Aarhus faces Silkeborg with the model favouring a home win, a 56% chance of victory, a 23% draw and a 21% away win. The expected total of 3.4 goals points to a high-scoring game, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.1% probability. Aarhus, playing at home against a similarly strong opponent, averages 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, while Silkeborg on the road averages 1.45 scored and 1.82 conceded. Recent form shows Aarhus struggling after three straight defeats, 0-2 at FC Midtjylland, whereas Silkeborg has drawn 1-1 against the same opponent. The model’s selections include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.7%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.3% with a 6% edge, Under 7.5 at 97.8% with a 2% edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.1% with a 2% edge, Under 6.5 at 94.4% with a 2% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 93.4% with a 5% edge, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 92.9% with a 5% edge, and Home +2 handicap at 90.9% with a 1% edge.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Aarhus win
55.9%
Avg Implied 62.0% · @ 1.50
Edge
-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.55
Dafabet
1.54
Betano
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
10Bet
1.50
Draw
22.6%
Avg Implied 20.5% · @ 4.55
Edge
+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.77
Betfair
4.75
Unibet
4.70
Dafabet
4.70
Superbet
4.65
Silkeborg win
21.5%
Avg Implied 17.5% · @ 5.32
Edge
+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
5.75
Unibet
5.60
Betfair
5.50
Betano
5.50
1xBet
5.46
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Aarhus
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.37
1.79
1.29
1.31
1.44
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
1.71
0.25
1.50
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (22)
1.82
1.23
2.40
1.20
1.33
1.25
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
2.00
-
-
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Silkeborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Silkeborg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
2.07
1.00
1.57
1.06
2.50
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
3.18
0.83
2.50
0.20
4.00
vs Similar (19)
1.32
1.42
1.12
0.88
1.45
1.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
85.9%
@ 1.11+1.5%
Under 1.5
14.1%
@ 6.00-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Pinnacle
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Under
Betfair
6.50
Unibet
6.50
Pinnacle
6.05
BetVictor
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65.5%
@ 1.41-0.9%
Under 2.5
34.5%
@ 2.79+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.47
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
10Bet
1.42
Under
Unibet
3.05
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.85
Betano
2.80
10Bet
2.80
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
43.6%
@ 2.07-2.0%
Under 3.5
56.4%
@ 1.73+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.15
Betano
2.12
Pinnacle
2.11
Bet365
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Under
Unibet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.76
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Betfair
1.73
Both teams to score
Yes
63.9%
@ 1.51+2.5%
No
36.1%
@ 2.41-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.55
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.53
William Hil
1.53
Betfair
1.53
No
Unibet
2.48
Betfair
2.45
BetVictor
2.45
1xBet
2.44
William Hil
2.40
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.1%@ 8.77+4.9%
2-1
9.6%@ 7.73+3.7%
2-0
7.6%@ 9.00+2.6%
3-1
6.8%@ 10.01+2.2%
1-0
6.3%@ 9.81+1.7%
2-2
6.1%@ 12.70+2.5%
1-2
5.8%@ 15.29+2.8%
3-0
5.4%@ 11.58+1.4%
Aarhus goals ↓
Silkeborg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.3%
3.4%
2.7%
1.2%
0.4%
1
6.3%
10%
5.8%
2.4%
0.8%
2
7.6%
9.6%
6.1%
2.6%
0.8%
3
5.4%
6.8%
4.3%
1.8%
0.6%
4
2.8%
3.6%
2.3%
1.0%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aarhus goals (down), columns = Silkeborg goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
FC Midtjylland
2.33
Viborg
2.17
FC Nordsjaelland
2.17
Brondby
2.17
Randers FC
1.17
AC Horsens
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Odense
0.83
Lyngby
0.50
Aarhus
0.50
Sonderjyske
0.17
Aarhus is 0.33 points worse than Silkeborg in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 0.83).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
Brondby
1.83
Viborg
1.67
FC Midtjylland
1.67
FC Nordsjaelland
1.50
AC Horsens
1.33
Lyngby
1.17
Aarhus
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Sonderjyske
0.83
Randers FC
0.83
Odense
0.83
Aarhus is 0.33 goals better than Silkeborg in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 0.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Viborg
0.67
FC Nordsjaelland
0.67
FC Midtjylland
0.83
Odense
1.17
Brondby
1.17
Randers FC
1.33
FC Copenhagen
1.33
Silkeborg
1.50
AC Horsens
1.67
Lyngby
1.83
Aarhus
1.83
Sonderjyske
2.17
Aarhus is 0.33 goals worse than Silkeborg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.83 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
59%
Aarhus
58%
FC Midtjylland
55%
Brondby
55%
FC Copenhagen
52%
Lyngby
52%
Odense
51%
Silkeborg
47%
Viborg
47%
Randers FC
43%
AC Horsens
43%
Sonderjyske
39%
Aarhus is 10.8 percentage points better than Silkeborg in terms of average possession (58% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Aarhus
For 5.7 · Against 5.4 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 13.5 · Total 26.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Silkeborg
For 4.2 · Against 5.7 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.6 · Total 2.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.3 · Against 11.0 · Total 18.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aarhus
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.0
9.7
3.4
3.6
3.2
24.8
24.5
25.2
vs Stronger (11)
10.9
10.4
11.5
3.6
3.3
4.0
26.6
27.4
25.5
vs Similar (37)
9.7
9.9
9.5
3.4
3.7
3.1
24.1
23.6
24.7
vs Weaker (2)
6.0
-
6.0
2.5
-
2.5
33.0
-
33.0
% over line
48%
45%
50%
48%
56%
40%
70%
68%
73%
% under line
52%
55%
50%
52%
44%
60%
30%
32%
27%
This opponent (Silkeborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Silkeborg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.0
9.4
2.7
3.0
2.4
19.2
19.2
19.1
vs Stronger (18)
9.6
10.1
9.0
2.8
2.8
2.8
18.4
18.6
18.1
vs Similar (30)
9.8
9.9
9.7
2.8
3.1
2.5
19.6
19.5
19.7
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
51%
50%
52%
36%
45%
29%
31%
32%
30%
% under line
49%
50%
48%
64%
55%
71%
69%
68%
70%
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Odense
11.0
AC Horsens
10.6
FC Midtjylland
10.4
Sonderjyske
10.2
Lyngby
10.1
Randers FC
9.9
Viborg
9.8
FC Copenhagen
9.6
Aarhus
9.6
Silkeborg
9.6
Brondby
9.6
FC Nordsjaelland
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Brondby
4.6
FC Midtjylland
4.3
Aarhus
3.9
Lyngby
3.9
AC Horsens
3.8
FC Nordsjaelland
3.8
Sonderjyske
3.7
Viborg
3.7
FC Copenhagen
3.7
Randers FC
3.4
Odense
3.3
Silkeborg
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Midtjylland
28.1
Viborg
24.9
Brondby
24.5
Aarhus
24.3
Lyngby
24.1
FC Copenhagen
23.8
Randers FC
22.1
Odense
21.8
Sonderjyske
21.8
FC Nordsjaelland
21.6
AC Horsens
19.9
Silkeborg
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
58.3%
@ 1.58-0.2%
Under 9.5
41.7%
@ 2.23+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.65
Betano
1.60
Unibet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.56
Marathonbet
1.53
Under
Pinnacle
2.38
Betano
2.25
Marathonbet
2.24
Unibet
2.17
Superbet
2.12
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
49.4%
@ 1.89+0.3%
Under 3.5
50.6%
@ 1.82-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.90
Superbet
1.88
Under
Betano
1.85
Superbet
1.80
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
61.1%
Under 21.5
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Aarhus or Draw
78.5%
Avg Implied 82.2% · @ 1.14
Edge
-3.7%
56%
23%
21%
covers Aarhus + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
BetVictor
1.15
William Hil
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Aarhus or Silkeborg
77.4%
Avg Implied 80.1% · @ 1.17
Edge
-2.7%
56%
23%
21%
covers Aarhus + Silkeborg
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
Draw or Silkeborg
44.1%
Avg Implied 37.7% · @ 2.49
Edge
+6.4%
56%
23%
21%
covers Draw + Silkeborg
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.63
Unibet
2.60
Betano
2.55
Marathonbet
2.50
1xBet
2.50
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Aarhus over/under 0.5
Over
87.9%
@ 1.06-0.2%
Under
12.1%
@ 7.83+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.03
Under
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.00
1xBet
8.00
Unibet
8.00
Superbet
7.20
Aarhus over/under 1.5
Over
62.3%
@ 1.40-4.4%
Under
37.7%
@ 2.80+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.44
Betano
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Under
Unibet
3.00
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.87
1xBet
2.82
Marathonbet
2.78
Aarhus over/under 2.5
Over
35.3%
@ 2.27-5.8%
Under
64.7%
@ 1.58+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.37
Superbet
2.35
BetVictor
2.30
Marathonbet
2.28
1xBet
2.28
Under
Unibet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.60
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
Aarhus over/under 3.5
Over
16.3%
@ 4.31-5.2%
Under
83.7%
@ 1.18+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
Superbet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.33
Under
Betano
1.21
Unibet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Silkeborg over/under 0.5
Over
71.7%
@ 1.38+4.4%
Under
28.3%
@ 2.83-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.38
Under
Pinnacle
2.97
Unibet
2.88
BetVictor
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.84
Silkeborg over/under 1.5
Over
36.0%
@ 2.87+3.5%
Under
64.0%
@ 1.38-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.94
Marathonbet
2.91
1xBet
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Under
Pinnacle
1.41
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Unibet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Silkeborg over/under 2.5
Over
13.4%
@ 7.20+0.5%
Under
86.6%
@ 1.07-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
7.70
Marathonbet
7.70
Betfair
7.50
Superbet
7.10
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Silkeborg over/under 3.5
Over
3.9%
@ 18.08-1.4%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.01+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
23.00
Superbet
20.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Aarhus, so a minus line means Aarhus give that many goals of a start and Silkeborg receive them. At -1, Aarhus must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Aarhus win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Aarhus)
Aarhus -2
17.5%
@ 3.87-5.7%
Draw -2
17.1%
@ 4.49-2.9%
Silkeborg +2
65.4%
@ 1.58+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Superbet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.90
Unibet
3.60
Draw
Marathonbet
4.75
Bet365
4.75
Superbet
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Unibet
4.20
Away
Unibet
1.63
Superbet
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Marathonbet
1.54
Handicap -1 (Aarhus)
Aarhus -1
34.6%
@ 2.20-6.1%
Draw -1
21.3%
@ 3.81-2.1%
Silkeborg +1
44.1%
@ 2.49+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Superbet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.23
Betfair
2.10
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.84
Superbet
3.75
Unibet
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Away
Unibet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.50
Betfair
2.50
Bet365
2.50
10Bet
2.45
Handicap +1 (Aarhus)
Aarhus +1
78.5%
@ 1.13+0.8%
Draw +1
12.4%
@ 6.43-1.3%
Silkeborg -1
9.1%
@ 10.18+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Unibet
1.12
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Unibet
7.00
Marathonbet
4.80
Away
Bet365
13.00
Unibet
11.00
Marathonbet
6.55
Handicap +2 (Aarhus)
Aarhus +2
90.9%
@ 1.04-0.2%
Draw +2
6.1%
@ 17.00+0.6%
Silkeborg -2
2.9%
@ 29.00-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Draw
Bet365
17.00
Away
Bet365
29.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Aarhus
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.53
0.57
0.50
0.81
0.56
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.71
0.00
0.50
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.82
0.50
0.80
0.50
0.83
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Silkeborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Silkeborg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.93
0.57
0.71
0.69
1.12
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
1.36
0.83
1.17
0.20
1.60
vs Similar (19)
0.68
0.68
0.38
0.38
0.91
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
73.8%
@ 1.21-3.0%
Under 0.5
26.2%
@ 4.00+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.24
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.94
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
40.5%
@ 2.06-4.9%
Under 1.5
59.5%
@ 1.71+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.18
Pinnacle
2.11
Bet365
2.10
Superbet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
Under
10Bet
1.77
Unibet
1.74
Betfair
1.73
Pinnacle
1.72
Superbet
1.72
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
16.3%
@ 4.39-4.9%
Under 2.5
83.7%
@ 1.18+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
Betano
4.45
1xBet
4.45
Under
Betano
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 HT
Over
60.6%
@ 1.46-3.2%
Under
39.4%
@ 2.57+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.47
1xBet
1.45
10Bet
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.67
Unibet
2.65
10Bet
2.60
1xBet
2.55
Superbet
2.50
Aarhus over/under 1.5 HT
Over
24.4%
@ 3.17-4.9%
Under
75.6%
@ 1.31+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.34
Betano
3.30
Superbet
3.20
10Bet
3.10
Unibet
3.05
Under
Unibet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Aarhus over/under 2.5 HT
Over
6.0%
@ 7.88-5.8%
Under
94.0%
@ 1.05+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.20
Superbet
8.00
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.70
Unibet
7.50
Under
Betano
1.06
Unibet
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Silkeborg over/under 0.5 HT
Over
37.3%
@ 2.30-3.1%
Under
62.7%
@ 1.56+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.43
Betano
2.35
Marathonbet
2.31
Superbet
2.30
Unibet
2.30
Under
10Bet
1.60
1xBet
1.58
Superbet
1.56
Unibet
1.56
Pinnacle
1.55
Silkeborg over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.9%
@ 7.65-4.2%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.05+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.00
Superbet
7.70
1xBet
7.60
Unibet
7.50
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Unibet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Silkeborg over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.2%
@ 30.00-98.8%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
30.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Aarhus
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.83
1.21
0.79
0.50
0.88
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.00
0.25
1.00
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (22)
1.00
0.73
1.60
0.70
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Silkeborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Silkeborg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
1.13
0.43
0.86
0.38
1.38
vs Stronger (11)
0.00
1.82
0.00
1.33
0.00
2.40
vs Similar (19)
0.63
0.74
0.75
0.50
0.55
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
82.6%
@ 1.12-0.5%
Under 0.5
17.4%
@ 5.53+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Under
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.80
Marathonbet
5.65
Betano
5.50
Superbet
5.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
49.0%
@ 1.64-8.0%
Under 1.5
51.0%
@ 2.17+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.70
William Hil
1.70
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Under
Unibet
2.33
Betano
2.25
Marathonbet
2.18
1xBet
2.18
Superbet
2.12
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.6%
@ 2.96-10.9%
Under 2.5
79.4%
@ 1.36+10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.25
Superbet
3.15
Bet365
3.00
1xBet
2.89
Marathonbet
2.89
Under
Unibet
1.41
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 2H
Over
66.8%
@ 1.31-4.2%
Under
33.2%
@ 3.20+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.33
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Under
1xBet
3.30
Betano
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Superbet
3.05
Aarhus over/under 1.5 2H
Over
31.0%
@ 2.44-6.9%
Under
69.0%
@ 1.49+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.52
10Bet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.43
Betano
2.40
1xBet
2.36
Under
Betano
1.53
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.46
Aarhus over/under 2.5 2H
Over
9.4%
@ 5.54-7.3%
Under
90.6%
@ 1.11+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.80
10Bet
5.75
1xBet
5.50
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Silkeborg over/under 0.5 2H
Over
43.1%
@ 1.94-4.8%
Under
56.9%
@ 1.77+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.93
1xBet
1.90
Under
1xBet
1.80
Betano
1.80
Superbet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.76
10Bet
1.75
Silkeborg over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.7%
@ 5.76-5.3%
Under
89.3%
@ 1.10+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.20
10Bet
6.00
Superbet
5.70
1xBet
5.60
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
Silkeborg over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.2%
@ 17.00-3.4%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.01+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Superbet
19.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
97.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+2.1%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+3.4%
Away under 3.5 goals
96.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+1.4%
Under 6.5
94.4%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Betfair
1.03
+2.5%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.0%
1.05
Betano
1.06
Unibet
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
+5.8%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.1%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Unibet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
+4.2%
Home +2 handicap
90.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-0.2%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
90.6%
1.11
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
-
+7.3%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.3%
1.10
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
+5.3%
Home over 0.5 goals
87.9%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.03
-0.2%
Under 5.5
87.4%
1.10
Unibet
1.13
Betano
1.13
Pinnacle
1.12
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.11
+2.4%
Away under 2.5 goals
86.6%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
10Bet
1.07
-0.5%
Over 1.5
85.9%
1.11
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Pinnacle
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
+1.5%
Under 5.5 cards
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
83.7%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Unibet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
+5.2%
Under 2.5 HT goals
83.7%
1.18
Betano
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
+4.9%
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.6%
1.12
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.10
-0.5%
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.4%
1.36
Unibet
1.41
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
+10.9%
Home or Draw
78.5%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
BetVictor
1.15
William Hil
1.15
10Bet
1.15
-3.7%
Home +1 handicap
78.5%
1.13
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Unibet
1.12
-
-
+0.8%
Home or Away
77.4%
1.17
Superbet
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
-2.7%
Over 19.5 fouls
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
75.6%
1.31
Unibet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.30
+4.9%
Under 4.5
74.9%
1.30
Unibet
1.34
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
Superbet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
+2.6%
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.8%
1.21
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.24
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
10Bet
1.20
-3.0%
Away over 0.5 goals
71.7%
1.38
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.38
+4.4%
Under 25.5 fouls
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
70.5%
1.36
Superbet
1.36
-
-
-
-
+4.4%
Over 8.5 corners
70.3%
1.35
Superbet
1.41
Betano
1.36
Unibet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.28
-
+2.1%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Aarhus
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kristian Arnstad38%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson33%
Frederik Tingager25%
J. Bogere22%
J. Jønsson20%
J. Serra14%
R. Carstensen12%
Tobias Bech11%
Frederik Emmery11%
S. Jørgensen0%
Mikael Anderson0%
M. Hedenstad Christiansen0%
M. Knudsen0%
Gift Links0%
M. Solbakken0%
C. Rösler0%
Eric Kahl0%
J. Andersen0%
Luka Callø0%
Stefen Tchamche0%
Christian Storch0%
Mouhammade Camara0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Knudsen33%
Christian Storch33%
Mouhammade Camara29%
C. Rösler25%
Stefen Tchamche25%
Eric Kahl22%
Frederik Emmery22%
Gift Links20%
Mikael Anderson14%
J. Andersen14%
R. Carstensen12%
Kristian Arnstad12%
J. Bogere11%
Frederik Tingager0%
S. Jørgensen0%
Tobias Bech0%
J. Serra0%
M. Hedenstad Christiansen0%
J. Jønsson0%
M. Solbakken0%
Luka Callø0%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
S. Jørgensen33%
M. Solbakken33%
M. Knudsen22%
Kristian Arnstad12%
Tobias Bech11%
Eric Kahl11%
Frederik Emmery11%
Frederik Tingager0%
R. Carstensen0%
J. Serra0%
Mikael Anderson0%
M. Hedenstad Christiansen0%
Gift Links0%
J. Jønsson0%
C. Rösler0%
J. Andersen0%
Luka Callø0%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson0%
Stefen Tchamche0%
Christian Storch0%
J. Bogere0%
Mouhammade Camara0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
S. Jørgensen33%
J. Bogere33%
Frederik Emmery22%
J. Serra14%
Tobias Bech11%
Frederik Tingager0%
R. Carstensen0%
Mikael Anderson0%
M. Hedenstad Christiansen0%
M. Knudsen0%
Gift Links0%
J. Jønsson0%
M. Solbakken0%
Kristian Arnstad0%
C. Rösler0%
Eric Kahl0%
J. Andersen0%
Luka Callø0%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson0%
Stefen Tchamche0%
Christian Storch0%
Mouhammade Camara0%
Silkeborg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Callum McCowatt40%
Oliver Ross33%
William Kirk17%
Mads Larsen0%
Jens Martin Gammelby0%
Younes Bakiz0%
Rami Al Hajj0%
Sofus Berger0%
Robin Østrøm0%
Aske Andrésen0%
Alexander Simmelhack0%
Julius Lorents0%
Villads Westh0%
Alexander Priesborg0%
Lucas Riisgaard0%
William Møller0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Callum McCowatt60%
William Møller40%
Robin Østrøm17%
Alexander Priesborg17%
Lucas Riisgaard17%
Mads Larsen0%
Jens Martin Gammelby0%
Younes Bakiz0%
Rami Al Hajj0%
Sofus Berger0%
Oliver Ross0%
Aske Andrésen0%
Alexander Simmelhack0%
Julius Lorents0%
Villads Westh0%
William Kirk0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Callum McCowatt40%
Oliver Ross17%
Mads Larsen0%
Jens Martin Gammelby0%
Younes Bakiz0%
Rami Al Hajj0%
Sofus Berger0%
Robin Østrøm0%
Aske Andrésen0%
Alexander Simmelhack0%
Julius Lorents0%
Villads Westh0%
Alexander Priesborg0%
Lucas Riisgaard0%
William Kirk0%
William Møller0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Oliver Ross17%
Mads Larsen0%
Jens Martin Gammelby0%
Younes Bakiz0%
Rami Al Hajj0%
Callum McCowatt0%
Sofus Berger0%
Robin Østrøm0%
Aske Andrésen0%
Alexander Simmelhack0%
Julius Lorents0%
Villads Westh0%
Alexander Priesborg0%
Lucas Riisgaard0%
William Kirk0%
William Møller0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
Aarhus's squad is €16m more valuable than Silkeborg's (€36m vs €19m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
SON (6)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
Aarhus's attack is €8m more valuable than Silkeborg's (€14m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
AH (6)
€2m
Aarhus's midfield is €8m more valuable than Silkeborg's (€14m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
Aarhus and Silkeborg have a similar defence value (both €8m).
Denmark: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Copenhagen
FC Midtjylland
Viborg
FC Nordsjaelland
Brondby
AC Horsens
Randers FC
Odense
Lyngby
Sonderjyske