This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.67
1.07
1.60
0.80
1.73
vs Stronger (23)
0.70
1.96
0.92
1.69
0.40
2.30
vs Similar (7)
1.71
0.71
2.00
1.00
1.60
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Magdeburg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
73.4%
Under 1.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.7%
@ 1.60-12.5%
Under 2.5
53.3%
@ 2.32+12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.1%
Under 3.5
74.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.7%
No
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0 ✓
9.5%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.9%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
0-2
5.4%
1. FC Magdeburg goals ↓
Regensburg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.1%
7.9%
5.4%
2.1%
0.6%
1
9.5%
14%
7.4%
2.9%
0.8%
2
7.4%
8.7%
5.1%
2.0%
0.6%
3
3.4%
4.0%
2.3%
0.9%
0.3%
4
1.2%
1.4%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = 1. FC Magdeburg goals (down), columns = Regensburg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
SV Wehen
3.00
1. FC Heidenheim
2.03
Hamburger SV
2.00
SV Darmstadt 98
1.94
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.78
FC St. Pauli
1.69
SC Paderborn 07
1.61
Karlsruher SC
1.44
Hannover 96
1.33
1. FC Magdeburg
1.31
Hansa Rostock
1.31
Holstein Kiel
1.31
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.28
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.25
1. FC Nürnberg
1.19
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.03
Arminia Bielefeld
0.97
Jahn Regensburg
0.91
Regensburg
0.91
SV Sandhausen
0.86
1. FC Magdeburg is 0.39 points better than Regensburg in terms of average points per game (1.31 vs 0.91).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
SV Wehen
3.00
Hamburger SV
2.17
1. FC Heidenheim
2.08
SC Paderborn 07
1.97
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.81
Karlsruher SC
1.75
Holstein Kiel
1.64
FC St. Pauli
1.56
Hannover 96
1.44
SV Darmstadt 98
1.44
Arminia Bielefeld
1.42
1. FC Magdeburg
1.42
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.42
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.31
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.22
SV Sandhausen
1.06
Hansa Rostock
1.03
Jahn Regensburg
1.00
Regensburg
1.00
1. FC Nürnberg
0.92
1. FC Magdeburg is 0.42 goals better than Regensburg in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SV Wehen
0.50
SV Darmstadt 98
0.97
FC St. Pauli
1.14
1. FC Heidenheim
1.17
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.19
SC Paderborn 07
1.25
Hamburger SV
1.31
Hansa Rostock
1.33
1. FC Nürnberg
1.36
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.42
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.47
Karlsruher SC
1.47
Hannover 96
1.56
1. FC Magdeburg
1.58
Jahn Regensburg
1.71
Regensburg
1.71
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.72
Holstein Kiel
1.75
SV Sandhausen
1.83
Arminia Bielefeld
1.89
1. FC Magdeburg is 0.12 goals better than Regensburg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.58 vs 1.71).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
1. FC Magdeburg
For 7.1 · Against 3.6 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 13.5 · Total 25.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
R
Regensburg
For 3.4 · Against 5.5 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.2 · Against 12.9 · Total 28.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
1. FC Magdeburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (43)
8.9
9.1
8.8
3.8
4.1
3.5
26.0
26.2
25.8
vs Stronger (4)
8.5
8.5
8.5
5.2
6.0
4.5
28.5
24.5
32.5
vs Similar (29)
9.1
9.8
8.3
3.4
3.4
3.5
25.0
24.9
25.1
vs Weaker (10)
8.8
7.8
9.8
4.2
5.4
3.0
27.0
29.4
24.6
% over line
38%
41%
35%
60%
71%
50%
79%
76%
82%
% under line
62%
59%
65%
40%
29%
50%
21%
24%
18%
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.2
8.9
4.2
4.6
3.8
27.2
27.4
27.0
vs Stronger (38)
9.1
9.1
9.1
4.3
4.5
4.2
26.9
27.4
26.4
vs Similar (12)
9.1
9.8
8.6
3.9
5.4
2.9
27.9
27.4
28.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
44%
44%
44%
70%
72%
68%
84%
84%
84%
% under line
56%
56%
56%
30%
28%
32%
16%
16%
16%
This opponent (1. FC Magdeburg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
1. FC Heidenheim
11.2
Hamburger SV
11.1
1. FC Nürnberg
10.7
Hannover 96
10.4
SV Sandhausen
10.4
Fortuna Düsseldorf
10.3
Holstein Kiel
9.9
SC Paderborn 07
9.9
Eintracht Braunschweig
9.8
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
9.7
1. FC Kaiserslautern
9.7
Arminia Bielefeld
9.5
Hansa Rostock
9.4
Karlsruher SC
9.4
SV Darmstadt 98
9.2
FC St. Pauli
9.2
Regensburg
9.1
1. FC Magdeburg
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
1. FC Magdeburg
4.8
SV Darmstadt 98
4.7
Eintracht Braunschweig
4.4
SV Sandhausen
4.4
Hansa Rostock
4.4
Hamburger SV
4.3
SC Paderborn 07
4.3
Regensburg
4.2
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4.1
1. FC Nürnberg
4.0
Karlsruher SC
3.9
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3.9
Holstein Kiel
3.9
Hannover 96
3.9
FC St. Pauli
3.8
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
3.6
1. FC Heidenheim
3.5
Arminia Bielefeld
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
1. FC Kaiserslautern
28.3
Regensburg
27.2
Eintracht Braunschweig
27.1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
26.1
1. FC Magdeburg
26.0
SV Darmstadt 98
24.8
Hansa Rostock
24.2
Fortuna Düsseldorf
23.5
Hannover 96
23.5
SV Sandhausen
23.5
Karlsruher SC
23.4
Hamburger SV
23.3
FC St. Pauli
23.2
1. FC Nürnberg
23.1
SC Paderborn 07
22.3
Arminia Bielefeld
22.2
Holstein Kiel
21.8
1. FC Heidenheim
20.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
48.6%
Under 9.5
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
58.5%
Under 3.5
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
76.4%
Under 21.5
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
1. FC Magdeburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.73
0.57
0.57
0.69
0.88
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (22)
0.77
0.82
0.55
0.73
1.00
0.91
vs Weaker (5)
0.20
0.20
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.60
0.40
0.60
0.47
0.60
vs Stronger (23)
0.39
0.65
0.38
0.62
0.40
0.70
vs Similar (7)
0.57
0.43
0.50
0.50
0.60
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Magdeburg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
1. FC Magdeburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Magdeburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Magdeburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
1. FC Magdeburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.97
0.21
0.57
0.56
1.31
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.67
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (22)
0.41
1.14
0.27
0.55
0.55
1.73
vs Weaker (5)
0.20
0.40
0.00
0.50
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.07
0.67
1.00
0.33
1.13
vs Stronger (23)
0.30
1.30
0.54
1.08
0.00
1.60
vs Similar (7)
1.14
0.29
1.50
0.50
1.00
0.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Magdeburg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
1. FC Magdeburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Magdeburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Magdeburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
1. FC Magdeburg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Barış Atik29%
Moritz-Broni Kwarteng28%
Cristiano Piccini18%
Julian Rieckmann17%
Tatsuya Ito15%
Luc Castaignos14%
Jason Ceka14%
Daniel Elfadli12%
Jan Luca Schuler8%
Amara Condé7%
Mo El Hankouri6%
Andreas Müller5%
Connor Krempicki4%
Herbert Bockhorn4%
Maximilian Ullmann0%
Silas Gnaka0%
Dominik Reimann0%
Malcolm Cacutalua0%
Tim Boss0%
Alexander Bittroff0%
Kai Brünker0%
Tim Sechelmann0%
Leon Bell Bell0%
Jamie Lawrence0%
Daniel Heber0%
Ömer Faruk Beyaz0%
Leo Scienza0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Barış Atik32%
Daniel Heber31%
Amara Condé28%
Leon Bell Bell25%
Malcolm Cacutalua20%
Alexander Bittroff20%
Daniel Elfadli19%
Tim Sechelmann18%
Julian Rieckmann17%
Jan Luca Schuler17%
Mo El Hankouri16%
Herbert Bockhorn16%
Andreas Müller16%
Luc Castaignos14%
Jason Ceka14%
Moritz-Broni Kwarteng10%
Silas Gnaka9%
Maximilian Ullmann9%
Kai Brünker9%
Connor Krempicki8%
Jamie Lawrence8%
Dominik Reimann7%
Cristiano Piccini6%
Tatsuya Ito0%
Tim Boss0%
Ömer Faruk Beyaz0%
Leo Scienza0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jason Ceka24%
Barış Atik14%
Tatsuya Ito12%
Amara Condé10%
Connor Krempicki8%
Herbert Bockhorn8%
Moritz-Broni Kwarteng7%
Mo El Hankouri6%
Daniel Heber6%
Cristiano Piccini6%
Kai Brünker4%
Leon Bell Bell4%
Jamie Lawrence4%
Dominik Reimann3%
Silas Gnaka3%
Maximilian Ullmann0%
Malcolm Cacutalua0%
Tim Boss0%
Alexander Bittroff0%
Luc Castaignos0%
Tim Sechelmann0%
Julian Rieckmann0%
Andreas Müller0%
Jan Luca Schuler0%
Ömer Faruk Beyaz0%
Leo Scienza0%
Daniel Elfadli0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Moritz-Broni Kwarteng24%
Barış Atik18%
Jason Ceka10%
Maximilian Ullmann9%
Leon Bell Bell8%
Jan Luca Schuler8%
Cristiano Piccini6%
Amara Condé3%
Silas Gnaka3%
Tatsuya Ito0%
Dominik Reimann0%
Malcolm Cacutalua0%
Tim Boss0%
Alexander Bittroff0%
Connor Krempicki0%
Kai Brünker0%
Luc Castaignos0%
Mo El Hankouri0%
Tim Sechelmann0%
Herbert Bockhorn0%
Jamie Lawrence0%
Julian Rieckmann0%
Andreas Müller0%
Daniel Heber0%
Ömer Faruk Beyaz0%
Leo Scienza0%
Daniel Elfadli0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
1. FC Magdeburg
1. FC Heidenheim
Hamburger SV
SV Darmstadt 98
Fortuna Düsseldorf
FC St. Pauli
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
Hannover 96
Holstein Kiel
Hansa Rostock
1. FC Kaiserslautern
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Nürnberg
Arminia Bielefeld
Eintracht Braunschweig
Jahn Regensburg
SV Sandhausen
SV Wehen