2 Korriku is favoured to win at home against Prizreni, with a recent-form storyline of being on a 3-game winning run. The model predicts a home win, with a probability of 61% for 2 Korriku to win, 24% for a draw, and 16% for Prizreni to win.
The expected total number of goals is 2.8, with the most likely score being 1-1, occurring 11.4% of the time. 2 Korriku has a strong home form, scoring 2 goals on average and conceding 1, while Prizreni has struggled away, scoring 0.53 goals and conceding 2 when facing stronger opponents.
The model's selection is Over 1.5, with a probability of 77.4%. The model also suggests a Home win, which is the favoured match result, with 61% probability, and a Draw, with 24% probability. Prizreni's away win is the least likely outcome, with 16% probability.
Results analysis
The win extends 2 Korriku's run to four matches. Their 3-0 victory over Prizreni was the actual result, aligning with the final score. The model's selection, a home win, was correct, with a pre-match probability of 61%. The model's call was also the favourite, as predicted. The model's selection of over 1.5 goals hit, with a probability of 77.4%, while the most likely total goals was 2, with a probability of 25%. The most likely scores were 1-1, 2-0, and 1-0.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
2 Korriku win✓ Hit
60.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Prizreni win✗ Miss
15.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
2 Korriku
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
2.00
1.67
1.27
1.33
2.73
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
3.40
0.50
2.00
0.67
4.33
vs Similar (22)
1.73
1.82
1.83
1.17
1.60
2.60
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Prizreni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Prizreni
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.87
1.07
1.79
0.56
1.94
vs Stronger (28)
0.64
1.93
0.77
1.85
0.53
2.00
vs Similar (2)
3.00
1.00
5.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (2 Korriku) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.4%
Under 1.5
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.3%
Under 2.5
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.1%
Under 3.5
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.3%
No
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
2-0
11.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.3%
3-0 ✓
7.2%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
4.5%
2 Korriku goals ↓
Prizreni goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.3%
4.4%
2.4%
0.7%
0.1%
1
11%
11%
4.5%
1.3%
0.3%
2
11%
9.8%
4.3%
1.2%
0.3%
3
7.2%
6.2%
2.7%
0.8%
0.2%
4
3.4%
3.0%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = 2 Korriku goals (down), columns = Prizreni goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Vushtrria
2.21
Feronikeli
2.18
Liria Prizren
2.09
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Trepça'89
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Istogu
0.94
KEK-u
0.64
Prizreni
0.59
2 Korriku is 0.56 points better than Prizreni in terms of average points per game (1.15 vs 0.59).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Vushtrria
1.82
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Liria Prizren
1.76
Suhareka
1.76
Feronikeli
1.74
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Prizreni
0.82
KEK-u
0.76
Kika
0.74
2 Korriku is 0.71 goals better than Prizreni in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 0.82).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Feronikeli
0.65
Vushtrria
0.76
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Liria Prizren
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
KEK-u
1.91
Prizreni
1.94
2 Korriku is 0.06 goals better than Prizreni in terms of goals conceded per game (1.88 vs 1.94).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
2 Korriku
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.67
0.87
0.33
0.73
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.91
0.61
1.00
0.17
0.82
1.09
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Prizreni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Prizreni
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.32
0.89
0.33
0.93
0.31
0.85
vs Stronger (27)
0.26
0.89
0.21
0.93
0.31
0.85
vs Similar (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
39% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (2 Korriku) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
2 Korriku over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prizreni over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prizreni over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prizreni over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 10. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →