Dynamo Dresden
1.35
Munich 1860
1.38
VfL Bochum
1.38
Erzgebirge Aue
1.53
1. FC Nürnberg
1.53
Arminia Bielefeld
1.59
Karlsruher SC
1.65
1. FC Heidenheim is 0.38 goals better than 1. FC Nürnberg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.15 vs 1.53).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
1. FC Heidenheim
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
1. FC Nürnberg
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
1. FC Heidenheim
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (17)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (1. FC Nürnberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
1. FC Nürnberg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (15)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (1. FC Heidenheim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
VfB Stuttgart
10.8
Hannover 96
10.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
VfB Stuttgart
4.0
Hannover 96
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Hannover 96
28.8
VfB Stuttgart
28.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
1. FC Heidenheim
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.47
0.53
0.47
0.47
0.47
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.33
0.00
1.00
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (16)
0.62
0.50
0.75
0.38
0.50
0.62
vs Weaker (11)
0.36
0.45
0.33
0.50
0.40
0.40
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Nürnberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
1. FC Nürnberg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.67
0.60
0.60
0.67
0.73
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.82
0.76
0.78
0.56
0.88
1.00
vs Weaker (10)
0.50
0.50
0.40
0.80
0.60
0.20
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Heidenheim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
1. FC Heidenheim over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Heidenheim over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Heidenheim over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
1. FC Heidenheim
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.63
1.27
0.53
0.60
0.73
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
1.67
2.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (16)
0.94
0.44
1.38
0.38
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (11)
0.82
0.64
1.00
0.67
0.60
0.60
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Nürnberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
1. FC Nürnberg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.77
1.27
0.73
1.33
0.80
vs Stronger (3)
2.33
0.67
3.00
1.00
2.00
0.50
vs Similar (17)
1.12
0.71
1.33
0.33
0.88
1.12
vs Weaker (10)
1.30
0.90
0.80
1.40
1.80
0.40
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Heidenheim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
1. FC Heidenheim over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Heidenheim over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Heidenheim over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
1. FC Heidenheim · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jan Schöppner75%
Mikkel Kaufmann33%
Marvin Pieringer33%
Budu Zivzivadze25%
Marcel Costly25%
Maximilian Breunig25%
Oualid Mhamdi25%
Marnon Busch0%
Patrick Mainka0%
Mathias Honsak0%
Jonas Föhrenbach0%
Luca Kerber0%
Frank Feller0%
Paul Hennrich0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oualid Mhamdi50%
Luca Kerber33%
Patrick Mainka25%
Mathias Honsak25%
Jan Schöppner25%
Mikkel Kaufmann0%
Budu Zivzivadze0%
Marnon Busch0%
Jonas Föhrenbach0%
Marcel Costly0%
Maximilian Breunig0%
Marvin Pieringer0%
Frank Feller0%
Paul Hennrich0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mikkel Kaufmann33%
Jonas Föhrenbach33%
Marvin Pieringer33%
Luca Kerber33%
Paul Hennrich33%
Mathias Honsak25%
Marcel Costly25%
Budu Zivzivadze0%
Marnon Busch0%
Patrick Mainka0%
Jan Schöppner0%
Maximilian Breunig0%
Oualid Mhamdi0%
Frank Feller0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mikkel Kaufmann67%
Marvin Pieringer33%
Budu Zivzivadze25%
Marcel Costly25%
Maximilian Breunig25%
Marnon Busch0%
Patrick Mainka0%
Mathias Honsak0%
Jonas Föhrenbach0%
Jan Schöppner0%
Luca Kerber0%
Oualid Mhamdi0%
Frank Feller0%
Paul Hennrich0%
1. FC Nürnberg · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Ali Zoma50%
Piet Scobel50%
Julian Justvan25%
Tim Janisch25%
Adam Markhiev25%
Rayan Ghrieb0%
Finn Ole Becker0%
Jan Reichert0%
Adriano Grimaldi0%
Giannis Masouras0%
Fynn Otto0%
Alexios Kalogeropoulos0%
Rafael Lubach0%
Eric Porstner0%
Javier Fernandez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Javier Fernandez50%
Rayan Ghrieb33%
Julian Justvan25%
Mohamed Ali Zoma25%
Adam Markhiev25%
Eric Porstner25%
Finn Ole Becker0%
Jan Reichert0%
Adriano Grimaldi0%
Giannis Masouras0%
Fynn Otto0%
Alexios Kalogeropoulos0%
Rafael Lubach0%
Tim Janisch0%
Piet Scobel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Finn Ole Becker67%
Fynn Otto33%
Julian Justvan25%
Adam Markhiev25%
Eric Porstner25%
Piet Scobel25%
Rayan Ghrieb0%
Jan Reichert0%
Adriano Grimaldi0%
Giannis Masouras0%
Alexios Kalogeropoulos0%
Mohamed Ali Zoma0%
Rafael Lubach0%
Tim Janisch0%
Javier Fernandez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Piet Scobel50%
Julian Justvan25%
Mohamed Ali Zoma25%
Rayan Ghrieb0%
Finn Ole Becker0%
Jan Reichert0%
Adriano Grimaldi0%
Giannis Masouras0%
Fynn Otto0%
Alexios Kalogeropoulos0%
Rafael Lubach0%
Tim Janisch0%
Adam Markhiev0%
Eric Porstner0%
Javier Fernandez0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VS (54)
€430m
UB (29)
€123m
FSP (27)
€46m
1FN (28)
€40m
1FH (26)
€33m
H9 (26)
€33m
KS (25)
€31m
1FK (26)
€28m
EB (27)
€21m
VB (24)
€19m
DD (26)
€19m
SGF (24)
€19m
AB (23)
€18m
FD (26)
€10m
WK (27)
€4m
M1 (13)
€2m
EA (18)
€2m
1. FC Heidenheim's squad is €7m less valuable than 1. FC Nürnberg's (€33m vs €40m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VS (19)
€193m
UB (10)
€46m
KS (7)
€16m
1FH (11)
€15m
1FN (9)
€14m
1FK (9)
€12m
FSP (7)
€10m
H9 (9)
€10m
EB (8)
€7m
AB (8)
€7m
DD (8)
€6m
VB (9)
€6m
SGF (6)
€4m
FD (8)
€3m
WK (8)
€1m
EA (5)
€1m
M1 (3)
€0m
1. FC Heidenheim and 1. FC Nürnberg have a similar attack value (both €15m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VS (10)
€92m
UB (6)
€26m
FSP (8)
€15m
1FN (6)
€13m
H9 (8)
€11m
1FH (4)
€7m
SGF (8)
€5m
VB (4)
€5m
1FK (6)
€5m
EB (7)
€5m
DD (4)
€4m
KS (6)
€4m
AB (5)
€4m
FD (5)
€2m
WK (9)
€1m
M1 (4)
€1m
EA (5)
€1m
1. FC Heidenheim's midfield is €7m less valuable than 1. FC Nürnberg's (€7m vs €13m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VS (25)
€145m
UB (13)
€50m
FSP (12)
€21m
1FN (13)
€12m
1FH (11)
€12m
H9 (9)
€12m
KS (12)
€12m
1FK (11)
€11m
SGF (10)
€9m
EB (12)
€9m
DD (14)
€8m
VB (11)
€8m
AB (10)
€7m
FD (13)
€5m
WK (10)
€2m
EA (8)
€1m
M1 (6)
€1m
1. FC Heidenheim and 1. FC Nürnberg have a similar defence value (both €12m).
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2016/17 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →