This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.50
1.62
1.31
0.86
1.71
vs Stronger (20)
1.05
1.65
1.44
1.22
0.73
2.00
vs Similar (10)
1.70
1.20
1.86
1.43
1.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Nürnberg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.1%
Under 1.5
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.0%
@ 1.81+3.7%
Under 2.5
44.0%
@ 1.98-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.6%
Under 3.5
66.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.2%
No
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
6.8%
0-1 ✓
6.6%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
2-0
5.8%
1. FC Nürnberg goals ↓
Regensburg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.5%
6.6%
5.6%
2.7%
1.0%
1
6.8%
13%
8.3%
4.0%
1.5%
2
5.8%
8.5%
6.1%
3.0%
1.1%
3
2.9%
4.2%
3.0%
1.5%
0.5%
4
1.1%
1.5%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = 1. FC Nürnberg goals (down), columns = Regensburg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
VfL Bochum
1.97
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.88
Holstein Kiel
1.82
Hamburger SV
1.71
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.65
Karlsruher SC
1.53
SV Darmstadt 98
1.50
1. FC Heidenheim
1.50
FC St. Pauli
1.38
SC Paderborn 07
1.38
Erzgebirge Aue
1.29
1. FC Nürnberg
1.29
Hannover 96
1.24
Regensburg
1.12
SV Sandhausen
1.00
VfL Osnabrück
0.97
Eintracht Braunschweig
0.91
Wurzburger Kickers
0.74
1. FC Nürnberg is 0.18 points better than Regensburg in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.12).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hamburger SV
2.09
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2.03
VfL Bochum
1.94
SV Darmstadt 98
1.85
Holstein Kiel
1.68
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.62
Hannover 96
1.56
SC Paderborn 07
1.56
FC St. Pauli
1.50
Karlsruher SC
1.50
1. FC Heidenheim
1.44
1. FC Nürnberg
1.35
Erzgebirge Aue
1.29
SV Sandhausen
1.21
Wurzburger Kickers
1.09
Regensburg
1.09
VfL Osnabrück
1.03
Eintracht Braunschweig
0.88
1. FC Nürnberg is 0.26 goals better than Regensburg in terms of goals scored per game (1.35 vs 1.09).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Holstein Kiel
1.03
VfL Bochum
1.15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.29
Hamburger SV
1.29
Karlsruher SC
1.29
SC Paderborn 07
1.32
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.35
1. FC Heidenheim
1.44
Regensburg
1.47
Hannover 96
1.50
1. FC Nürnberg
1.50
Erzgebirge Aue
1.56
SV Darmstadt 98
1.62
FC St. Pauli
1.65
VfL Osnabrück
1.71
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.74
SV Sandhausen
1.76
Wurzburger Kickers
2.03
1. FC Nürnberg is 0.03 goals worse than Regensburg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
1. FC Nürnberg
For 3.3 · Against 3.7 · Total 7.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 12.6 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
R
Regensburg
For 6.1 · Against 4.4 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.1 · Against 11.7 · Total 27.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
1. FC Nürnberg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.4
9.0
4.2
3.9
4.5
25.1
23.9
26.5
vs Stronger (2)
9.0
8.0
10.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
26.0
30.0
22.0
vs Similar (30)
9.5
9.6
9.5
4.0
3.5
4.5
25.2
24.4
25.9
vs Weaker (18)
10.1
11.8
7.9
4.7
4.5
4.9
24.9
22.5
28.0
% over line
50%
54%
46%
66%
62%
71%
76%
69%
83%
% under line
50%
46%
54%
34%
38%
29%
24%
31%
17%
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
11.0
10.9
4.6
5.3
3.8
28.0
28.8
27.1
vs Stronger (33)
11.1
11.1
11.1
4.6
5.6
3.8
28.2
30.3
26.4
vs Similar (17)
10.7
10.8
10.6
4.5
4.9
3.9
27.6
26.7
28.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
62%
60%
64%
74%
92%
56%
88%
92%
84%
% under line
38%
40%
36%
26%
8%
44%
12%
8%
16%
This opponent (1. FC Nürnberg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
SV Sandhausen
11.3
SV Darmstadt 98
11.0
Regensburg
10.9
Karlsruher SC
10.9
SC Paderborn 07
10.8
Hamburger SV
10.8
FC St. Pauli
10.7
VfL Bochum
10.3
Holstein Kiel
10.2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
10.2
1. FC Heidenheim
10.0
Eintracht Braunschweig
9.8
1. FC Nürnberg
9.7
VfL Osnabrück
9.6
Erzgebirge Aue
9.4
Hannover 96
9.4
Fortuna Düsseldorf
8.9
Wurzburger Kickers
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Wurzburger Kickers
5.9
Erzgebirge Aue
5.1
SV Sandhausen
5.1
VfL Osnabrück
4.8
Karlsruher SC
4.8
SC Paderborn 07
4.7
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4.7
Eintracht Braunschweig
4.6
Regensburg
4.6
VfL Bochum
4.5
SV Darmstadt 98
4.4
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4.4
Hannover 96
4.3
Holstein Kiel
4.2
1. FC Nürnberg
4.2
FC St. Pauli
4.0
Hamburger SV
3.8
1. FC Heidenheim
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
30.1
Wurzburger Kickers
29.1
Regensburg
28.0
Eintracht Braunschweig
27.9
SV Sandhausen
27.6
VfL Osnabrück
27.2
Karlsruher SC
26.5
VfL Bochum
26.4
FC St. Pauli
25.9
Hannover 96
25.6
Erzgebirge Aue
25.4
SV Darmstadt 98
25.3
1. FC Nürnberg
25.1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
24.9
Hamburger SV
24.5
SC Paderborn 07
24.1
Holstein Kiel
23.3
1. FC Heidenheim
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.3%
Under 9.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
59.5%
Under 3.5
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
82.3%
Under 21.5
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
1. FC Nürnberg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.60
0.60
0.73
1.07
0.47
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
0.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.65
0.70
0.80
0.70
0.50
vs Weaker (9)
1.22
0.22
0.50
0.00
1.80
0.40
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.57
0.50
0.56
0.79
0.57
vs Stronger (20)
0.60
0.65
0.56
0.56
0.64
0.73
vs Similar (10)
0.70
0.40
0.43
0.57
1.33
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Nürnberg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
1. FC Nürnberg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.00
0.40
1.13
0.60
0.87
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
0.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.35
1.10
0.30
1.20
0.40
1.00
vs Weaker (9)
0.89
0.56
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.60
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.93
1.12
0.75
0.07
1.14
vs Stronger (20)
0.45
1.00
0.89
0.67
0.09
1.27
vs Similar (10)
1.00
0.80
1.43
0.86
0.00
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Nürnberg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
1. FC Nürnberg · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Ali Zoma50%
Piet Scobel50%
Julian Justvan25%
Tim Janisch25%
Adam Markhiev25%
Rayan Ghrieb0%
Finn Ole Becker0%
Jan Reichert0%
Adriano Grimaldi0%
Giannis Masouras0%
Fynn Otto0%
Alexios Kalogeropoulos0%
Rafael Lubach0%
Eric Porstner0%
Javier Fernandez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Javier Fernandez50%
Rayan Ghrieb33%
Julian Justvan25%
Mohamed Ali Zoma25%
Adam Markhiev25%
Eric Porstner25%
Finn Ole Becker0%
Jan Reichert0%
Adriano Grimaldi0%
Giannis Masouras0%
Fynn Otto0%
Alexios Kalogeropoulos0%
Rafael Lubach0%
Tim Janisch0%
Piet Scobel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Finn Ole Becker67%
Fynn Otto33%
Julian Justvan25%
Adam Markhiev25%
Eric Porstner25%
Piet Scobel25%
Rayan Ghrieb0%
Jan Reichert0%
Adriano Grimaldi0%
Giannis Masouras0%
Alexios Kalogeropoulos0%
Mohamed Ali Zoma0%
Rafael Lubach0%
Tim Janisch0%
Javier Fernandez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Piet Scobel50%
Julian Justvan25%
Mohamed Ali Zoma25%
Rayan Ghrieb0%
Finn Ole Becker0%
Jan Reichert0%
Adriano Grimaldi0%
Giannis Masouras0%
Fynn Otto0%
Alexios Kalogeropoulos0%
Rafael Lubach0%
Tim Janisch0%
Adam Markhiev0%
Eric Porstner0%
Javier Fernandez0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
1. FC Nürnberg
VfL Bochum
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Holstein Kiel
Hamburger SV
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Karlsruher SC
SV Darmstadt 98
1. FC Heidenheim
SC Paderborn 07
FC St. Pauli
Erzgebirge Aue
Hannover 96
SV Sandhausen
VfL Osnabrück
Eintracht Braunschweig
Wurzburger Kickers