Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Aarhus
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.30
0.93
0.20
0.87
0.40
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.67
0.00
vs Similar (23)
1.00
0.39
1.08
0.25
0.91
0.55
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Nordsjaelland
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.67
0.80
0.20
0.47
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.14
1.00
0.29
0.43
0.00
1.57
vs Weaker (16)
1.06
0.38
1.25
0.00
0.88
0.75
Clean sheet %
57% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Aarhus
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.70
0.87
0.67
1.07
0.73
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.83
0.33
0.33
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (23)
1.04
0.65
1.00
0.75
1.09
0.55
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Nordsjaelland
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.03
1.20
1.00
0.80
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.79
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.57
1.00
vs Weaker (16)
1.19
1.06
1.38
1.00
1.00
1.12
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś— Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Aarhus
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tobias Bech31%
Patrick Mortensen28%
Kristian Arnstad26%
Rasmus Carstensen17%
Markus Solbakken17%
Gift Links12%
Frederik Emmery12%
Kevin Yakob12%
Janni Serra10%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson10%
Stefen Tchamche8%
Henrik Dalsgaard6%
Felix Beijmo6%
Frederik Tingager5%
Nicolai Poulsen5%
Sebastian Jørgensen4%
Jesper Hansen0%
Mads Emil Madsen0%
Magnus Knudsen0%
Eric Kahl0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Jacob Andersen0%
Luka Callø0%
James Bogere0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
James Bogere33%
Kristian Arnstad26%
Nicolai Poulsen25%
Felix Beijmo16%
Magnus Knudsen14%
Rasmus Carstensen12%
Gift Links12%
Eric Kahl12%
Frederik Tingager10%
Henrik Dalsgaard9%
Tobias Bech9%
Markus Solbakken8%
Kevin Yakob8%
Patrick Mortensen6%
Jesper Hansen3%
Mads Emil Madsen0%
Sebastian Jørgensen0%
Janni Serra0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Jacob Andersen0%
Luka Callø0%
Frederik Emmery0%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson0%
Stefen Tchamche0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gift Links16%
Mads Emil Madsen14%
Jacob Andersen14%
Kristian Arnstad13%
Tobias Bech12%
Felix Beijmo12%
Frederik Emmery12%
Nicolai Poulsen10%
Kevin Yakob8%
Sebastian Jørgensen7%
Frederik Tingager5%
Rasmus Carstensen4%
Henrik Dalsgaard3%
Eric Kahl3%
Patrick Mortensen0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Janni Serra0%
Magnus Knudsen0%
Markus Solbakken0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Luka Callø0%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson0%
Stefen Tchamche0%
James Bogere0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tobias Bech38%
James Bogere33%
Kristian Arnstad26%
Patrick Mortensen25%
Kevin Yakob15%
Gift Links12%
Nicolai Poulsen10%
Frederik Emmery4%
Henrik Dalsgaard0%
Frederik Tingager0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Rasmus Carstensen0%
Mads Emil Madsen0%
Sebastian Jørgensen0%
Janni Serra0%
Felix Beijmo0%
Magnus Knudsen0%
Markus Solbakken0%
Eric Kahl0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Jacob Andersen0%
Luka Callø0%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson0%
Stefen Tchamche0%
FC Nordsjaelland
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexander Lind Rasmussen33%
Sindre Walle Egeli33%
Ola Solbakken29%
Ibrahim Adel27%
Prince Amoako Junior26%
Levy Nene20%
Lamine Sadio20%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim16%
Peter Ankersen10%
Nicklas Røjkjær9%
Juho Lähteenmäki7%
Justin Janssen7%
Caleb Yirenkyi7%
Tobias Salquist3%
Kian Hansen0%
Mark Brink0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Zidan Sertdemir0%
William Lykke0%
Lucas Høgsberg0%
Noah Markmann0%
Malte Heyde0%
Issaka Seidu0%
Markus Walker0%
Villum Berthelsen0%
Stephen Acquah0%
Hjalte Rasmussen0%
Victor Gustafsen0%
Villads Rutkjær0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Zidan Sertdemir33%
Lucas Høgsberg33%
Caleb Yirenkyi30%
Alexander Lind Rasmussen22%
Mark Brink21%
Justin Janssen21%
Peter Ankersen20%
Ibrahim Adel18%
Levy Nene15%
Markus Walker14%
Prince Amoako Junior13%
Tobias Salquist10%
Lamine Sadio10%
Villum Berthelsen10%
Nicklas Røjkjær9%
Noah Markmann8%
Ola Solbakken6%
Malte Heyde6%
Andreas Hansen4%
Juho Lähteenmäki4%
Kian Hansen0%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim0%
Sindre Walle Egeli0%
William Lykke0%
Issaka Seidu0%
Stephen Acquah0%
Hjalte Rasmussen0%
Victor Gustafsen0%
Villads Rutkjær0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sindre Walle Egeli33%
Nicklas Røjkjær18%
Caleb Yirenkyi17%
Prince Amoako Junior16%
Alexander Lind Rasmussen11%
Justin Janssen10%
Levy Nene10%
Lamine Sadio10%
Ibrahim Adel9%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim8%
Hjalte Rasmussen8%
Juho Lähteenmäki7%
Mark Brink7%
Ola Solbakken6%
Malte Heyde6%
Peter Ankersen3%
Kian Hansen0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Tobias Salquist0%
Zidan Sertdemir0%
William Lykke0%
Lucas Høgsberg0%
Noah Markmann0%
Issaka Seidu0%
Markus Walker0%
Villum Berthelsen0%
Stephen Acquah0%
Victor Gustafsen0%
Villads Rutkjær0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sindre Walle Egeli83%
Ibrahim Adel36%
Ola Solbakken29%
Alexander Lind Rasmussen28%
Prince Amoako Junior26%
Peter Ankersen10%
Lamine Sadio10%
Nicklas Røjkjær9%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim8%
Levy Nene5%
Justin Janssen3%
Kian Hansen0%
Mark Brink0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Tobias Salquist0%
Zidan Sertdemir0%
Juho Lähteenmäki0%
William Lykke0%
Lucas Høgsberg0%
Noah Markmann0%
Malte Heyde0%
Caleb Yirenkyi0%
Issaka Seidu0%
Markus Walker0%
Villum Berthelsen0%
Stephen Acquah0%
Hjalte Rasmussen0%
Victor Gustafsen0%
Villads Rutkjær0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
đź’° 14. Squad value
đź’° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
Aarhus and FC Nordsjaelland have a similar squad value (both €36m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
VEJ (7)
€3m
SON (6)
€3m
FF (5)
€2m
Aarhus's attack is €4m less valuable than FC Nordsjaelland's (€14m vs €18m).
đź§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
FF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
VEJ (6)
€2m
Aarhus's midfield is €7m more valuable than FC Nordsjaelland's (€14m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
Aarhus's defence is €4m less valuable than FC Nordsjaelland's (€8m vs €12m).
Denmark: Superliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →