The upcoming match between 2 Korriku and Tefik Canga in the Kosovo: Liga E Pare is shaping up to be a high-scoring encounter, with an expected total of 3.3 goals. This is driven by both teams' attacking and defensive numbers, with 2 Korriku averaging 2.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Tefik Canga averages 1.18 goals scored and 2.18 conceded away from home against similar opponents.
The recent form of both teams suggests this could be a closely contested match, with 2 Korriku on a 3-game winning run and Tefik Canga coming off a defeat. The model predicts a home win as the most likely outcome, with a 52% chance of 2 Korriku taking the three points.
The model's selection is a home win, with a 24% chance of a draw and a 24% chance of an away win. The most likely correct score is 1-1, with a 10.5% probability. The model also suggests an Over 1.5 goals selection, which has an 85.3% probability of occurring.
Results analysis
The 2 Korriku side continued its five-game winning streak, securing a 1-0 victory over Tefik Canga to keep the home form note intact. The Pythia model had predicted a home win with a 52 % probability, and its call was correct. The final score of 1-0 matched the actual result, confirming the model’s accuracy. In addition, the model’s selections performed well: Under 7.5 goals hit at 98 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 95.5 %, and Under 6.5 goals hit at 94.8 %. All suggested picks settled as predicted, underscoring the model’s reliability in this fixture.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
2 Korriku win✓ Hit
52.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga win✗ Miss
24.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
2 Korriku
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.63
1.87
1.13
1.33
2.13
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
3.33
1.00
2.00
0.50
4.00
vs Similar (20)
1.80
1.60
1.91
0.91
1.67
2.44
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
1.00
2.00
1.67
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Tefik Canga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tefik Canga
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.67
1.25
1.38
1.36
2.00
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
2.25
1.33
2.67
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
1.38
1.54
1.17
1.08
1.58
2.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
2.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (2 Korriku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
85.3%
Under 1.5
14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
64.4%
Under 2.5
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.3%
Under 3.5
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.3%
No
35.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
6.3%
1-0 ✓
6.3%
3-0
4.8%
2 Korriku goals ↓
Tefik Canga goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.6%
3.8%
3.2%
1.4%
0.5%
1
6.3%
11%
6.3%
2.8%
0.9%
2
7.2%
9.5%
6.3%
2.8%
0.9%
3
4.8%
6.3%
4.2%
1.8%
0.6%
4
2.4%
3.2%
2.1%
0.9%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = 2 Korriku goals (down), columns = Tefik Canga goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Liria Prizren
2.09
Trepça'89
2.06
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Mitrovica
1.39
Prishtina e Re
1.39
Ferizaj
1.39
KF Lepenci
1.39
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Istogu
0.94
Rilindja 1974
0.94
2 Korriku is 0.03 points worse than Tefik Canga in terms of average points per game (1.15 vs 1.18).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Suhareka
1.76
Liria Prizren
1.76
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Mitrovica
1.40
Prishtina e Re
1.40
Ferizaj
1.40
KF Lepenci
1.40
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Kika
0.74
2 Korriku is 0.12 goals better than Tefik Canga in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.41).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Liria Prizren
0.85
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
Mitrovica
1.41
Prishtina e Re
1.41
Ferizaj
1.41
KF Lepenci
1.41
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
2 Korriku is 0.29 goals worse than Tefik Canga in terms of goals conceded per game (1.88 vs 1.59).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
2 Korriku or Draw✓ Hit
75.7%
Avg Implied -
52%
24%
24%
covers 2 Korriku + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku or Tefik Canga✓ Hit
76.4%
Avg Implied -
52%
24%
24%
covers 2 Korriku + Tefik Canga
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Tefik Canga✗ Miss
47.9%
Avg Implied -
52%
24%
24%
covers Draw + Tefik Canga
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
2 Korriku over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
86.4%
Under
13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
59.3%
Under
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
32.2%
Under
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
14.2%
Under
85.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
73.3%
Under
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
38.0%
Under
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.8%
Under
85.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to 2 Korriku, so a minus line means 2 Korriku give that many goals of a start and Tefik Canga receive them. At -1, 2 Korriku must win by two or more to land; a one-goal 2 Korriku win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (2 Korriku)Actual: Tefik Canga
2 Korriku -2
15.0%
Draw -2
16.1%
Tefik Canga +2
68.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (2 Korriku)Actual: Draw
2 Korriku -1
31.1%
Draw -1
21.1%
Tefik Canga +1
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (2 Korriku)Actual: 2 Korriku
2 Korriku +1
75.7%
Draw +1
13.6%
Tefik Canga -1
10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (2 Korriku)Actual: 2 Korriku
2 Korriku +2
89.4%
Draw +2
7.0%
Tefik Canga -2
3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
2 Korriku
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.47
0.87
0.27
0.73
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (21)
0.95
0.48
1.00
0.09
0.90
0.90
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
0.43
0.67
0.67
0.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Tefik Canga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tefik Canga
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.60
0.29
0.57
0.44
0.62
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.20
0.00
1.33
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.39
0.39
0.30
0.30
0.46
0.46
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (2 Korriku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.9%
Under 0.5
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
34.7%
Under 1.5
65.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.2%
Under 2.5
86.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
2 Korriku over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
59.8%
Under
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
22.6%
Under
77.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.6%
Under
95.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
37.1%
Under
62.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.5%
Under
89.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
2 Korriku
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.17
1.00
0.87
0.67
1.47
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
4.00
vs Similar (21)
0.86
1.24
0.91
0.82
0.80
1.70
vs Weaker (7)
0.86
0.57
1.33
1.00
0.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Tefik Canga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tefik Canga
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.97
0.93
0.57
0.94
1.31
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
0.80
1.33
1.33
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
1.00
1.04
0.80
0.40
1.15
1.54
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (2 Korriku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
77.9%
Under 0.5
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
47.3%
Under 1.5
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
23.5%
Under 2.5
76.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
2 Korriku over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
61.5%
Under
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
25.6%
Under
74.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.0%
Under
91.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
45.6%
Under
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.3%
Under
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
91.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →
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Vëllaznimi
Dinamo Ferizaj
Trepça'89
Liria Prizren
Suhareka
Rilindja 1974
Vjosa
Ramiz Sadiku
Kika
FC Besa Peja
Trepça Mitrovicë
Prishtina e Re
Istogu
KF Lepenci
Mitrovica
Ferizaj