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AC Horsens vs Odense Result & Analysis

Date: 14/09/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 2-2
AC Horsens
AC Horsens
Vs
17%
23%
60%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Odense
Odense
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AC Horsens winâś— Miss
17.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś“ Hit
23.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Odense winâś— Miss
59.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

AC HorsensAC Horsens

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L32W10W50W20W01L21W11D33D04LH·FC 21/07H·HIL26/07A·ESB04/08A·KJE07/08A·HB 11/08H·KOL16/08A·ROS20/08H·VEN24/08A·HVI30/08H·VIB04/09
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.470.931.671.801.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.261.520.931.711.621.31
vs Weaker (3)2.331.001.001.003.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Odense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OdenseOdense

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L21W40W20W00D10W31W30W30W20WA·VIB25/05A·ESB20/07A·HB 26/07H·HVI03/08A·MID06/08H·HIL10/08A·B 916/08H·FC 21/08A·HOB25/08H·VEN30/08← Superliga1. Division →
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.071.071.291.620.88
vs Stronger (4)0.502.000.502.00--
vs Similar (18)1.391.001.331.001.421.00
vs Weaker (8)1.750.751.251.002.250.50
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.8%
Under 1.5
19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.3%
Under 2.5
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.9%
Under 3.5
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.2%
No
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
10.0%
0-1
9.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-3
6.6%
0-0
6.1%
2-1
4.9%
AC Horsens goals ↓
Odense goals →
01234
06.1%9.1%10%6.7%3.3%
14.0%11%10.0%6.6%3.3%
22.5%4.9%4.9%3.3%1.6%
30.8%1.6%1.6%1.1%0.5%
40.2%0.4%0.4%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AC Horsens goals (down), columns = Odense goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Odense
2.03
FC Fredericia
2.00
Hillerød
1.62
AC Horsens
1.59
Kolding IF
1.56
Hvidovre
1.41
Esbjerg
1.28
Hobro
1.22
B 93
1.09
HB Koge
1.06
Vendsyssel FF
0.94
Roskilde
0.81
AC Horsens is 0.44 points worse than Odense in terms of average points per game (1.59 vs 2.03).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Odense
2.16
FC Fredericia
2.03
Hillerød
1.75
Esbjerg
1.62
AC Horsens
1.53
B 93
1.31
Hobro
1.22
Roskilde
1.16
Kolding IF
1.12
HB Koge
1.12
Vendsyssel FF
1.09
Hvidovre
1.03
AC Horsens is 0.62 goals worse than Odense in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 2.16).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kolding IF
0.88
FC Fredericia
0.94
Hvidovre
1.09
Odense
1.09
Hillerød
1.19
AC Horsens
1.50
Vendsyssel FF
1.53
Hobro
1.59
Esbjerg
1.75
HB Koge
1.78
B 93
1.91
Roskilde
1.91
AC Horsens is 0.41 goals worse than Odense in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.09).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AC HorsensAC Horsens

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W20W00D01L00D01L21W02LH·FC 21/07H·HIL26/07A·ESB04/08A·KJE07/08A·HB 11/08H·KOL16/08A·ROS20/08H·VEN24/08A·HVI30/08H·VIB04/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.470.470.530.730.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.590.440.500.500.690.38
vs Weaker (3)0.670.670.001.001.000.50
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Odense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OdenseOdense

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W20W10W00D00D30W20W10W10WA·VIB25/05A·ESB20/07A·HB 26/07H·HVI03/08A·MID06/08H·HIL10/08A·B 916/08H·FC 21/08A·HOB25/08H·VEN30/08← Superliga1. Division →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.400.570.710.940.12
vs Stronger (4)0.251.250.251.25--
vs Similar (18)0.780.330.830.670.750.17
vs Weaker (8)1.000.120.500.251.500.00
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AC Horsens over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AC HorsensAC Horsens

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L32W00D30W20W00D21W10W12L02LH·FC 21/07H·HIL26/07A·ESB04/08A·KJE07/08A·HB 11/08H·KOL16/08A·ROS20/08H·VEN24/08A·HVI30/08H·VIB04/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.000.471.131.070.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.671.070.431.210.920.92
vs Weaker (3)1.670.331.000.002.000.50
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Odense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OdenseOdense

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L11D20W10W00D10W01L10W20W10WA·VIB25/05A·ESB20/07A·HB 26/07H·HVI03/08A·MID06/08H·HIL10/08A·B 916/08H·FC 21/08A·HOB25/08H·VEN30/08← Superliga1. Division →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.670.500.570.690.75
vs Stronger (4)0.250.750.250.75--
vs Similar (18)0.610.670.500.330.670.83
vs Weaker (8)0.750.620.750.750.750.50
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AC Horsens over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards82.5%--------
Over 19.5 fouls82.2%--------
Over 1.580.8%-------âś“ Hit
Under 5.5 cards70.6%--------

🎽 13. Player market rates

AC Horsens · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan60%
Adrian Justinussen33%
Ivan Miličević17%
Kristian Kirkegaard17%
Yamirou Ouorou17%
Victor Pálsson0%
Matej DelaÄŤ0%
Ole Kolskogen0%
Karlo Lusavec0%
Jimi Tauriainen0%
Alagie Saine0%
Julius Madsen0%
Adam Herdonsson0%
Julius Körkkö0%
Abdul Moro0%
Mikkel Kupijbida0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ole Kolskogen33%
Alagie Saine33%
Adam Herdonsson33%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan20%
Mikkel Kupijbida20%
Kristian Kirkegaard17%
Jimi Tauriainen17%
Julius Madsen17%
Abdul Moro17%
Yamirou Ouorou17%
Victor Pálsson0%
Matej DelaÄŤ0%
Ivan Miličević0%
Adrian Justinussen0%
Karlo Lusavec0%
Julius Körkkö0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jimi Tauriainen33%
Kristian Kirkegaard17%
Julius Madsen17%
Yamirou Ouorou17%
Victor Pálsson0%
Matej DelaÄŤ0%
Ivan Miličević0%
Adrian Justinussen0%
Ole Kolskogen0%
Karlo Lusavec0%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan0%
Alagie Saine0%
Adam Herdonsson0%
Julius Körkkö0%
Abdul Moro0%
Mikkel Kupijbida0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan40%
Adrian Justinussen17%
Julius Madsen17%
Victor Pálsson0%
Matej DelaÄŤ0%
Ivan Miličević0%
Ole Kolskogen0%
Kristian Kirkegaard0%
Karlo Lusavec0%
Jimi Tauriainen0%
Alagie Saine0%
Adam Herdonsson0%
Julius Körkkö0%
Abdul Moro0%
Yamirou Ouorou0%
Mikkel Kupijbida0%
Odense · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Fiete Arp25%
Jacob Bonde17%
Noah Ganaus17%
Rasmus Falk0%
Ulrik Jenssen0%
Peter Therkildsen0%
Adam Sørensen0%
Viljar Myhra0%
Topi Keskinen0%
James Gomez0%
Ismahila Ouédraogo0%
Marcus McCoy0%
Julius Berthel Askou0%
Magnus Andersen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
James Gomez50%
Julius Berthel Askou40%
Ulrik Jenssen33%
Marcus McCoy33%
Rasmus Falk20%
Peter Therkildsen17%
Topi Keskinen17%
Ismahila Ouédraogo17%
Jacob Bonde0%
Adam Sørensen0%
Fiete Arp0%
Viljar Myhra0%
Noah Ganaus0%
Magnus Andersen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rasmus Falk0%
Ulrik Jenssen0%
Jacob Bonde0%
Peter Therkildsen0%
Adam Sørensen0%
Fiete Arp0%
Viljar Myhra0%
Topi Keskinen0%
James Gomez0%
Noah Ganaus0%
Ismahila Ouédraogo0%
Marcus McCoy0%
Julius Berthel Askou0%
Magnus Andersen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Noah Ganaus33%
Fiete Arp25%
Topi Keskinen17%
Rasmus Falk0%
Ulrik Jenssen0%
Jacob Bonde0%
Peter Therkildsen0%
Adam Sørensen0%
Viljar Myhra0%
James Gomez0%
Ismahila Ouédraogo0%
Marcus McCoy0%
Julius Berthel Askou0%
Magnus Andersen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ODE (24)
€17m
AH (27)
€10m
FF (17)
€8m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
VF (3)
€1m
AC Horsens's squad is €7m less valuable than Odense's (€10m vs €17m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ODE (9)
€8m
AH (9)
€4m
ESB (8)
€2m
FF (5)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
AC Horsens's attack is €5m less valuable than Odense's (€4m vs €8m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
AH (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
AC Horsens and Odense have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ODE (9)
€7m
AH (12)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
VF (0)
€0m
AC Horsens's defence is €2m less valuable than Odense's (€4m vs €7m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
0
AH wins
2
Draws
2
ODE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

AC Horsens vs Odense · H/A from AH
DateH/AGameScore
26/05/23AOdense Vs AH2-1
28/04/23HAH Vs Odense2-2
13/11/22HAH Vs Odense3-3
22/08/22AOdense Vs AH1-0

AC HorsensAC Horsens

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/09/24HAH Vs Viborg0-4
30/08/24AHvidovre Vs AH3-3
24/08/24HAH Vs Vendsyssel FF1-1
20/08/24ARoskilde Vs AH1-2
16/08/24HAH Vs Kolding IF0-1
11/08/24AHB Koge Vs AH0-2
07/08/24AKjellerup Vs AH0-5
04/08/24AEsbjerg Vs AH0-1
26/07/24HAH Vs Hillerød3-2
21/07/24HAH Vs FC Fredericia1-3

OdenseOdense

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/24HODE Vs Vendsyssel FF2-0
25/08/24AHobro Vs ODE0-3
21/08/24HODE Vs FC Fredericia3-0
16/08/24AB 93 Vs ODE1-3
10/08/24HODE Vs Hillerød1-0
06/08/24AMiddelfart Vs ODE0-0
03/08/24HODE Vs Hvidovre2-0
26/07/24AHB Koge Vs ODE0-4
20/07/24AEsbjerg Vs ODE1-2
25/05/24AViborg Vs ODE2-1

đź“Š 16. Overall Statistics

AC Horsens
AC Horsens
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDL1.24
HomeLWLDL1.16
AwayWWWWD1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%28%40%
AVG goals2.722.562.88
Over 1.5 %74%72%76%
Over 2.5 %50%44%56%
Over 3.5 %34%36%32%
Scored1.201.121.28
Conceded1.521.441.60
BTTS50%56%44%
Clean Sheet28%24%32%
Corners11.7510.7512.75
Cards3.624.253.00
Odense
Odense
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.50
HomeWWWWW1.08
AwayWWDWW1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%29%54%
AVG goals2.762.582.92
Over 1.5 %82%92%73%
Over 2.5 %62%54%69%
Over 3.5 %26%12%38%
Scored1.521.171.85
Conceded1.241.421.08
BTTS58%54%62%
Clean Sheet32%25%38%
Corners10.5910.5510.62
Cards3.903.684.10

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OdenseOdense3265
56%
2.0
6935+34
3.2
88%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
17
8372.21.1
-
2FC FredericiaFC Fredericia3264
62%
2.0
6530+35
3.0
75%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
2332.00.9
-
3HillerødHillerød3252
44%
1.6
5638+18
2.9
78%
53%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.2
-
4AC HorsensAC Horsens3251
47%
1.6
4948+1
3.0
78%
59%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.51.5
-
5Kolding IFKolding IF3250
44%
1.6
3628+8
2.0
53%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.10.9
-
6HvidovreHvidovre3245
38%
1.4
3335-2
2.1
53%
31%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.1
-
7EsbjergEsbjerg3241
41%
1.3
5256-4
3.4
88%
66%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.61.8
-
8HobroHobro3239
31%
1.2
3951-12
2.8
78%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.21.6
-
9B 93B 933235
28%
1.1
4261-19
3.2
78%
69%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.9
-
10HB KogeHB Koge3234
28%
1.1
3657-21
2.9
81%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.11.8
-
11Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF3230
22%
0.9
3549-14
2.6
75%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.5
-
12RoskildeRoskilde3226
22%
0.8
3761-24
3.1
88%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.9
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

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