This opponent (Hibernian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hibernian
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.60
1.87
1.27
1.20
1.93
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
4.00
0.50
4.00
1.33
4.00
vs Similar (11)
1.73
1.64
2.33
1.00
1.00
2.40
vs Weaker (14)
1.57
0.71
1.86
0.71
1.29
0.71
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.3%
Under 1.5
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.6%
@ 1.87+3.2%
Under 2.5
46.4%
@ 1.90-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.3%
Under 3.5
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.4%
No
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.9%
1-0
10.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.9%
0-0 ✓
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
2-2
4.0%
Aberdeen goals ↓
Hibernian goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.9%
3.9%
2.0%
0.5%
0.1%
1
11%
11%
4.0%
1.1%
0.2%
2
12%
9.8%
4.0%
1.1%
0.2%
3
7.9%
6.5%
2.7%
0.7%
0.2%
4
4.0%
3.3%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aberdeen goals (down), columns = Hibernian goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Celtic
2.61
Partick
2.50
Rangers
2.42
Aberdeen
1.50
Heart Of Midlothian
1.42
Hibernian
1.37
Motherwell
1.32
Livingston
1.21
ST Mirren
1.21
ST Johnstone
1.13
Kilmarnock
1.05
Ross County
0.93
Dundee Utd
0.82
Queen's Park
0.00
Ayr Utd
0.00
Aberdeen is 0.13 points better than Hibernian in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.37).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Partick
3.17
Celtic
3.00
Rangers
2.45
Heart Of Midlothian
1.66
Hibernian
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Aberdeen
1.47
Motherwell
1.39
ST Mirren
1.13
ST Johnstone
1.08
Dundee Utd
1.05
Ross County
1.00
Kilmarnock
0.97
Livingston
0.95
Ayr Utd
0.00
Aberdeen is 0.03 goals worse than Hibernian in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Celtic
0.89
Rangers
0.97
Partick
1.00
Motherwell
1.34
Heart Of Midlothian
1.50
Hibernian
1.55
ST Johnstone
1.55
Ross County
1.57
Livingston
1.58
Aberdeen
1.58
ST Mirren
1.61
Kilmarnock
1.63
Dundee Utd
1.84
Queen's Park
4.00
Ayr Utd
4.00
Aberdeen is 0.03 goals worse than Hibernian in terms of goals conceded per game (1.58 vs 1.55).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Aberdeen
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Hibernian
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Aberdeen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.5
10.4
1.5
1.3
1.7
28.9
26.9
31.0
vs Stronger (9)
8.5
4.0
13.0
0.8
0.8
0.8
28.0
28.0
28.0
vs Similar (20)
9.6
7.5
11.0
1.1
1.1
1.0
28.2
29.0
27.7
vs Weaker (21)
10.4
11.4
9.2
2.2
1.7
2.8
29.6
25.8
34.2
% over line
50%
50%
50%
18%
16%
20%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
50%
50%
50%
82%
84%
80%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Hibernian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hibernian
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.7
10.4
1.4
1.4
1.5
25.4
24.3
26.9
vs Stronger (8)
13.5
12.0
15.0
1.5
1.8
1.2
27.0
25.0
29.0
vs Similar (17)
9.6
11.0
7.5
1.2
0.9
1.6
25.4
24.0
27.5
vs Weaker (25)
10.4
10.2
10.8
1.6
1.8
1.5
25.1
24.4
26.0
% over line
69%
78%
57%
20%
15%
25%
88%
89%
86%
% under line
31%
22%
43%
80%
85%
75%
12%
11%
14%
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.6
ST Mirren
11.1
Dundee Utd
10.7
Motherwell
10.7
Rangers
10.7
Ross County
10.4
Aberdeen
10.0
ST Johnstone
10.0
Hibernian
9.9
Heart Of Midlothian
9.9
Kilmarnock
9.8
Partick
9.8
Livingston
9.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Rangers
4.3
Hibernian
4.2
Aberdeen
4.2
Heart Of Midlothian
4.1
Livingston
4.0
Motherwell
4.0
Ross County
3.9
ST Johnstone
3.8
Dundee Utd
3.8
Partick
3.5
ST Mirren
3.3
Kilmarnock
3.3
Celtic
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Motherwell
26.7
Aberdeen
26.6
Livingston
25.1
Hibernian
24.5
Heart Of Midlothian
24.1
Ross County
24.1
ST Johnstone
24.0
Kilmarnock
23.9
ST Mirren
23.0
Dundee Utd
22.7
Rangers
21.4
Celtic
20.7
Partick
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
58.1%
Under 9.5
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
59.8%
Under 3.5
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
75.3%
Under 21.5
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Aberdeen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.70
0.87
0.13
0.40
1.27
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.83
0.33
0.33
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (14)
0.86
0.93
1.43
0.14
0.29
1.71
vs Weaker (10)
0.50
0.30
0.40
0.00
0.60
0.60
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Hibernian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hibernian
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.70
1.00
0.60
0.53
0.80
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
1.60
0.50
2.00
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (11)
0.55
0.82
0.83
0.67
0.20
1.00
vs Weaker (14)
0.93
0.29
1.29
0.14
0.57
0.43
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aberdeen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Aberdeen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.87
1.27
0.53
0.47
1.20
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.33
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.67
vs Similar (14)
1.00
0.86
1.29
0.29
0.71
1.43
vs Weaker (10)
0.90
0.60
1.40
0.60
0.40
0.60
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Hibernian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hibernian
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.90
0.87
0.67
0.67
1.13
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
2.40
0.00
2.00
0.33
2.67
vs Similar (11)
1.18
0.82
1.50
0.33
0.80
1.40
vs Weaker (14)
0.64
0.43
0.57
0.57
0.71
0.29
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aberdeen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Aberdeen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes35%
Bojan Miovski30%
Vicente Besuijen17%
Leighton Clarkson15%
Matthew Pollock13%
Matthew Kennedy10%
Graeme Shinnie8%
Ross McCrorie6%
Connor Barron6%
Anthony Stewart5%
Ryan Duncan4%
Marley Watkins4%
Jonny Hayes3%
Liam Scales3%
Ylber Ramadani3%
Callum Roberts0%
Hayden Coulson0%
Kelle Roos0%
Angus MacDonald0%
Jay Gorter0%
Joe Lewis0%
Jack Mackenzie0%
Christian Ramirez0%
Patrik Myslovič0%
Jayden Richardson0%
Dilan Markanday0%
Shayden Morris0%
Dante Polvara0%
Alfie Bavidge0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jay Gorter25%
Marley Watkins23%
Graeme Shinnie23%
Ylber Ramadani22%
Liam Scales19%
Hayden Coulson18%
Jonny Hayes17%
Jack Mackenzie17%
Bojan Miovski16%
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes16%
Jayden Richardson16%
Ross McCrorie15%
Leighton Clarkson15%
Matthew Pollock13%
Angus MacDonald13%
Connor Barron12%
Matthew Kennedy10%
Ryan Duncan9%
Anthony Stewart5%
Callum Roberts0%
Kelle Roos0%
Joe Lewis0%
Christian Ramirez0%
Patrik Myslovič0%
Dilan Markanday0%
Shayden Morris0%
Vicente Besuijen0%
Dante Polvara0%
Alfie Bavidge0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Leighton Clarkson21%
Jonny Hayes17%
Connor Barron12%
Christian Ramirez11%
Ylber Ramadani8%
Matthew Pollock7%
Liam Scales6%
Jack Mackenzie6%
Vicente Besuijen6%
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes5%
Anthony Stewart5%
Matthew Kennedy5%
Marley Watkins4%
Hayden Coulson4%
Bojan Miovski3%
Ross McCrorie0%
Callum Roberts0%
Kelle Roos0%
Angus MacDonald0%
Jay Gorter0%
Joe Lewis0%
Graeme Shinnie0%
Patrik Myslovič0%
Jayden Richardson0%
Dilan Markanday0%
Shayden Morris0%
Ryan Duncan0%
Dante Polvara0%
Alfie Bavidge0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bojan Miovski22%
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes16%
Graeme Shinnie8%
Matthew Pollock7%
Angus MacDonald7%
Connor Barron6%
Vicente Besuijen6%
Anthony Stewart5%
Matthew Kennedy5%
Liam Scales3%
Ross McCrorie3%
Leighton Clarkson3%
Jonny Hayes0%
Ylber Ramadani0%
Callum Roberts0%
Hayden Coulson0%
Kelle Roos0%
Marley Watkins0%
Jay Gorter0%
Joe Lewis0%
Jack Mackenzie0%
Christian Ramirez0%
Patrik Myslovič0%
Jayden Richardson0%
Dilan Markanday0%
Shayden Morris0%
Ryan Duncan0%
Dante Polvara0%
Alfie Bavidge0%
Hibernian
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kevin Nisbet47%
Martin Boyle42%
Mykola Kukharevych33%
Thody Elie Youan19%
Ryan Porteous14%
William Fish14%
Josh Campbell14%
Matthew Hoppe11%
Kyle Magennis8%
Nohan Kenneh7%
Lewis Stevenson4%
Ewan Henderson3%
Joe Newell3%
Paul Hanlon3%
Christopher Cadden3%
James Jeggo0%
Lewis Miller0%
Rocky Bushiri Kiranga0%
Marijan Čabraja0%
Christian Doidge0%
Jake Doyle Hayes0%
David Marshall0%
Aiden McGeady0%
Demetri Mitchell0%
Elias Hoff Melkersen0%
Harry McKirdy0%
Jair Tavares0%
CJ Egan-Riley0%
Momodou Bojang0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jake Doyle Hayes41%
CJ Egan-Riley36%
Ryan Porteous33%
James Jeggo31%
Marijan Čabraja28%
Kevin Nisbet26%
Martin Boyle25%
Josh Campbell25%
Kyle Magennis23%
Paul Hanlon21%
Rocky Bushiri Kiranga20%
Harry McKirdy18%
Lewis Stevenson18%
Joe Newell18%
Christopher Cadden14%
Mykola Kukharevych13%
Ewan Henderson10%
Thody Elie Youan8%
David Marshall8%
Elias Hoff Melkersen8%
Nohan Kenneh7%
Lewis Miller0%
Christian Doidge0%
Aiden McGeady0%
Demetri Mitchell0%
William Fish0%
Jair Tavares0%
Matthew Hoppe0%
Momodou Bojang0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aiden McGeady22%
Christian Doidge20%
Thody Elie Youan17%
Joe Newell15%
Matthew Hoppe11%
Ewan Henderson10%
Martin Boyle8%
Josh Campbell8%
Christopher Cadden8%
Elias Hoff Melkersen8%
Mykola Kukharevych7%
Paul Hanlon6%
Kevin Nisbet5%
Marijan Čabraja4%
James Jeggo0%
Lewis Miller0%
Rocky Bushiri Kiranga0%
Jake Doyle Hayes0%
David Marshall0%
Ryan Porteous0%
Lewis Stevenson0%
Demetri Mitchell0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Harry McKirdy0%
William Fish0%
Jair Tavares0%
CJ Egan-Riley0%
Nohan Kenneh0%
Momodou Bojang0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kevin Nisbet47%
Thody Elie Youan33%
Mykola Kukharevych33%
Christian Doidge20%
Martin Boyle17%
Kyle Magennis15%
Ryan Porteous14%
Josh Campbell11%
Matthew Hoppe11%
Ewan Henderson10%
William Fish10%
Joe Newell9%
Rocky Bushiri Kiranga7%
Christopher Cadden5%
Marijan Čabraja4%
James Jeggo0%
Lewis Miller0%
Jake Doyle Hayes0%
David Marshall0%
Aiden McGeady0%
Paul Hanlon0%
Lewis Stevenson0%
Demetri Mitchell0%
Elias Hoff Melkersen0%
Harry McKirdy0%
Jair Tavares0%
CJ Egan-Riley0%
Nohan Kenneh0%
Momodou Bojang0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
Aberdeen's squad is €5m less valuable than Hibernian's (€15m vs €20m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RC (1)
€0m
Aberdeen's attack is €4m less valuable than Hibernian's (€4m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
RC (3)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
Aberdeen's midfield is €3m less valuable than Hibernian's (€4m vs €8m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
Aberdeen's defence is €2m more valuable than Hibernian's (€7m vs €5m).
Scotland: Premiership 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →