Aarhus, the recent strugglers, are expected to bounce back against Odense. The home side's recent form has been marred by two consecutive defeats, but their home scoring and conceding statistics against similar opponents are impressive, with an average of 2.09 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per match. In contrast, Odense's away form has also been inconsistent, scoring 1.08 goals and conceding 1.25 per match against similar opponents.
The model predicts a home win, with a probability of 54%, while a draw is possible at 25% and an away win at 22%. The expected total number of goals is 3.0, with 2 being the most likely total. The most likely score is 1-1, occurring 11.6% of the time.
The model's selections include a Home or Draw pick, which is the most likely, at 82%, and a Home or Away pick at 75.7%. The Over 1.5 selection has a probability of 81%.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Aarhus, failed to deliver, as the match ended 2-2, a draw that surprised the model’s 52 % home-win prediction. Aarhus had just come off a draw, while Odense mirrored that form, both ending the game level. The model’s call was therefore incorrect. Every suggested pick was settled: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.3 %; Under 7.5 hit at 99.1 %; Away under 3.5 goals hit at 98.3 %; Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.0 %; Under 6.5 hit at 97.4 %; Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 94.7 %; Home +2 handicap hit at 93.5 %; and Under 5.5 hit at 93.1 %. All probabilities were expressed as percentages, and no other side was labeled favourite.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Aarhus winâś— Miss
51.9%
Avg Implied 53.2% · @ 1.76
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.82
Pinnacle
1.81
Dafabet
1.80
Superbet
1.80
SBO
1.76
Drawâś“ Hit
24.8%
Avg Implied 24.2% · @ 3.88
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.13
Marathonbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
4.00
Dafabet
3.90
Odense winâś— Miss
23.3%
Avg Implied 22.6% · @ 4.14
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
4.35
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Dafabet
4.20
888Sport
4.20
âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis
Aarhus
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.20
2.00
1.08
1.35
1.29
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
1.14
0.67
0.33
1.00
1.75
vs Similar (22)
1.86
1.18
2.40
1.30
1.42
1.08
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
2.00
-
-
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Odense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Odense
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.50
1.43
1.43
1.38
1.56
vs Stronger (7)
1.71
2.86
1.50
2.75
2.00
3.00
vs Similar (23)
1.30
1.09
1.40
0.90
1.23
1.23
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.9%
@ 1.18+2.5%
Under 1.5
18.1%
@ 4.56-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.20
Betfair
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Under
Pinnacle
4.85
Unibet
4.80
Superbet
4.70
BetVictor
4.60
Marathonbet
4.55
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.8%
@ 1.61+0.4%
Under 2.5
41.2%
@ 2.26-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.65
Superbet
1.63
10Bet
1.62
Betfair
1.62
Under
Pinnacle
2.34
Unibet
2.30
Superbet
2.30
Betfair
2.30
SBO
2.29
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.4%
@ 2.53-0.8%
Under 3.5
63.6%
@ 1.50+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Betano
2.62
Pinnacle
2.58
10Bet
2.55
Superbet
2.55
Under
Pinnacle
1.54
Superbet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Marathonbet
1.51
1xBet
1.51
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.9%
@ 1.58+1.2%
No
40.1%
@ 2.25-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.62
888Sport
1.62
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.59
No
Betfair
2.38
1xBet
2.28
Superbet
2.27
BetVictor
2.25
Betano
2.25
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%@ 7.08+5.2%
2-1
9.7%@ 7.56+3.8%
2-0
8.2%@ 9.17+3.3%
1-0
7.7%@ 8.28+2.3%
1-2
6.3%@ 12.57+2.7%
3-1
6.0%@ 11.91+2.3%
2-2 âś“
5.8%@ 12.15+2.1%
0-0
5.8%@ 13.39+2.4%
Aarhus goals ↓
Odense goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.8%
4.6%
3.4%
1.3%
0.4%
1
7.7%
12%
6.3%
2.5%
0.7%
2
8.2%
9.7%
5.8%
2.3%
0.7%
3
5.1%
6.0%
3.6%
1.4%
0.4%
4
2.4%
2.8%
1.7%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aarhus goals (down), columns = Odense goals (across).
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đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
FC Midtjylland
2.33
Viborg
2.17
FC Nordsjaelland
2.17
Brondby
2.17
Randers FC
1.17
AC Horsens
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Odense
0.83
Lyngby
0.50
Aarhus
0.50
Sonderjyske
0.17
Aarhus is 0.33 points worse than Odense in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 0.83).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
Brondby
1.83
Viborg
1.67
FC Midtjylland
1.67
FC Nordsjaelland
1.50
AC Horsens
1.33
Lyngby
1.17
Aarhus
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Sonderjyske
0.83
Randers FC
0.83
Odense
0.83
Aarhus is 0.33 goals better than Odense in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 0.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Viborg
0.67
FC Nordsjaelland
0.67
FC Midtjylland
0.83
Odense
1.17
Brondby
1.17
Randers FC
1.33
FC Copenhagen
1.33
Silkeborg
1.50
AC Horsens
1.67
Lyngby
1.83
Aarhus
1.83
Sonderjyske
2.17
Aarhus is 0.67 goals worse than Odense in terms of goals conceded per game (1.83 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
59%
Aarhus
58%
FC Midtjylland
55%
Brondby
55%
FC Copenhagen
52%
Lyngby
52%
Odense
51%
Silkeborg
47%
Viborg
47%
Randers FC
43%
AC Horsens
43%
Sonderjyske
39%
Aarhus is 6.8 percentage points better than Odense in terms of average possession (58% vs 51%).
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Aarhus or Drawâś“ Hit
82.0%
Avg Implied 77.5% · @ 1.21
Edge
+4.5%
52%
25%
23%
covers Aarhus + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
10Bet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Aarhus or Odenseâś— Miss
75.7%
Avg Implied 76.2% · @ 1.23
Edge
-0.5%
52%
25%
23%
covers Aarhus + Odense
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.26
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Draw or Odenseâś“ Hit
42.4%
Avg Implied 46.3% · @ 2.02
Edge
-4.0%
52%
25%
23%
covers Draw + Odense
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.10
Unibet
2.08
SBO
2.07
888Sport
2.05
Marathonbet
2.04
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Aarhus over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
84.7%
@ 1.12+1.4%
Under
15.3%
@ 5.57-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
888Sport
1.13
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Under
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.95
888Sport
5.50
Unibet
5.50
Aarhus over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
56.0%
@ 1.66-0.3%
Under
44.0%
@ 2.14+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.70
Betano
1.70
Bet365
1.67
888Sport
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Under
Pinnacle
2.21
Betfair
2.20
Unibet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.17
1xBet
2.17
Aarhus over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
29.1%
@ 3.07-1.1%
Under
70.9%
@ 1.33+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.17
888Sport
3.10
Marathonbet
3.05
Under
Pinnacle
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Unibet
1.34
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Aarhus over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
12.2%
@ 6.39-2.3%
Under
87.8%
@ 1.08+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
888Sport
6.50
1xBet
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Unibet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Odense over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
62.1%
@ 1.37-5.7%
Under
37.9%
@ 2.87+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.38
Superbet
1.37
Under
Pinnacle
3.05
Marathonbet
2.93
1xBet
2.93
Superbet
2.92
Betfair
2.88
Odense over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
25.3%
@ 2.84-7.6%
Under
74.7%
@ 1.39+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.95
Betfair
2.88
888Sport
2.88
1xBet
2.82
Under
Pinnacle
1.43
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.41
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Odense over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.5%
@ 7.14-5.6%
Under
92.5%
@ 1.07+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
888Sport
7.50
Marathonbet
7.40
1xBet
7.40
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
888Sport
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Odense over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 18.81-3.4%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
23.00
888Sport
23.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Aarhus, so a minus line means Aarhus give that many goals of a start and Odense receive them. At -1, Aarhus must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Aarhus win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Aarhus)Actual: Odense
Aarhus -2
16.3%
@ 5.67+0.6%
Draw -2
18.0%
@ 4.94-0.1%
Odense +2
65.6%
@ 1.35-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.65
Superbet
5.45
Draw
Marathonbet
5.30
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
4.90
10Bet
4.75
Away
Unibet
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.33
Handicap -1 (Aarhus)Actual: Odense
Aarhus -1
34.4%
@ 2.89+3.3%
Draw -1
23.3%
@ 3.69-1.1%
Odense +1
42.4%
@ 2.02-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Marathonbet
2.88
10Bet
2.88
Superbet
2.87
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.74
Superbet
3.70
10Bet
3.60
Unibet
3.60
Away
Unibet
2.06
Marathonbet
2.04
10Bet
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Handicap +1 (Aarhus)Actual: Aarhus
Aarhus +1
82.0%
@ 1.20+7.2%
Draw +1
11.5%
@ 5.93-3.7%
Odense -1
6.5%
@ 8.95-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.10
Betfair
6.00
Unibet
5.80
Superbet
5.70
Away
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
9.50
Unibet
9.00
Marathonbet
9.00
10Bet
8.50
Handicap +2 (Aarhus)Actual: Aarhus
Aarhus +2
93.5%
@ 1.04+4.4%
Draw +2
4.8%
@ 13.00-2.4%
Odense -2
1.7%
@ 24.50-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Draw
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
13.00
Away
Betfair
26.00
Bet365
23.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Aarhus
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.37
0.77
0.31
0.88
0.41
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.43
0.33
0.00
0.75
0.75
vs Similar (22)
0.91
0.36
0.90
0.40
0.92
0.33
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Odense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Odense
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.77
0.50
0.86
0.56
0.69
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
2.00
0.25
2.00
0.33
2.00
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.39
0.60
0.40
0.62
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.3%
@ 1.28-0.4%
Under 0.5
27.7%
@ 3.42+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Marathonbet
1.27
Under
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.50
Superbet
3.50
William Hil
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
37.4%
@ 2.36-2.2%
Under 1.5
62.6%
@ 1.54+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.50
Pinnacle
2.43
William Hil
2.40
Betfair
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Under
10Bet
1.60
Superbet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.57
Unibet
1.55
BetVictor
1.54
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
13.6%
@ 5.46-3.4%
Under 2.5
86.4%
@ 1.12+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
5.50
William Hil
5.50
Betano
5.40
Marathonbet
5.40
Under
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.14
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
58.6%
@ 1.64+1.8%
Under
41.4%
@ 2.15-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.66
1xBet
1.65
Superbet
1.63
Unibet
1.62
Under
Pinnacle
2.24
10Bet
2.20
Unibet
2.17
Superbet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.14
Aarhus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
20.4%
@ 4.11-2.1%
Under
79.6%
@ 1.20+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.33
Betano
4.25
1xBet
4.20
Unibet
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Under
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betano
1.20
Unibet
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Aarhus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.3%
@ 10.65-3.5%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.03+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Unibet
11.50
1xBet
10.00
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Unibet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Odense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
34.9%
@ 2.28-5.9%
Under
65.1%
@ 1.57+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.40
Unibet
2.32
Betano
2.32
Superbet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.26
Under
10Bet
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.58
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Odense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
7.8%
@ 7.55-4.4%
Under
92.2%
@ 1.06+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.70
Unibet
7.50
Superbet
7.50
1xBet
7.50
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Unibet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Odense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.7%
@ 28.00-99.3%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
28.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Aarhus
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.83
1.23
0.77
0.47
0.88
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.71
0.33
0.33
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.95
0.82
1.50
0.90
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Odense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Odense
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.73
0.93
0.57
0.81
0.88
vs Stronger (7)
1.43
0.86
1.25
0.75
1.67
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.70
0.70
0.80
0.50
0.62
0.85
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.5%
@ 1.16+0.4%
Under 0.5
19.5%
@ 4.67-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.14
Under
1xBet
4.85
Marathonbet
4.85
Unibet
4.80
Superbet
4.70
Betano
4.65
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
48.2%
@ 1.82-2.9%
Under 1.5
51.8%
@ 1.91+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Under
Betano
1.95
Unibet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.93
1xBet
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
21.2%
@ 3.59-4.7%
Under 2.5
78.8%
@ 1.26+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.65
1xBet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.50
Under
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
66.9%
@ 1.45+2.9%
Under
33.1%
@ 2.58-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.45
1xBet
1.45
Under
Betano
2.62
Superbet
2.57
1xBet
2.55
Aarhus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
30.3%
@ 3.06+0.0%
Under
69.7%
@ 1.33-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.10
1xBet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.04
Betano
3.00
Under
Betano
1.36
Marathonbet
1.32
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Aarhus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
8.1%
@ 7.63-4.0%
Under
91.9%
@ 1.05+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.30
Superbet
7.70
Betano
6.90
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Odense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
39.3%
@ 1.90-9.5%
Under
60.7%
@ 1.81+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.90
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
Under
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.81
Superbet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
Odense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.0%
@ 5.54-6.6%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.11+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.05
Superbet
5.50
1xBet
5.50
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
Odense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 14.50-4.5%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Under 7.5
99.1%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.3%
âś“ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
-
+3.4%
âś“ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.5%
âś“ Hit
Under 6.5
97.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+3.2%
âś“ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.7%
1.03
Betano
1.03
Unibet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
+3.5%
âś“ Hit
Home +2 handicap
93.5%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
-
-
-
+4.4%
âś“ Hit
Under 5.5
93.1%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
+4.0%
âś“ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
92.5%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
888Sport
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
+5.6%
âś“ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.2%
1.06
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Unibet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
+4.4%
âś— Miss
Home under 2.5 2H goals
91.9%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
-
-
+4.0%
âś“ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
90.0%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
-
+6.6%
âś“ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
87.8%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Unibet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
+2.3%
âś“ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.4%
1.12
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.14
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.11
+3.4%
âś— Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
84.7%
1.12
Betano
1.15
888Sport
1.13
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
+1.4%
âś“ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś— Miss
Under 4.5
84.0%
1.18
Pinnacle
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.19
+4.6%
âś“ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś— Miss
Home or Draw
82.0%
1.21
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
10Bet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
+4.5%
âś“ Hit
Home +1 handicap
82.0%
1.20
Superbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.19
+7.2%
âś“ Hit
Over 1.5
81.9%
1.18
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.20
Betfair
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
+2.5%
âś“ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.5%
1.16
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.14
+0.4%
âś“ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
79.6%
1.20
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betano
1.20
Unibet
1.20
1xBet
1.18
+2.1%
âś“ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.8%
1.26
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
+4.7%
âś“ Hit
Home or Away
75.7%
1.23
Superbet
1.26
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
888Sport
1.25
-0.5%
âś— Miss
Over 8.5 corners
74.8%
1.34
Superbet
1.44
Betano
1.35
Unibet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.29
+6.8%
âś“ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
74.7%
1.39
Pinnacle
1.43
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.41
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
+7.6%
âś— Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.3%
1.28
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Marathonbet
1.27
-0.4%
âś“ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
70.9%
1.33
Pinnacle
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Unibet
1.34
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
+1.1%
âś“ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
70.7%
1.36
Unibet
1.36
Superbet
1.36
-
-
-
+3.7%
âś— Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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đź’° 14. Squad value
đź’° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
Aarhus's squad is €18m more valuable than Odense's (€36m vs €17m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
SON (6)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
Aarhus's attack is €6m more valuable than Odense's (€14m vs €8m).
🧠Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
AH (6)
€2m
Aarhus's midfield is €11m more valuable than Odense's (€14m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
Aarhus's defence is €1m more valuable than Odense's (€8m vs €7m).
Denmark: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Copenhagen
FC Midtjylland
Viborg
FC Nordsjaelland
Brondby
AC Horsens
Randers FC
Silkeborg
Lyngby
Sonderjyske