Lyngby looks poised to bounce back from their recent defeat, and it's not surprising given their away form against similar opponents. They've averaged 2 goals scored and 1.38 conceded in such matches, which could be crucial in a match where the most likely total number of goals is 2. The expected total goals stands at 2.8, suggesting a relatively low-scoring encounter.
AC Horsens have struggled at home, particularly against similar opponents, scoring 1.69 goals on average while conceding 1.38. They've also shown inconsistency in their recent form, suffering two straight defeats. Lyngby, on the other hand, has shown resilience in their away matches, and their away win is the model's favoured outcome with a 44% probability.
The model predicts an away win, with a 44% probability, a draw at 27%, and a home win at 28%. The most likely score is a 1-1 draw, occurring in 13% of simulations. The model's selection for Over 1.5 goals has a 77.5% probability. Lyngby's away win is the model's selection, with a 44% probability, and AC Horsens' home win has a 28% chance.
Results analysis
AC Horsens’ 2-1 win over Lyngby shocked the model’s pre-match favourite, the Away win, which had a 44 % probability. The model’s call was wrong, and the home side’s victory extended their two-game winning run, a bright moment after a recent 2-1 loss. The final score matched the actual result of a home win. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.2 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.7 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.2 %, Under 6.5 at 97.7 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.5 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.4 %, Home under 3.5 goals at 96.5 %, and Under 5.5 at 93.8 %. The match delivered a tight, low-scoring affair that defied the pre-match expectation.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
AC Horsens win✓ Hit
28.6%
Avg Implied 30.6% · @ 3.06
Edge
-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.24
Betano
3.20
Superbet
3.15
Dafabet
3.15
Draw✗ Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied 28.2% · @ 3.31
Edge
-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.45
Superbet
3.40
Dafabet
3.40
Unibet
3.35
10Bet
3.35
Lyngby win✗ Miss
44.0%
Avg Implied 41.2% · @ 2.27
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
2.45
Unibet
2.35
10Bet
2.35
Pinnacle
2.30
Betano
2.30
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
AC Horsens
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.10
1.44
1.38
1.14
0.79
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.67
0.50
1.50
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
1.31
1.08
1.57
1.36
1.00
0.75
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyngby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lyngby
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.10
1.27
2.27
1.07
1.93
1.47
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
2.00
1.00
1.67
2.00
3.00
vs Similar (25)
2.16
1.16
2.45
0.91
1.93
1.36
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
1.00
4.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.5%
@ 1.27+3.6%
Under 1.5
22.5%
@ 3.58-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Pinnacle
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Under
Unibet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Pinnacle
3.65
Superbet
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.2%
@ 1.88+2.1%
Under 2.5
47.8%
@ 1.90-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.93
Pinnacle
1.93
Superbet
1.92
SBO
1.92
Betfair
1.90
Under
Pinnacle
1.95
10Bet
1.93
Unibet
1.93
SBO
1.92
Betano
1.91
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.0%
@ 3.20+0.7%
Under 3.5
70.0%
@ 1.32-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.41
Superbet
3.30
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.25
Under
Betano
1.35
Unibet
1.35
10Bet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
Superbet
1.34
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.6%
@ 1.68+1.3%
No
43.4%
@ 2.07-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.75
Superbet
1.74
William Hil
1.70
Betano
1.70
888Sport
1.67
No
Betfair
2.15
Unibet
2.15
888Sport
2.10
10Bet
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%@ 5.99+5.5%
1-2
9.2%@ 8.40+3.8%
0-1
8.6%@ 7.63+2.7%
0-2
7.6%@ 10.61+3.3%
0-0
7.5%@ 9.96+2.9%
2-1 ✓
7.2%@ 10.01+2.7%
1-0
6.4%@ 9.24+1.6%
2-2
5.6%@ 12.32+1.9%
AC Horsens goals ↓
Lyngby goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
8.6%
7.6%
3.9%
1.5%
1
6.4%
13%
9.2%
4.8%
1.8%
2
4.6%
7.2%
5.6%
2.9%
1.1%
3
1.9%
2.9%
2.3%
1.2%
0.5%
4
0.6%
0.9%
0.7%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AC Horsens goals (down), columns = Lyngby goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
FC Midtjylland
2.33
Viborg
2.17
FC Nordsjaelland
2.17
Brondby
2.17
Randers FC
1.17
AC Horsens
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Odense
0.83
Lyngby
0.50
Aarhus
0.50
Sonderjyske
0.17
AC Horsens is 0.67 points better than Lyngby in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 0.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
Brondby
1.83
Viborg
1.67
FC Midtjylland
1.67
FC Nordsjaelland
1.50
AC Horsens
1.33
Lyngby
1.17
Aarhus
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Sonderjyske
0.83
Randers FC
0.83
Odense
0.83
AC Horsens is 0.17 goals better than Lyngby in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Viborg
0.67
FC Nordsjaelland
0.67
FC Midtjylland
0.83
Odense
1.17
Brondby
1.17
Randers FC
1.33
FC Copenhagen
1.33
Silkeborg
1.50
AC Horsens
1.67
Lyngby
1.83
Aarhus
1.83
Sonderjyske
2.17
AC Horsens is 0.17 goals better than Lyngby in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.83).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
59%
Aarhus
58%
FC Midtjylland
55%
Brondby
55%
FC Copenhagen
52%
Lyngby
52%
Odense
51%
Silkeborg
47%
Viborg
47%
Randers FC
43%
AC Horsens
43%
Sonderjyske
39%
AC Horsens is 8.5 percentage points worse than Lyngby in terms of average possession (43% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
AC Horsens
For 3.2 · Against 8.8 · Total 12.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 9.8 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lyngby
For 5.2 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.0 · Against 13.8 · Total 30.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AC Horsens
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
12.0
13.0
11.0
0.2
0.2
0.2
23.8
20.5
27.0
vs Stronger (4)
12.0
13.0
10.0
2.8
3.0
2.5
24.3
20.5
32.0
vs Similar (44)
12.0
-
12.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
22.0
-
22.0
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
75%
50%
100%
4%
4%
4%
75%
50%
100%
% under line
25%
50%
0%
96%
96%
96%
25%
50%
0%
This opponent (Lyngby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lyngby
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.4
8.9
1.1
1.5
0.8
23.9
26.1
21.3
vs Stronger (7)
9.5
9.0
10.5
4.0
4.4
3.0
29.0
31.5
24.0
vs Similar (41)
8.0
7.8
8.2
0.7
0.8
0.6
20.4
20.8
20.2
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
47%
38%
57%
16%
24%
8%
60%
75%
43%
% under line
53%
62%
43%
84%
76%
92%
40%
25%
57%
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Odense
10.9
AC Horsens
10.7
Lyngby
10.1
Sonderjyske
10.1
FC Midtjylland
10.1
Viborg
9.9
FC Copenhagen
9.9
Randers FC
9.8
Aarhus
9.7
Brondby
9.6
Silkeborg
9.4
FC Nordsjaelland
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Brondby
4.6
FC Midtjylland
4.3
Aarhus
3.8
FC Copenhagen
3.8
Sonderjyske
3.8
AC Horsens
3.7
Lyngby
3.7
Viborg
3.7
FC Nordsjaelland
3.6
Randers FC
3.3
Odense
3.2
Silkeborg
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Midtjylland
27.5
Viborg
24.5
Brondby
24.4
FC Copenhagen
23.9
Lyngby
23.9
Aarhus
23.5
Sonderjyske
21.9
Odense
21.7
Randers FC
21.7
FC Nordsjaelland
21.1
AC Horsens
19.4
Silkeborg
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
63.9%
@ 1.61+6.4%
Under 9.5
36.1%
@ 2.18-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.63
1xBet
1.57
Unibet
1.55
Under
Betano
2.35
Unibet
2.25
Pinnacle
2.23
Marathonbet
2.20
1xBet
2.19
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
42.8%
@ 1.65-13.1%
Under 3.5
57.2%
@ 2.10+13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.69
Unibet
1.55
Under
Unibet
2.25
Betano
2.05
Superbet
2.00
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
63.1%
Under 21.5
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
AC Horsens or Draw✓ Hit
56.0%
Avg Implied 58.5% · @ 1.60
Edge
-2.5%
29%
27%
44%
covers AC Horsens + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.65
SBO
1.65
Superbet
1.63
Betfair
1.62
AC Horsens or Lyngby✓ Hit
72.6%
Avg Implied 72.2% · @ 1.30
Edge
+0.4%
29%
27%
44%
covers AC Horsens + Lyngby
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.30
Draw or Lyngby✗ Miss
71.4%
Avg Implied 69.3% · @ 1.35
Edge
+2.1%
29%
27%
44%
covers Draw + Lyngby
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.40
10Bet
1.40
888Sport
1.40
Betano
1.37
William Hil
1.36
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
AC Horsens over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
70.2%
@ 1.33+0.4%
Under
29.8%
@ 3.09-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.37
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Betfair
1.33
Under
Unibet
3.30
888Sport
3.25
Pinnacle
3.21
10Bet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.04
AC Horsens over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
34.2%
@ 2.65-1.0%
Under
65.8%
@ 1.44+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.87
Bet365
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Superbet
2.70
BetVictor
2.70
Under
Unibet
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
AC Horsens over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.3%
@ 6.43-2.1%
Under
87.7%
@ 1.09+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
6.85
Marathonbet
6.85
BetVictor
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Under
888Sport
1.11
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
AC Horsens over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.5%
@ 16.44-2.3%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.02+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
17.00
888Sport
17.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Lyngby over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.8%
@ 1.23+3.6%
Under
21.2%
@ 3.74-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
4.00
Marathonbet
3.84
BetVictor
3.80
Betano
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Lyngby over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
46.0%
@ 2.18+3.2%
Under
54.0%
@ 1.63-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.29
888Sport
2.25
Bet365
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Under
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.66
Betano
1.65
Superbet
1.64
Lyngby over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.5%
@ 4.72+0.7%
Under
79.5%
@ 1.16-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.80
Marathonbet
4.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.22
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
BetVictor
1.15
Lyngby over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.2%
@ 11.00-1.3%
Under
92.8%
@ 1.03+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
13.00
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
11.00
Marathonbet
10.50
1xBet
10.50
Under
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to AC Horsens, so a minus line means AC Horsens give that many goals of a start and Lyngby receive them. At -1, AC Horsens must win by two or more to land; a one-goal AC Horsens win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (AC Horsens)Actual: Lyngby
AC Horsens -2
4.0%
@ 13.86-2.5%
Draw -2
8.3%
@ 8.10-2.8%
Lyngby +2
87.7%
@ 1.09+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
19.00
Bet365
17.00
Unibet
12.50
Marathonbet
6.95
Draw
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
10.00
Unibet
7.50
Marathonbet
4.90
Away
Marathonbet
1.11
Unibet
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Handicap -1 (AC Horsens)Actual: Draw
AC Horsens -1
12.3%
@ 6.53-1.5%
Draw -1
16.3%
@ 4.62-3.3%
Lyngby +1
71.4%
@ 1.36+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.65
Unibet
5.75
10Bet
5.75
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.85
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Away
10Bet
1.40
Unibet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.34
Betfair
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Handicap +1 (AC Horsens)Actual: AC Horsens
AC Horsens +1
56.0%
@ 1.59-0.4%
Draw +1
21.2%
@ 3.91-1.8%
Lyngby -1
22.8%
@ 4.35+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
Betfair
1.57
10Bet
1.55
Draw
Marathonbet
4.05
Bet365
4.00
Unibet
3.90
10Bet
3.90
Superbet
3.85
Away
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Unibet
4.35
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
Handicap +2 (AC Horsens)Actual: AC Horsens
AC Horsens +2
77.2%
@ 1.17+1.6%
Draw +2
13.6%
@ 6.10-0.9%
Lyngby -2
9.2%
@ 8.93-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Unibet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
6.25
Superbet
6.10
Marathonbet
4.65
Away
Betfair
11.00
Unibet
9.50
Bet365
9.50
Superbet
8.60
Marathonbet
6.05
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
AC Horsens
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.57
0.81
0.62
0.57
0.50
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.33
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
0.73
0.50
0.86
0.57
0.58
0.42
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyngby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lyngby
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.63
1.00
0.40
0.73
0.87
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.33
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.88
0.64
1.18
0.36
0.64
0.86
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
69.3%
@ 1.38+1.6%
Under 0.5
30.7%
@ 2.88-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.40
BetVictor
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Under
Pinnacle
3.11
William Hil
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Unibet
2.95
Superbet
2.87
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
30.3%
@ 2.75-3.6%
Under 1.5
69.7%
@ 1.41+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.86
Marathonbet
2.77
Superbet
2.77
Under
Superbet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.43
BetVictor
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
8.9%
@ 7.01-4.3%
Under 2.5
91.1%
@ 1.07+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
William Hil
7.00
1xBet
6.95
Marathonbet
6.95
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Unibet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AC Horsens over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
43.3%
@ 2.20+1.0%
Under
56.7%
@ 1.61-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.27
Pinnacle
2.26
1xBet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.22
Superbet
2.22
Under
Unibet
1.66
Pinnacle
1.65
10Bet
1.65
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.59
AC Horsens over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.9%
@ 7.33-1.7%
Under
89.1%
@ 1.06+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.30
Marathonbet
8.30
Superbet
7.20
Betano
6.90
Unibet
6.75
Under
10Bet
1.08
Betano
1.08
Unibet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.03
AC Horsens over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 21.50-2.7%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
26.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Lyngby over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.3%
@ 1.96-5.2%
Under
57.7%
@ 1.77+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.02
Betano
2.00
Unibet
1.95
10Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.93
Under
Pinnacle
1.81
Superbet
1.78
Unibet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
Lyngby over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.3%
@ 5.91-5.4%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.10+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.30
Marathonbet
6.30
Unibet
5.75
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
Lyngby over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.3%
@ 16.92-4.4%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.01+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
AC Horsens
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.53
0.62
0.75
0.57
0.29
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.58
0.58
0.71
0.79
0.42
0.33
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyngby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lyngby
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.63
1.27
0.67
1.20
0.60
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.50
1.00
1.33
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
1.28
0.52
1.27
0.55
1.29
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.3%
@ 1.22+2.2%
Under 0.5
21.7%
@ 3.89-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Betano
1.24
William Hil
1.22
Unibet
1.20
Under
Unibet
4.10
1xBet
3.98
Marathonbet
3.98
Betano
3.90
Superbet
3.80
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
41.2%
@ 2.08-3.9%
Under 1.5
58.8%
@ 1.70+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.17
Bet365
2.10
William Hil
2.10
Marathonbet
2.07
1xBet
2.07
Under
Betano
1.75
Unibet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.71
1xBet
1.71
William Hil
1.67
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.6%
@ 4.39-7.6%
Under 2.5
86.4%
@ 1.18+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.60
William Hil
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
1xBet
4.40
Under
Betano
1.22
Unibet
1.19
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AC Horsens over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
50.5%
@ 1.86+0.8%
Under
49.5%
@ 1.84-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.87
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
Under
Betano
1.88
Marathonbet
1.84
1xBet
1.83
Superbet
1.82
AC Horsens over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.0%
@ 5.35-2.3%
Under
85.0%
@ 1.12+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.65
1xBet
5.40
Superbet
5.35
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
AC Horsens over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.6%
@ 13.88-4.3%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.02+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
17.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
Lyngby over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
53.5%
@ 1.66-2.5%
Under
46.5%
@ 2.11+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.68
1xBet
1.66
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.63
Under
Betano
2.15
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.10
Superbet
2.07
Lyngby over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.9%
@ 4.20-9.1%
Under
87.1%
@ 1.19+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.30
Superbet
4.30
1xBet
4.20
Betano
4.00
Under
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Lyngby over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 11.12-6.0%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.03+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.5%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.8%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
888Sport
1.03
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
92.8%
1.03
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.03
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
91.1%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Unibet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.7%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.1%
1.06
10Bet
1.08
Betano
1.08
Unibet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.03
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
87.7%
1.09
Marathonbet
1.11
Unibet
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
-
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
87.7%
1.09
888Sport
1.11
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.1%
1.19
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
-
+9.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
86.4%
1.18
Betano
1.22
Unibet
1.19
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
+7.6%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
85.3%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
Pinnacle
1.12
Bet365
1.11
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
85.0%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
79.5%
1.16
Pinnacle
1.22
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
BetVictor
1.15
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
78.8%
1.23
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
888Sport
1.25
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.3%
1.22
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Betano
1.24
William Hil
1.22
Unibet
1.20
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.5%
1.27
Betano
1.31
Pinnacle
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
10Bet
1.28
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
77.2%
1.17
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Unibet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
75.5%
1.54
Unibet
1.63
Superbet
1.46
-
-
-
+16.4%
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
75.1%
1.34
Superbet
1.44
Unibet
1.33
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
+6.8%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
72.6%
1.30
888Sport
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.30
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
71.4%
1.35
Unibet
1.40
10Bet
1.40
888Sport
1.40
Betano
1.37
William Hil
1.36
+2.1%
✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap
71.4%
1.36
10Bet
1.40
Unibet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.34
Betfair
1.33
Bet365
1.33
+4.8%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
70.2%
1.33
Superbet
1.37
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Betfair
1.33
+0.4%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
AC Horsens
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan60%
Adrian Justinussen33%
Ivan Miličević17%
Kristian Kirkegaard17%
Yamirou Ouorou17%
Victor Pálsson0%
Matej Delač0%
Ole Kolskogen0%
Karlo Lusavec0%
Jimi Tauriainen0%
Alagie Saine0%
Julius Madsen0%
Adam Herdonsson0%
Julius Körkkö0%
Abdul Moro0%
Mikkel Kupijbida0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ole Kolskogen33%
Alagie Saine33%
Adam Herdonsson33%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan20%
Mikkel Kupijbida20%
Kristian Kirkegaard17%
Jimi Tauriainen17%
Julius Madsen17%
Abdul Moro17%
Yamirou Ouorou17%
Victor Pálsson0%
Matej Delač0%
Ivan Miličević0%
Adrian Justinussen0%
Karlo Lusavec0%
Julius Körkkö0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jimi Tauriainen33%
Kristian Kirkegaard17%
Julius Madsen17%
Yamirou Ouorou17%
Victor Pálsson0%
Matej Delač0%
Ivan Miličević0%
Adrian Justinussen0%
Ole Kolskogen0%
Karlo Lusavec0%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan0%
Alagie Saine0%
Adam Herdonsson0%
Julius Körkkö0%
Abdul Moro0%
Mikkel Kupijbida0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan40%
Adrian Justinussen17%
Julius Madsen17%
Victor Pálsson0%
Matej Delač0%
Ivan Miličević0%
Ole Kolskogen0%
Kristian Kirkegaard0%
Karlo Lusavec0%
Jimi Tauriainen0%
Alagie Saine0%
Adam Herdonsson0%
Julius Körkkö0%
Abdul Moro0%
Yamirou Ouorou0%
Mikkel Kupijbida0%
Lyngby
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ísak Snær Þorvaldsson33%
Frederik Gytkjær17%
Simon Colyn17%
Casper Winther17%
Gustav Fraulo17%
Renzo Tytens17%
Mathias Hebo0%
Jens Jakob Thomasen0%
Oskar Buur0%
Lauge Sandgrav0%
Daniel Freyr Kristjansson0%
Mikkel Fischer0%
Munashe Garananga0%
Cornelius Allen0%
Diego Kochen0%
Asbjorn Bøndergaard0%
Oliver Højer0%
David Helgi Aronsson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cornelius Allen40%
Ísak Snær Þorvaldsson33%
Casper Winther33%
Munashe Garananga33%
Renzo Tytens33%
Frederik Gytkjær17%
Simon Colyn17%
Lauge Sandgrav17%
Gustav Fraulo17%
Asbjorn Bøndergaard17%
Mathias Hebo0%
Jens Jakob Thomasen0%
Oskar Buur0%
Daniel Freyr Kristjansson0%
Mikkel Fischer0%
Diego Kochen0%
Oliver Højer0%
David Helgi Aronsson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Simon Colyn17%
Oskar Buur17%
Ísak Snær Þorvaldsson17%
Mathias Hebo0%
Jens Jakob Thomasen0%
Frederik Gytkjær0%
Casper Winther0%
Lauge Sandgrav0%
Daniel Freyr Kristjansson0%
Gustav Fraulo0%
Mikkel Fischer0%
Munashe Garananga0%
Cornelius Allen0%
Renzo Tytens0%
Diego Kochen0%
Asbjorn Bøndergaard0%
Oliver Højer0%
David Helgi Aronsson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Simon Colyn50%
Ísak Snær Þorvaldsson50%
Mathias Hebo0%
Jens Jakob Thomasen0%
Frederik Gytkjær0%
Oskar Buur0%
Casper Winther0%
Lauge Sandgrav0%
Daniel Freyr Kristjansson0%
Gustav Fraulo0%
Mikkel Fischer0%
Munashe Garananga0%
Cornelius Allen0%
Renzo Tytens0%
Diego Kochen0%
Asbjorn Bøndergaard0%
Oliver Højer0%
David Helgi Aronsson0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
AC Horsens's squad is €3m less valuable than Lyngby's (€10m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
SON (6)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
AC Horsens and Lyngby have a similar attack value (both €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
AH (6)
€2m
AC Horsens's midfield is €3m less valuable than Lyngby's (€2m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
AC Horsens and Lyngby have a similar defence value (both €4m).
Denmark: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Copenhagen
FC Midtjylland
Viborg
FC Nordsjaelland
Brondby
Randers FC
Odense
Silkeborg
Aarhus
Sonderjyske