The contest between 2 Korriku and Liria Prizren is a tight one, with the model pointing to an away win as the most likely outcome. Home advantage gives 2 Korriku a 32 % chance, a draw 29 %, and Liria Prizren 39 %. The average number of goals expected is 2.5, with the most probable total of two goals occurring 27 % of the time. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 1-1, with a 14.1 % probability, reflecting the balanced attack and defence of both sides.
At home, 2 Korriku has been scoring 1.83 goals per game while conceding 0.83 against similar opposition, whereas Liria Prizren, on the road, averages 1.5 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Recent form shows 2 Korriku on a five-game winning streak, while Liria Prizren comes off a draw.
The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.6 %), Under 6.5 (98.6 %), Home under 3.5 goals (96.8 %), Under 5.5 (95.8 %), Away under 3.5 goals (95.4 %), Under 4.5 (89.1 %), Home under 2.5 goals (88.5 %) and Away +2 handicap (86.4 %).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
2 Korriku win
31.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
29.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Liria Prizren win
38.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
2 Korriku
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.57
1.87
1.00
1.33
2.13
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
4.00
-
-
0.50
4.00
vs Similar (21)
1.76
1.52
1.83
0.83
1.67
2.44
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
1.00
2.00
1.67
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Liria Prizren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liria Prizren
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
0.83
1.94
1.00
1.62
0.62
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
0.80
0.33
0.67
2.50
1.00
vs Similar (21)
2.05
0.90
2.33
1.08
1.67
0.67
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.50
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (2 Korriku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
72.6%
Under 1.5
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
45.6%
Under 2.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
24.3%
Under 3.5
75.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
52.0%
No
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-1
9.6%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
5.7%
2 Korriku goals ↓
Liria Prizren goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.5%
9.6%
7.2%
3.2%
1.1%
1
8.4%
14%
8.5%
3.7%
1.2%
2
5.7%
7.5%
5.0%
2.2%
0.7%
3
2.2%
2.9%
1.9%
0.9%
0.3%
4
0.7%
0.9%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = 2 Korriku goals (down), columns = Liria Prizren goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Liria Prizren
2.09
Trepça'89
2.06
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Mitrovica
1.39
Prishtina e Re
1.39
Ferizaj
1.39
KF Lepenci
1.39
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Istogu
0.94
Rilindja 1974
0.94
2 Korriku is 0.94 points worse than Liria Prizren in terms of average points per game (1.15 vs 2.09).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Suhareka
1.76
Liria Prizren
1.76
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Mitrovica
1.40
Prishtina e Re
1.40
Ferizaj
1.40
KF Lepenci
1.40
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Kika
0.74
2 Korriku is 0.24 goals worse than Liria Prizren in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.76).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Liria Prizren
0.85
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
Mitrovica
1.41
Prishtina e Re
1.41
Ferizaj
1.41
KF Lepenci
1.41
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
2 Korriku is 1.03 goals worse than Liria Prizren in terms of goals conceded per game (1.88 vs 0.85).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
2 Korriku or Draw
61.1%
Avg Implied -
32%
29%
39%
covers 2 Korriku + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku or Liria Prizren
70.5%
Avg Implied -
32%
29%
39%
covers 2 Korriku + Liria Prizren
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Liria Prizren
68.3%
Avg Implied -
32%
29%
39%
covers Draw + Liria Prizren
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
2 Korriku over/under 0.5
Over
69.1%
Under
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 1.5
Over
32.8%
Under
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 2.5
Over
11.5%
Under
88.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 3.5
Over
3.2%
Under
96.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liria Prizren over/under 0.5
Over
73.4%
Under
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liria Prizren over/under 1.5
Over
38.2%
Under
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liria Prizren over/under 2.5
Over
14.9%
Under
85.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liria Prizren over/under 3.5
Over
4.6%
Under
95.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to 2 Korriku, so a minus line means 2 Korriku give that many goals of a start and Liria Prizren receive them. At -1, 2 Korriku must win by two or more to land; a one-goal 2 Korriku win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (2 Korriku)
2 Korriku -2
4.3%
Draw -2
9.2%
Liria Prizren +2
86.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (2 Korriku)
2 Korriku -1
13.6%
Draw -1
18.1%
Liria Prizren +1
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (2 Korriku)
2 Korriku +1
61.1%
Draw +1
20.6%
Liria Prizren -1
18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (2 Korriku)
2 Korriku +2
81.7%
Draw +2
11.8%
Liria Prizren -2
6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
2 Korriku
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.40
0.93
0.20
0.73
0.60
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (22)
0.95
0.41
1.00
0.08
0.90
0.80
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
0.43
0.67
0.67
0.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Liria Prizren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liria Prizren
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.30
0.53
0.35
0.92
0.23
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.50
0.00
vs Similar (21)
0.76
0.43
0.75
0.50
0.78
0.33
vs Weaker (4)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
80% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (2 Korriku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
2 Korriku over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liria Prizren over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liria Prizren over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liria Prizren over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
2 Korriku
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.10
0.93
0.80
0.60
1.40
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
4.00
-
-
0.00
4.00
vs Similar (22)
0.77
1.14
0.83
0.75
0.70
1.60
vs Weaker (7)
0.86
0.57
1.33
1.00
0.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Liria Prizren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liria Prizren
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.57
1.41
0.65
0.54
0.46
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
0.80
0.33
0.67
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
1.19
0.52
1.58
0.58
0.67
0.44
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.50
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (2 Korriku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
2 Korriku over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liria Prizren over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liria Prizren over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liria Prizren over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Vëllaznimi
Dinamo Ferizaj
Trepça'89
Suhareka
Rilindja 1974
Vjosa
Ramiz Sadiku
Kika
FC Besa Peja
Trepça Mitrovicë
Prishtina e Re
Istogu
KF Lepenci
Mitrovica
Ferizaj
Tefik Canga