Aberdeen are clear favourites, the model giving them a 73% chance of victory, a 17% draw and only 10% for Kelty Hearts. The pick is a home win, driven by Aberdeen’s strong home form - averaging two goals scored and conceding just 1.29 against weaker opponents - while Kelty Hearts struggle away. The expected total is 3.5 goals, with the most likely total of three goals at 22%. The single most probable scoreline is 2-0, a 10.4% chance, reflecting Aberdeen’s defensive solidity and Kelty Hearts’ limited away scoring. Aberdeen’s recent 3-0 win over Dundee underscores their form, and Kelty Hearts’ 3-1 victory over Dumbarton shows they can score but are still vulnerable on the road. Suggested picks include Under 25.5 fouls (99.8%), Under 23.5 fouls (99.2% miss), Away under 3.5 goals (98.7% hit), Under 21.5 fouls (97.5% miss), Under 7.5 (97.5% hit), Home +2 handicap (96.7% hit), Away under 2.5 goals (93.9% hit) and Under 6.5 (93.8% hit). All probabilities are presented as percentages.
Results analysis
Aberdeen’s win over Kelty Hearts extended their winning run, with a 3-0 triumph confirming the model’s prediction of a home victory. The model, favouring a home win with a 73% probability, was correct. The most likely scoreline of 2-0, 2-1 or 3-0 materialised as a 3-0 result, the highest-probability 3-goal outcome. The model’s selections largely hit: Under 25.5 fouls (99.8%) and Under 23.5 fouls (99.2%) saw the former hit and the latter miss, while Away under 3.5 goals (98.7%) and Home +2 handicap (96.7%) both succeeded. Other picks such as Under 21.5 fouls (97.5%) and Under 7.5 (97.5%) missed, yet Under 6.5 (93.8%) and Away under 2.5 goals (93.9%) hit, underscoring the model’s overall accuracy.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Aberdeen win✓ Hit
72.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
17.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts win✗ Miss
10.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Aberdeen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.60
1.53
1.07
0.67
2.13
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
2.43
0.33
1.67
0.50
3.00
vs Similar (10)
0.80
0.80
1.60
0.40
0.00
1.20
vs Weaker (13)
1.69
1.77
2.00
1.29
1.33
2.33
Clean sheet %
20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kelty Hearts
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.53
0.87
1.40
1.00
1.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.04
1.56
1.00
1.46
1.08
1.67
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
1.40
0.00
1.00
0.67
1.67
Clean sheet %
17% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.6%
Under 1.5
13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.0%
Under 2.5
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
45.3%
Under 3.5
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.1%
No
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-0 ✓
8.9%
1-1
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
1-0
7.4%
4-0
5.7%
4-1
5.1%
Aberdeen goals ↓
Kelty Hearts goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.9%
2.1%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
1
7.4%
7.9%
3.2%
1.0%
0.2%
2
10%
9.3%
4.1%
1.2%
0.3%
3
8.9%
7.9%
3.5%
1.0%
0.2%
4
5.7%
5.1%
2.3%
0.7%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aberdeen goals (down), columns = Kelty Hearts goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.60
Partick
2.50
ST Johnstone
2.40
Alloa Athletic
2.40
Motherwell
2.29
ST Mirren
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Celtic
2.25
Airdrie United
2.25
Kilmarnock
2.20
Falkirk
2.00
Rangers
2.00
Ayr Utd
1.80
Morton
1.80
Ross County
1.75
Cove Rangers
1.75
Queen's Park
1.50
Aberdeen
1.50
Livingston
1.50
Inverness CT
1.50
Raith Rovers
1.50
Dundee
1.50
Hibernian
1.50
Dumbarton
1.50
East Kilbride
1.50
Spartans
1.50
Clyde
1.25
Stranraer
1.25
Arbroath
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.00
Forfar
1.00
East Fife
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Montrose
0.75
Queen of the South
0.75
Kelty Hearts
0.33
Edinburgh City
0.25
Annan Athletic
0.25
Elgin
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Dundee Utd
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Peterhead
0.00
Aberdeen is 1.17 points better than Kelty Hearts in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 0.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Heart Of Midlothian
3.40
Raith Rovers
3.25
Celtic
3.00
ST Johnstone
3.00
Falkirk
3.00
Ayr Utd
2.80
ST Mirren
2.75
Ross County
2.75
East Kilbride
2.75
Rangers
2.33
Queen's Park
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Inverness CT
2.25
Partick
2.17
Morton
2.00
Livingston
2.00
Airdrie United
2.00
Dundee
2.00
Kilmarnock
1.80
Alloa Athletic
1.80
Motherwell
1.57
Arbroath
1.50
Aberdeen
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Cove Rangers
1.25
Annan Athletic
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Peterhead
1.00
Spartans
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Forfar
0.75
East Fife
0.67
Elgin
0.50
Dumbarton
0.50
Stranraer
0.50
Edinburgh City
0.25
Kelty Hearts
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Aberdeen is 1.50 goals better than Kelty Hearts in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 0.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.40
Aberdeen
0.50
Cove Rangers
0.50
Kilmarnock
0.60
ST Johnstone
0.60
Dundee
0.75
Stranraer
0.75
Ayr Utd
1.00
Partick
1.00
Livingston
1.00
Airdrie United
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Ross County
1.00
Motherwell
1.00
Falkirk
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
ST Mirren
1.12
Arbroath
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Celtic
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.40
Queen's Park
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Spartans
1.50
Forfar
1.50
Morton
1.60
Rangers
1.67
Hamilton Academical
1.75
Dundee Utd
2.00
Inverness CT
2.00
Clyde
2.00
Dumbarton
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Stirling
2.25
Raith Rovers
2.25
Peterhead
2.25
Kelty Hearts
2.33
Montrose
2.50
East Kilbride
3.00
Edinburgh City
4.00
Brechin
4.25
Elgin
4.75
Annan Athletic
5.25
Aberdeen is 1.83 goals better than Kelty Hearts in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 2.33).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Celtic
63%
ST Mirren
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Aberdeen
For 4.3 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.9 · Against 11.3 · Total 26.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kelty Hearts
For 5.3 · Against 5.8 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 14.7 · Total 25.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aberdeen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.7
9.4
4.4
4.9
3.8
25.6
26.7
24.6
vs Stronger (9)
10.3
12.5
8.6
4.2
6.0
2.8
25.2
25.5
25.0
vs Similar (21)
9.4
9.5
9.2
4.9
5.4
4.2
25.8
27.0
24.2
vs Weaker (20)
10.6
11.2
10.1
3.9
3.8
3.9
25.6
26.8
24.7
% over line
59%
70%
48%
60%
73%
46%
89%
96%
83%
% under line
41%
30%
52%
40%
27%
54%
11%
4%
17%
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kelty Hearts
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.0
9.8
3.8
3.6
4.1
23.7
23.4
24.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (39)
9.3
9.3
9.3
3.7
3.4
4.2
23.8
23.4
24.2
vs Weaker (11)
9.6
7.8
11.2
4.2
4.6
3.8
23.4
23.4
23.3
% over line
43%
43%
43%
62%
62%
62%
57%
48%
67%
% under line
57%
57%
57%
38%
38%
38%
43%
52%
33%
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Queen's Park
12.0
ST Mirren
11.2
Morton
11.0
Stirling
11.0
Ross County
10.9
Hibernian
10.8
Celtic
10.7
Dumbarton
10.5
Dundee Utd
10.4
Partick
10.4
East Kilbride
10.4
Rangers
10.4
Stranraer
10.4
Elgin
10.3
ST Johnstone
10.2
Airdrie United
10.1
Aberdeen
10.1
Livingston
10.1
Brechin
10.0
Heart Of Midlothian
10.0
Annan Athletic
9.9
Falkirk
9.9
Dundee
9.8
Clyde
9.7
East Fife
9.7
Arbroath
9.6
Kilmarnock
9.5
Cove Rangers
9.4
Kelty Hearts
9.4
Inverness CT
9.2
Edinburgh City
9.2
Dunfermline
9.1
Spartans
9.1
Peterhead
9.0
Hamilton Academical
9.0
Forfar
8.9
Stenhousemuir
8.6
Montrose
8.4
Motherwell
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Edinburgh City
5.1
Peterhead
5.0
Stenhousemuir
4.9
Aberdeen
4.8
Ayr Utd
4.8
Motherwell
4.7
Hibernian
4.7
Morton
4.6
Heart Of Midlothian
4.4
Partick
4.4
Elgin
4.3
Forfar
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.3
Clyde
4.3
Livingston
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.2
Spartans
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
ST Johnstone
4.1
Falkirk
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dundee Utd
4.0
Celtic
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Montrose
3.7
Dundee
3.7
Arbroath
3.6
East Fife
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Dumbarton
3.5
ST Mirren
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.4
Cove Rangers
3.2
Inverness CT
3.2
Hamilton Academical
3.0
Raith Rovers
3.0
Queen's Park
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.4
East Kilbride
26.4
Motherwell
25.9
Rangers
25.8
Aberdeen
25.7
Stenhousemuir
25.2
Livingston
25.0
Falkirk
24.5
Kilmarnock
24.4
Forfar
24.1
Edinburgh City
23.9
Heart Of Midlothian
23.5
East Fife
22.8
Elgin
22.7
Hibernian
22.6
Kelty Hearts
22.5
ST Johnstone
22.4
Montrose
22.3
Annan Athletic
22.2
Stranraer
22.1
Clyde
22.0
ST Mirren
22.0
Dundee
21.9
Dundee Utd
21.8
Morton
21.8
Celtic
21.7
Inverness CT
21.6
Dunfermline
21.3
Ross County
21.0
Cove Rangers
20.9
Arbroath
20.8
Stirling
20.8
Spartans
20.5
Dumbarton
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Airdrie United
20.0
Partick
19.9
Queen's Park
18.0
Hamilton Academical
9.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
58.0%
Under 9.5
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
62.2%
Under 3.5
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
2.5%
Under 21.5
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Aberdeen or Draw✓ Hit
89.9%
Avg Implied -
73%
17%
10%
covers Aberdeen + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen or Kelty Hearts✓ Hit
82.9%
Avg Implied -
73%
17%
10%
covers Aberdeen + Kelty Hearts
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Kelty Hearts✗ Miss
27.3%
Avg Implied -
73%
17%
10%
covers Draw + Kelty Hearts
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Aberdeen over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
92.3%
Under
7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
72.5%
Under
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
47.2%
Under
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
25.6%
Under
74.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
58.9%
Under
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
22.4%
Under
77.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.1%
Under
93.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Aberdeen, so a minus line means Aberdeen give that many goals of a start and Kelty Hearts receive them. At -1, Aberdeen must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Aberdeen win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Aberdeen)Actual: Aberdeen
Aberdeen -2
30.9%
Draw -2
20.9%
Kelty Hearts +2
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Aberdeen)Actual: Aberdeen
Aberdeen -1
51.8%
Draw -1
20.9%
Kelty Hearts +1
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Aberdeen)Actual: Aberdeen
Aberdeen +1
89.9%
Draw +1
6.8%
Kelty Hearts -1
3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Aberdeen)Actual: Aberdeen
Aberdeen +2
96.7%
Draw +2
2.5%
Kelty Hearts -2
0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Aberdeen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.83
0.80
0.67
0.27
1.00
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
1.29
0.33
1.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (10)
0.30
0.30
0.60
0.20
0.00
0.40
vs Weaker (13)
0.92
1.00
1.14
0.86
0.67
1.17
Clean sheet %
37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kelty Hearts
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.60
0.20
0.67
0.53
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.40
0.60
0.23
0.62
0.58
0.58
vs Weaker (5)
0.20
0.60
0.00
1.00
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aberdeen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Aberdeen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.77
0.73
0.40
0.40
1.13
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.14
0.00
0.67
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (10)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.20
0.00
0.80
vs Weaker (13)
0.77
0.77
0.86
0.43
0.67
1.17
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kelty Hearts
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.93
0.67
0.73
0.47
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.96
0.77
0.85
0.50
1.08
vs Weaker (5)
0.20
0.80
0.00
0.00
0.33
1.33
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aberdeen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 21.5 fouls
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 7.5
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 19.5 fouls
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home win
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 1.5 goals
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 13. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
Aberdeen's squad is €14m more valuable than Kelty Hearts's (€15m vs €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Aberdeen's attack is €3m more valuable than Kelty Hearts's (€4m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Aberdeen's midfield is €4m more valuable than Kelty Hearts's (€4m vs €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Aberdeen's defence is €6m more valuable than Kelty Hearts's (€7m vs €0m).
Scotland: Premiership 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
Scotland: League Two 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Celtic
Dundee
ST Mirren
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
ST Johnstone
Hibernian
Rangers
Falkirk
Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock
Clyde
Elgin
Forfar
Edinburgh City
Spartans
Stirling
Stranraer
Annan Athletic
Dumbarton