AC Horsens, coming off a defeat, faces a tough test against Brondby, who are riding high after a recent win. Brondby are the favourites to win, with a 59% chance, while AC Horsens have a 16% chance of a home win and a 25% chance of a draw. The model's pick is an away win, aligning with the market's expectations.
The expected total goals are 2.6, with the most likely total goals being 2. The most likely score is 0-1, with a 12% probability. AC Horsens have struggled at home, scoring an average of 1 goal and conceding 1, while facing stronger opponents. Brondby, on the other hand, have excelled away from home, scoring 1.43 goals and conceding 1, against weaker opponents.
The model suggests Over 9.5 corners (84.4%), with a significant edge, Over 1.5 goals (74.6%), with no edge, and Under 3.5 goals (73.3%), with a minor edge. The home win percentage is 16%, the draw percentage is 25%, and the away win percentage is 59%.
The 0-2 final score secured an away win for Brondby, extending their winning run. The model's call for an away win was correct, with a pre-match probability of 59%. Brondby's selection was the favourite, as predicted by the model. The model's selection of an away win was a correct call. The suggested picks, however, had mixed results. Over 1.5 goals hit, with a probability of 74.6%, while Under 3.5 goals also hit, with a probability of 73.3%. In contrast, Over 9.5 corners missed, with a probability of 84.4%.
AC Horsens| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.27 | 1.00 | 1.53 | 1.33 | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 1.22 | 1.00 | 1.57 | 1.36 | 0.85 | 0.62 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 3.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 43% (+20pp vs league) | |||||
Brondby| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.47 | 1.07 | 1.64 | 1.07 | 1.31 | 1.06 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (22) | 1.14 | 1.09 | 1.55 | 1.00 | 0.73 | 1.18 |
| vs Weaker (8) | 2.38 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.33 | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (+10pp vs league) | |||||
| Brondby goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 8.4% | 12% | 12% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| 1 | 5.0% | 12% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| 2 | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
AC Horsens
Brondby
AC Horsens| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 13.5 | 17.0 | 10.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 23.5 | 15.0 | 32.0 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 13.5 | 17.0 | 10.0 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 23.5 | 15.0 | 32.0 |
| vs Similar (44) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Weaker (3) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| % over line | 100% | 100% | 100% | 2% | 0% | 4% | 50% | 0% | 100% |
| % under line | 0% | 0% | 0% | 98% | 100% | 96% | 50% | 100% | 0% |
Brondby| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.5 | 9.0 | 10.0 | 4.2 | 4.7 | 3.8 | 24.6 | 26.3 | 23.0 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (34) | 9.7 | 9.6 | 9.8 | 4.8 | 5.3 | 4.3 | 25.5 | 27.3 | 23.6 |
| vs Weaker (16) | 9.2 | 7.3 | 10.7 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 22.4 | 23.5 | 21.4 |
| % over line | 52% | 48% | 57% | 56% | 67% | 46% | 65% | 83% | 48% |
| % under line | 48% | 52% | 43% | 44% | 33% | 54% | 35% | 17% | 52% |
AC Horsens| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.67 | 0.50 | 0.87 | 0.60 | 0.47 | 0.40 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.50 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 0.67 | 0.44 | 0.86 | 0.57 | 0.46 | 0.31 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 1.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 60% (+37pp vs league) | |||||
Brondby| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.67 | 0.37 | 0.79 | 0.36 | 0.56 | 0.38 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (22) | 0.41 | 0.36 | 0.64 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.55 |
| vs Weaker (8) | 1.38 | 0.38 | 1.33 | 1.00 | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 77% (+54pp vs league) | |||||
AC Horsens| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.67 | 0.73 | 0.53 | 0.27 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 0.56 | 0.56 | 0.71 | 0.79 | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 2.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 67% (+44pp vs league) | |||||
Brondby| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.80 | 0.70 | 0.86 | 0.71 | 0.75 | 0.69 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (22) | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.91 | 0.82 | 0.55 | 0.64 |
| vs Weaker (8) | 1.00 | 0.62 | 0.67 | 0.33 | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+27pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 cards | 81.3% | 1.47 | 1.47 | - | - | - | - | +18.8% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 8.5 corners | 77.7% | 1.33 | 1.36 | 1.35 | 1.32 | 1.32 | 1.30 | +8.8% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 1.5 | 74.6% | 1.25 | 1.30 | 1.28 | 1.28 | 1.28 | 1.25 | +0.1% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 19.5 fouls | 74.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 2.5 cards | 73.4% | 1.41 | 1.41 | 1.40 | - | - | - | +8.5% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 3.5 | 73.3% | 1.34 | 1.37 | 1.37 | 1.36 | 1.36 | 1.36 | +3.3% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 25.5 fouls | 72.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✗ Miss |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/23 | A | 5-2 | |
| 04/09/22 | H | 0-2 |
AC Horsens| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 26/07/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 31/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 25/05/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 16/05/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 09/05/26 | H | 4-0 | |
| 30/04/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 25/04/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 21/04/26 | H | 4-1 | |
| 17/04/26 | A | 0-1 |
Brondby| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 25/07/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 21/05/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 17/05/26 | A | 2-3 | |
| 10/05/26 | H | 0-2 | |
| 01/05/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 26/04/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 22/04/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 17/04/26 | H | 6-0 | |
| 12/04/26 | H | 1-2 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | 6 | 15 | 83% | 2.5 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 3.8 | 100% | 83% | 83% | 8.2 | 67% | 3.3 | 50% | 22.5 | 50% | 73 | 17 | 17 | 39 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 52% |
| 2 | FC Midtjylland | 6 | 14 | 67% | 2.3 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 2.5 | 83% | 33% | 17% | 11.0 | 67% | 3.7 | 50% | 31.7 | 83% | 108 | 47 | 24 | 37 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 55% |
| 3 | Viborg | 6 | 13 | 67% | 2.2 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 2.3 | 50% | 50% | 33% | 11.3 | 67% | 2.8 | 33% | 27.2 | 100% | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 47% |
| 4 | FC Nordsjaelland | 6 | 13 | 67% | 2.2 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 2.2 | 67% | 33% | 17% | 10.3 | 50% | 3.8 | 83% | 21.7 | 50% | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 59% |
| 5 | Brondby | 6 | 13 | 67% | 2.2 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 3.0 | 83% | 50% | 50% | 11.3 | 67% | 5.0 | 100% | 26.2 | 83% | 48 | 15 | 11 | 22 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 55% |
| 6 | AC Horsens | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 3.0 | 100% | 67% | 17% | 11.3 | 67% | 3.8 | 67% | 25.7 | 83% | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 43% |
| 7 | Randers FC | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2.2 | 67% | 33% | 17% | 11.7 | 83% | 2.7 | 33% | 24.5 | 50% | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 43% |
| 8 | Odense | 6 | 5 | 17% | 0.8 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 2.0 | 50% | 33% | 17% | 13.2 | 83% | 4.0 | 50% | 23.5 | 83% | 17 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 51% |
| 9 | Silkeborg | 6 | 5 | 17% | 0.8 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 2.3 | 67% | 33% | 33% | 10.5 | 67% | 3.2 | 67% | 20.5 | 33% | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 47% |
| 10 | Aarhus | 6 | 3 | 0% | 0.5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 3.0 | 100% | 67% | 33% | 11.5 | 67% | 4.8 | 83% | 30.2 | 83% | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 58% |
| 11 | Lyngby | 6 | 3 | 0% | 0.5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 3.0 | 100% | 50% | 33% | 9.5 | 67% | 5.0 | 83% | 30.8 | 100% | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 52% |
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 6 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3.0 | 67% | 67% | 50% | 11.2 | 83% | 3.2 | 33% | 23.3 | 67% | 13 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 39% |