This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.39
1.60
1.40
1.38
1.38
vs Stronger (10)
1.30
1.30
1.17
1.50
1.50
1.00
vs Similar (8)
1.75
1.50
2.25
1.25
1.25
1.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
11% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Nürnberg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.2%
Under 1.5
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.3%
Under 2.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.0%
Under 3.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.0%
No
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
7.6%
0-0
7.2%
0-1
6.9%
2-0
6.4%
2-2 ✓
5.8%
1. FC Nürnberg goals ↓
Regensburg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.2%
6.9%
5.5%
2.5%
0.8%
1
7.6%
13%
8.0%
3.6%
1.2%
2
6.4%
8.7%
5.8%
2.6%
0.9%
3
3.1%
4.2%
2.8%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.1%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = 1. FC Nürnberg goals (down), columns = Regensburg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.85
1. FC Nürnberg
1.76
Holstein Kiel
1.65
Arminia Bielefeld
1.41
VfL Bochum
1.41
Duisburg
1.41
Regensburg
1.41
Union Berlin
1.38
Ingolstadt
1.32
FC St. Pauli
1.26
SV Darmstadt 98
1.26
SV Sandhausen
1.26
1. FC Heidenheim
1.24
Dynamo Dresden
1.21
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.18
Erzgebirge Aue
1.18
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.15
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.03
1. FC Nürnberg is 0.35 points better than Regensburg in terms of average points per game (1.76 vs 1.41).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Holstein Kiel
2.09
1. FC Nürnberg
1.79
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.68
Union Berlin
1.59
Regensburg
1.56
Duisburg
1.53
Arminia Bielefeld
1.50
1. FC Heidenheim
1.47
SV Darmstadt 98
1.38
Ingolstadt
1.38
Dynamo Dresden
1.24
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.24
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.09
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.09
VfL Bochum
1.09
FC St. Pauli
1.03
Erzgebirge Aue
1.03
SV Sandhausen
1.03
1. FC Nürnberg is 0.24 goals better than Regensburg in terms of goals scored per game (1.79 vs 1.56).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SV Sandhausen
0.97
1. FC Nürnberg
1.15
VfL Bochum
1.18
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.26
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.29
Holstein Kiel
1.29
SV Darmstadt 98
1.32
Ingolstadt
1.32
Union Berlin
1.35
Arminia Bielefeld
1.38
FC St. Pauli
1.41
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.41
Erzgebirge Aue
1.44
Dynamo Dresden
1.53
Regensburg
1.56
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.62
Duisburg
1.65
1. FC Heidenheim
1.65
1. FC Nürnberg is 0.41 goals better than Regensburg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.15 vs 1.56).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
1. FC Nürnberg
For 4.6 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 12.8 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
R
Regensburg
For 6.8 · Against 2.6 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.4 · Against 14.8 · Total 31.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
1. FC Nürnberg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
8.9
11.0
1.4
1.1
1.6
25.9
24.6
27.2
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
9.9
9.2
10.5
1.4
1.1
1.8
27.2
26.0
28.2
vs Weaker (18)
10.0
8.5
12.0
1.4
1.3
1.5
23.9
22.8
25.3
% over line
61%
33%
89%
18%
12%
24%
78%
67%
89%
% under line
39%
67%
11%
82%
88%
76%
22%
33%
11%
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (18)
9.7
10.1
9.2
5.2
4.7
5.8
31.9
30.5
33.6
vs Stronger (10)
9.9
10.7
8.8
4.2
4.0
4.5
32.2
30.8
34.2
vs Similar (8)
9.5
9.2
9.8
6.4
5.8
7.0
31.5
30.0
33.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
50%
50%
78%
80%
75%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
50%
50%
50%
22%
20%
25%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (1. FC Nürnberg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
1. FC Heidenheim
10.6
Arminia Bielefeld
10.1
SV Darmstadt 98
10.1
1. FC Nürnberg
9.9
Eintracht Braunschweig
9.8
FC St. Pauli
9.8
Regensburg
9.7
Erzgebirge Aue
9.6
Holstein Kiel
9.5
1. FC Kaiserslautern
9.4
Union Berlin
9.4
Ingolstadt
9.4
Dynamo Dresden
9.3
VfL Bochum
9.2
Fortuna Düsseldorf
9.2
SV Sandhausen
9.2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
8.7
Duisburg
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fortuna Düsseldorf
5.5
Holstein Kiel
5.3
Regensburg
5.2
1. FC Heidenheim
4.8
SV Sandhausen
4.8
Erzgebirge Aue
4.8
Duisburg
4.7
Eintracht Braunschweig
4.7
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4.4
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4.3
VfL Bochum
4.3
Dynamo Dresden
4.3
Ingolstadt
4.3
SV Darmstadt 98
4.2
FC St. Pauli
4.1
1. FC Nürnberg
3.8
Arminia Bielefeld
3.7
Union Berlin
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SV Sandhausen
34.7
Fortuna Düsseldorf
32.6
Regensburg
31.9
Ingolstadt
31.8
1. FC Kaiserslautern
31.2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
30.4
Holstein Kiel
30.2
Erzgebirge Aue
29.9
1. FC Heidenheim
29.9
SV Darmstadt 98
29.6
Union Berlin
29.3
Eintracht Braunschweig
29.1
VfL Bochum
28.7
Dynamo Dresden
28.3
Duisburg
27.1
Arminia Bielefeld
26.4
FC St. Pauli
26.3
1. FC Nürnberg
25.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
47.0%
Under 9.5
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
70.5%
Under 3.5
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
93.3%
Under 21.5
6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
1. FC Nürnberg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.27
0.67
0.27
0.40
0.27
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.44
0.33
0.50
0.38
0.40
0.30
vs Weaker (11)
0.55
0.18
0.67
0.17
0.40
0.20
Clean sheet %
73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.78
0.61
1.00
0.80
0.50
0.38
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
0.80
0.83
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (8)
0.88
0.38
1.25
0.50
0.50
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Nürnberg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
1. FC Nürnberg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.00
0.93
1.13
1.13
0.87
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
0.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (18)
1.06
1.00
1.25
1.12
0.90
0.90
vs Weaker (11)
1.09
0.82
0.67
0.83
1.60
0.80
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.72
0.78
0.60
0.60
0.88
1.00
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
0.50
0.33
0.50
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (8)
0.88
1.12
1.00
0.75
0.75
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
39% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Nürnberg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
1. FC Nürnberg · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Ali Zoma50%
Piet Scobel50%
Julian Justvan25%
Tim Janisch25%
Adam Markhiev25%
Rayan Ghrieb0%
Finn Ole Becker0%
Jan Reichert0%
Adriano Grimaldi0%
Giannis Masouras0%
Fynn Otto0%
Alexios Kalogeropoulos0%
Rafael Lubach0%
Eric Porstner0%
Javier Fernandez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Javier Fernandez50%
Rayan Ghrieb33%
Julian Justvan25%
Mohamed Ali Zoma25%
Adam Markhiev25%
Eric Porstner25%
Finn Ole Becker0%
Jan Reichert0%
Adriano Grimaldi0%
Giannis Masouras0%
Fynn Otto0%
Alexios Kalogeropoulos0%
Rafael Lubach0%
Tim Janisch0%
Piet Scobel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Finn Ole Becker67%
Fynn Otto33%
Julian Justvan25%
Adam Markhiev25%
Eric Porstner25%
Piet Scobel25%
Rayan Ghrieb0%
Jan Reichert0%
Adriano Grimaldi0%
Giannis Masouras0%
Alexios Kalogeropoulos0%
Mohamed Ali Zoma0%
Rafael Lubach0%
Tim Janisch0%
Javier Fernandez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Piet Scobel50%
Julian Justvan25%
Mohamed Ali Zoma25%
Rayan Ghrieb0%
Finn Ole Becker0%
Jan Reichert0%
Adriano Grimaldi0%
Giannis Masouras0%
Fynn Otto0%
Alexios Kalogeropoulos0%
Rafael Lubach0%
Tim Janisch0%
Adam Markhiev0%
Eric Porstner0%
Javier Fernandez0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
1. FC Nürnberg
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Holstein Kiel
Arminia Bielefeld
VfL Bochum
Duisburg
Union Berlin
Ingolstadt
SV Darmstadt 98
SV Sandhausen
FC St. Pauli
1. FC Heidenheim
Dynamo Dresden
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Erzgebirge Aue
Eintracht Braunschweig
1. FC Kaiserslautern