This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Johnstone
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.53
0.93
0.87
1.07
2.20
vs Stronger (14)
0.79
2.29
0.86
1.29
0.71
3.29
vs Similar (16)
1.19
0.88
1.00
0.50
1.38
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.7%
Under 1.5
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.4%
@ 2.00+13.0%
Under 2.5
39.6%
@ 1.80-13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.0%
Under 3.5
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.9%
No
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0 ✓
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.5%
1-0
9.1%
3-0
8.4%
3-1
7.3%
0-0
5.3%
4-0
4.7%
Aberdeen goals ↓
ST Johnstone goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.3%
3.0%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
1
9.1%
9.5%
3.8%
1.1%
0.2%
2
11%
9.7%
4.2%
1.2%
0.3%
3
8.4%
7.3%
3.2%
0.9%
0.2%
4
4.7%
4.1%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aberdeen goals (down), columns = ST Johnstone goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Celtic
2.61
Partick
2.50
Rangers
2.42
Aberdeen
1.50
Heart Of Midlothian
1.42
Hibernian
1.37
Motherwell
1.32
Livingston
1.21
ST Mirren
1.21
ST Johnstone
1.13
Kilmarnock
1.05
Ross County
0.93
Dundee Utd
0.82
Queen's Park
0.00
Ayr Utd
0.00
Aberdeen is 0.37 points better than ST Johnstone in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.13).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Partick
3.17
Celtic
3.00
Rangers
2.45
Heart Of Midlothian
1.66
Hibernian
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Aberdeen
1.47
Motherwell
1.39
ST Mirren
1.13
ST Johnstone
1.08
Dundee Utd
1.05
Ross County
1.00
Kilmarnock
0.97
Livingston
0.95
Ayr Utd
0.00
Aberdeen is 0.39 goals better than ST Johnstone in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.08).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Celtic
0.89
Rangers
0.97
Partick
1.00
Motherwell
1.34
Heart Of Midlothian
1.50
Hibernian
1.55
ST Johnstone
1.55
Ross County
1.57
Livingston
1.58
Aberdeen
1.58
ST Mirren
1.61
Kilmarnock
1.63
Dundee Utd
1.84
Queen's Park
4.00
Ayr Utd
4.00
Aberdeen is 0.03 goals worse than ST Johnstone in terms of goals conceded per game (1.58 vs 1.55).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Aberdeen
For 5.3 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 13.6 · Total 26.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
ST Johnstone
For 3.8 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 12.3 · Total 24.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aberdeen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
9.7
10.6
2.8
2.6
2.9
27.3
27.5
27.1
vs Stronger (9)
12.0
7.0
15.3
2.6
2.8
2.4
26.4
28.0
25.3
vs Similar (19)
9.3
8.8
9.8
2.6
3.1
2.0
28.5
30.8
26.2
vs Weaker (22)
10.1
11.0
9.1
3.0
2.2
3.9
26.9
25.4
28.6
% over line
53%
60%
47%
36%
32%
40%
87%
93%
80%
% under line
47%
40%
53%
64%
68%
60%
13%
7%
20%
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Johnstone
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.4
10.0
2.3
2.6
2.0
22.7
22.7
22.7
vs Stronger (23)
9.9
10.0
9.7
2.5
2.5
2.5
21.2
22.0
20.4
vs Similar (27)
10.5
10.8
10.2
2.2
2.8
1.7
24.0
23.2
24.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
70%
60%
80%
32%
40%
24%
57%
53%
60%
% under line
30%
40%
20%
68%
60%
76%
43%
47%
40%
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.6
ST Mirren
11.1
Dundee Utd
10.7
Motherwell
10.7
Rangers
10.7
Ross County
10.4
Aberdeen
10.0
ST Johnstone
10.0
Hibernian
9.9
Heart Of Midlothian
9.9
Kilmarnock
9.8
Partick
9.7
Livingston
9.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Rangers
4.3
Hibernian
4.2
Aberdeen
4.2
Heart Of Midlothian
4.1
Livingston
4.0
Motherwell
4.0
Ross County
3.9
ST Johnstone
3.8
Dundee Utd
3.8
ST Mirren
3.3
Kilmarnock
3.3
Partick
3.3
Celtic
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Motherwell
26.7
Aberdeen
26.6
Livingston
25.1
Hibernian
24.5
Heart Of Midlothian
24.1
Ross County
24.1
ST Johnstone
24.0
Kilmarnock
23.9
ST Mirren
23.0
Dundee Utd
22.7
Rangers
21.4
Celtic
20.7
Partick
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
56.5%
Under 9.5
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
53.2%
Under 3.5
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
73.3%
Under 21.5
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Aberdeen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.60
0.80
0.33
0.33
0.87
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.80
0.50
0.50
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.75
0.75
1.17
0.50
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (13)
0.46
0.38
0.57
0.14
0.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Johnstone
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.73
0.47
0.40
0.33
1.07
vs Stronger (14)
0.21
1.07
0.29
0.57
0.14
1.57
vs Similar (16)
0.56
0.44
0.62
0.25
0.50
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aberdeen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Aberdeen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.83
1.13
0.60
0.47
1.07
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.40
0.50
1.50
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (12)
1.00
0.83
1.50
0.50
0.50
1.17
vs Weaker (13)
0.85
0.62
1.00
0.43
0.67
0.83
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Johnstone
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.80
0.47
0.47
0.73
1.13
vs Stronger (14)
0.57
1.21
0.57
0.71
0.57
1.71
vs Similar (16)
0.62
0.44
0.38
0.25
0.88
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aberdeen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Aberdeen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes35%
Bojan Miovski30%
Vicente Besuijen17%
Leighton Clarkson15%
Matthew Pollock13%
Matthew Kennedy10%
Graeme Shinnie8%
Ross McCrorie6%
Connor Barron6%
Anthony Stewart5%
Ryan Duncan4%
Marley Watkins4%
Jonny Hayes3%
Liam Scales3%
Ylber Ramadani3%
Callum Roberts0%
Hayden Coulson0%
Kelle Roos0%
Angus MacDonald0%
Jay Gorter0%
Joe Lewis0%
Jack Mackenzie0%
Christian Ramirez0%
Patrik Myslovič0%
Jayden Richardson0%
Dilan Markanday0%
Shayden Morris0%
Dante Polvara0%
Alfie Bavidge0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jay Gorter25%
Marley Watkins23%
Graeme Shinnie23%
Ylber Ramadani22%
Liam Scales19%
Hayden Coulson18%
Jonny Hayes17%
Jack Mackenzie17%
Bojan Miovski16%
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes16%
Jayden Richardson16%
Ross McCrorie15%
Leighton Clarkson15%
Matthew Pollock13%
Angus MacDonald13%
Connor Barron12%
Matthew Kennedy10%
Ryan Duncan9%
Anthony Stewart5%
Callum Roberts0%
Kelle Roos0%
Joe Lewis0%
Christian Ramirez0%
Patrik Myslovič0%
Dilan Markanday0%
Shayden Morris0%
Vicente Besuijen0%
Dante Polvara0%
Alfie Bavidge0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Leighton Clarkson21%
Jonny Hayes17%
Connor Barron12%
Christian Ramirez11%
Ylber Ramadani8%
Matthew Pollock7%
Liam Scales6%
Jack Mackenzie6%
Vicente Besuijen6%
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes5%
Anthony Stewart5%
Matthew Kennedy5%
Marley Watkins4%
Hayden Coulson4%
Bojan Miovski3%
Ross McCrorie0%
Callum Roberts0%
Kelle Roos0%
Angus MacDonald0%
Jay Gorter0%
Joe Lewis0%
Graeme Shinnie0%
Patrik Myslovič0%
Jayden Richardson0%
Dilan Markanday0%
Shayden Morris0%
Ryan Duncan0%
Dante Polvara0%
Alfie Bavidge0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bojan Miovski22%
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes16%
Graeme Shinnie8%
Matthew Pollock7%
Angus MacDonald7%
Connor Barron6%
Vicente Besuijen6%
Anthony Stewart5%
Matthew Kennedy5%
Liam Scales3%
Ross McCrorie3%
Leighton Clarkson3%
Jonny Hayes0%
Ylber Ramadani0%
Callum Roberts0%
Hayden Coulson0%
Kelle Roos0%
Marley Watkins0%
Jay Gorter0%
Joe Lewis0%
Jack Mackenzie0%
Christian Ramirez0%
Patrik Myslovič0%
Jayden Richardson0%
Dilan Markanday0%
Shayden Morris0%
Ryan Duncan0%
Dante Polvara0%
Alfie Bavidge0%
ST Johnstone
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nicky Clark20%
Stevie May19%
Drey Wright18%
Jamie Murphy12%
Graham Carey10%
Zak Rudden8%
Melker Hallberg7%
Ali Crawford6%
Liam Gordon6%
James Brown4%
Connor McLennan4%
Thelonius Bair4%
Ryan McGowan4%
Alex Mitchell3%
Andy Considine3%
Remi Matthews0%
Murray Davidson0%
David Wotherspoon0%
Michael O'Halloran0%
Cameron MacPherson0%
Tony Gallacher0%
Cameron Ballantyne0%
Daniel Phillips0%
Adam Montgomery0%
Maksym Kucheriavyi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daniel Phillips39%
Cameron Ballantyne33%
Ryan McGowan29%
Graham Carey27%
Maksym Kucheriavyi25%
Alex Mitchell24%
Melker Hallberg23%
Liam Gordon22%
James Brown19%
Adam Montgomery18%
Cameron MacPherson17%
Zak Rudden17%
Connor McLennan15%
Andy Considine12%
Stevie May11%
Drey Wright11%
Ali Crawford6%
Remi Matthews6%
Nicky Clark5%
David Wotherspoon5%
Jamie Murphy4%
Thelonius Bair4%
Murray Davidson0%
Michael O'Halloran0%
Tony Gallacher0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Stevie May16%
Ali Crawford12%
Nicky Clark10%
Ryan McGowan7%
Melker Hallberg7%
Graham Carey7%
David Wotherspoon5%
Cameron MacPherson4%
Connor McLennan4%
Thelonius Bair4%
Adam Montgomery4%
Andy Considine3%
Liam Gordon3%
Drey Wright3%
Jamie Murphy0%
James Brown0%
Remi Matthews0%
Murray Davidson0%
Michael O'Halloran0%
Zak Rudden0%
Tony Gallacher0%
Cameron Ballantyne0%
Daniel Phillips0%
Alex Mitchell0%
Maksym Kucheriavyi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stevie May30%
Nicky Clark20%
Cameron MacPherson4%
Jamie Murphy4%
Melker Hallberg3%
Graham Carey3%
Liam Gordon3%
Drey Wright3%
James Brown0%
Remi Matthews0%
Ali Crawford0%
Andy Considine0%
Connor McLennan0%
Murray Davidson0%
David Wotherspoon0%
Michael O'Halloran0%
Ryan McGowan0%
Zak Rudden0%
Thelonius Bair0%
Tony Gallacher0%
Cameron Ballantyne0%
Daniel Phillips0%
Adam Montgomery0%
Alex Mitchell0%
Maksym Kucheriavyi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
Aberdeen's squad is €9m more valuable than ST Johnstone's (€15m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RC (1)
€0m
Aberdeen's attack is €2m more valuable than ST Johnstone's (€4m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
RC (3)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
Aberdeen's midfield is €3m more valuable than ST Johnstone's (€4m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
Aberdeen's defence is €5m more valuable than ST Johnstone's (€7m vs €2m).
Scotland: Premiership 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
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Celtic
Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
Hibernian
Motherwell
ST Mirren
Livingston
Kilmarnock
Ross County
Dundee Utd
Partick
Queen's Park
Ayr Utd