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Aalesund vs Ham-Kam Result & Analysis

Date: 20/05/2025
Time: 16:00
Final 2-2
Aalesund
Aalesund
Vs
25%
28%
47%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ham-Kam
Ham-Kam
Norway: NM Cupen
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aalesund win✗ Miss
24.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ham-Kam win✗ Miss
47.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AalesundAalesund

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W22D43W30W00D32W00D31W10W20WA·STA09/11H·LIL31/03A·SOG05/04A·ROL12/04H·MJO21/04A·ULL24/04A·ASA28/04H·RAU03/05H·BOD12/05H·HOD16/05
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.272.001.331.731.20
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (21)1.861.621.821.641.901.60
vs Weaker (8)2.000.503.000.671.400.40
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Ham-Kam) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ham-KamHam-Kam

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W03L20W25L10W02L00D20W04L11DH·KRI30/03A·BOD05/04A·LIL12/04H·VIK21/04A·LØR24/04A·SAN27/04H·KFU02/05A·LYN07/05A·SAR11/05A·VAL16/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.501.141.360.941.62
vs Stronger (11)1.272.451.832.000.603.00
vs Similar (17)0.821.060.620.881.001.22
vs Weaker (2)1.500.00--1.500.00
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Aalesund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.8%
Under 1.5
26.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.3%
Under 2.5
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.7%
Under 3.5
74.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.8%
No
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
9.0%
0-0
8.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.3%
2-2 ✓
4.8%
Aalesund goals ↓
Ham-Kam goals →
01234
08.9%11%9.0%4.6%1.7%
16.8%13%9.3%4.7%1.8%
24.1%6.3%4.8%2.5%0.9%
31.4%2.2%1.7%0.9%0.3%
40.4%0.6%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aalesund goals (down), columns = Ham-Kam goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Molde
2.71
Lysekloster
2.50
Ham-Kam
2.50
Stromsgodset
2.50
Viking
2.50
Sandnes ULF
2.50
Stabaek
2.40
Tromso
2.33
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.25
Eidsvold
2.25
Raufoss
2.25
Bryne
2.25
Fredrikstad
2.14
Lillestrom
2.00
KFUM Oslo
2.00
Tromsdalen Uil
2.00
Levanger
2.00
Brann
2.00
Arendal
2.00
Alta
2.00
Råde
2.00
Kjelsås
2.00
Bodo/Glimt
2.00
Kristiansund BK
2.00
Ranheim
2.00
Rosenborg
2.00
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Asane
2.00
Egersund
2.00
hodd
2.00
Valerenga
1.80
Sogndal
1.67
Træff
1.50
Bjarg
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
Pors Grenland
1.50
Skjervøy
1.50
Vard
1.50
Fram
1.50
Oppsal
1.50
Melhus
1.50
Mjondalen
1.50
jerv
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Frigg
1.50
Fløya
1.50
Strindheim
1.50
Hønefoss
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Elverum
1.50
Bærum
1.50
Flekkerøy
1.50
Ull/Kisa
1.50
Eik-Tønsberg
1.50
Aalesund
1.50
Lyn
1.50
Moss
1.50
Kongsvinger
1.50
Strommen
1.50
Djerv
1.00
Sotra
1.00
Start
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Innstranden
0.91
Varegg
0.91
Harstad
0.91
Nord
0.91
Våg
0.91
Eiger
0.91
Hana
0.91
Rindal
0.91
Teie
0.91
Hamna
0.91
Skedsmo
0.91
Verdal
0.91
Skjetten
0.91
Lillehammer
0.91
Melbo IL
0.91
Gneist
0.91
Vindbjart
0.91
SF Grei
0.91
Elnesvågen
0.91
IF Ready
0.91
Åssiden IF
0.91
Brumunddal
0.91
Ulfstind
0.91
Bjørnevatn
0.91
Kvik Trondheim
0.91
Konnerud
0.91
Rollon
0.91
NHHI
0.91
Askøy
0.50
Torvastad
0.50
Kvik Halden
0.00
Ørn Horten
0.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
0.00
Varhaug
0.00
Rana
0.00
Sortland
0.00
Asker
0.00
Trygg/Lade
0.00
Sverresborg
0.00
Lørenskog
0.00
Vidar
0.00
Mosjøen
0.00
Gamle Oslo
0.00
Bjørkelangen
0.00
Grorud
0.00
Brattvåg
0.00
Notodden
0.00
Brodd
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Sarpsborg
0.00
Nardo
0.00
Union Carl Berner
0.00
Ridabu
0.00
Sprint-Jeløy
0.00
Fjøra
0.00
Sandviken (Norway)
0.00
Flint
0.00
Volda
0.00
Follo
0.00
Nordstrand
0.00
Os
0.00
Sandefjord
0.00
Byåsen
0.00
Fana
0.00
Ullern
0.00
Aalesund is 1.00 points worse than Ham-Kam in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 2.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Alta
5.00
Kongsvinger
5.00
Bryne
4.75
Stromsgodset
4.25
Lillestrom
4.00
Djerv
4.00
Brann
4.00
Sotra
4.00
Sandviken (Norway)
4.00
Eik-Tønsberg
4.00
Tromso
4.00
Strommen
4.00
Viking
3.75
Stabaek
3.60
Ham-Kam
3.50
Raufoss
3.50
Bodo/Glimt
3.33
Sandnes ULF
3.17
Træff
3.00
Bjarg
3.00
Tromsdalen Uil
3.00
Hønefoss
3.00
Askøy
3.00
Ranheim
3.00
Rosenborg
3.00
Asane
3.00
Sogndal
3.00
Fredrikstad
2.71
ODD Ballklubb
2.67
hodd
2.67
Molde
2.57
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.50
Vard
2.50
Strindheim
2.50
Elverum
2.50
Lysekloster
2.50
Trygg/Lade
2.00
Eidsvold
2.00
Nardo
2.00
Fjøra
2.00
Torvastad
2.00
Moss
2.00
KFUM Oslo
1.83
Valerenga
1.80
Arendal
1.67
Kjelsås
1.67
Levanger
1.60
Innstranden
1.53
Varegg
1.53
Harstad
1.53
Nord
1.53
Våg
1.53
Eiger
1.53
Hana
1.53
Rindal
1.53
Teie
1.53
Hamna
1.53
Skedsmo
1.53
Verdal
1.53
Skjetten
1.53
Lillehammer
1.53
Melbo IL
1.53
Gneist
1.53
Vindbjart
1.53
SF Grei
1.53
Elnesvågen
1.53
IF Ready
1.53
Åssiden IF
1.53
Brumunddal
1.53
Ulfstind
1.53
Bjørnevatn
1.53
Kvik Trondheim
1.53
Konnerud
1.53
Rollon
1.53
NHHI
1.53
Junkeren
1.50
Skjervøy
1.50
Oppsal
1.50
Mjondalen
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Frigg
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Ull/Kisa
1.50
Lyn
1.50
Råde
1.33
Kristiansund BK
1.33
Lørenskog
1.00
Fram
1.00
Melhus
1.00
Grorud
1.00
Brattvåg
1.00
jerv
1.00
Notodden
1.00
Fløya
1.00
Brodd
1.00
Sarpsborg
1.00
Bærum
1.00
Volda
1.00
Follo
1.00
Aalesund
1.00
Start
1.00
Egersund
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Pors Grenland
0.50
Flekkerøy
0.50
Kvik Halden
0.00
Ørn Horten
0.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
0.00
Varhaug
0.00
Rana
0.00
Sortland
0.00
Asker
0.00
Sverresborg
0.00
Vidar
0.00
Mosjøen
0.00
Gamle Oslo
0.00
Bjørkelangen
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Union Carl Berner
0.00
Ridabu
0.00
Sprint-Jeløy
0.00
Flint
0.00
Nordstrand
0.00
Os
0.00
Sandefjord
0.00
Byåsen
0.00
Fana
0.00
Ullern
0.00
Aalesund is 2.50 goals worse than Ham-Kam in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 3.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tromso
0.00
Valerenga
0.40
Pors Grenland
0.50
Mjondalen
0.50
Flekkerøy
0.50
Aalesund
0.50
Fredrikstad
0.57
Arendal
0.67
Råde
0.67
Rosenborg
0.67
Molde
0.71
Lysekloster
0.75
Stromsgodset
0.75
Levanger
0.80
KFUM Oslo
0.83
Junkeren
1.00
Skjervøy
1.00
Vidar
1.00
Hønefoss
1.00
Skeid
1.00
Nordstrand
1.00
Sandefjord
1.00
Ranheim
1.00
Start
1.00
Moss
1.00
Egersund
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Byåsen
1.00
Ham-Kam
1.25
Viking
1.25
Raufoss
1.25
Bryne
1.25
Brann
1.33
Alta
1.33
Kjelsås
1.33
Bodo/Glimt
1.33
Asane
1.33
hodd
1.33
Stabaek
1.40
Træff
1.50
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.50
jerv
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Eidsvold
1.50
Lyn
1.50
Kongsvinger
1.50
Sogndal
1.67
Sandnes ULF
1.67
Kvik Halden
2.00
Asker
2.00
Lørenskog
2.00
Fram
2.00
Gamle Oslo
2.00
Tromsdalen Uil
2.00
Brattvåg
2.00
Frigg
2.00
Notodden
2.00
Spjelkavik
2.00
Strindheim
2.00
Ull/Kisa
2.00
Os
2.00
Kristiansund BK
2.00
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Fana
2.00
Ullern
2.00
Lillestrom
2.20
Oppsal
2.50
Melhus
2.50
Elverum
2.50
Bærum
2.50
Torvastad
2.50
Eik-Tønsberg
2.50
Innstranden
2.76
Varegg
2.76
Harstad
2.76
Nord
2.76
Våg
2.76
Eiger
2.76
Hana
2.76
Rindal
2.76
Teie
2.76
Hamna
2.76
Skedsmo
2.76
Verdal
2.76
Skjetten
2.76
Lillehammer
2.76
Melbo IL
2.76
Gneist
2.76
Vindbjart
2.76
SF Grei
2.76
Elnesvågen
2.76
IF Ready
2.76
Åssiden IF
2.76
Brumunddal
2.76
Ulfstind
2.76
Bjørnevatn
2.76
Kvik Trondheim
2.76
Konnerud
2.76
Rollon
2.76
NHHI
2.76
Ørn Horten
3.00
Rana
3.00
Trygg/Lade
3.00
Grorud
3.00
Brodd
3.00
Union Carl Berner
3.00
Sprint-Jeløy
3.00
Follo
3.00
Bjarg
3.50
Vard
3.50
Fløya
3.50
Strommen
3.50
Djerv
4.00
Mosjøen
4.00
Sotra
4.00
Nardo
4.00
Askøy
4.50
Gjøvik-Lyn
5.00
Varhaug
5.00
Sarpsborg
5.00
Ridabu
5.00
Fjøra
5.00
Sortland
6.00
Sverresborg
6.00
Sandviken (Norway)
6.00
Flint
6.00
Volda
6.00
Bjørkelangen
7.00
Aalesund is 0.75 goals better than Ham-Kam in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 1.25).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Aalesund or Draw✓ Hit
52.6%
Avg Implied -
25%
28%
47%
covers Aalesund + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aalesund or Ham-Kam✗ Miss
71.9%
Avg Implied -
25%
28%
47%
covers Aalesund + Ham-Kam
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Ham-Kam✓ Hit
75.4%
Avg Implied -
25%
28%
47%
covers Draw + Ham-Kam
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Aalesund over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
64.6%
Under
35.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
27.9%
Under
72.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.8%
Under
91.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.1%
Under
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ham-Kam over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.3%
Under
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ham-Kam over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
45.1%
Under
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ham-Kam over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.8%
Under
80.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ham-Kam over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.9%
Under
93.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Aalesund, so a minus line means Aalesund give that many goals of a start and Ham-Kam receive them. At -1, Aalesund must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Aalesund win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Aalesund)Actual: Ham-Kam
Aalesund -2
2.7%
Draw -2
6.8%
Ham-Kam +2
90.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Aalesund)Actual: Ham-Kam
Aalesund -1
9.6%
Draw -1
15.0%
Ham-Kam +1
75.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Aalesund)Actual: Aalesund
Aalesund +1
52.6%
Draw +1
22.6%
Ham-Kam -1
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Aalesund)Actual: Aalesund
Aalesund +2
75.3%
Draw +2
14.7%
Ham-Kam -2
10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AalesundAalesund

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W22D12L10W00D32W00D10W00D00DA·STA09/11H·LIL31/03A·SOG05/04A·ROL12/04H·MJO21/04A·ULL24/04A·ASA28/04H·RAU03/05H·BOD12/05H·HOD16/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.531.000.400.870.67
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (21)1.050.711.090.551.000.90
vs Weaker (8)0.750.121.000.000.600.20
Clean sheet %67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Ham-Kam) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ham-KamHam-Kam

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D01L00D04L10W01L00D10W01L11DH·KRI30/03A·BOD05/04A·LIL12/04H·VIK21/04A·LØR24/04A·SAN27/04H·KFU02/05A·LYN07/05A·SAR11/05A·VAL16/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.770.360.860.440.69
vs Stronger (11)0.551.180.671.330.401.00
vs Similar (17)0.290.590.120.500.440.67
vs Weaker (2)0.500.00--0.500.00
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Aalesund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aalesund over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ham-Kam over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ham-Kam over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ham-Kam over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AalesundAalesund

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W00D31W20W00D00D00D21W10W20WA·STA09/11H·LIL31/03A·SOG05/04A·ROL12/04H·MJO21/04A·ULL24/04A·ASA28/04H·RAU03/05H·BOD12/05H·HOD16/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.731.000.930.870.53
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (21)0.810.900.731.090.900.70
vs Weaker (8)1.250.382.000.670.800.20
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Ham-Kam) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ham-KamHam-Kam

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W02L20W21W00D01L00D10W03L00DH·KRI30/03A·BOD05/04A·LIL12/04H·VIK21/04A·LØR24/04A·SAN27/04H·KFU02/05A·LYN07/05A·SAR11/05A·VAL16/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.730.790.500.500.94
vs Stronger (11)0.731.271.170.670.202.00
vs Similar (17)0.530.470.500.380.560.56
vs Weaker (2)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Aalesund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aalesund over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ham-Kam over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ham-Kam over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ham-Kam over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.4%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals97.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.595.3%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals93.1%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals91.2%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap90.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.588.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls82.3%--------
Away under 2.5 goals80.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards79.7%--------
Away over 0.5 goals78.3%-------✓ Hit
Draw or Away75.4%-------✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap75.4%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap75.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards75.0%--------
Under 3.574.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.573.8%-------✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals72.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners71.9%--------
Home or Away71.9%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Aalesund · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marcus Haagensen Reed38%
Kristian Lonebu31%
Mathias Christensen29%
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch29%
Henrik Melland21%
Jakob Nyland Örsahl11%
Ivan Djantou9%
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen6%
Uba Charles6%
Kristoffer Klaesson0%
Kristoffer Nessø0%
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson0%
Philip Sandvik Aukland0%
Ólafur Guðmundsson0%
Emil Engqvist0%
Hakon Butli Hammer0%
Aleksander Kjelsen0%
Luca Podlech0%
Elias Heggland Myrlid0%
Marius Andresen0%
Ulrik Syversen0%
Simen Haram0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson36%
Mathias Christensen29%
Marius Andresen27%
Marcus Haagensen Reed25%
Aleksander Kjelsen23%
Kristoffer Klaesson18%
Emil Engqvist18%
Philip Sandvik Aukland17%
Henrik Melland14%
Ólafur Guðmundsson13%
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen12%
Jakob Nyland Örsahl11%
Ulrik Syversen11%
Elias Heggland Myrlid8%
Simen Haram8%
Hakon Butli Hammer6%
Uba Charles6%
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch6%
Kristoffer Nessø0%
Luca Podlech0%
Ivan Djantou0%
Kristian Lonebu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch24%
Jakob Nyland Örsahl22%
Uba Charles18%
Hakon Butli Hammer12%
Marcus Haagensen Reed12%
Mathias Christensen12%
Ulrik Syversen11%
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson9%
Marius Andresen9%
Ivan Djantou9%
Henrik Melland7%
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen6%
Kristian Lonebu6%
Kristoffer Klaesson0%
Kristoffer Nessø0%
Philip Sandvik Aukland0%
Ólafur Guðmundsson0%
Emil Engqvist0%
Aleksander Kjelsen0%
Luca Podlech0%
Elias Heggland Myrlid0%
Simen Haram0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marcus Haagensen Reed38%
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson27%
Henrik Melland14%
Mathias Christensen12%
Marius Andresen9%
Kristian Lonebu6%
Uba Charles6%
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch6%
Kristoffer Klaesson0%
Kristoffer Nessø0%
Jakob Nyland Örsahl0%
Philip Sandvik Aukland0%
Ólafur Guðmundsson0%
Emil Engqvist0%
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen0%
Hakon Butli Hammer0%
Aleksander Kjelsen0%
Luca Podlech0%
Elias Heggland Myrlid0%
Ulrik Syversen0%
Simen Haram0%
Ivan Djantou0%
Ham-Kam
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kristian Stromland Lien33%
Ylldren Ibrahimaj30%
Alwande Roaldsoy21%
Viðar Ari Jónsson12%
Julian Bakkeli Gonstad12%
Moses Dramwi Mawa12%
Gard Simenstad12%
Luc Mares8%
Ethan Amundsen-Day8%
Anton Ekeroth7%
Snorre Strand Nilsen5%
Gustav Granath4%
Tore Andre Soras4%
Pål Alexander Kirkevold0%
Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason0%
Fredrik Sjolstad0%
Marcus Sandberg0%
Alexander Nilsson0%
Henrik Udahl0%
Markus Johnsgard0%
Aksel Baran Potur0%
Mats Pedersen0%
William Osnes-Ringen0%
Eron Gojani0%
Mads Orrhaug Larsen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mads Orrhaug Larsen33%
Anton Ekeroth28%
Pål Alexander Kirkevold17%
Fredrik Sjolstad16%
Alwande Roaldsoy16%
Luc Mares15%
Ethan Amundsen-Day15%
Snorre Strand Nilsen14%
Moses Dramwi Mawa12%
Gard Simenstad12%
Tore Andre Soras11%
Ylldren Ibrahimaj10%
William Osnes-Ringen10%
Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason8%
Kristian Stromland Lien7%
Viðar Ari Jónsson4%
Aksel Baran Potur4%
Marcus Sandberg4%
Gustav Granath4%
Alexander Nilsson0%
Henrik Udahl0%
Markus Johnsgard0%
Julian Bakkeli Gonstad0%
Mats Pedersen0%
Eron Gojani0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ylldren Ibrahimaj30%
Snorre Strand Nilsen14%
Anton Ekeroth14%
Kristian Stromland Lien13%
Alwande Roaldsoy11%
Viðar Ari Jónsson8%
Aksel Baran Potur8%
Julian Bakkeli Gonstad8%
Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason8%
Gustav Granath7%
William Osnes-Ringen5%
Luc Mares4%
Gard Simenstad4%
Tore Andre Soras4%
Pål Alexander Kirkevold0%
Fredrik Sjolstad0%
Marcus Sandberg0%
Moses Dramwi Mawa0%
Alexander Nilsson0%
Henrik Udahl0%
Markus Johnsgard0%
Mats Pedersen0%
Ethan Amundsen-Day0%
Eron Gojani0%
Mads Orrhaug Larsen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kristian Stromland Lien33%
Ylldren Ibrahimaj30%
Moses Dramwi Mawa23%
Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason8%
Julian Bakkeli Gonstad4%
Luc Mares4%
Gard Simenstad4%
Pål Alexander Kirkevold0%
Fredrik Sjolstad0%
Marcus Sandberg0%
Gustav Granath0%
Viðar Ari Jónsson0%
Tore Andre Soras0%
Snorre Strand Nilsen0%
Alexander Nilsson0%
Henrik Udahl0%
Markus Johnsgard0%
Anton Ekeroth0%
Aksel Baran Potur0%
Alwande Roaldsoy0%
Mats Pedersen0%
Ethan Amundsen-Day0%
William Osnes-Ringen0%
Eron Gojani0%
Mads Orrhaug Larsen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (24)
€75m
VIK (27)
€47m
MOL (26)
€35m
BRA (25)
€27m
ROS (23)
€23m
S0F (24)
€16m
VAL (22)
€16m
FRE (25)
€15m
TRO (22)
€15m
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
KB (21)
€13m
SAN (23)
€12m
HAM (24)
€10m
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
HAU (24)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
STR (22)
€7m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
STR (19)
€2m
Aalesund's squad is €3m more valuable than Ham-Kam's (€13m vs €10m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (10)
€21m
MOL (7)
€13m
BRA (10)
€11m
ROS (8)
€10m
S0F (10)
€9m
LIL (9)
€6m
VAL (7)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
SAN (8)
€4m
TRO (6)
€4m
HAM (10)
€4m
STR (9)
€3m
HAU (8)
€3m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
KO (8)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
STR (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Aalesund's attack is €2m more valuable than Ham-Kam's (€5m vs €4m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€27m
VIK (5)
€12m
MOL (8)
€7m
BRA (4)
€7m
VAL (6)
€5m
KB (6)
€4m
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
ROS (4)
€3m
S0F (5)
€3m
STA (8)
€3m
HAM (6)
€3m
TRO (5)
€3m
OB (7)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
SAN (4)
€2m
KO (5)
€2m
HAU (6)
€2m
STR (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
STR (4)
€0m
Aalesund's midfield is €1m more valuable than Ham-Kam's (€4m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (10)
€26m
VIK (12)
€15m
MOL (11)
€15m
ROS (11)
€9m
BRA (11)
€9m
TRO (11)
€8m
FRE (16)
€8m
VAL (9)
€5m
SAN (11)
€5m
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
S0F (9)
€4m
HAM (8)
€4m
KO (11)
€4m
HAU (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
STR (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
STR (10)
€1m
Aalesund and Ham-Kam have a similar defence value (both €4m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
0
AAL wins
2
Draws
2
HAM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Aalesund vs Ham-Kam · H/A from AAL
DateH/AGameScore
13/08/23HAAL Vs Ham-Kam0-2
07/07/23AHam-Kam Vs AAL2-1
16/10/22HAAL Vs Ham-Kam0-0
08/05/22AHam-Kam Vs AAL0-0

AalesundAalesund

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/25HAAL Vs hodd2-0
12/05/25HAAL Vs Bodo/Glimt1-0
03/05/25HAAL Vs Raufoss3-1
28/04/25AAsane Vs AAL0-0
24/04/25AUll/Kisa Vs AAL2-3
21/04/25HAAL Vs Mjondalen0-0
12/04/25ARollon Vs AAL0-3
05/04/25ASogndal Vs AAL3-4
31/03/25HAAL Vs Lillestrom2-2
09/11/24AStabaek Vs AAL1-4

Ham-KamHam-Kam

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/25AValerenga Vs HAM1-1
11/05/25ASarpsborg 08 FF Vs HAM4-0
07/05/25ALyn Vs HAM0-2
02/05/25HHAM Vs KFUM Oslo0-0
27/04/25ASandefjord Vs HAM2-0
24/04/25ALørenskog Vs HAM0-1
21/04/25HHAM Vs Viking2-5
12/04/25ALillehammer Vs HAM0-2
05/04/25ABodo/Glimt Vs HAM3-0
30/03/25HHAM Vs Kristiansund BK2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Aalesund
Aalesund
Norway: NM Cupen
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWW1.42
HomeDDWWW1.33
AwayWWWWD1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%38%46%
AVG goals3.143.253.04
Over 1.5 %78%83%73%
Over 2.5 %54%58%50%
Over 3.5 %42%42%42%
Scored1.481.501.46
Conceded1.661.751.58
BTTS50%54%46%
Clean Sheet26%21%31%
Corners10.679.5011.60
Cards3.122.254.00
Ham-Kam
Ham-Kam
Norway: NM Cupen
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLD1.28
HomeLLWLD1.10
AwayWLWLD1.41
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%29%38%
AVG goals2.622.382.79
Over 1.5 %72%62%79%
Over 2.5 %42%38%45%
Over 3.5 %22%19%24%
Scored1.261.051.41
Conceded1.361.331.38
BTTS38%29%45%
Clean Sheet26%33%21%
Corners11.7211.2412.18
Cards3.073.332.82

🏆 17. League Table

Aalesund plays in Norway - 1. Division
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LillestromLillestrom3080
83%
2.7
8718+69
3.5
87%
73%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6452.90.6
-
2EgersundEgersund3256
50%
1.8
5541+14
3.0
81%
47%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.71.3
-
3StartStart3055
53%
1.8
5835+23
3.1
90%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.91.2
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3155
48%
1.8
6546+19
3.6
94%
74%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.11.5
-
5AalesundAalesund3254
44%
1.7
6140+21
3.2
81%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5441.91.2
-
6RanheimRanheim3148
45%
1.5
5051-1
3.3
87%
71%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
7LynLyn3047
47%
1.6
4837+11
2.8
77%
60%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.61.2
-
8SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
4948+1
3.2
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
9ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb3033
27%
1.1
3750-13
2.9
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.21.7
-
10hoddhodd3033
27%
1.1
3452-18
2.9
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.7
-
11StabaekStabaek3031
23%
1.0
4553-8
3.3
90%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5231.51.8
-
12AsaneAsane3031
23%
1.0
3853-15
3.0
90%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.31.8
-
13MossMoss3231
25%
1.0
4468-24
3.5
97%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.42.1
-
14RaufossRaufoss3030
23%
1.0
4356-13
3.3
83%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.41.9
-
15MjondalenMjondalen3025
20%
0.8
3671-35
3.6
87%
67%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
16SkeidSkeid3015
7%
0.5
3566-31
3.4
93%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.2
-
17BrattvågBrattvåg49
75%
2.2
74+3
2.8
100%
75%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
18GrorudGrorud20
0%
0.0
14-3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.0
-
Norway: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →
Ham-Kam plays in Norway - Eliteserien
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VikingViking3071
73%
2.4
7736+41
3.8
80%
77%
57%
11.9
63%
3.9
55%
24.4
60%
47
2112152.61.2
51%
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt3070
73%
2.3
8528+57
3.8
90%
73%
47%
10.9
66%
2.7
31%
18.0
23%
75
2227262.80.9
64%
3TromsoTromso3057
60%
1.9
5036+14
2.9
67%
53%
43%
8.5
37%
3.7
57%
23.8
63%
15
4381.71.2
50%
4BrannBrann3056
57%
1.9
5546+9
3.4
90%
77%
43%
11.0
73%
4.4
59%
24.3
67%
27
11791.81.5
62%
5SandefjordSandefjord3048
50%
1.6
5542+13
3.2
83%
67%
43%
10.6
57%
3.8
52%
26.0
73%
12
4251.81.4
53%
6RosenborgRosenborg3042
37%
1.4
4542+3
2.9
80%
50%
37%
10.6
60%
4.2
57%
24.0
67%
23
10391.51.4
53%
7FredrikstadFredrikstad3042
37%
1.4
3835+3
2.4
67%
40%
23%
10.1
67%
3.0
31%
20.7
37%
15
5381.31.2
46%
8Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF3041
37%
1.4
4850-2
3.3
83%
67%
50%
11.8
63%
3.2
46%
22.9
53%
16
9341.61.7
48%
9ValerengaValerenga2940
41%
1.4
4650-4
3.3
86%
59%
38%
11.2
69%
4.3
67%
25.6
79%
16
6551.61.7
48%
10MoldeMolde3039
40%
1.3
4642+4
2.9
73%
60%
37%
10.1
53%
4.1
55%
22.0
57%
35
137151.51.4
55%
11Ham-KamHam-Kam3037
33%
1.2
4247-5
3.0
87%
63%
37%
11.0
60%
2.8
33%
22.4
50%
10
4341.41.6
42%
12KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo3035
27%
1.2
4241+1
2.8
83%
50%
37%
8.9
38%
3.6
48%
21.7
57%
8
3241.41.4
50%
13BryneBryne3234
28%
1.1
3860-22
3.1
81%
56%
41%
9.7
41%
3.1
39%
23.1
53%
6
2121.21.9
46%
14Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2934
31%
1.2
3456-22
3.1
79%
59%
41%
10.1
59%
3.6
52%
20.9
45%
13
5431.21.9
43%
15StromsgodsetStromsgodset3020
20%
0.7
3772-35
3.6
93%
80%
43%
12.8
67%
3.1
30%
20.3
40%
7
3221.22.4
46%
16HaugesundHaugesund309
7%
0.3
2280-58
3.4
87%
67%
53%
11.0
60%
3.1
41%
23.1
60%
9
3240.72.7
44%
17AalesundAalesund23
50%
1.5
41+3
2.5
50%
50%
50%
8.0
0%
2.5
50%
25.0
50%
13
5442.00.5
36%
Norway: Eliteserien 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: Eliteserien stats & trends →

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