This opponent (Santa Clara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Santa Clara
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
0.97
1.67
0.60
1.27
1.33
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
3.33
-
-
1.33
3.33
vs Similar (12)
1.75
1.08
2.00
0.86
1.40
1.40
vs Weaker (15)
1.27
0.40
1.38
0.38
1.14
0.43
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Academico Viseu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
60.5%
Under 1.5
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
32.1%
Under 2.5
67.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
14.2%
Under 3.5
85.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
40.4%
No
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.0%
1-1 ✓
14.6%
0-1
14.2%
1-0
10.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
5.0%
Academico Viseu goals ↓
Santa Clara goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
14%
8.8%
3.3%
0.9%
1
10%
15%
7.5%
2.9%
0.8%
2
5.0%
5.7%
3.2%
1.2%
0.3%
3
1.4%
1.6%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Academico Viseu goals (down), columns = Santa Clara goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Santa Clara
2.15
Nacional
2.09
AVS
1.88
Maritimo
1.88
Pacos Ferreira
1.53
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.50
Tondela
1.44
Torreense
1.41
Benfica B
1.32
Mafra
1.29
FC Porto B
1.29
Academico Viseu
1.26
União de Leiria
1.24
Penafiel
1.15
Leixoes
1.09
Oliveirense
1.00
Feirense
0.94
Vilaverdense
0.82
CF Os Belenenses
0.76
Academico Viseu is 0.88 points worse than Santa Clara in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 2.15).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nacional
1.94
Maritimo
1.53
FC Porto B
1.50
AVS
1.47
Santa Clara
1.41
Benfica B
1.41
Tondela
1.35
União de Leiria
1.29
Pacos Ferreira
1.24
Mafra
1.18
Torreense
1.18
Oliveirense
1.09
Academico Viseu
1.06
Feirense
0.94
Penafiel
0.91
Vilaverdense
0.88
Leixoes
0.85
CF Os Belenenses
0.82
Lusitânia Lourosa
0.50
Academico Viseu is 0.35 goals worse than Santa Clara in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 1.41).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Santa Clara
0.56
Maritimo
0.85
AVS
1.00
Nacional
1.03
Pacos Ferreira
1.03
Torreense
1.09
Leixoes
1.12
Academico Viseu
1.12
Penafiel
1.15
União de Leiria
1.18
Mafra
1.24
Tondela
1.26
Feirense
1.39
Benfica B
1.41
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.50
FC Porto B
1.50
Oliveirense
1.59
CF Os Belenenses
1.74
Vilaverdense
1.74
Academico Viseu is 0.56 goals worse than Santa Clara in terms of goals conceded per game (1.12 vs 0.56).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Porto B
54%
Pacos Ferreira
53%
Mafra
53%
AVS
53%
Leixoes
52%
Feirense
52%
Benfica B
52%
Oliveirense
52%
Maritimo
51%
União de Leiria
50%
Santa Clara
50%
Nacional
50%
Torreense
49%
Tondela
47%
Academico Viseu
47%
Vilaverdense
47%
CF Os Belenenses
45%
Penafiel
42%
Academico Viseu is 3.1 percentage points worse than Santa Clara in terms of average possession (47% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Academico Viseu
For 4.7 · Against 6.9 · Total 11.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 13.2 · Total 26.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Santa Clara
For 5.2 · Against 3.3 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 2.6 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.1 · Against 13.5 · Total 29.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Academico Viseu
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
11.2
10.9
4.7
4.7
4.7
26.0
25.6
26.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (34)
11.0
11.7
10.4
4.6
4.5
4.8
25.6
26.1
25.1
vs Weaker (16)
11.1
10.0
11.8
4.8
5.3
4.4
27.2
24.0
29.4
% over line
68%
70%
67%
68%
71%
65%
79%
80%
78%
% under line
32%
30%
33%
32%
29%
35%
21%
20%
22%
This opponent (Santa Clara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Santa Clara
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.2
9.1
3.1
3.2
3.0
29.4
30.5
28.4
vs Stronger (8)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
8.9
8.0
10.2
3.0
3.6
2.5
27.7
28.8
26.0
vs Weaker (19)
8.4
8.4
8.4
4.4
4.0
4.7
30.8
32.4
29.7
% over line
36%
36%
36%
38%
40%
36%
91%
91%
91%
% under line
64%
64%
64%
62%
60%
64%
9%
9%
9%
This opponent (Academico Viseu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Nacional
12.1
AVS
12.0
Academico Viseu
10.9
Feirense
10.8
Leixoes
10.7
Oliveirense
10.7
Vilaverdense
10.7
FC Porto B
10.6
Benfica B
10.5
Penafiel
10.3
Tondela
10.3
Pacos Ferreira
10.2
Mafra
10.2
União de Leiria
9.9
CF Os Belenenses
9.7
Maritimo
9.3
Torreense
9.3
Santa Clara
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maritimo
6.6
Oliveirense
6.3
Santa Clara
6.3
Pacos Ferreira
6.1
Leixoes
5.9
FC Porto B
5.8
Benfica B
5.8
Tondela
5.7
AVS
5.7
Nacional
5.5
Penafiel
5.4
Academico Viseu
5.4
Torreense
5.3
União de Leiria
5.2
Vilaverdense
5.1
Feirense
5.1
Mafra
5.0
CF Os Belenenses
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Pacos Ferreira
32.0
Maritimo
31.8
Oliveirense
30.7
Penafiel
30.6
Santa Clara
30.2
Leixoes
29.7
Vilaverdense
29.5
Feirense
28.5
Tondela
28.1
Nacional
28.0
Torreense
27.7
AVS
27.7
União de Leiria
27.3
Benfica B
26.5
Mafra
26.2
Academico Viseu
25.9
FC Porto B
25.7
CF Os Belenenses
23.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
54.1%
Under 9.5
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
79.4%
Under 3.5
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
84.0%
Under 21.5
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Academico Viseu
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.47
0.43
0.36
0.62
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.40
0.40
0.20
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (10)
0.60
0.60
0.50
0.75
0.67
0.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Santa Clara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Santa Clara
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.57
1.07
0.33
0.53
0.80
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
2.00
-
-
0.33
2.00
vs Similar (12)
0.83
0.67
1.14
0.57
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (15)
0.87
0.20
1.00
0.12
0.71
0.29
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Academico Viseu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Academico Viseu over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Academico Viseu over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Academico Viseu over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santa Clara over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santa Clara over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santa Clara over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Academico Viseu
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.73
0.79
0.57
0.44
0.88
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.70
0.60
0.30
0.50
1.10
vs Weaker (10)
0.70
0.80
1.25
1.25
0.33
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Santa Clara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Santa Clara
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.40
0.60
0.27
0.73
0.53
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.33
-
-
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (12)
0.92
0.42
0.86
0.29
1.00
0.60
vs Weaker (15)
0.40
0.20
0.38
0.25
0.43
0.14
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Academico Viseu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Academico Viseu over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Academico Viseu over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Academico Viseu over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santa Clara over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santa Clara over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santa Clara over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
90.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Academico Viseu · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
André Clóvis50%
Soufiane Messeguem25%
Robinho0%
André Ceitil0%
Anthony Correia0%
Ewerton0%
Cihan Kahraman0%
Dominik Steczyk0%
Pedro Barcelos0%
Álvaro Zamora0%
Nikolaos Michelis0%
João Guilherme0%
Lorougnon Gohi0%
Alejandro Mestanza0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
André Ceitil67%
Anthony Correia50%
Álvaro Zamora33%
Nikolaos Michelis33%
Cihan Kahraman25%
Soufiane Messeguem25%
Alejandro Mestanza25%
Robinho0%
André Clóvis0%
Ewerton0%
Dominik Steczyk0%
Pedro Barcelos0%
João Guilherme0%
Lorougnon Gohi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Robinho25%
Anthony Correia25%
Cihan Kahraman25%
André Ceitil0%
André Clóvis0%
Ewerton0%
Dominik Steczyk0%
Pedro Barcelos0%
Álvaro Zamora0%
Soufiane Messeguem0%
Nikolaos Michelis0%
João Guilherme0%
Lorougnon Gohi0%
Alejandro Mestanza0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
André Clóvis25%
João Guilherme25%
Robinho0%
André Ceitil0%
Anthony Correia0%
Ewerton0%
Cihan Kahraman0%
Dominik Steczyk0%
Pedro Barcelos0%
Álvaro Zamora0%
Soufiane Messeguem0%
Nikolaos Michelis0%
Lorougnon Gohi0%
Alejandro Mestanza0%
Santa Clara · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gonçalo Paciência75%
Guilherme Romão0%
Vinícius Lopes0%
Diogo Calila0%
Lucas França0%
Pedro Ferreira0%
Pedro Pacheco0%
Welinton Torrao0%
Daniel Borges0%
Tiago Ribeiro0%
Emanuel Fernandes0%
Luis Fernando0%
José Tavares0%
Sorriso0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vinícius Lopes50%
Daniel Borges33%
Emanuel Fernandes33%
Guilherme Romão25%
Pedro Pacheco25%
Sorriso25%
Gonçalo Paciência0%
Diogo Calila0%
Lucas França0%
Pedro Ferreira0%
Welinton Torrao0%
Tiago Ribeiro0%
Luis Fernando0%
José Tavares0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Diogo Calila25%
Welinton Torrao25%
Sorriso25%
Gonçalo Paciência0%
Guilherme Romão0%
Vinícius Lopes0%
Lucas França0%
Pedro Ferreira0%
Pedro Pacheco0%
Daniel Borges0%
Tiago Ribeiro0%
Emanuel Fernandes0%
Luis Fernando0%
José Tavares0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gonçalo Paciência75%
Guilherme Romão0%
Vinícius Lopes0%
Diogo Calila0%
Lucas França0%
Pedro Ferreira0%
Pedro Pacheco0%
Welinton Torrao0%
Daniel Borges0%
Tiago Ribeiro0%
Emanuel Fernandes0%
Luis Fernando0%
José Tavares0%
Sorriso0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (26)
€31m
FPB (28)
€29m
SC (28)
€27m
NAC (31)
€20m
TOR (32)
€19m
AV (27)
€16m
MAR (27)
€16m
TON (20)
€10m
UDL (25)
€10m
AVS (20)
€7m
LEI (21)
€6m
PEN (23)
€5m
LL (19)
€5m
FEI (17)
€4m
PF (13)
€2m
OLI (7)
€1m
Academico Viseu's squad is €10m less valuable than Santa Clara's (€16m vs €27m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FPB (10)
€13m
SC (11)
€9m
BB (9)
€9m
AV (11)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
MAR (10)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
UDL (9)
€4m
AVS (8)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
LEI (7)
€2m
PEN (8)
€1m
FEI (6)
€1m
LL (6)
€1m
PF (3)
€1m
OLI (1)
€0m
Academico Viseu's attack is €1m less valuable than Santa Clara's (€8m vs €9m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (7)
€10m
FPB (6)
€7m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
MAR (6)
€3m
AV (6)
€3m
TOR (5)
€2m
UDL (7)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
LEI (3)
€1m
LL (2)
€1m
FEI (3)
€1m
PF (2)
€0m
PEN (2)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
Academico Viseu's midfield is €3m less valuable than Santa Clara's (€3m vs €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (10)
€13m
SC (12)
€12m
TOR (15)
€10m
FPB (12)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
TON (9)
€6m
MAR (11)
€6m
AV (10)
€6m
UDL (9)
€4m
PEN (13)
€3m
LL (11)
€3m
AVS (10)
€3m
FEI (8)
€3m
LEI (11)
€3m
OLI (5)
€1m
PF (8)
€1m
Academico Viseu's defence is €6m less valuable than Santa Clara's (€6m vs €12m).
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Segunda Liga stats & trends →
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Nacional
Maritimo
AVS
Pacos Ferreira
Tondela
Torreense
Benfica B
FC Porto B
Mafra
União de Leiria
Penafiel
Leixoes
Feirense
Oliveirense
Vilaverdense
CF Os Belenenses
Lusitânia Lourosa