This opponent (FC Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Copenhagen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
1.27
2.13
1.20
1.67
1.33
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
4.00
2.00
4.00
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.45
1.18
2.20
0.60
0.83
1.67
vs Weaker (18)
2.17
1.17
2.11
1.22
2.22
1.11
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.8%
Under 1.5
17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.2%
Under 2.5
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.9%
Under 3.5
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.8%
No
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
6.6%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
0-0
5.5%
1-3
5.3%
Aarhus goals ↓
FC Copenhagen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.5%
6.6%
6.6%
3.8%
1.6%
1
5.1%
12%
9.2%
5.3%
2.3%
2
4.3%
7.4%
6.4%
3.7%
1.6%
3
2.0%
3.4%
3.0%
1.7%
0.7%
4
0.7%
1.2%
1.0%
0.6%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aarhus goals (down), columns = FC Copenhagen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Aarhus
2.09
FC Midtjylland
1.88
FC Copenhagen
1.58
FC Nordsjaelland
1.56
Brondby
1.39
Viborg
1.38
Sonderjyske
1.38
Odense
1.28
Silkeborg
1.12
Randers FC
1.09
FC Fredericia
1.06
Vejle
0.75
Aarhus is 0.52 points better than FC Copenhagen in terms of average points per game (2.09 vs 1.58).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Midtjylland
2.25
FC Copenhagen
2.06
Aarhus
1.94
FC Nordsjaelland
1.59
Odense
1.59
Viborg
1.53
FC Fredericia
1.41
Sonderjyske
1.38
Brondby
1.36
Silkeborg
1.28
Vejle
1.12
Randers FC
1.03
Aarhus is 0.12 goals worse than FC Copenhagen in terms of goals scored per game (1.94 vs 2.06).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Aarhus
1.00
Brondby
1.09
FC Midtjylland
1.12
FC Copenhagen
1.36
FC Nordsjaelland
1.44
Randers FC
1.47
Sonderjyske
1.53
Viborg
1.59
Odense
1.88
Vejle
1.88
Silkeborg
2.09
FC Fredericia
2.12
Aarhus is 0.36 goals better than FC Copenhagen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.36).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
57%
FC Copenhagen
55%
FC Midtjylland
54%
Aarhus
54%
Odense
51%
Brondby
51%
Silkeborg
49%
Randers FC
48%
Viborg
48%
Vejle
45%
FC Fredericia
44%
Sonderjyske
44%
Aarhus is 1.5 percentage points worse than FC Copenhagen in terms of average possession (54% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Aarhus
For 5.2 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 10.0 · Total 20.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Copenhagen
For 5.6 · Against 3.3 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 9.7 · Total 22.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aarhus
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.6
9.5
3.3
3.7
3.0
22.0
21.7
22.2
vs Stronger (9)
11.1
10.5
11.6
4.3
3.2
5.2
20.1
18.5
21.4
vs Similar (38)
8.9
9.4
8.4
3.0
3.5
2.5
22.0
22.1
21.9
vs Weaker (3)
13.5
10.0
17.0
5.0
9.0
3.0
29.5
28.0
31.0
% over line
41%
36%
45%
46%
50%
42%
57%
59%
55%
% under line
59%
64%
55%
54%
50%
58%
43%
41%
45%
This opponent (FC Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Copenhagen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.7
7.7
7.8
3.5
3.9
3.1
22.6
23.0
22.2
vs Stronger (3)
6.3
6.0
7.0
3.7
4.0
3.0
16.0
16.0
16.0
vs Similar (18)
7.7
8.1
7.2
4.6
4.7
4.6
25.3
25.4
25.1
vs Weaker (29)
8.0
7.6
8.2
2.8
3.4
2.2
21.3
22.2
20.6
% over line
31%
32%
30%
46%
54%
38%
51%
50%
52%
% under line
69%
68%
70%
54%
46%
62%
49%
50%
48%
This opponent (Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Fredericia
11.1
Vejle
10.8
Viborg
10.5
FC Midtjylland
10.3
Odense
10.2
Sonderjyske
9.9
Randers FC
9.8
Aarhus
9.7
Brondby
9.5
Silkeborg
9.0
FC Nordsjaelland
8.4
FC Copenhagen
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Brondby
4.0
FC Copenhagen
4.0
Aarhus
3.9
FC Midtjylland
3.9
Sonderjyske
3.8
Viborg
3.8
Randers FC
3.8
Odense
3.8
FC Nordsjaelland
3.4
Vejle
3.2
Silkeborg
3.0
FC Fredericia
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Midtjylland
23.6
FC Copenhagen
23.1
Viborg
22.7
Aarhus
22.1
Odense
21.9
Randers FC
21.5
Sonderjyske
21.4
Vejle
21.2
Brondby
20.8
FC Nordsjaelland
20.1
Silkeborg
19.7
FC Fredericia
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
42.8%
Under 9.5
57.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
47.1%
Under 3.5
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
49.1%
Under 21.5
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Aarhus
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.53
0.93
0.40
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.43
0.00
0.33
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (22)
0.95
0.59
1.17
0.42
0.70
0.80
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Copenhagen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.43
0.87
0.33
0.67
0.53
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.36
0.45
0.60
0.20
0.17
0.67
vs Weaker (18)
1.00
0.39
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.44
Clean sheet %
63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Copenhagen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Copenhagen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Copenhagen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Aarhus
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.00
0.60
0.87
1.13
1.13
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
1.43
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.75
vs Similar (22)
0.86
0.86
0.58
0.83
1.20
0.90
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Copenhagen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.83
1.27
0.87
1.00
0.80
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
1.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.09
0.73
1.60
0.40
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (18)
1.17
0.78
1.11
0.89
1.22
0.67
Clean sheet %
50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Copenhagen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Copenhagen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Copenhagen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Aarhus
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tobias Bech31%
Patrick Mortensen28%
Kristian Arnstad26%
Rasmus Carstensen17%
Markus Solbakken17%
Gift Links12%
Frederik Emmery12%
Kevin Yakob12%
Janni Serra10%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson10%
Stefen Tchamche8%
Henrik Dalsgaard6%
Felix Beijmo6%
Frederik Tingager5%
Nicolai Poulsen5%
Sebastian Jørgensen4%
Jesper Hansen0%
Mads Emil Madsen0%
Magnus Knudsen0%
Eric Kahl0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Jacob Andersen0%
Luka Callø0%
James Bogere0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
James Bogere33%
Kristian Arnstad26%
Nicolai Poulsen25%
Felix Beijmo16%
Magnus Knudsen14%
Rasmus Carstensen12%
Gift Links12%
Eric Kahl12%
Frederik Tingager10%
Henrik Dalsgaard9%
Tobias Bech9%
Markus Solbakken8%
Kevin Yakob8%
Patrick Mortensen6%
Jesper Hansen3%
Mads Emil Madsen0%
Sebastian Jørgensen0%
Janni Serra0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Jacob Andersen0%
Luka Callø0%
Frederik Emmery0%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson0%
Stefen Tchamche0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gift Links16%
Mads Emil Madsen14%
Jacob Andersen14%
Kristian Arnstad13%
Tobias Bech12%
Felix Beijmo12%
Frederik Emmery12%
Nicolai Poulsen10%
Kevin Yakob8%
Sebastian Jørgensen7%
Frederik Tingager5%
Rasmus Carstensen4%
Henrik Dalsgaard3%
Eric Kahl3%
Patrick Mortensen0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Janni Serra0%
Magnus Knudsen0%
Markus Solbakken0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Luka Callø0%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson0%
Stefen Tchamche0%
James Bogere0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tobias Bech38%
James Bogere33%
Kristian Arnstad26%
Patrick Mortensen25%
Kevin Yakob15%
Gift Links12%
Nicolai Poulsen10%
Frederik Emmery4%
Henrik Dalsgaard0%
Frederik Tingager0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Rasmus Carstensen0%
Mads Emil Madsen0%
Sebastian Jørgensen0%
Janni Serra0%
Felix Beijmo0%
Magnus Knudsen0%
Markus Solbakken0%
Eric Kahl0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Jacob Andersen0%
Luka Callø0%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson0%
Stefen Tchamche0%
FC Copenhagen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Magnus Mattsson36%
Jordan Larsson32%
Youssoufa Moukoko25%
Viktor Bjarki Dadason25%
Mohamed Elyounoussi21%
Andreas Cornelius19%
Yoram Zague15%
Robert14%
Viktor Claesson14%
Elias Achouri12%
Mads Emil Madsen10%
Geovanni Vianney10%
Munashe Garananga9%
Aurélio Buta8%
Junnosuke Suzuki7%
Rodrigo Huescas6%
William Clem6%
Pantelis Hatzidiakos5%
Gabriel Pereira5%
Thomas Delaney4%
Lukas Lerager4%
Marcos López2%
Dominik Kotarski0%
Birger Meling0%
Zanka0%
Amir Richardson0%
Oliver Højer0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Amir Richardson50%
Lukas Lerager29%
Zanka25%
Mohamed Elyounoussi19%
Munashe Garananga18%
Thomas Delaney18%
Gabriel Pereira18%
Aurélio Buta17%
Oliver Højer17%
Birger Meling16%
Elias Achouri16%
Yoram Zague15%
Pantelis Hatzidiakos15%
Andreas Cornelius15%
Marcos López12%
Rodrigo Huescas11%
Junnosuke Suzuki10%
Geovanni Vianney10%
Viktor Claesson9%
William Clem8%
Robert6%
Youssoufa Moukoko6%
Dominik Kotarski4%
Jordan Larsson4%
Mads Emil Madsen3%
Magnus Mattsson0%
Viktor Bjarki Dadason0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rodrigo Huescas28%
Mohamed Elyounoussi23%
Elias Achouri19%
Jordan Larsson17%
Marcos López14%
Magnus Mattsson9%
Zanka8%
Yoram Zague8%
Andreas Cornelius7%
Thomas Delaney7%
Mads Emil Madsen7%
Robert6%
Youssoufa Moukoko6%
William Clem6%
Viktor Bjarki Dadason4%
Birger Meling4%
Lukas Lerager4%
Junnosuke Suzuki3%
Gabriel Pereira2%
Viktor Claesson2%
Dominik Kotarski2%
Aurélio Buta0%
Pantelis Hatzidiakos0%
Amir Richardson0%
Munashe Garananga0%
Oliver Højer0%
Geovanni Vianney0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Robert20%
Mohamed Elyounoussi16%
Youssoufa Moukoko14%
Elias Achouri12%
Viktor Bjarki Dadason12%
Andreas Cornelius11%
Jordan Larsson11%
Viktor Claesson9%
Magnus Mattsson9%
Junnosuke Suzuki7%
William Clem6%
Lukas Lerager4%
Gabriel Pereira2%
Marcos López2%
Thomas Delaney0%
Dominik Kotarski0%
Birger Meling0%
Zanka0%
Aurélio Buta0%
Mads Emil Madsen0%
Pantelis Hatzidiakos0%
Rodrigo Huescas0%
Amir Richardson0%
Munashe Garananga0%
Yoram Zague0%
Oliver Højer0%
Geovanni Vianney0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
Aarhus's squad is €38m less valuable than FC Copenhagen's (€36m vs €73m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
VEJ (7)
€3m
SON (6)
€3m
FF (5)
€2m
Aarhus's attack is €3m less valuable than FC Copenhagen's (€14m vs €17m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
FF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
VEJ (6)
€2m
Aarhus's midfield is €3m less valuable than FC Copenhagen's (€14m vs €17m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
Aarhus's defence is €31m less valuable than FC Copenhagen's (€8m vs €39m).
Denmark: Superliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
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FC Midtjylland
FC Nordsjaelland
Brondby
Viborg
Sonderjyske
Odense
Silkeborg
Randers FC
FC Fredericia
Vejle