
Nacional statistics for 2026/27: goals scored and conceded, over/under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5, both teams to score, clean sheets, corners, cards and fouls, plus the squad's top scorers, form, results and upcoming fixtures with Pythia's model probabilities.
In 2026/27, Nacional are scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.50 goals a game across 4 matches – 50% of their games go over 2.5 and 50% see both teams score. They win 25%, draw 25% and lose 50%, keeping a clean sheet in 25% of games. On the ball they average 4.5 corners, 1.75 cards, 11.8 fouls a game.
| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games (30) | 1.17 | 1.40 | 1.47 | 1.07 | 0.87 | 1.73 |
| vs Stronger (13) | 0.69 | 1.46 | 0.83 | 1.00 | 0.57 | 1.86 |
| vs Similar (17) | 1.53 | 1.35 | 1.89 | 1.11 | 1.12 | 1.62 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 23% (-6pp vs league) | |||||
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | FC Porto | 4 | 12 | 100% | 3.0 | 9 | 0 | +9 | 2.2 | 100% | 25% | 0% | 11.0 | 75% | 1.7 | 33% | 22.5 | 75% | 467 | 214 | 105 | 148 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 55% |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 4 | 10 | 75% | 2.5 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 4.2 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 5.2 | 0% | 4.2 | 50% | 24.0 | 50% | 414 | 146 | 91 | 176 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 62% |
| 3 | Arouca | 4 | 9 | 75% | 2.2 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 2.5 | 75% | 50% | 25% | 8.5 | 25% | 4.8 | 50% | 19.0 | 25% | 28 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 50% |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 4 | 8 | 50% | 2.0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 2.0 | 50% | 25% | 25% | 9.5 | 50% | 3.8 | 75% | 27.5 | 100% | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 48% |
| 5 | Benfica | 3 | 7 | 67% | 2.3 | 11 | 3 | +8 | 4.7 | 100% | 100% | 67% | 8.3 | 33% | 3.7 | 67% | 25.3 | 100% | 357 | 172 | 77 | 108 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 58% |
| 6 | GIL Vicente | 3 | 7 | 67% | 2.3 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 1.0 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 7.7 | 0% | 4.3 | 67% | 24.7 | 100% | 29 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 50% |
| 7 | Maritimo | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 2.8 | 75% | 75% | 25% | 7.0 | 0% | 4.5 | 50% | 26.2 | 75% | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 1.5 | 1.2 | - |
| 8 | Estrela | 3 | 5 | 33% | 1.7 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 4.3 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 6.0 | 0% | 4.7 | 67% | 23.3 | 67% | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 47% |
| 9 | SC Braga | 2 | 4 | 50% | 2.0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 2.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 5.0 | 0% | 5.0 | 100% | 32.0 | 100% | 165 | 41 | 56 | 68 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 63% |
| 10 | Nacional | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 3.0 | 75% | 50% | 50% | 8.2 | 25% | 4.2 | 50% | 25.5 | 75% | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 46% |
| 11 | Moreirense | 3 | 4 | 33% | 1.3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3.0 | 67% | 67% | 67% | 6.3 | 0% | 5.3 | 100% | 28.3 | 67% | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 50% |
| 12 | Guimaraes | 4 | 3 | 25% | 0.8 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 2.0 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 6.0 | 0% | 6.0 | 75% | 26.0 | 75% | 46 | 22 | 11 | 12 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 51% |
| 13 | Rio Ave | 4 | 3 | 25% | 0.8 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2.2 | 75% | 25% | 25% | 8.2 | 25% | 3.0 | 33% | 19.8 | 50% | 37 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 47% |
| 14 | Famalicao | 4 | 2 | 0% | 0.5 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 0% | 9.5 | 50% | 4.0 | 50% | 28.2 | 100% | 57 | 16 | 20 | 22 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 51% |
| 15 | Academico Viseu | 4 | 2 | 0% | 0.5 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3.0 | 75% | 75% | 50% | 7.2 | 25% | 4.5 | 75% | 28.8 | 100% | 16 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - |
| 16 | Alverca | 4 | 2 | 0% | 0.5 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3.0 | 100% | 50% | 50% | 8.2 | 50% | 4.2 | 50% | 20.8 | 75% | 39 | 15 | 6 | 18 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 45% |
| 17 | Estoril | 4 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2.2 | 100% | 25% | 0% | 10.5 | 50% | 3.2 | 25% | 25.5 | 100% | 42 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 53% |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 4 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 11 | -11 | 2.8 | 50% | 25% | 25% | 6.0 | 0% | 3.5 | 75% | 27.0 | 100% | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 41% |
| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (3) | 8.7 | 11.0 | 7.5 | 4.7 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 27.0 | 26.0 | 27.5 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 7.5 | - | 7.5 | 3.5 | - | 3.5 | 27.5 | - | 27.5 |
| vs Similar (1) | 11.0 | 11.0 | - | 7.0 | 7.0 | - | 26.0 | 26.0 | - |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line (9.5/3.5/21.5) | 33% | 100% | 0% | 67% | 100% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| % under line | 67% | 0% | 100% | 33% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Player | Pos | Apps | Mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | On tgt | Goals /shot | Key passes | Pass acc | Dribbles | Drib % | Tackles | Interc. | Blocks | Duels won % | Fouls | Fouled | Yel | Red | Saves | Rating | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ze Vitor | D | 4 | 365 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 50% | 3 | 82% | 1 | 100% | 8 | 1 | 5 | 56% | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.05 | – |
| Léo Santos | D | 4 | 365 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 20% | 5 | 85% | 2 | 100% | 5 | 4 | 3 | 59% | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.55 | – |
| Liziero | M | 4 | 343 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 33% | 3 | 85% | 0 | 0% | 11 | 7 | 0 | 49% | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.02 | – |
| Pablo Messias Cardozo | F | 4 | 337 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 14% | 3 | 70% | 1 | 33% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 47% | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.82 | – |
| Wesley Gasolina | M | 4 | 298 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 33% | 3 | 88% | 2 | 50% | 4 | 6 | 0 | 50% | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.00 | – |
| Miguel Baeza | F | 4 | 289 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 50% | 2 | 82% | 0 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 54% | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.95 | – |
| Renato Marin | G | 4 | 365 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 66% | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6.88 | – |
| Matheus Dias | D | 4 | 331 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 88% | 0 | – | 3 | 5 | 4 | 52% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.62 | – |
| Daniel Júnior | F | 4 | 320 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 6 | 84% | 5 | 56% | 6 | 1 | 0 | 68% | 1 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.22 | – |
| Markus Jensen | M | 4 | 267 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 75% | 3 | 21% | 5 | 1 | 1 | 46% | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.75 | – |
| Filipe Soares | M | 4 | 249 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 4 | 82% | 1 | 25% | 6 | 4 | 1 | 49% | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.70 | – |
| Williams Kokolo | D | 2 | 112 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 74% | 0 | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 46% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.70 | – |
| Stavros Gavriel | M | 4 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0% | 1 | 64% | 2 | 40% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 58% | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.68 | – |
| Daniel De la Cruz | D | 4 | 76 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 71% | 2 | 100% | 1 | 1 | 2 | 44% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.58 | – |
| Joel Silva | M | 2 | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 80% | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.45 | – |
| Matchoi Djaló | M | 2 | 65 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 87% | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.30 | – |
| Allen Obando | F | 2 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 33% | 0 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 71% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.50 | – |
| Deivison Souza Brito | M | 2 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 67% | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 0 | 67% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.60 | – |
| Mateus Jose Iseppe | M | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 100% | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.70 | – |
| Player | Pos | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zé Vítor | Centre-Back | €2.0m | €2.5m | €2.5m |
| Liziero | Central Midfield | – | €1.5m | €1.5m |
| Matheus Dias | Defensive Midfield | €1.5m | €1.5m | €1.5m |
| José Gomes | Left-Back | €1.0m | €1.0m | €1.0m |
| Léo Santos | Centre-Back | €600k | €1.0m | €1.0m |
| Renato Marin | Goalkeeper | – | – | €1.0m |
| Ulisses | Centre-Back | €1.5m | €1.0m | €1.0m |
| Allen Obando | Centre-Forward | – | – | €900k |
| Filipe Soares | Attacking Midfield | – | €700k | €700k |
| Daniel Jr | Attacking Midfield | – | €600k | €600k |
| Stavros Gavriel | Right Winger | – | – | €600k |
| Wesley Gasolina | Right-Back | – | – | €600k |
| Chiheb Labidi | Central Midfield | €500k | €500k | €500k |
| Daniel de la Cruz | Right-Back | – | – | €500k |
| Fernando Nava | Left Winger | – | – | €500k |
| João Gonçalves | Goalkeeper | – | – | €500k |
| Matchoi Djaló | Attacking Midfield | – | – | €500k |
| Pablo Ruan | Right Winger | – | €500k | €500k |
| William Kokolo | Left Midfield | – | – | €500k |
| Danel Dongmo | Central Midfield | – | – | €450k |
| Joel Silva | Central Midfield | – | €400k | €400k |
| Markus Jensen | Left Winger | – | – | €400k |
| Mateus Iseppe | Attacking Midfield | – | – | €400k |
| Miguel Baeza | Attacking Midfield | €400k | €400k | €400k |
| Chico Gonçalves | Centre-Back | €200k | €200k | €200k |
| Deivison | Central Midfield | – | €200k | €200k |
| Ivanildo Fernandes | Centre-Back | €200k | €200k | €200k |
| Kevyn | Goalkeeper | – | €200k | €200k |
| Watts | Right Winger | – | €200k | €200k |
| Motez Nourani | Left Winger | – | €175k | €175k |
| Josué Souza | Central Midfield | – | €100k | €100k |
| Adrián Butzke | Centre-Forward | €300k | – | – |
| Afonso Freitas | Left-Back | €400k | – | – |
| Alan Núñez | Right-Back | – | €1.0m | – |
| André Sousa | Central Midfield | €50k | €50k | – |
| Arvin Appiah | Left-Back | €500k | – | – |
| Bruno Costa | Central Midfield | €500k | – | – |
| César Augusto | Goalkeeper | €100k | €100k | – |
| Daniel Penha | Attacking Midfield | €750k | – | – |
| Djibril Soumaré | Defensive Midfield | €1.5m | – | – |
| Douglas Sequeira | Centre-Back | €175k | – | – |
| Dudu Teodora | Centre-Forward | €600k | – | – |
| Dyego Sousa | Centre-Forward | €50k | – | – |
| Fuki Yamada | Right Winger | €700k | – | – |
| Gabriel Santos | Left Winger | €275k | – | – |
| Gabriel Veron | Right Winger | – | €2.5m | – |
| Garcia | Right-Back | €3.0m | – | – |
| Isaac | Centre-Forward | €700k | – | – |
| Jesús Ramírez | Centre-Forward | – | €5.0m | – |
| Joel Tagueu | Centre-Forward | €300k | – | – |
| Jota | Central Midfield | €75k | €75k | – |
| João Aurélio | Right-Back | €50k | €50k | – |
| Kaique Pereira | Goalkeeper | – | €2.0m | – |
| Lenny Vallier | Left-Back | – | €500k | – |
| Lucas França | Goalkeeper | €1.0m | €600k | – |
| Lucas João | Centre-Forward | – | €200k | – |
| Luís Esteves | Attacking Midfield | €1.0m | – | – |
| Nigel Thomas | Left Winger | €300k | – | – |
| Paulinho Bóia | Left Winger | €700k | €1.2m | – |
| Rui Encarnação | Goalkeeper | €200k | – | – |
| Rúben Macedo | Left Winger | €450k | – | – |
| Tiago Reis | Centre-Forward | €400k | – | – |
| Witi | Left Winger | – | €500k | – |
| Metric | 2026/27 | 2025/26 | 2024/25 | 2023/24 | 2022/23 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 1.50 | 1.09 | 0.94 | – | – | ▲ |
| Conceded / game | 1.50 | 1.32 | 1.47 | – | – | ▲ |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 74% | 71% | – | – | ▲ |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 41% | 44% | – | – | ▲ |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 18% | 18% | – | – | ▲ |
| BTTS | 50% | 47% | 38% | – | – | ▲ |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 24% | 24% | – | – | ▲ |
| Win % | 25% | 26% | 26% | – | – | ▼ |
| Draw % | 25% | 21% | 21% | – | – | ▲ |
| Points / game | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | – | – | ▲ |
| Corners / game | 4.5 | 4.4 | 4.5 | – | – | ▼ |
| Shots / game | 11.8 | 12.6 | 13.4 | – | – | ▼ |
| Shots on target | 3.0 | 4.2 | 4.0 | – | – | ▼ |
| Fouls / game | 11.8 | 14.9 | 13.5 | – | – | ▼ |
| Cards / game | 1.75 | 3.72 | 3.16 | – | – | ▼ |
| Yellows / game | 1.75 | 2.94 | 2.44 | – | – | ▼ |
| Reds / game | 0.00 | 0.78 | 0.71 | – | – | ▼ |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Res |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | @ Benfica | 0-2 | L |
| 18 Apr | vs Alverca | 1-0 | W |
| 25 Apr | @ Tondela | 2-0 | W |
| 02 May | vs AVS | 1-2 | L |
| 11 May | @ Santa Clara | 0-2 | L |
| 16 May | vs Guimaraes | 2-0 | W |
| 10 Aug | @ Santa Clara | 2-2 | D |
| 16 Aug | vs Estoril | 2-0 | W |
| 23 Aug | @ Guimaraes | 0-1 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Estrela | 2-3 | L |