Aalesund’s recent form has been shaky, losing three of their last five matches and dropping only one goal in their last outing, while Viking are riding a two-game winning streak and have been scoring almost three goals a game on the road. This contrast explains why the model rates Viking as the clear favourite, with an 87% probability of victory. The predicted outcome is an away win, and the average number of goals expected is 4.1, with the most likely total being 6 + at 23%. The single most likely scoreline is 0-3 for Viking, with an 11% chance. Aalesund, playing at home against a stronger opponent, average 1.0 goal scored and 0.0 conceded, whereas Viking, away against a weaker side, average 2.92 scored and 1.0 conceded. Suggested picks include Home under 3.5 goals (99.4%), Away +2 handicap (99.0%), Away over 0.5 goals (96.7%), Home under 2.5 goals (96.7%), Draw or Away (96.2%), Away +1 handicap (96.2%), Under 7.5 (94.3%) and Over 1.5 (92.0% miss). The home win percentage is 4%, the draw 9%, and the away win87%.
Results analysis
The match finished 0-1 in favour of Viking, a result that matches the model’s prediction of an away win. The model had given the away side a 87% probability of victory, and the outcome confirmed that call. The game also delivered on the bulk of the suggested selections: Home under 3.5 goals hit with a 99.4% probability, Away +2 handicap and Away over 0.5 goals both hit at 99.0% and 96.7% respectively, Home under 2.5 goals hit at 96.7%, Draw or Away hit at 96.2%, Away +1 handicap hit at 96.2%, Under 7.5 hit at 94.3%, while Over 1.5 missed at 92.0%. Viking’s form, on a two-game winning run, proved decisive, and the final scoreline reflected the model’s high confidence.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Aalesund win✗ Miss
3.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
9.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Viking win✓ Hit
86.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Aalesund
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.10
1.67
1.00
1.80
1.20
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.77
1.36
1.58
1.17
2.00
1.60
vs Weaker (7)
1.71
0.43
2.50
0.50
1.40
0.40
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Viking) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viking
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.83
1.17
3.00
1.31
2.71
1.06
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
2.17
1.67
2.50
2.50
2.00
1.25
vs Weaker (24)
3.00
1.04
3.09
1.09
2.92
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Aalesund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
92.0%
Under 1.5
8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
77.7%
Under 2.5
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
58.7%
Under 3.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.8%
No
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-3
11.0%
0-2
9.7%
0-4
9.4%
1-3
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
1-4
6.5%
0-5
6.4%
0-1 ✓
5.3%
Aalesund goals ↓
Viking goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.1%
5.3%
9.7%
11%
9.4%
1
0.8%
4.3%
6.7%
7.6%
6.5%
2
0.4%
1.4%
2.3%
2.6%
2.3%
3
0.1%
0.3%
0.5%
0.6%
0.5%
4
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aalesund goals (down), columns = Viking goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Molde
2.71
Sandnes ULF
2.50
Stromsgodset
2.50
Lysekloster
2.50
Ham-Kam
2.50
Viking
2.50
Stabaek
2.40
Tromso
2.33
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.25
Raufoss
2.25
Bryne
2.25
Eidsvold
2.25
Fredrikstad
2.14
Lillestrom
2.00
Tromsdalen Uil
2.00
KFUM Oslo
2.00
Egersund
2.00
hodd
2.00
Ranheim
2.00
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Asane
2.00
Levanger
2.00
Arendal
2.00
Brann
2.00
Alta
2.00
Råde
2.00
Kjelsås
2.00
Kristiansund BK
2.00
Rosenborg
2.00
Bodo/Glimt
2.00
Valerenga
1.80
Sogndal
1.67
Træff
1.50
Bjarg
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
Pors Grenland
1.50
Skjervøy
1.50
Vard
1.50
Fram
1.50
Melhus
1.50
Oppsal
1.50
Kongsvinger
1.50
Strommen
1.50
Lyn
1.50
Moss
1.50
Mjondalen
1.50
jerv
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Frigg
1.50
Fløya
1.50
Strindheim
1.50
Hønefoss
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Elverum
1.50
Bærum
1.50
Flekkerøy
1.50
Ull/Kisa
1.50
Eik-Tønsberg
1.50
Aalesund
1.50
Djerv
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Sotra
1.00
Start
1.00
Innstranden
0.91
Varegg
0.91
Harstad
0.91
Nord
0.91
Våg
0.91
Eiger
0.91
Hana
0.91
Rindal
0.91
Teie
0.91
Hamna
0.91
Skedsmo
0.91
Verdal
0.91
Skjetten
0.91
Lillehammer
0.91
Melbo IL
0.91
Gneist
0.91
Vindbjart
0.91
SF Grei
0.91
Elnesvågen
0.91
Åssiden IF
0.91
IF Ready
0.91
Brumunddal
0.91
Ulfstind
0.91
Bjørnevatn
0.91
Kvik Trondheim
0.91
Konnerud
0.91
Rollon
0.91
NHHI
0.91
Askøy
0.50
Torvastad
0.50
Kvik Halden
0.00
Ørn Horten
0.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
0.00
Varhaug
0.00
Rana
0.00
Sortland
0.00
Asker
0.00
Trygg/Lade
0.00
Sverresborg
0.00
Lørenskog
0.00
Vidar
0.00
Mosjøen
0.00
Gamle Oslo
0.00
Bjørkelangen
0.00
Grorud
0.00
Brattvåg
0.00
Notodden
0.00
Brodd
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Sarpsborg
0.00
Nardo
0.00
Union Carl Berner
0.00
Ridabu
0.00
Sprint-Jeløy
0.00
Fjøra
0.00
Sandviken (Norway)
0.00
Volda
0.00
Follo
0.00
Nordstrand
0.00
Flint
0.00
Os
0.00
Sandefjord
0.00
Byåsen
0.00
Fana
0.00
Ullern
0.00
Aalesund is 1.00 points worse than Viking in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 2.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Kongsvinger
5.00
Alta
5.00
Bryne
4.75
Stromsgodset
4.25
Lillestrom
4.00
Djerv
4.00
Strommen
4.00
Brann
4.00
Sotra
4.00
Sandviken (Norway)
4.00
Eik-Tønsberg
4.00
Tromso
4.00
Viking
3.75
Stabaek
3.60
Raufoss
3.50
Ham-Kam
3.50
Bodo/Glimt
3.33
Sandnes ULF
3.17
Træff
3.00
Bjarg
3.00
Tromsdalen Uil
3.00
Sogndal
3.00
Ranheim
3.00
Asane
3.00
Hønefoss
3.00
Askøy
3.00
Rosenborg
3.00
Fredrikstad
2.71
hodd
2.67
ODD Ballklubb
2.67
Molde
2.57
Vard
2.50
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.50
Strindheim
2.50
Elverum
2.50
Lysekloster
2.50
Trygg/Lade
2.00
Moss
2.00
Eidsvold
2.00
Nardo
2.00
Fjøra
2.00
Torvastad
2.00
KFUM Oslo
1.83
Valerenga
1.80
Arendal
1.67
Kjelsås
1.67
Levanger
1.60
Innstranden
1.53
Varegg
1.53
Harstad
1.53
Nord
1.53
Våg
1.53
Eiger
1.53
Hana
1.53
Rindal
1.53
Teie
1.53
Hamna
1.53
Skedsmo
1.53
Verdal
1.53
Skjetten
1.53
Lillehammer
1.53
Melbo IL
1.53
Gneist
1.53
Vindbjart
1.53
SF Grei
1.53
Elnesvågen
1.53
Åssiden IF
1.53
IF Ready
1.53
Brumunddal
1.53
Ulfstind
1.53
Bjørnevatn
1.53
Kvik Trondheim
1.53
Konnerud
1.53
Rollon
1.53
NHHI
1.53
Junkeren
1.50
Skjervøy
1.50
Oppsal
1.50
Lyn
1.50
Mjondalen
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Frigg
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Ull/Kisa
1.50
Råde
1.33
Kristiansund BK
1.33
Lørenskog
1.00
Fram
1.00
Melhus
1.00
Egersund
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Grorud
1.00
Brattvåg
1.00
jerv
1.00
Notodden
1.00
Brodd
1.00
Fløya
1.00
Sarpsborg
1.00
Volda
1.00
Bærum
1.00
Follo
1.00
Aalesund
1.00
Start
1.00
Pors Grenland
0.50
Flekkerøy
0.50
Kvik Halden
0.00
Ørn Horten
0.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
0.00
Varhaug
0.00
Rana
0.00
Sortland
0.00
Asker
0.00
Sverresborg
0.00
Vidar
0.00
Mosjøen
0.00
Gamle Oslo
0.00
Bjørkelangen
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Union Carl Berner
0.00
Ridabu
0.00
Sprint-Jeløy
0.00
Nordstrand
0.00
Flint
0.00
Os
0.00
Sandefjord
0.00
Byåsen
0.00
Fana
0.00
Ullern
0.00
Aalesund is 2.75 goals worse than Viking in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 3.75).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Tromso
0.00
Valerenga
0.40
Pors Grenland
0.50
Mjondalen
0.50
Flekkerøy
0.50
Aalesund
0.50
Fredrikstad
0.57
Arendal
0.67
Råde
0.67
Rosenborg
0.67
Molde
0.71
Stromsgodset
0.75
Lysekloster
0.75
Levanger
0.80
KFUM Oslo
0.83
Junkeren
1.00
Skjervøy
1.00
Vidar
1.00
Egersund
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Ranheim
1.00
Moss
1.00
Hønefoss
1.00
Skeid
1.00
Nordstrand
1.00
Start
1.00
Sandefjord
1.00
Byåsen
1.00
Raufoss
1.25
Bryne
1.25
Ham-Kam
1.25
Viking
1.25
hodd
1.33
Asane
1.33
Brann
1.33
Alta
1.33
Kjelsås
1.33
Bodo/Glimt
1.33
Stabaek
1.40
Træff
1.50
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.50
Kongsvinger
1.50
Lyn
1.50
jerv
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Eidsvold
1.50
Sogndal
1.67
Sandnes ULF
1.67
Kvik Halden
2.00
Asker
2.00
Lørenskog
2.00
Fram
2.00
Gamle Oslo
2.00
Tromsdalen Uil
2.00
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Brattvåg
2.00
Frigg
2.00
Notodden
2.00
Spjelkavik
2.00
Strindheim
2.00
Ull/Kisa
2.00
Os
2.00
Kristiansund BK
2.00
Fana
2.00
Ullern
2.00
Lillestrom
2.20
Melhus
2.50
Oppsal
2.50
Elverum
2.50
Bærum
2.50
Torvastad
2.50
Eik-Tønsberg
2.50
Innstranden
2.76
Varegg
2.76
Harstad
2.76
Nord
2.76
Våg
2.76
Eiger
2.76
Hana
2.76
Rindal
2.76
Teie
2.76
Hamna
2.76
Skedsmo
2.76
Verdal
2.76
Skjetten
2.76
Lillehammer
2.76
Melbo IL
2.76
Gneist
2.76
Vindbjart
2.76
SF Grei
2.76
Elnesvågen
2.76
Åssiden IF
2.76
IF Ready
2.76
Brumunddal
2.76
Ulfstind
2.76
Bjørnevatn
2.76
Kvik Trondheim
2.76
Konnerud
2.76
Rollon
2.76
NHHI
2.76
Ørn Horten
3.00
Rana
3.00
Trygg/Lade
3.00
Grorud
3.00
Brodd
3.00
Union Carl Berner
3.00
Sprint-Jeløy
3.00
Follo
3.00
Bjarg
3.50
Vard
3.50
Strommen
3.50
Fløya
3.50
Djerv
4.00
Mosjøen
4.00
Sotra
4.00
Nardo
4.00
Askøy
4.50
Gjøvik-Lyn
5.00
Varhaug
5.00
Sarpsborg
5.00
Ridabu
5.00
Fjøra
5.00
Sortland
6.00
Sverresborg
6.00
Sandviken (Norway)
6.00
Volda
6.00
Flint
6.00
Bjørkelangen
7.00
Aalesund is 0.75 goals better than Viking in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 1.25).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Aalesund or Draw✗ Miss
13.1%
Avg Implied -
4%
9%
87%
covers Aalesund + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aalesund or Viking✓ Hit
90.6%
Avg Implied -
4%
9%
87%
covers Aalesund + Viking
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Viking✓ Hit
96.2%
Avg Implied -
4%
9%
87%
covers Draw + Viking
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Aalesund over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
50.0%
Under
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
15.4%
Under
84.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.3%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.6%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viking over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
96.7%
Under
3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viking over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
85.4%
Under
14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viking over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
66.2%
Under
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viking over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
44.4%
Under
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Aalesund, so a minus line means Aalesund give that many goals of a start and Viking receive them. At -1, Aalesund must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Aalesund win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Aalesund)Actual: Viking
Aalesund -2
0.2%
Draw -2
0.8%
Viking +2
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Aalesund)Actual: Viking
Aalesund -1
1.0%
Draw -1
2.8%
Viking +1
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Aalesund)Actual: Draw
Aalesund +1
13.1%
Draw +1
15.1%
Viking -1
71.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Aalesund)Actual: Aalesund
Aalesund +2
28.2%
Draw +2
19.8%
Viking -2
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Aalesund
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.53
0.60
0.47
0.93
0.60
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.86
0.68
0.67
0.58
1.10
0.80
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
0.14
0.50
0.00
0.60
0.20
Clean sheet %
63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Viking) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viking
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.67
0.85
0.77
1.00
0.59
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.33
0.83
0.00
0.50
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (24)
1.08
0.62
1.00
0.82
1.15
0.46
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Aalesund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aalesund over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viking over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viking over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viking over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Aalesund
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.57
1.07
0.53
0.87
0.60
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.91
0.68
0.92
0.58
0.90
0.80
vs Weaker (7)
1.14
0.29
2.00
0.50
0.80
0.20
Clean sheet %
57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Viking) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viking
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
0.50
2.15
0.54
1.71
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.83
0.83
2.50
2.00
1.50
0.25
vs Weaker (24)
1.92
0.42
2.09
0.27
1.77
0.54
Clean sheet %
63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Aalesund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aalesund over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viking over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viking over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viking over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 3.5 goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away win
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 1.5 goals
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away -1 handicap
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Aalesund · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marcus Haagensen Reed38%
Kristian Lonebu31%
Mathias Christensen29%
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch29%
Henrik Melland21%
Jakob Nyland Örsahl11%
Ivan Djantou9%
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen6%
Uba Charles6%
Kristoffer Klaesson0%
Kristoffer Nessø0%
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson0%
Philip Sandvik Aukland0%
Ólafur Guðmundsson0%
Emil Engqvist0%
Hakon Butli Hammer0%
Aleksander Kjelsen0%
Luca Podlech0%
Elias Heggland Myrlid0%
Marius Andresen0%
Ulrik Syversen0%
Simen Haram0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson36%
Mathias Christensen29%
Marius Andresen27%
Marcus Haagensen Reed25%
Aleksander Kjelsen23%
Kristoffer Klaesson18%
Emil Engqvist18%
Philip Sandvik Aukland17%
Henrik Melland14%
Ólafur Guðmundsson13%
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen12%
Jakob Nyland Örsahl11%
Ulrik Syversen11%
Elias Heggland Myrlid8%
Simen Haram8%
Hakon Butli Hammer6%
Uba Charles6%
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch6%
Kristoffer Nessø0%
Luca Podlech0%
Ivan Djantou0%
Kristian Lonebu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch24%
Jakob Nyland Örsahl22%
Uba Charles18%
Hakon Butli Hammer12%
Marcus Haagensen Reed12%
Mathias Christensen12%
Ulrik Syversen11%
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson9%
Marius Andresen9%
Ivan Djantou9%
Henrik Melland7%
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen6%
Kristian Lonebu6%
Kristoffer Klaesson0%
Kristoffer Nessø0%
Philip Sandvik Aukland0%
Ólafur Guðmundsson0%
Emil Engqvist0%
Aleksander Kjelsen0%
Luca Podlech0%
Elias Heggland Myrlid0%
Simen Haram0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marcus Haagensen Reed38%
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson27%
Henrik Melland14%
Mathias Christensen12%
Marius Andresen9%
Kristian Lonebu6%
Uba Charles6%
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch6%
Kristoffer Klaesson0%
Kristoffer Nessø0%
Jakob Nyland Örsahl0%
Philip Sandvik Aukland0%
Ólafur Guðmundsson0%
Emil Engqvist0%
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen0%
Hakon Butli Hammer0%
Aleksander Kjelsen0%
Luca Podlech0%
Elias Heggland Myrlid0%
Ulrik Syversen0%
Simen Haram0%
Ivan Djantou0%
Viking
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Peter Christiansen37%
Vetle Auklend33%
Zlatko Tripić30%
Edvin Austbø21%
Martin Owe Roseth19%
Nicholas D'Agostino17%
Hilmir Rafn Mikaelsson17%
Simen Kvia-Egeskog17%
Henrik Sælebakke Falchener16%
Veton Berisha14%
Jošt Urbančič14%
Sander Svendsen12%
Sondre Flem Bjørshol11%
Kristoffer Askildsen10%
Joe Bell10%
Anders Baertelsen9%
Jakob Segadal Hansen8%
Henrik Heggheim6%
Kristoffer Haugen6%
Herman Johan Haugen5%
Arild Østbø0%
Gianni Stensness0%
Christian Cappis0%
Kristoffer Klaesson0%
Viljar Helland Vevatne0%
Thomas Kinn0%
Ruben Alte0%
Niklas Kemp Fuglestad0%
Vetle Auklend0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vetle Auklend33%
Vetle Auklend25%
Henrik Heggheim23%
Martin Owe Roseth19%
Zlatko Tripić19%
Hilmir Rafn Mikaelsson17%
Joe Bell16%
Henrik Sælebakke Falchener16%
Herman Johan Haugen15%
Veton Berisha14%
Jošt Urbančič14%
Kristoffer Haugen12%
Jakob Segadal Hansen12%
Kristoffer Askildsen10%
Anders Baertelsen9%
Nicholas D'Agostino8%
Edvin Austbø7%
Simen Kvia-Egeskog7%
Peter Christiansen3%
Arild Østbø0%
Gianni Stensness0%
Christian Cappis0%
Sander Svendsen0%
Kristoffer Klaesson0%
Sondre Flem Bjørshol0%
Viljar Helland Vevatne0%
Thomas Kinn0%
Ruben Alte0%
Niklas Kemp Fuglestad0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Zlatko Tripić37%
Edvin Austbø18%
Gianni Stensness17%
Kristoffer Askildsen14%
Joe Bell13%
Kristoffer Haugen12%
Sander Svendsen12%
Henrik Heggheim10%
Nicholas D'Agostino8%
Peter Christiansen7%
Simen Kvia-Egeskog7%
Sondre Flem Bjørshol5%
Herman Johan Haugen5%
Anders Baertelsen4%
Jakob Segadal Hansen4%
Arild Østbø0%
Christian Cappis0%
Kristoffer Klaesson0%
Viljar Helland Vevatne0%
Veton Berisha0%
Martin Owe Roseth0%
Jošt Urbančič0%
Thomas Kinn0%
Henrik Sælebakke Falchener0%
Ruben Alte0%
Hilmir Rafn Mikaelsson0%
Vetle Auklend0%
Niklas Kemp Fuglestad0%
Vetle Auklend0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Peter Christiansen20%
Sander Svendsen15%
Zlatko Tripić15%
Veton Berisha14%
Edvin Austbø14%
Henrik Sælebakke Falchener13%
Kristoffer Askildsen10%
Nicholas D'Agostino8%
Hilmir Rafn Mikaelsson8%
Anders Baertelsen4%
Jakob Segadal Hansen4%
Joe Bell3%
Henrik Heggheim3%
Arild Østbø0%
Gianni Stensness0%
Christian Cappis0%
Kristoffer Haugen0%
Kristoffer Klaesson0%
Sondre Flem Bjørshol0%
Viljar Helland Vevatne0%
Martin Owe Roseth0%
Jošt Urbančič0%
Thomas Kinn0%
Herman Johan Haugen0%
Ruben Alte0%
Simen Kvia-Egeskog0%
Vetle Auklend0%
Niklas Kemp Fuglestad0%
Vetle Auklend0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (24)
€75m
VIK (27)
€47m
MOL (26)
€35m
BRA (25)
€27m
ROS (23)
€23m
S0F (24)
€16m
VAL (22)
€16m
FRE (25)
€15m
TRO (22)
€15m
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
KB (21)
€13m
SAN (23)
€12m
HAM (24)
€10m
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
HAU (24)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
STR (22)
€7m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
STR (19)
€2m
Aalesund's squad is €34m less valuable than Viking's (€13m vs €47m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (10)
€21m
MOL (7)
€13m
BRA (10)
€11m
ROS (8)
€10m
S0F (10)
€9m
LIL (9)
€6m
VAL (7)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
SAN (8)
€4m
TRO (6)
€4m
HAM (10)
€4m
STR (9)
€3m
HAU (8)
€3m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
KO (8)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
STR (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Aalesund's attack is €16m less valuable than Viking's (€5m vs €21m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€27m
VIK (5)
€12m
MOL (8)
€7m
BRA (4)
€7m
VAL (6)
€5m
KB (6)
€4m
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
ROS (4)
€3m
S0F (5)
€3m
STA (8)
€3m
HAM (6)
€3m
TRO (5)
€3m
OB (7)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
SAN (4)
€2m
KO (5)
€2m
HAU (6)
€2m
STR (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
STR (4)
€0m
Aalesund's midfield is €8m less valuable than Viking's (€4m vs €12m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (10)
€26m
VIK (12)
€15m
MOL (11)
€15m
ROS (11)
€9m
BRA (11)
€9m
TRO (11)
€8m
FRE (16)
€8m
VAL (9)
€5m
SAN (11)
€5m
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
S0F (9)
€4m
HAM (8)
€4m
KO (11)
€4m
HAU (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
STR (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
STR (10)
€1m
Aalesund's defence is €11m less valuable than Viking's (€4m vs €15m).
Norway: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →
Norway: Eliteserien 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: Eliteserien stats & trends →
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hodd
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