This opponent (Silkeborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Silkeborg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.84
1.21
2.22
1.22
1.50
1.20
vs Stronger (8)
2.38
0.75
3.00
1.00
2.00
0.60
vs Similar (11)
1.45
1.55
1.83
1.33
1.00
1.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
26% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.8%
Under 1.5
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.6%
Under 2.5
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
23.4%
Under 3.5
76.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.3%
No
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-0
9.8%
1-0
9.7%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
5.8%
AC Horsens goals ↓
Silkeborg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.8%
8.7%
5.8%
2.3%
0.7%
1
9.7%
14%
7.5%
2.9%
0.9%
2
7.1%
8.3%
4.9%
1.9%
0.6%
3
3.1%
3.6%
2.1%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.0%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AC Horsens goals (down), columns = Silkeborg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
1.84
FC Nordsjaelland
1.72
FC Midtjylland
1.64
Aarhus
1.59
Viborg
1.55
Odense
1.44
Brondby
1.38
Silkeborg
1.28
Randers FC
1.28
Lyngby
0.88
AC Horsens
0.88
Aalborg
0.84
AC Horsens is 0.41 points worse than Silkeborg in terms of average points per game (0.88 vs 1.28).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
1.91
FC Midtjylland
1.70
FC Nordsjaelland
1.56
Brondby
1.50
Odense
1.47
Silkeborg
1.38
Viborg
1.33
Aarhus
1.31
Randers FC
1.25
Aalborg
1.06
AC Horsens
1.03
Lyngby
0.94
AC Horsens is 0.34 goals worse than Silkeborg in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.38).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Aarhus
0.97
Viborg
1.09
FC Nordsjaelland
1.09
FC Copenhagen
1.09
FC Midtjylland
1.18
Aalborg
1.41
Randers FC
1.47
Silkeborg
1.53
Lyngby
1.53
Brondby
1.62
Odense
1.66
AC Horsens
1.81
AC Horsens is 0.28 goals worse than Silkeborg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.81 vs 1.53).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Silkeborg
56%
FC Copenhagen
56%
FC Nordsjaelland
54%
Brondby
51%
Odense
50%
FC Midtjylland
50%
Randers FC
49%
Viborg
49%
Aalborg
49%
Aarhus
48%
Lyngby
45%
AC Horsens
42%
AC Horsens is 14.3 percentage points worse than Silkeborg in terms of average possession (42% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
AC Horsens
For 4.3 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 6.4 · Total 16.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Silkeborg
For 3.9 · Against 4.1 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 5.9 · Against 8.3 · Total 14.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AC Horsens
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (13)
9.8
9.8
9.7
3.7
3.3
4.0
17.8
17.8
17.9
vs Stronger (6)
10.2
11.0
8.5
2.8
2.5
3.5
17.0
16.5
18.0
vs Similar (7)
9.4
7.5
10.2
4.4
5.0
4.2
18.6
20.5
17.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
46%
50%
43%
46%
33%
57%
23%
17%
29%
% under line
54%
50%
57%
54%
67%
43%
77%
83%
71%
This opponent (Silkeborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Silkeborg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (19)
9.3
8.4
10.1
2.4
2.4
2.4
13.6
11.9
15.2
vs Stronger (8)
8.4
7.0
9.2
3.4
3.3
3.4
12.5
8.7
14.8
vs Similar (11)
10.1
9.2
11.2
1.7
2.0
1.4
14.7
13.8
15.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
47%
38%
56%
21%
11%
30%
0%
0%
0%
% under line
53%
62%
44%
79%
89%
70%
100%
100%
100%
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brondby
12.0
FC Midtjylland
10.8
Randers FC
10.7
Aalborg
10.7
Lyngby
10.0
Aarhus
9.9
Odense
9.8
AC Horsens
9.8
FC Copenhagen
9.7
Viborg
9.6
FC Nordsjaelland
9.5
Silkeborg
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Copenhagen
5.3
FC Midtjylland
4.9
Brondby
4.9
FC Nordsjaelland
4.6
Odense
4.1
Lyngby
4.1
AC Horsens
4.0
Randers FC
4.0
Aalborg
3.8
Viborg
3.7
Aarhus
3.5
Silkeborg
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Midtjylland
22.3
Aarhus
22.2
FC Nordsjaelland
20.9
Aalborg
20.5
Lyngby
20.4
Odense
20.0
Brondby
19.5
FC Copenhagen
19.4
Viborg
18.7
Randers FC
18.4
AC Horsens
17.8
Silkeborg
13.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
54.5%
Under 9.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.7%
Under 3.5
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
15.4%
Under 21.5
84.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
AC Horsens
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.23
0.69
0.33
0.67
0.14
0.71
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.83
0.25
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (7)
0.14
0.57
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
54% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Silkeborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Silkeborg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.95
0.58
1.33
0.67
0.60
0.50
vs Stronger (8)
1.25
0.50
1.67
1.00
1.00
0.20
vs Similar (11)
0.73
0.64
1.17
0.50
0.20
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
58% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AC Horsens over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Silkeborg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Silkeborg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Silkeborg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
AC Horsens
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.62
0.38
0.83
0.33
0.43
0.43
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
0.50
1.25
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (7)
0.29
0.29
0.00
0.00
0.40
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
69% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Silkeborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Silkeborg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.89
0.63
0.89
0.56
0.90
0.70
vs Stronger (8)
1.12
0.25
1.33
0.00
1.00
0.40
vs Similar (11)
0.73
0.91
0.67
0.83
0.80
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AC Horsens over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Silkeborg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Silkeborg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Silkeborg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 21.5 fouls
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 19.5 fouls
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
AC Horsens
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anders Jacobsen23%
Aron Sigurðarson20%
Magnus Jensen17%
Lubambo Musonda10%
Thomas Santos10%
Moses Opondo7%
Mikkel Lassen5%
Jonas Gemmer4%
James Gomez4%
Matej Delač0%
Alexander Ludwig0%
Janus Drachmann0%
Samson Iyede0%
Jacob Buus0%
Malte Kiilerich0%
Lirim Qamili0%
Simon Makienok0%
Elijah Just0%
Samuel Brolin0%
Marcus Bobjerg0%
Casper Tengstedt0%
Marcus Hannesbo0%
David Kruse0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Casper Tengstedt33%
Magnus Jensen25%
Malte Kiilerich21%
Mikkel Lassen18%
James Gomez18%
Lubambo Musonda17%
Aron Sigurðarson17%
Jonas Gemmer14%
Moses Opondo13%
David Kruse13%
Janus Drachmann12%
Matej Delač12%
Samson Iyede11%
Anders Jacobsen10%
Jacob Buus10%
Marcus Hannesbo10%
Alexander Ludwig8%
Elijah Just8%
Thomas Santos7%
Lirim Qamili0%
Simon Makienok0%
Samuel Brolin0%
Marcus Bobjerg0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Casper Tengstedt33%
Lubambo Musonda10%
Anders Jacobsen10%
David Kruse10%
Elijah Just8%
Simon Makienok7%
Moses Opondo7%
Thomas Santos7%
Matej Delač0%
Mikkel Lassen0%
Alexander Ludwig0%
Janus Drachmann0%
Jonas Gemmer0%
Samson Iyede0%
Jacob Buus0%
Malte Kiilerich0%
Lirim Qamili0%
Aron Sigurðarson0%
Magnus Jensen0%
Samuel Brolin0%
Marcus Bobjerg0%
James Gomez0%
Marcus Hannesbo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Casper Tengstedt67%
Aron Sigurðarson20%
Magnus Jensen17%
Anders Jacobsen10%
Elijah Just4%
Jonas Gemmer4%
Lubambo Musonda3%
Thomas Santos3%
Matej Delač0%
Mikkel Lassen0%
Moses Opondo0%
Alexander Ludwig0%
Janus Drachmann0%
Samson Iyede0%
Jacob Buus0%
Malte Kiilerich0%
Lirim Qamili0%
Simon Makienok0%
Samuel Brolin0%
Marcus Bobjerg0%
James Gomez0%
Marcus Hannesbo0%
David Kruse0%
Silkeborg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nicolai Vallys33%
Tonni Adamsen26%
Nicklas Helenius22%
Kasper Kusk17%
Sebastian Jørgensen15%
Søren Tengstedt12%
Alexander Busch9%
Oliver Sonne9%
Anders Klynge9%
Alexander Lind8%
Stefán Teitur Þórðarson6%
Tobias Salquist6%
Andreas Oggesen5%
Pelle Mattsson4%
Lukas Engel3%
Lukas Klitten0%
Mark Brink0%
Lasse Vigen Christensen0%
Nicolai Larsen0%
Rasmus Carstensen0%
Mads Kaalund0%
André Calisir0%
Robert Gojani0%
Joel Felix0%
Robin Østrøm0%
Anders Dahl0%
Oscar Boesen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lukas Klitten27%
Stefán Teitur Þórðarson19%
Alexander Busch18%
Nicolai Vallys17%
Anders Klynge14%
Lukas Engel10%
Mads Kaalund10%
Mark Brink9%
Tobias Salquist8%
Joel Felix8%
Kasper Kusk7%
Sebastian Jørgensen6%
Oliver Sonne6%
Tonni Adamsen6%
Pelle Mattsson4%
Søren Tengstedt3%
Nicolai Larsen3%
Nicklas Helenius0%
Lasse Vigen Christensen0%
Rasmus Carstensen0%
Andreas Oggesen0%
André Calisir0%
Robert Gojani0%
Alexander Lind0%
Robin Østrøm0%
Anders Dahl0%
Oscar Boesen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rasmus Carstensen67%
Nicolai Vallys50%
Lukas Engel23%
Kasper Kusk21%
Anders Klynge11%
Sebastian Jørgensen9%
Søren Tengstedt9%
Nicklas Helenius9%
Oliver Sonne6%
Mads Kaalund5%
Pelle Mattsson4%
Stefán Teitur Þórðarson3%
Mark Brink3%
Tonni Adamsen3%
Lukas Klitten0%
Lasse Vigen Christensen0%
Nicolai Larsen0%
Andreas Oggesen0%
Tobias Salquist0%
André Calisir0%
Robert Gojani0%
Joel Felix0%
Alexander Lind0%
Robin Østrøm0%
Anders Dahl0%
Alexander Busch0%
Oscar Boesen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tonni Adamsen29%
Nicolai Vallys17%
Sebastian Jørgensen15%
Nicklas Helenius9%
Alexander Lind8%
Kasper Kusk7%
Stefán Teitur Þórðarson3%
Lukas Klitten0%
Mark Brink0%
Lasse Vigen Christensen0%
Nicolai Larsen0%
Rasmus Carstensen0%
Pelle Mattsson0%
Lukas Engel0%
Andreas Oggesen0%
Mads Kaalund0%
Tobias Salquist0%
André Calisir0%
Robert Gojani0%
Joel Felix0%
Søren Tengstedt0%
Oliver Sonne0%
Robin Østrøm0%
Anders Klynge0%
Anders Dahl0%
Alexander Busch0%
Oscar Boesen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
AAL (24)
€10m
AC Horsens's squad is €9m less valuable than Silkeborg's (€10m vs €19m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
LYN (5)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
AC Horsens's attack is €3m less valuable than Silkeborg's (€4m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
RF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
AH (6)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
AC Horsens's midfield is €3m less valuable than Silkeborg's (€2m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
RF (10)
€6m
AAL (12)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
AC Horsens's defence is €3m less valuable than Silkeborg's (€4m vs €8m).
Denmark: Superliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Copenhagen
FC Nordsjaelland
FC Midtjylland
Aarhus
Viborg
Odense
Brondby
Randers FC
Lyngby
Aalborg