This opponent (Silkeborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Silkeborg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.60
1.62
1.75
1.21
1.43
vs Stronger (12)
1.67
1.83
2.00
2.00
1.20
1.60
vs Similar (18)
1.28
1.44
1.33
1.56
1.22
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.8%
Under 1.5
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.3%
Under 2.5
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
21.5%
Under 3.5
78.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.5%
No
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0
12.2%
0-0
10.6%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.7%
Aarhus goals ↓
Silkeborg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
7.4%
4.0%
1.2%
0.3%
1
12%
14%
5.8%
1.8%
0.4%
2
9.7%
9.0%
4.2%
1.3%
0.3%
3
4.7%
4.3%
2.0%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.7%
1.6%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aarhus goals (down), columns = Silkeborg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Midtjylland
1.97
Brondby
1.94
FC Copenhagen
1.88
FC Nordsjaelland
1.81
Aarhus
1.38
Viborg
1.25
Randers FC
1.24
Silkeborg
1.12
Lyngby
1.12
Vejle
1.12
Odense
1.00
Hvidovre
0.62
Aarhus is 0.25 points better than Silkeborg in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 1.12).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
2.00
FC Midtjylland
1.94
FC Nordsjaelland
1.88
Brondby
1.88
Aarhus
1.31
Randers FC
1.27
Silkeborg
1.22
Lyngby
1.22
Viborg
1.19
Odense
1.16
Vejle
1.00
Hvidovre
0.84
Aarhus is 0.09 goals better than Silkeborg in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.22).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Nordsjaelland
1.06
Brondby
1.09
Vejle
1.12
FC Copenhagen
1.18
FC Midtjylland
1.34
Aarhus
1.44
Viborg
1.50
Odense
1.50
Randers FC
1.55
Silkeborg
1.56
Lyngby
1.66
Hvidovre
1.91
Aarhus is 0.12 goals better than Silkeborg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 1.56).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
57%
Brondby
55%
FC Copenhagen
54%
Silkeborg
53%
Hvidovre
51%
Viborg
50%
Odense
49%
Randers FC
49%
Aarhus
49%
FC Midtjylland
47%
Lyngby
47%
Vejle
40%
Aarhus is 4.0 percentage points worse than Silkeborg in terms of average possession (49% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Aarhus
For 4.8 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 12.5 · Total 22.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Silkeborg
For 5.2 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.6 · Against 10.3 · Total 18.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aarhus
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (37)
9.5
9.9
9.1
3.8
3.6
4.1
23.0
22.4
23.6
vs Stronger (8)
10.0
12.0
8.5
3.4
2.8
4.0
23.4
21.3
25.0
vs Similar (24)
9.5
9.5
9.5
4.0
3.8
4.3
22.2
21.8
22.5
vs Weaker (5)
8.6
9.0
8.3
3.4
3.5
3.3
26.2
27.5
25.3
% over line
42%
50%
33%
51%
47%
56%
53%
50%
56%
% under line
58%
50%
67%
49%
53%
44%
47%
50%
44%
This opponent (Silkeborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Silkeborg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (43)
9.4
9.5
9.2
2.7
2.8
2.7
16.1
15.7
16.6
vs Stronger (18)
8.9
9.3
8.6
3.1
3.3
2.8
14.8
14.7
15.0
vs Similar (25)
9.7
9.7
9.7
2.5
2.4
2.7
17.1
16.5
17.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
46%
43%
50%
33%
27%
38%
10%
10%
10%
% under line
54%
57%
50%
67%
73%
62%
90%
90%
90%
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Hvidovre
11.7
Odense
10.8
Brondby
10.7
Randers FC
10.6
Lyngby
10.5
FC Midtjylland
9.9
FC Copenhagen
9.7
Aarhus
9.5
Silkeborg
9.4
Vejle
9.3
FC Nordsjaelland
9.1
Viborg
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Copenhagen
5.0
Vejle
4.7
FC Midtjylland
4.6
Brondby
4.4
FC Nordsjaelland
4.4
Odense
4.0
Lyngby
4.0
Aarhus
3.9
Viborg
3.9
Randers FC
3.8
Silkeborg
3.2
Hvidovre
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Hvidovre
25.0
Vejle
24.3
Aarhus
23.0
Lyngby
22.6
FC Midtjylland
22.0
FC Nordsjaelland
21.3
Randers FC
21.0
Viborg
20.2
FC Copenhagen
20.2
Odense
19.9
Brondby
19.7
Silkeborg
16.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
47.7%
Under 9.5
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
50.5%
Under 3.5
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
41.9%
Under 21.5
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Aarhus
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.43
0.62
0.38
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.43
0.25
0.00
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.50
0.73
0.55
0.44
0.44
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Silkeborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Silkeborg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.77
0.81
0.69
0.36
0.86
vs Stronger (12)
0.67
1.17
0.86
1.00
0.40
1.40
vs Similar (18)
0.56
0.50
0.78
0.44
0.33
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Silkeborg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Silkeborg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Silkeborg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Aarhus
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.63
0.75
0.75
0.64
0.50
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
1.14
0.00
0.75
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (20)
0.85
0.55
1.00
0.82
0.67
0.22
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Silkeborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Silkeborg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.83
0.81
1.06
0.86
0.57
vs Stronger (12)
1.00
0.67
1.14
1.00
0.80
0.20
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.94
0.56
1.11
0.89
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Silkeborg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Silkeborg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Silkeborg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Aarhus
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Patrick Mortensen33%
Tobias Anker23%
Tobias Bech19%
Magnus Knudsen11%
Janni Serra11%
Nicolai Poulsen8%
Frederik Tingager6%
Mikkel Duelund6%
Mads Emil Madsen5%
Felix Beijmo4%
Mikael Anderson3%
Eric Kahl3%
Tobias Mølgaard0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Frederik Brandhof0%
Bailey Peacock-Farrell0%
Mats Knoester0%
Gift Links0%
Michael Akoto0%
Peter Bjur0%
Thomas Kristensen0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Julius Beck0%
Jacob Andersen0%
Mathias Sauer0%
Tobias Bach0%
Adam Daghim0%
Luka Callø0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Thomas Kristensen43%
Nicolai Poulsen38%
Frederik Brandhof26%
Jacob Andersen26%
Eric Kahl23%
Felix Beijmo22%
Magnus Knudsen22%
Mikael Anderson16%
Mads Emil Madsen14%
Mats Knoester14%
Julius Beck14%
Tobias Bech13%
Gift Links11%
Tobias Mølgaard11%
Bailey Peacock-Farrell10%
Michael Akoto8%
Jesper Hansen7%
Mikkel Duelund6%
Patrick Mortensen3%
Frederik Tingager0%
Janni Serra0%
Peter Bjur0%
Tobias Anker0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Mathias Sauer0%
Tobias Bach0%
Adam Daghim0%
Luka Callø0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gift Links18%
Felix Beijmo15%
Patrick Mortensen12%
Frederik Brandhof11%
Mikael Anderson10%
Michael Akoto8%
Tobias Bech6%
Eric Kahl6%
Janni Serra5%
Jacob Andersen5%
Magnus Knudsen4%
Mikkel Duelund0%
Frederik Tingager0%
Tobias Mølgaard0%
Nicolai Poulsen0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Mads Emil Madsen0%
Bailey Peacock-Farrell0%
Mats Knoester0%
Peter Bjur0%
Tobias Anker0%
Thomas Kristensen0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Julius Beck0%
Mathias Sauer0%
Tobias Bach0%
Adam Daghim0%
Luka Callø0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mikael Anderson19%
Patrick Mortensen18%
Tobias Bech16%
Mikkel Duelund11%
Felix Beijmo7%
Mads Emil Madsen5%
Nicolai Poulsen4%
Frederik Tingager3%
Tobias Mølgaard0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Frederik Brandhof0%
Bailey Peacock-Farrell0%
Janni Serra0%
Mats Knoester0%
Magnus Knudsen0%
Gift Links0%
Michael Akoto0%
Peter Bjur0%
Eric Kahl0%
Tobias Anker0%
Thomas Kristensen0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Julius Beck0%
Jacob Andersen0%
Mathias Sauer0%
Tobias Bach0%
Adam Daghim0%
Luka Callø0%
Silkeborg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexander Lind29%
Stefán Teitur Þórðarson25%
Tonni Adamsen18%
Søren Tengstedt18%
Callum McCowatt16%
Pelle Mattsson7%
Anders Klynge7%
Oliver Sonne3%
Kasper Kusk0%
Mark Brink0%
Mads Larsen0%
Jens Martin Gammelby0%
Andreas Pyndt0%
Nicolai Larsen0%
Lukas Engel0%
Andreas Poulsen0%
Tobias Salquist0%
Lubambo Musonda0%
Joel Felix0%
Pontus Rödin0%
Robin Østrøm0%
Alexander Busch0%
Frederik Carlsen0%
Frederik Rieper0%
Asbjorn Bøndergaard0%
Oscar Boesen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alexander Busch24%
Pelle Mattsson21%
Oliver Sonne19%
Mark Brink16%
Joel Felix14%
Tobias Salquist12%
Lubambo Musonda12%
Stefán Teitur Þórðarson11%
Alexander Lind11%
Tonni Adamsen7%
Mads Larsen7%
Kasper Kusk5%
Anders Klynge4%
Jens Martin Gammelby0%
Andreas Pyndt0%
Nicolai Larsen0%
Lukas Engel0%
Andreas Poulsen0%
Callum McCowatt0%
Pontus Rödin0%
Søren Tengstedt0%
Robin Østrøm0%
Frederik Carlsen0%
Frederik Rieper0%
Asbjorn Bøndergaard0%
Oscar Boesen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lukas Engel33%
Tonni Adamsen25%
Anders Klynge14%
Alexander Lind11%
Robin Østrøm10%
Oliver Sonne10%
Kasper Kusk9%
Mark Brink6%
Lubambo Musonda4%
Stefán Teitur Þórðarson4%
Callum McCowatt3%
Mads Larsen0%
Jens Martin Gammelby0%
Andreas Pyndt0%
Nicolai Larsen0%
Pelle Mattsson0%
Andreas Poulsen0%
Tobias Salquist0%
Joel Felix0%
Pontus Rödin0%
Søren Tengstedt0%
Alexander Busch0%
Frederik Carlsen0%
Frederik Rieper0%
Asbjorn Bøndergaard0%
Oscar Boesen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stefán Teitur Þórðarson18%
Tonni Adamsen14%
Søren Tengstedt12%
Alexander Lind11%
Callum McCowatt6%
Kasper Kusk0%
Mark Brink0%
Mads Larsen0%
Jens Martin Gammelby0%
Andreas Pyndt0%
Nicolai Larsen0%
Pelle Mattsson0%
Lukas Engel0%
Andreas Poulsen0%
Tobias Salquist0%
Lubambo Musonda0%
Joel Felix0%
Pontus Rödin0%
Oliver Sonne0%
Robin Østrøm0%
Anders Klynge0%
Alexander Busch0%
Frederik Carlsen0%
Frederik Rieper0%
Asbjorn Bøndergaard0%
Oscar Boesen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
LYN (22)
€13m
VEJ (22)
€9m
HVI (21)
€5m
Aarhus's squad is €16m more valuable than Silkeborg's (€36m vs €19m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
VEJ (7)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
HVI (6)
€2m
Aarhus's attack is €8m more valuable than Silkeborg's (€14m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
RF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
VEJ (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
Aarhus's midfield is €8m more valuable than Silkeborg's (€14m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
RF (10)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
VEJ (9)
€4m
HVI (9)
€2m
Aarhus and Silkeborg have a similar defence value (both €8m).
Denmark: Superliga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
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FC Midtjylland
FC Copenhagen
Brondby
FC Nordsjaelland
Randers FC
Viborg
Vejle
Lyngby
Odense
Hvidovre