This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
2.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
2.07
0.67
1.93
0.73
2.20
vs Stronger (22)
0.68
2.14
0.70
1.90
0.67
2.33
vs Similar (8)
0.75
1.88
0.60
2.00
1.00
1.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Nürnberg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.6%
Under 1.5
14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.0%
@ 1.73+10.5%
Under 2.5
35.0%
@ 2.07-10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.0%
Under 3.5
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.0%
No
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.4%
1-1
9.3%
3-1
7.5%
1-0
7.3%
3-0
7.2%
2-2
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
1. FC Nürnberg goals ↓
Regensburg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.4%
2.8%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
1
7.3%
9.3%
4.4%
1.5%
0.4%
2
9.4%
9.7%
5.1%
1.7%
0.5%
3
7.2%
7.5%
3.9%
1.3%
0.3%
4
4.2%
4.3%
2.2%
0.8%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = 1. FC Nürnberg goals (down), columns = Regensburg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
1. FC Köln
1.87
Hamburger SV
1.76
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.71
Hannover 96
1.66
SC Paderborn 07
1.66
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.66
SV Elversberg
1.63
1. FC Magdeburg
1.58
Karlsruher SC
1.58
FC Saarbrücken
1.50
1. FC Nürnberg
1.50
Hertha BSC
1.34
SV Darmstadt 98
1.21
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.21
FC Schalke 04
1.18
Preußen Münster
1.16
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.02
Ulm
0.88
SSV Ulm 1846
0.88
Jahn Regensburg
0.74
Regensburg
0.74
1. FC Nürnberg is 0.76 points better than Regensburg in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 0.74).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hamburger SV
2.39
1. FC Nürnberg
1.92
SV Elversberg
1.87
1. FC Magdeburg
1.79
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.74
Karlsruher SC
1.68
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.66
SV Darmstadt 98
1.63
SC Paderborn 07
1.61
1. FC Köln
1.53
Hertha BSC
1.47
FC Schalke 04
1.47
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.37
Hannover 96
1.29
Preußen Münster
1.24
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.07
Ulm
1.06
SSV Ulm 1846
1.06
FC Saarbrücken
1.00
Jahn Regensburg
0.68
Regensburg
0.68
1. FC Nürnberg is 1.24 goals better than Regensburg in terms of goals scored per game (1.92 vs 0.68).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Saarbrücken
1.00
Hannover 96
1.03
1. FC Köln
1.03
SV Elversberg
1.08
Preußen Münster
1.18
SC Paderborn 07
1.21
Hamburger SV
1.24
1. FC Magdeburg
1.39
Ulm
1.41
SSV Ulm 1846
1.41
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.45
Hertha BSC
1.50
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.50
Karlsruher SC
1.55
SV Darmstadt 98
1.61
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.63
1. FC Nürnberg
1.66
FC Schalke 04
1.71
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.77
Jahn Regensburg
2.09
Regensburg
2.09
1. FC Nürnberg is 0.43 goals better than Regensburg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.66 vs 2.09).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
1. FC Magdeburg
58%
Hamburger SV
55%
FC Schalke 04
54%
Hertha BSC
53%
FC Saarbrücken
53%
1. FC Köln
53%
SV Elversberg
52%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
52%
SC Paderborn 07
52%
SV Darmstadt 98
52%
1. FC Nürnberg
51%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
50%
Hannover 96
49%
Karlsruher SC
49%
SSV Ulm 1846
46%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
46%
Eintracht Braunschweig
45%
Preußen Münster
43%
Jahn Regensburg
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
1. FC Nürnberg
For 4.3 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 3.1 · Total 6.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 15.1 · Total 27.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
R
Regensburg
For 4.7 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 2.1 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 12.8 · Total 27.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
1. FC Nürnberg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
11.5
11.0
5.1
5.3
4.9
24.3
24.7
23.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (38)
11.1
11.3
10.9
4.9
5.4
4.4
24.0
23.9
24.1
vs Weaker (12)
11.7
12.0
11.5
5.8
5.2
6.5
25.1
27.4
23.2
% over line
78%
77%
79%
74%
75%
73%
65%
64%
67%
% under line
22%
23%
21%
26%
25%
27%
35%
36%
33%
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.6
9.1
4.8
5.0
4.7
25.9
27.4
24.4
vs Stronger (37)
9.6
9.9
9.3
5.1
5.1
5.1
25.1
26.6
23.6
vs Similar (13)
8.8
8.9
8.7
4.2
4.7
3.5
28.2
29.3
26.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
46%
52%
40%
78%
80%
76%
78%
88%
68%
% under line
54%
48%
60%
22%
20%
24%
22%
12%
32%
This opponent (1. FC Nürnberg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Preußen Münster
11.4
Hamburger SV
11.3
Ulm
11.3
SSV Ulm 1846
11.3
1. FC Köln
11.2
1. FC Nürnberg
11.2
Fortuna Düsseldorf
10.9
Hertha BSC
10.8
Karlsruher SC
10.7
1. FC Kaiserslautern
10.6
SC Paderborn 07
10.5
SV Elversberg
10.4
1. FC Magdeburg
10.3
Hannover 96
10.1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
10.0
Eintracht Braunschweig
10.0
FC Schalke 04
9.9
Jahn Regensburg
9.9
Regensburg
9.4
SV Darmstadt 98
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ulm
6.7
SSV Ulm 1846
6.7
Jahn Regensburg
5.5
1. FC Nürnberg
5.5
FC Schalke 04
5.0
1. FC Magdeburg
5.0
Hamburger SV
5.0
Preußen Münster
4.9
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4.9
Regensburg
4.8
SV Darmstadt 98
4.8
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4.7
1. FC Köln
4.6
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4.6
SV Elversberg
4.4
Eintracht Braunschweig
4.4
Hannover 96
4.4
SC Paderborn 07
4.4
Hertha BSC
4.3
Karlsruher SC
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Regensburg
25.9
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
25.8
Preußen Münster
25.5
Jahn Regensburg
25.2
Hannover 96
25.0
1. FC Kaiserslautern
24.7
SSV Ulm 1846
24.6
1. FC Nürnberg
24.4
Ulm
24.3
1. FC Magdeburg
24.1
SV Darmstadt 98
23.5
FC Schalke 04
23.3
Hamburger SV
22.8
Hertha BSC
22.7
1. FC Köln
22.6
Eintracht Braunschweig
22.6
SV Elversberg
22.2
SC Paderborn 07
22.0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
21.6
Karlsruher SC
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
64.9%
Under 9.5
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
79.4%
Under 3.5
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
63.9%
Under 21.5
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
1. FC Nürnberg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.83
0.50
0.93
0.56
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.96
0.27
0.91
0.75
1.00
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
0.43
1.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.97
0.27
0.80
0.33
1.13
vs Stronger (22)
0.23
0.95
0.10
0.70
0.33
1.17
vs Similar (8)
0.50
1.00
0.60
1.00
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Nürnberg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
1. FC Nürnberg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.87
0.71
0.79
0.75
0.94
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.91
0.55
0.91
0.50
0.92
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
0.71
1.33
0.33
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
1.10
0.40
1.13
0.40
1.07
vs Stronger (22)
0.45
1.18
0.60
1.20
0.33
1.17
vs Similar (8)
0.25
0.88
0.00
1.00
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Nürnberg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
90.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
1. FC Nürnberg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Michal Ševčík50%
Stefanos Tzimas46%
Janis Antiste42%
Mahir Emreli32%
Kanji Okunuki17%
Julian Justvan15%
Lukas Schleimer15%
Taylan Duman14%
Jens Castrop12%
Fabio Gruber11%
Florian Pick10%
Caspar Jander9%
Tim Drexler7%
Ondrej Karafiat6%
Finn Jeltsch5%
Florian Flick5%
Danilo Soares4%
Rafael Lubach3%
Robin Knoche3%
Benjamin Goller0%
Janni Serra0%
Christian Mathenia0%
Enrico Valentini0%
Jan Reichert0%
Oliver Villadsen0%
Jannik Hofmann0%
Berkay Yılmaz0%
Simon Joachims0%
Nick Seidel0%
Dustin Forkel0%
Tim Janisch0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Christian Mathenia67%
Jens Castrop42%
Mahir Emreli36%
Taylan Duman29%
Michal Ševčík25%
Nick Seidel25%
Tim Janisch24%
Janni Serra22%
Fabio Gruber22%
Danilo Soares22%
Tim Drexler21%
Stefanos Tzimas21%
Caspar Jander21%
Berkay Yılmaz20%
Finn Jeltsch20%
Florian Flick18%
Rafael Lubach17%
Enrico Valentini17%
Kanji Okunuki17%
Janis Antiste17%
Julian Justvan12%
Oliver Villadsen11%
Florian Pick10%
Ondrej Karafiat6%
Lukas Schleimer4%
Jan Reichert3%
Benjamin Goller0%
Robin Knoche0%
Jannik Hofmann0%
Simon Joachims0%
Dustin Forkel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Julian Justvan36%
Caspar Jander21%
Enrico Valentini17%
Janis Antiste17%
Jens Castrop12%
Florian Pick10%
Robin Knoche9%
Danilo Soares9%
Stefanos Tzimas8%
Oliver Villadsen7%
Tim Drexler7%
Mahir Emreli4%
Rafael Lubach3%
Benjamin Goller0%
Janni Serra0%
Christian Mathenia0%
Jan Reichert0%
Kanji Okunuki0%
Ondrej Karafiat0%
Taylan Duman0%
Florian Flick0%
Lukas Schleimer0%
Fabio Gruber0%
Michal Ševčík0%
Jannik Hofmann0%
Berkay Yılmaz0%
Simon Joachims0%
Nick Seidel0%
Dustin Forkel0%
Tim Janisch0%
Finn Jeltsch0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stefanos Tzimas54%
Mahir Emreli20%
Julian Justvan18%
Janis Antiste17%
Finn Jeltsch5%
Jens Castrop4%
Rafael Lubach3%
Benjamin Goller0%
Janni Serra0%
Danilo Soares0%
Robin Knoche0%
Christian Mathenia0%
Enrico Valentini0%
Jan Reichert0%
Florian Pick0%
Kanji Okunuki0%
Ondrej Karafiat0%
Taylan Duman0%
Florian Flick0%
Oliver Villadsen0%
Lukas Schleimer0%
Fabio Gruber0%
Michal Ševčík0%
Jannik Hofmann0%
Caspar Jander0%
Tim Drexler0%
Berkay Yılmaz0%
Simon Joachims0%
Nick Seidel0%
Dustin Forkel0%
Tim Janisch0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Köln
Hamburger SV
Fortuna Düsseldorf
SC Paderborn 07
Hannover 96
1. FC Kaiserslautern
SV Elversberg
1. FC Magdeburg
Karlsruher SC
Hertha BSC
SV Darmstadt 98
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
FC Schalke 04
Preußen Münster
Eintracht Braunschweig
SSV Ulm 1846
Jahn Regensburg
FC Saarbrücken