The model favours a home win for 1. FC Kaiserslautern, with a 46% chance, followed by a 27% draw and a 26% away victory for SV Darmstadt 98. An average of 2.7 goals is expected, centring on a 2-goal total that carries a 25% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13% chance, reflecting the balanced scoring rates of both sides. Kaiserslautern, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.13 conceded, while Darmstadt, on the road, averages 1.33 scored and 1.73 conceded.
The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.9%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.6%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.0%), Under 6.5 (96.9%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.6%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.5%), and Under 5.5 (92.1%). Each selection carries its own probability, with edges noted where provided. Kaiserslautern’s unbeaten run of five games, including a 2-1 win over FC St. Pauli, contrasts with Darmstadt’s recent three-game losing streak, ending 0-1 against Hannover 96, setting the stage for a tightly contested match that still leans toward a home victory.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
1. FC Kaiserslautern win
47.8%
Avg Implied 42.2% · @ 2.20
Edge
+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.30
Dafabet
2.27
10Bet
2.25
Pinnacle
2.22
Betfair
2.20
Draw
27.0%
Avg Implied 26.4% · @ 3.52
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.65
Dafabet
3.65
Betfair
3.60
Betano
3.60
Pinnacle
3.59
SV Darmstadt 98 win
25.2%
Avg Implied 31.4% · @ 2.96
Edge
-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.12
Unibet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.04
1xBet
3.04
Betano
3.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.37
1.80
1.13
1.00
1.60
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (29)
1.45
1.41
1.80
1.13
1.07
1.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Darmstadt 98) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SV Darmstadt 98
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.47
1.73
1.20
1.33
1.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.53
1.47
1.73
1.20
1.33
1.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Kaiserslautern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
77.1%
@ 1.19-1.2%
Under 1.5
22.9%
@ 4.29+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Under
Unibet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Pinnacle
4.42
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51.7%
@ 1.65-4.9%
Under 2.5
48.3%
@ 2.15+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.73
Betano
1.70
Bet365
1.67
Betfair
1.65
10Bet
1.65
Under
Betano
2.22
Unibet
2.20
Betfair
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.16
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
29.5%
@ 2.62-6.3%
Under 3.5
70.5%
@ 1.46+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.77
Betano
2.67
Marathonbet
2.65
1xBet
2.65
10Bet
2.65
Under
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Unibet
1.47
Betfair
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
Both teams to score
Yes
55.3%
@ 1.53-5.1%
No
44.7%
@ 2.33+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.55
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.54
BetVictor
1.53
No
Betfair
2.45
Bet365
2.38
Betano
2.35
Unibet
2.33
1xBet
2.32
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%@ 6.68+6.2%
2-1
9.5%@ 8.35+4.1%
1-0
9.3%@ 9.30+4.4%
2-0
8.5%@ 11.80+4.6%
0-0
7.6%@ 12.74+4.1%
1-2
6.6%@ 9.74+2.0%
0-1
6.1%@ 10.86+1.9%
2-2
5.3%@ 11.03+1.3%
1. FC Kaiserslautern goals ↓
SV Darmstadt 98 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.6%
6.1%
4.1%
1.5%
0.4%
1
9.3%
13%
6.6%
2.5%
0.7%
2
8.5%
9.5%
5.3%
2.0%
0.6%
3
4.6%
5.1%
2.9%
1.1%
0.3%
4
1.8%
2.1%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = 1. FC Kaiserslautern goals (down), columns = SV Darmstadt 98 goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
VfL Wolfsburg
2.14
Hannover 96
1.76
1. FC Heidenheim
1.64
FC St. Pauli
1.58
SV Darmstadt 98
1.53
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.53
Hertha BSC
1.50
1. FC Nürnberg
1.35
VfL Bochum
1.29
Karlsruher SC
1.29
Holstein Kiel
1.21
Dynamo Dresden
1.21
Arminia Bielefeld
1.15
1. FC Magdeburg
1.15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.11
Energie Cottbus
1.09
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.09
VfL Osnabrück
1.07
1. FC Kaiserslautern and SV Darmstadt 98 are level in average points per game (both 1.53).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
VfL Wolfsburg
2.18
Hannover 96
1.76
SV Darmstadt 98
1.68
1. FC Heidenheim
1.67
FC St. Pauli
1.62
Dynamo Dresden
1.59
Arminia Bielefeld
1.56
Karlsruher SC
1.56
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.53
1. FC Magdeburg
1.53
VfL Bochum
1.44
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.42
Hertha BSC
1.38
1. FC Nürnberg
1.38
Holstein Kiel
1.29
Energie Cottbus
1.12
VfL Osnabrück
1.09
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.06
1. FC Kaiserslautern is 0.15 goals worse than SV Darmstadt 98 in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.68).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
VfL Wolfsburg
0.93
1. FC Heidenheim
1.21
FC St. Pauli
1.26
Hannover 96
1.29
Hertha BSC
1.29
SV Darmstadt 98
1.32
1. FC Nürnberg
1.32
VfL Bochum
1.38
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.38
Holstein Kiel
1.41
Arminia Bielefeld
1.50
Dynamo Dresden
1.56
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.59
1. FC Magdeburg
1.71
Energie Cottbus
1.82
VfL Osnabrück
1.87
Karlsruher SC
1.88
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.92
1. FC Kaiserslautern is 0.06 goals worse than SV Darmstadt 98 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.38 vs 1.32).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hannover 96
56%
1. FC Magdeburg
54%
Arminia Bielefeld
52%
Holstein Kiel
52%
SV Darmstadt 98
51%
Dynamo Dresden
50%
1. FC Nürnberg
49%
Hertha BSC
49%
Karlsruher SC
48%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
48%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
48%
VfL Bochum
46%
Eintracht Braunschweig
44%
1. FC Kaiserslautern is 3.9 percentage points worse than SV Darmstadt 98 in terms of average possession (48% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
1. FC Kaiserslautern
For 4.5 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 11.4 · Total 23.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SV Darmstadt 98
For 4.4 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 12.2 · Total 23.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.5
10.0
5.0
5.6
4.5
25.4
25.8
25.0
vs Stronger (2)
12.5
-
12.5
1.5
-
1.5
22.5
-
22.5
vs Similar (46)
10.0
10.2
9.8
5.2
5.6
4.8
25.5
25.8
25.2
vs Weaker (2)
14.0
14.0
-
5.0
5.0
-
26.0
26.0
-
% over line
66%
68%
64%
74%
88%
60%
80%
84%
76%
% under line
34%
32%
36%
26%
12%
40%
20%
16%
24%
This opponent (SV Darmstadt 98) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SV Darmstadt 98
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.8
10.3
3.9
3.7
4.2
23.6
24.2
23.0
vs Stronger (1)
9.0
9.0
-
6.0
6.0
-
30.0
30.0
-
vs Similar (45)
10.5
10.6
10.4
3.9
3.7
4.0
23.5
24.1
22.9
vs Weaker (4)
11.0
13.0
9.0
4.0
2.0
6.0
24.0
23.0
25.0
% over line
56%
56%
56%
60%
52%
68%
70%
76%
64%
% under line
44%
44%
44%
40%
48%
32%
30%
24%
36%
This opponent (1. FC Kaiserslautern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Energie Cottbus
13.7
VfL Wolfsburg
11.7
VfL Osnabrück
10.9
Dynamo Dresden
10.7
VfL Bochum
10.5
Hannover 96
10.5
SV Darmstadt 98
10.5
Hertha BSC
10.4
1. FC Kaiserslautern
10.3
Eintracht Braunschweig
10.2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
10.2
Holstein Kiel
10.1
1. FC Magdeburg
10.0
Arminia Bielefeld
9.9
FC St. Pauli
9.6
1. FC Nürnberg
9.6
Karlsruher SC
9.4
1. FC Heidenheim
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Holstein Kiel
5.4
Eintracht Braunschweig
5.1
1. FC Kaiserslautern
5.0
1. FC Nürnberg
4.9
VfL Bochum
4.9
Hannover 96
4.8
Hertha BSC
4.8
1. FC Magdeburg
4.7
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4.6
VfL Osnabrück
4.6
Karlsruher SC
4.6
Dynamo Dresden
4.2
Arminia Bielefeld
4.2
SV Darmstadt 98
4.0
FC St. Pauli
3.7
1. FC Heidenheim
3.7
VfL Wolfsburg
3.6
Energie Cottbus
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Holstein Kiel
26.5
Energie Cottbus
26.3
Hannover 96
26.2
Arminia Bielefeld
25.6
1. FC Kaiserslautern
25.4
VfL Osnabrück
25.2
1. FC Nürnberg
24.9
Eintracht Braunschweig
24.4
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
24.3
Hertha BSC
24.1
1. FC Magdeburg
23.7
SV Darmstadt 98
23.6
Karlsruher SC
23.2
Dynamo Dresden
23.1
VfL Bochum
23.0
VfL Wolfsburg
20.7
1. FC Heidenheim
20.5
FC St. Pauli
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
59.1%
@ 1.40-6.2%
Under 9.5
40.9%
@ 2.65+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.46
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Betano
1.36
Under
Betano
2.95
Marathonbet
2.63
1xBet
2.52
Unibet
2.48
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
68.5%
Under 3.5
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
69.8%
Under 21.5
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
1. FC Kaiserslautern or Draw
76.4%
Avg Implied 68.5% · @ 1.37
Edge
+7.9%
48%
27%
25%
covers 1. FC Kaiserslautern + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.42
Betfair
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
William Hil
1.36
1. FC Kaiserslautern or SV Darmstadt 98
74.6%
Avg Implied 74.1% · @ 1.26
Edge
+0.5%
48%
27%
25%
covers 1. FC Kaiserslautern + SV Darmstadt 98
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Draw or SV Darmstadt 98
49.1%
Avg Implied 57.5% · @ 1.63
Edge
-8.4%
48%
27%
25%
covers Draw + SV Darmstadt 98
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.64
Unibet
1.62
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
1. FC Kaiserslautern over/under 0.5
Over
83.3%
@ 1.18+4.4%
Under
16.7%
@ 4.39-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Under
Pinnacle
4.64
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
BetVictor
4.40
1xBet
4.40
1. FC Kaiserslautern over/under 1.5
Over
53.3%
@ 1.93+5.1%
Under
46.7%
@ 1.80-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.02
Betfair
2.00
Betano
1.95
10Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Under
Bet365
1.83
Unibet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.81
1. FC Kaiserslautern over/under 2.5
Over
26.6%
@ 3.92+2.9%
Under
73.4%
@ 1.22-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.21
BetVictor
4.10
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.94
Under
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
Marathonbet
1.21
Unibet
1.21
1. FC Kaiserslautern over/under 3.5
Over
10.7%
@ 8.98+0.3%
Under
89.3%
@ 1.04-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.50
Marathonbet
8.90
1xBet
8.90
Betano
7.60
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 0.5
Over
68.7%
@ 1.26-4.8%
Under
31.3%
@ 3.49+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.30
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Under
Bet365
3.75
Pinnacle
3.57
Betfair
3.50
BetVictor
3.50
10Bet
3.50
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 1.5
Over
32.3%
@ 2.32-8.0%
Under
67.7%
@ 1.56+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.52
BetVictor
2.38
Marathonbet
2.36
1xBet
2.36
Betano
2.27
Under
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.60
Betfair
1.57
10Bet
1.57
1xBet
1.55
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 2.5
Over
11.2%
@ 5.29-6.3%
Under
88.8%
@ 1.13+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
6.00
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
1xBet
5.45
Marathonbet
5.45
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 3.5
Over
3.0%
@ 11.12-5.5%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.03+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Marathonbet
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to 1. FC Kaiserslautern, so a minus line means 1. FC Kaiserslautern give that many goals of a start and SV Darmstadt 98 receive them. At -1, 1. FC Kaiserslautern must win by two or more to land; a one-goal 1. FC Kaiserslautern win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (1. FC Kaiserslautern)
1. FC Kaiserslautern -2
13.0%
@ 8.62+2.6%
Draw -2
15.9%
@ 6.19+1.4%
SV Darmstadt 98 +2
71.1%
@ 1.20-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
9.00
10Bet
8.50
Marathonbet
8.10
Unibet
7.50
Draw
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.35
10Bet
6.00
Unibet
5.60
Away
Unibet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Handicap -1 (1. FC Kaiserslautern)
1. FC Kaiserslautern -1
28.9%
@ 3.95+6.3%
Draw -1
22.0%
@ 4.03-0.2%
SV Darmstadt 98 +1
49.1%
@ 1.62-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.90
Unibet
3.65
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.05
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Unibet
3.80
Away
Unibet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.64
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Betfair
1.57
Handicap +1 (1. FC Kaiserslautern)
1. FC Kaiserslautern +1
76.4%
@ 1.36+10.8%
Draw +1
13.9%
@ 4.68-5.2%
SV Darmstadt 98 -1
9.7%
@ 5.83-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Unibet
1.34
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
Unibet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Away
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.90
Unibet
5.75
10Bet
5.50
Handicap +2 (1. FC Kaiserslautern)
1. FC Kaiserslautern +2
90.3%
@ 1.10+6.9%
Draw +2
6.7%
@ 8.75-3.8%
SV Darmstadt 98 -2
3.0%
@ 15.00-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.08
Draw
Betfair
9.00
Bet365
8.50
Away
Betfair
15.00
Bet365
15.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.60
0.87
0.53
0.40
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (29)
0.66
0.62
0.87
0.53
0.43
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Darmstadt 98) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SV Darmstadt 98
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.87
0.73
0.80
0.60
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.67
0.87
0.73
0.80
0.60
0.93
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Kaiserslautern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
70.6%
@ 1.30-0.9%
Under 0.5
29.4%
@ 3.26+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Betfair
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Under
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.30
10Bet
3.30
William Hil
3.30
Betano
3.15
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
35.9%
@ 2.40-2.8%
Under 1.5
64.1%
@ 1.52+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.56
Betano
2.55
Marathonbet
2.44
1xBet
2.44
Betfair
2.40
Under
10Bet
1.55
Unibet
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.52
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
12.2%
@ 5.63-4.2%
Under 2.5
87.8%
@ 1.11+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
5.60
1xBet
5.60
Betano
5.60
Bet365
5.50
Under
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.12
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
1. FC Kaiserslautern over/under 0.5 HT
Over
51.6%
@ 1.81+0.2%
Under
48.4%
@ 1.91-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Pinnacle
1.86
Marathonbet
1.82
1xBet
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.97
Unibet
1.96
1xBet
1.91
10Bet
1.91
Betano
1.87
1. FC Kaiserslautern over/under 1.5 HT
Over
17.1%
@ 5.21-0.8%
Under
82.9%
@ 1.13+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.35
Betano
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
1. FC Kaiserslautern over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.5%
@ 12.88-3.9%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.02+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
39.4%
@ 2.06-5.8%
Under
60.6%
@ 1.70+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.18
1xBet
2.10
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.05
Unibet
2.00
Under
10Bet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.71
Betano
1.70
Unibet
1.68
1xBet
1.67
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.3%
@ 6.21-2.6%
Under
87.7%
@ 1.09+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.85
Betano
6.00
10Bet
6.00
1xBet
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.06
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.3%
@ 16.50-4.5%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.01+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.77
0.93
0.60
0.60
0.93
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (29)
0.79
0.79
0.93
0.60
0.64
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Darmstadt 98) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SV Darmstadt 98
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.60
1.00
0.40
0.73
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.87
0.60
1.00
0.40
0.73
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Kaiserslautern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
79.8%
@ 1.17+0.4%
Under 0.5
20.2%
@ 4.53-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
Under
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.55
1xBet
4.45
Marathonbet
4.45
William Hil
4.20
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
46.2%
@ 1.84-4.4%
Under 1.5
53.8%
@ 1.88+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
William Hil
1.85
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.80
Under
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.91
Unibet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.87
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.6%
@ 3.62-5.9%
Under 2.5
80.4%
@ 1.25+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.80
Marathonbet
3.66
1xBet
3.66
Bet365
3.50
Betano
3.50
Under
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
1. FC Kaiserslautern over/under 0.5 2H
Over
60.0%
@ 1.58+1.2%
Under
40.0%
@ 2.25-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.59
10Bet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Under
Betano
2.30
10Bet
2.25
1xBet
2.20
1. FC Kaiserslautern over/under 1.5 2H
Over
22.1%
@ 3.72-2.7%
Under
77.9%
@ 1.23+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.80
10Bet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.74
Betano
3.55
Under
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
1. FC Kaiserslautern over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.2%
@ 9.25-4.8%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.03+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
1xBet
9.50
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
48.6%
@ 1.73-5.1%
Under
51.4%
@ 2.00+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.74
10Bet
1.70
Betano
1.70
Under
Betano
2.07
10Bet
2.05
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
12.2%
@ 4.59-8.0%
Under
87.8%
@ 1.16+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.80
1xBet
4.80
10Bet
4.50
Betano
4.25
Under
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.7%
@ 11.38-5.6%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.02+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.9%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.5%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.6%
Away under 3.5 goals
97.0%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
-
-
+5.5%
Under 6.5
96.9%
1.01
Betano
1.03
Betfair
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
+2.2%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+3.9%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.8%
1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+4.8%
Under 5.5
92.1%
1.04
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
BetVictor
1.03
+2.7%
Home +2 handicap
90.3%
1.10
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.08
-
-
-
+6.9%
Home under 3.5 goals
89.3%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-0.3%
Away under 2.5 goals
88.8%
1.13
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
+6.3%
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.8%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.12
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.08
+4.2%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.8%
1.16
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
-
+8.0%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
87.7%
1.09
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.06
-
+2.6%
Over 2.5 cards
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
83.3%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
+4.4%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.9%
1.13
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
-
+0.8%
Over 19.5 fouls
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
82.4%
1.16
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Pinnacle
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
+1.9%
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.4%
1.25
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
+5.9%
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.8%
1.17
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
+0.4%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
77.9%
1.23
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
-
+2.7%
Over 1.5
77.1%
1.19
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
-1.2%
Home or Draw
76.4%
1.37
Betano
1.42
Betfair
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
William Hil
1.36
+7.9%
Home +1 handicap
76.4%
1.36
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Unibet
1.34
+10.8%
Home or Away
74.6%
1.26
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.27
+0.5%
Home under 2.5 goals
73.4%
1.22
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
Marathonbet
1.21
Unibet
1.21
-2.9%
Away +2 handicap
71.1%
1.20
Unibet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
-4.0%
Over 8.5 corners
71.0%
1.22
Unibet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
Betano
1.20
-
-3.4%
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.6%
1.30
Betano
1.36
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Betfair
1.29
William Hil
1.29
-0.9%
Under 3.5
70.5%
1.46
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Unibet
1.47
Betfair
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
+6.3%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Thierry Fidjeu-Tazemeta33%
Erencan Yardımcı25%
Ibrahim Kanate25%
Julian Krahl0%
Mergim Berisha0%
Marlon Ritter0%
Fabian Kunze0%
Jacob Rasmussen0%
Jan Elvedi0%
Maxwell Gyamfi0%
Semih Şahin0%
Paul Joly0%
Mika Haas0%
Leon Robinson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ibrahim Kanate75%
Marlon Ritter50%
Maxwell Gyamfi50%
Fabian Kunze25%
Jacob Rasmussen25%
Erencan Yardımcı25%
Semih Şahin25%
Mika Haas25%
Julian Krahl0%
Mergim Berisha0%
Jan Elvedi0%
Paul Joly0%
Leon Robinson0%
Thierry Fidjeu-Tazemeta0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Semih Şahin25%
Julian Krahl0%
Mergim Berisha0%
Marlon Ritter0%
Fabian Kunze0%
Jacob Rasmussen0%
Jan Elvedi0%
Maxwell Gyamfi0%
Erencan Yardımcı0%
Paul Joly0%
Ibrahim Kanate0%
Mika Haas0%
Leon Robinson0%
Thierry Fidjeu-Tazemeta0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marlon Ritter50%
Ibrahim Kanate25%
Julian Krahl0%
Mergim Berisha0%
Fabian Kunze0%
Jacob Rasmussen0%
Jan Elvedi0%
Maxwell Gyamfi0%
Erencan Yardımcı0%
Semih Şahin0%
Paul Joly0%
Mika Haas0%
Leon Robinson0%
Thierry Fidjeu-Tazemeta0%
SV Darmstadt 98
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Milan Smit33%
Aleksandar Vukotić25%
Lance Duijvestijn25%
Lee Ho-jae25%
Marcel Schuhen0%
Carlo Sickinger0%
Kai Klefisch0%
Raoul Petretta0%
Patric Pfeiffer0%
Christopher Lannert0%
Noah Weißhaupt0%
Florian Kleinhansl0%
Yosuke Furukawa0%
Nicolas Verkooijen0%
Manolo Merx0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marcel Schuhen50%
Kai Klefisch33%
Noah Weißhaupt25%
Yosuke Furukawa25%
Aleksandar Vukotić0%
Carlo Sickinger0%
Raoul Petretta0%
Lance Duijvestijn0%
Patric Pfeiffer0%
Christopher Lannert0%
Florian Kleinhansl0%
Lee Ho-jae0%
Milan Smit0%
Nicolas Verkooijen0%
Manolo Merx0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lance Duijvestijn50%
Kai Klefisch33%
Milan Smit33%
Aleksandar Vukotić0%
Marcel Schuhen0%
Carlo Sickinger0%
Raoul Petretta0%
Patric Pfeiffer0%
Christopher Lannert0%
Noah Weißhaupt0%
Florian Kleinhansl0%
Lee Ho-jae0%
Yosuke Furukawa0%
Nicolas Verkooijen0%
Manolo Merx0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aleksandar Vukotić0%
Marcel Schuhen0%
Carlo Sickinger0%
Kai Klefisch0%
Raoul Petretta0%
Lance Duijvestijn0%
Patric Pfeiffer0%
Christopher Lannert0%
Noah Weißhaupt0%
Florian Kleinhansl0%
Lee Ho-jae0%
Yosuke Furukawa0%
Milan Smit0%
Nicolas Verkooijen0%
Manolo Merx0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (33)
€154m
FSP (27)
€46m
1FN (28)
€40m
HK (32)
€34m
1FH (26)
€33m
H9 (26)
€33m
KS (25)
€31m
1FK (26)
€28m
HB (24)
€25m
SD9 (28)
€24m
1FM (26)
€21m
EB (27)
€21m
VB (24)
€19m
DD (26)
€19m
SGF (24)
€19m
AB (23)
€18m
EC (26)
€11m
VO (25)
€10m
1. FC Kaiserslautern's squad is €4m more valuable than SV Darmstadt 98's (€28m vs €24m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (10)
€56m
KS (7)
€16m
1FH (11)
€15m
1FN (9)
€14m
HK (12)
€12m
1FK (9)
€12m
1FM (9)
€10m
FSP (7)
€10m
H9 (9)
€10m
SD9 (11)
€9m
HB (8)
€8m
EB (8)
€7m
AB (8)
€7m
DD (8)
€6m
VB (9)
€6m
VO (9)
€5m
EC (10)
€4m
SGF (6)
€4m
1. FC Kaiserslautern's attack is €2m more valuable than SV Darmstadt 98's (€12m vs €9m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (8)
€32m
FSP (8)
€15m
1FN (6)
€13m
H9 (8)
€11m
HK (5)
€7m
1FH (4)
€7m
SD9 (4)
€6m
SGF (8)
€5m
VB (4)
€5m
1FK (6)
€5m
EB (7)
€5m
DD (4)
€4m
KS (6)
€4m
1FM (4)
€4m
AB (5)
€4m
HB (6)
€3m
VO (7)
€3m
EC (4)
€2m
1. FC Kaiserslautern and SV Darmstadt 98 have a similar midfield value (both €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (15)
€66m
FSP (12)
€21m
HK (15)
€16m
HB (10)
€13m
1FN (13)
€12m
1FH (11)
€12m
H9 (9)
€12m
KS (12)
€12m
1FK (11)
€11m
SGF (10)
€9m
EB (12)
€9m
SD9 (13)
€8m
DD (14)
€8m
VB (11)
€8m
AB (10)
€7m
1FM (13)
€7m
EC (12)
€5m
VO (9)
€3m
1. FC Kaiserslautern's defence is €2m more valuable than SV Darmstadt 98's (€11m vs €8m).
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
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1. FC Nürnberg
Hertha BSC
VfL Wolfsburg
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Magdeburg
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Karlsruher SC
Eintracht Braunschweig
Arminia Bielefeld
VfL Bochum
Energie Cottbus
Hannover 96
VfL Osnabrück
Dynamo Dresden
FC St. Pauli
Holstein Kiel