This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
2.10
0.75
1.06
0.50
3.29
vs Stronger (24)
0.67
2.17
0.77
1.00
0.55
3.55
vs Similar (6)
0.50
1.83
0.67
1.33
0.33
2.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Köln) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.0%
Under 1.5
12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
69.9%
@ 1.46+5.9%
Under 2.5
30.1%
@ 2.59-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.6%
Under 3.5
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
42.3%
No
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
3-0
12.6%
2-0
12.5%
4-0
9.5%
1-0
7.8%
3-1
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
5-0
5.8%
4-1
5.5%
1. FC Köln goals ↓
Regensburg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.2%
1.1%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
1
7.8%
5.3%
1.4%
0.3%
0.0%
2
12%
7.2%
2.1%
0.4%
0.1%
3
13%
7.3%
2.1%
0.4%
0.1%
4
9.5%
5.5%
1.6%
0.3%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = 1. FC Köln goals (down), columns = Regensburg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
1. FC Köln
1.87
Hamburger SV
1.76
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.71
Hannover 96
1.66
SC Paderborn 07
1.66
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.66
SV Elversberg
1.63
1. FC Magdeburg
1.58
Karlsruher SC
1.58
FC Saarbrücken
1.50
1. FC Nürnberg
1.50
Hertha BSC
1.34
SV Darmstadt 98
1.21
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.21
FC Schalke 04
1.18
Preußen Münster
1.16
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.02
Ulm
0.88
SSV Ulm 1846
0.88
Jahn Regensburg
0.74
Regensburg
0.74
1. FC Köln is 1.13 points better than Regensburg in terms of average points per game (1.87 vs 0.74).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hamburger SV
2.39
1. FC Nürnberg
1.92
SV Elversberg
1.87
1. FC Magdeburg
1.79
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.74
Karlsruher SC
1.68
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.66
SV Darmstadt 98
1.63
SC Paderborn 07
1.61
1. FC Köln
1.53
Hertha BSC
1.47
FC Schalke 04
1.47
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.37
Hannover 96
1.29
Preußen Münster
1.24
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.07
Ulm
1.06
SSV Ulm 1846
1.06
FC Saarbrücken
1.00
Jahn Regensburg
0.68
Regensburg
0.68
1. FC Köln is 0.85 goals better than Regensburg in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 0.68).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Saarbrücken
1.00
Hannover 96
1.03
1. FC Köln
1.03
SV Elversberg
1.08
Preußen Münster
1.18
SC Paderborn 07
1.21
Hamburger SV
1.24
1. FC Magdeburg
1.39
Ulm
1.41
SSV Ulm 1846
1.41
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.45
Hertha BSC
1.50
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.50
Karlsruher SC
1.55
SV Darmstadt 98
1.61
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.63
1. FC Nürnberg
1.66
FC Schalke 04
1.71
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.77
Jahn Regensburg
2.09
Regensburg
2.09
1. FC Köln is 1.06 goals better than Regensburg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 2.09).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
1. FC Magdeburg
58%
Hamburger SV
55%
FC Schalke 04
54%
Hertha BSC
53%
FC Saarbrücken
53%
1. FC Köln
53%
SV Elversberg
52%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
52%
SC Paderborn 07
52%
SV Darmstadt 98
52%
1. FC Nürnberg
51%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
50%
Hannover 96
49%
Karlsruher SC
49%
SSV Ulm 1846
46%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
46%
Eintracht Braunschweig
45%
Preußen Münster
43%
Jahn Regensburg
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
1. FC Köln
For 5.6 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 12.2 · Total 25.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
R
Regensburg
For 5.0 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.2 · Against 13.1 · Total 29.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
1. FC Köln
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.1
10.7
11.6
4.9
4.8
5.0
23.6
22.7
24.4
vs Stronger (4)
10.5
9.5
11.5
3.2
4.5
2.0
21.5
21.5
21.5
vs Similar (34)
11.2
10.2
12.1
5.4
4.9
5.9
24.3
23.1
25.4
vs Weaker (12)
11.2
12.6
10.3
4.2
4.6
3.9
22.4
21.8
22.9
% over line
66%
58%
73%
74%
71%
77%
60%
58%
62%
% under line
34%
42%
27%
26%
29%
23%
40%
42%
38%
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
11.0
8.8
4.8
4.7
4.8
26.1
27.9
24.2
vs Stronger (39)
9.9
11.4
8.4
4.8
4.9
4.7
25.4
27.1
23.6
vs Similar (11)
9.5
9.0
10.0
4.6
4.0
5.2
28.4
30.8
26.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
48%
64%
32%
74%
76%
72%
80%
88%
72%
% under line
52%
36%
68%
26%
24%
28%
20%
12%
28%
This opponent (1. FC Köln) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
1. FC Köln
11.1
1. FC Magdeburg
11.0
Hertha BSC
11.0
1. FC Kaiserslautern
10.9
1. FC Nürnberg
10.8
Hannover 96
10.7
SC Paderborn 07
10.7
Hamburger SV
10.7
SV Elversberg
10.7
Jahn Regensburg
10.4
Fortuna Düsseldorf
10.3
Karlsruher SC
10.2
Eintracht Braunschweig
10.0
Regensburg
9.9
Preußen Münster
9.9
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
9.6
SSV Ulm 1846
9.6
Ulm
9.6
SV Darmstadt 98
9.6
FC Schalke 04
9.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SSV Ulm 1846
6.0
Ulm
5.4
Hamburger SV
5.3
1. FC Nürnberg
5.2
Preußen Münster
5.2
SV Darmstadt 98
5.1
1. FC Kaiserslautern
5.1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
5.0
Eintracht Braunschweig
5.0
FC Schalke 04
5.0
Jahn Regensburg
5.0
1. FC Köln
4.9
1. FC Magdeburg
4.9
Regensburg
4.8
Hertha BSC
4.7
Karlsruher SC
4.6
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4.6
SC Paderborn 07
4.6
Hannover 96
4.5
SV Elversberg
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Jahn Regensburg
26.5
Regensburg
26.1
Preußen Münster
25.9
1. FC Kaiserslautern
25.7
Hannover 96
25.4
SSV Ulm 1846
25.3
Ulm
25.3
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
24.1
1. FC Köln
23.6
1. FC Nürnberg
23.6
Eintracht Braunschweig
23.5
Hamburger SV
23.3
1. FC Magdeburg
23.2
SV Darmstadt 98
22.8
SC Paderborn 07
22.7
Hertha BSC
22.6
SV Elversberg
22.1
Karlsruher SC
22.1
FC Schalke 04
21.1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.4%
Under 9.5
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
71.6%
Under 3.5
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
72.8%
Under 21.5
27.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
1. FC Köln
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.37
0.93
0.36
0.62
0.38
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.74
0.42
0.90
0.40
0.56
0.44
vs Weaker (11)
0.82
0.27
1.00
0.25
0.71
0.29
Clean sheet %
70% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.90
0.38
0.50
0.29
1.36
vs Stronger (24)
0.33
0.88
0.31
0.46
0.36
1.36
vs Similar (6)
0.33
1.00
0.67
0.67
0.00
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Köln) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
1. FC Köln over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Köln over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Köln over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
1. FC Köln
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.67
0.79
0.71
0.31
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.47
1.05
0.70
1.00
0.22
1.11
vs Weaker (11)
0.64
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.43
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
1.20
0.38
0.56
0.21
1.93
vs Stronger (24)
0.33
1.29
0.46
0.54
0.18
2.18
vs Similar (6)
0.17
0.83
0.00
0.67
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Köln) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
1. FC Köln over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Köln over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Köln over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home win
85.2%
1.28
-
-
-
-
-
+12.0%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
1. FC Köln
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tim Lemperle39%
Damion Downs31%
Luca Waldschmidt27%
Linton Maina16%
Florian Kainz14%
Dejan Ljubičić13%
Imad Rondić10%
Timo Hübers9%
Eric Martel9%
Denis Huseinbašić9%
Mark Uth8%
Jan Thielmann6%
Julian Pauli5%
Mathias Olesen5%
Jusuf Gazibegović0%
Marvin Schwäbe0%
Rasmus Carstensen0%
Sargis Adamyan0%
Leart Paqarada0%
Dominique Heintz0%
Steffen Tigges0%
Joel Schmied0%
Florian Dietz0%
Marvin Obuz0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Elias Bakatukanda0%
Max Finkgrafe0%
Neo Telle0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rasmus Carstensen50%
Elias Bakatukanda33%
Dominique Heintz28%
Jan Thielmann26%
Max Finkgrafe25%
Timo Hübers24%
Dejan Ljubičić23%
Tim Lemperle21%
Leart Paqarada20%
Jusuf Gazibegović17%
Joel Schmied15%
Julian Pauli15%
Sargis Adamyan14%
Denis Huseinbašić14%
Linton Maina13%
Luca Waldschmidt12%
Eric Martel12%
Marvin Schwäbe11%
Florian Kainz11%
Mark Uth8%
Damion Downs6%
Mathias Olesen5%
Steffen Tigges0%
Imad Rondić0%
Florian Dietz0%
Marvin Obuz0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Neo Telle0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Linton Maina39%
Tim Lemperle18%
Leart Paqarada17%
Damion Downs12%
Jan Thielmann12%
Dejan Ljubičić10%
Dominique Heintz9%
Luca Waldschmidt9%
Florian Kainz7%
Mathias Olesen5%
Denis Huseinbašić3%
Mark Uth0%
Jusuf Gazibegović0%
Marvin Schwäbe0%
Rasmus Carstensen0%
Sargis Adamyan0%
Steffen Tigges0%
Joel Schmied0%
Imad Rondić0%
Timo Hübers0%
Florian Dietz0%
Eric Martel0%
Marvin Obuz0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Elias Bakatukanda0%
Max Finkgrafe0%
Neo Telle0%
Julian Pauli0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tim Lemperle36%
Damion Downs22%
Luca Waldschmidt18%
Steffen Tigges11%
Dejan Ljubičić10%
Imad Rondić10%
Linton Maina10%
Jusuf Gazibegović8%
Florian Kainz7%
Eric Martel6%
Timo Hübers3%
Jan Thielmann3%
Leart Paqarada3%
Mark Uth0%
Marvin Schwäbe0%
Rasmus Carstensen0%
Sargis Adamyan0%
Dominique Heintz0%
Joel Schmied0%
Florian Dietz0%
Mathias Olesen0%
Denis Huseinbašić0%
Marvin Obuz0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Elias Bakatukanda0%
Max Finkgrafe0%
Neo Telle0%
Julian Pauli0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
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1. FC Köln
Hamburger SV
Fortuna Düsseldorf
SC Paderborn 07
Hannover 96
1. FC Kaiserslautern
SV Elversberg
1. FC Magdeburg
Karlsruher SC
1. FC Nürnberg
Hertha BSC
SV Darmstadt 98
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
FC Schalke 04
Preußen Münster
Eintracht Braunschweig
SSV Ulm 1846
Jahn Regensburg
FC Saarbrücken