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AC Horsens vs FC Nordsjaelland Result & Analysis

Date: 26/07/2026
Time: 16:00
Final 1-1
AC Horsens
AC Horsens
vs
FC Nordsjaelland
FC Nordsjaelland
Denmark: Superliga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Squad value14 Games History15 Overall Statistics16 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AC Horsens win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AC HorsensAC Horsens

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D10W41W11D10W40W11D20W10WH·LYN04/04A·HIL11/04A·KOL17/04H·ESB21/04A·HVI25/04A·ESB30/04H·HIL09/05H·HVI16/05A·LYN25/05H·KOL31/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.931.571.361.120.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)1.280.971.571.361.000.60
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W20W21W11D21W11D01L11D00D41WA·FC 15/03H·SON22/03H·BRO07/04A·AAR10/04H·VIB19/04H·AAR23/04A·VIB26/04A·BRO01/05H·FC 10/05A·SON17/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.372.201.071.201.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.131.601.571.000.752.12
vs Weaker (15)2.271.132.751.121.711.14
Clean sheet %30% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Aarhus
2.09
FC Midtjylland
1.88
FC Copenhagen
1.64
FC Nordsjaelland
1.56
Viborg
1.38
Sonderjyske
1.38
Brondby
1.36
Odense
1.28
Lyngby
1.25
AC Horsens
1.20
Silkeborg
1.12
Randers FC
1.09
AC Horsens is 0.37 points worse than FC Nordsjaelland in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 1.56).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Midtjylland
2.25
FC Copenhagen
2.12
Aarhus
1.94
Odense
1.59
FC Nordsjaelland
1.59
Viborg
1.53
Lyngby
1.40
Sonderjyske
1.38
Brondby
1.36
AC Horsens
1.34
Silkeborg
1.28
Randers FC
1.03
AC Horsens is 0.25 goals worse than FC Nordsjaelland in terms of goals scored per game (1.34 vs 1.59).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Aarhus
1.00
FC Midtjylland
1.12
Brondby
1.15
FC Copenhagen
1.36
FC Nordsjaelland
1.44
Randers FC
1.47
Sonderjyske
1.53
Viborg
1.59
Lyngby
1.72
AC Horsens
1.80
Odense
1.88
Silkeborg
2.09
AC Horsens is 0.36 goals worse than FC Nordsjaelland in terms of goals conceded per game (1.80 vs 1.44).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
57%
FC Copenhagen
55%
FC Midtjylland
54%
Aarhus
54%
Odense
51%
Brondby
51%
Silkeborg
49%
Randers FC
48%
Viborg
48%
Sonderjyske
44%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AC HorsensAC Horsens

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland

For 4.7 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.9

🚩 Corners

12043932556736415566225712711101061187A·SONH·FC A·BROA·VIBH·AARH·VIBA·AARH·BROH·SONA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

70313232222362211343454256427A·SONH·FC A·BROA·VIBH·AARH·VIBA·AARH·BROH·SONA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 10.1 · Total 23.1

⚠️ Fouls

3401111136122216618391016101112118131322193422211926231926A·SONH·FC A·BROA·VIBH·AARH·VIBA·AARH·BROH·SONA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AC HorsensAC Horsens

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (47)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (3)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.48.58.43.33.33.420.819.022.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (26)9.18.59.73.23.23.220.918.922.8
vs Weaker (24)7.88.57.23.53.53.520.819.022.4
% over line37%41%33%44%42%46%46%32%58%
% under line63%59%67%56%58%54%54%68%42%
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Odense
10.6
AC Horsens
10.5
Lyngby
10.5
FC Midtjylland
10.1
Viborg
10.0
Brondby
9.8
Sonderjyske
9.8
Randers FC
9.6
FC Copenhagen
9.5
Silkeborg
9.3
Aarhus
9.2
FC Nordsjaelland
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Brondby
4.7
FC Midtjylland
4.1
Lyngby
3.8
Aarhus
3.8
Sonderjyske
3.8
AC Horsens
3.8
FC Copenhagen
3.8
Viborg
3.8
FC Nordsjaelland
3.6
Randers FC
3.5
Odense
3.3
Silkeborg
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FC Midtjylland
26.5
Viborg
24.2
Brondby
23.9
FC Copenhagen
23.5
Aarhus
23.3
Lyngby
23.3
Sonderjyske
22.0
Odense
21.8
Randers FC
21.8
FC Nordsjaelland
21.3
Silkeborg
18.9
AC Horsens
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
46.7%
Under 9.5
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
52.6%
Under 3.5
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
63.9%
Under 21.5
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AC HorsensAC Horsens

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D21W01L10W10W01L10W00DH·LYN04/04A·HIL11/04A·KOL17/04H·ESB21/04A·HVI25/04A·ESB30/04H·HIL09/05H·HVI16/05A·LYN25/05H·KOL31/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.430.860.570.560.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.690.450.860.570.530.33
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D01L10W11D01L01L00D00D30WA·FC 15/03H·SON22/03H·BRO07/04A·AAR10/04H·VIB19/04H·AAR23/04A·VIB26/04A·BRO01/05H·FC 10/05A·SON17/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.570.800.270.400.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.200.870.290.430.121.25
vs Weaker (15)1.000.271.250.120.710.43
Clean sheet %63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AC Horsens over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AC HorsensAC Horsens

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W20W10W00D30W10W10W10WH·LYN04/04A·HIL11/04A·KOL17/04H·ESB21/04A·HVI25/04A·ESB30/04H·HIL09/05H·HVI16/05A·LYN25/05H·KOL31/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.500.710.790.560.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.590.520.710.790.470.27
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W20W01L10W10W00D11D00D11DA·FC 15/03H·SON22/03H·BRO07/04A·AAR10/04H·VIB19/04H·AAR23/04A·VIB26/04A·BRO01/05H·FC 10/05A·SON17/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.801.400.800.800.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.930.731.290.570.620.88
vs Weaker (15)1.270.871.501.001.000.71
Clean sheet %53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AC Horsens over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards81.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls78.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners76.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards73.1%-------✗ Miss

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (28)
€120m
FC (26)
€115m
FN (34)
€80m
BRO (30)
€54m
AAR (29)
€37m
VIB (27)
€30m
RF (32)
€27m
SIL (29)
€26m
SON (29)
€20m
ODE (25)
€18m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
AC Horsens's squad is €70m less valuable than FC Nordsjaelland's (€10m vs €80m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (10)
€62m
FN (12)
€31m
FC (8)
€23m
BRO (11)
€18m
RF (15)
€16m
AAR (10)
€13m
SIL (9)
€9m
SON (8)
€9m
VIB (8)
€8m
ODE (6)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
LYN (5)
€3m
AC Horsens's attack is €28m less valuable than FC Nordsjaelland's (€4m vs €31m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (6)
€59m
FM (7)
€27m
FN (8)
€18m
AAR (9)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
SIL (8)
€10m
VIB (7)
€9m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (8)
€5m
ODE (8)
€4m
RF (6)
€4m
AH (6)
€2m
AC Horsens's midfield is €16m less valuable than FC Nordsjaelland's (€2m vs €18m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€33m
FM (11)
€32m
FN (14)
€30m
BRO (14)
€25m
VIB (12)
€13m
AAR (10)
€10m
ODE (11)
€8m
SIL (12)
€8m
RF (11)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
AC Horsens's defence is €26m less valuable than FC Nordsjaelland's (€4m vs €30m).

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
AH wins
0
Draws
1
FN wins

Head-to-head

AC Horsens vs FC Nordsjaelland · H/A from AH
DateH/AGameScore
28/10/22AFC Nordsjaelland Vs AH2-0
16/09/22HAH Vs FC Nordsjaelland1-0

AC HorsensAC Horsens

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/05/26HAH Vs Kolding IF1-0
25/05/26ALyngby Vs AH0-2
16/05/26HAH Vs Hvidovre1-1
09/05/26HAH Vs Hillerød4-0
30/04/26AEsbjerg Vs AH0-1
25/04/26AHvidovre Vs AH1-1
21/04/26HAH Vs Esbjerg4-1
17/04/26AKolding IF Vs AH0-1
11/04/26AHillerød Vs AH0-0
04/04/26HAH Vs Lyngby1-0

FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/26ASonderjyske Vs FN1-4
10/05/26HFN Vs FC Midtjylland0-0
01/05/26ABrondby Vs FN1-1
26/04/26AViborg Vs FN1-0
23/04/26HFN Vs Aarhus1-1
19/04/26HFN Vs Viborg2-1
10/04/26AAarhus Vs FN1-1
07/04/26HFN Vs Brondby2-1
22/03/26HFN Vs Sonderjyske2-0
15/03/26AFC Midtjylland Vs FN0-1

📊 15. Overall Statistics

AC Horsens
AC Horsens
Denmark: Superliga
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW1.62
HomeWWWDW1.56
AwayDWDWW1.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%44%48%
AVG goals2.462.802.12
Over 1.5 %62%68%56%
Over 2.5 %48%60%36%
Over 3.5 %28%40%16%
Scored1.341.481.20
Conceded1.121.320.92
BTTS46%52%40%
Clean Sheet40%36%44%
Corners---
Cards---
FC Nordsjaelland
FC Nordsjaelland
Denmark: Superliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDDW1.52
HomeWWWDD2.04
AwayWDLDW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%62%31%
AVG goals3.183.253.12
Over 1.5 %78%75%81%
Over 2.5 %62%62%62%
Over 3.5 %36%42%31%
Scored1.602.081.15
Conceded1.581.171.96
BTTS54%58%50%
Clean Sheet24%33%15%
Corners8.438.458.42
Cards3.633.593.67

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BrondbyBrondby513
80%
2.6
104+6
2.8
80%
40%
40%
11.8
80%
5.2
100%
26.8
80%
54
1811252.00.8
51%
2ViborgViborg510
60%
2.0
72+5
1.8
40%
40%
20%
11.8
80%
2.6
20%
27.0
100%
30
89131.40.4
48%
3FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland410
75%
2.5
61+5
1.8
50%
25%
0%
12.8
75%
3.5
75%
20.8
25%
80
3118301.50.2
57%
4FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland410
75%
2.5
74+3
2.8
75%
50%
25%
10.5
50%
4.0
50%
32.8
100%
120
6227321.81.0
54%
5FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen49
75%
2.2
107+3
4.2
100%
100%
100%
9.2
75%
3.0
50%
23.8
50%
115
2359332.51.8
55%
6AC HorsensAC Horsens57
40%
1.4
67-1
2.6
100%
60%
0%
11.8
80%
3.8
60%
25.2
80%
10
4241.21.4
-
7OdenseOdense54
20%
0.8
46-2
2.0
40%
40%
20%
13.8
80%
3.2
40%
22.0
80%
18
5480.81.2
51%
8SilkeborgSilkeborg54
20%
0.8
48-4
2.4
60%
40%
40%
10.4
60%
3.6
80%
20.6
40%
26
91080.81.6
49%
9Randers FCRanders FC54
20%
0.8
37-4
2.0
60%
20%
20%
12.8
100%
2.0
20%
23.6
40%
27
16470.61.4
48%
10AarhusAarhus43
0%
0.8
67-1
3.2
100%
75%
50%
12.5
75%
4.5
75%
28.2
75%
37
1314101.51.8
54%
11LyngbyLyngby52
0%
0.4
610-4
3.2
100%
60%
40%
9.4
60%
4.4
80%
30.8
100%
13
3551.22.0
-
12SonderjyskeSonderjyske51
0%
0.2
410-6
2.8
60%
60%
40%
11.4
80%
3.2
40%
24.8
80%
20
9560.82.0
44%
Denmark: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →

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