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Maritimo vs Nacional Prediction & Stats

Date: 29/11/2026
Time: 16:00
Maritimo
Maritimo
Vs
33%
32%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Nacional
Nacional
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Defensive solidity will dominate this encounter, as both sides have conceded over an average of one goal per game against similar opposition. Marítimo’s home form shows 1.42 goals scored and 1.08 conceded, while Nacional’s away record is 1.12 scored and 1.62 conceded. The model favours an away win, with a 35% probability, followed closely by a 33% chance of a home victory and a 32% draw. The expected total is 2.2 goals, centring on a 2-goal outcome at 28%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.8% chance. Recent form hints at a fragile home side after a defeat to Arouca, and an away side still recovering from two consecutive losses. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 goals at 99.8%, Under 6.5 at 99.3%, Home under 3.5 goals at 97.7%, Under 5.5 at 97.7%, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.4%, Over 19.5 fouls at 94.3%, Under 4.5 at 93.2%, and Home under 2.5 goals at 90.9%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maritimo win
33.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
32.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Nacional win
34.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MaritimoMaritimo

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L21W32W01L13L10W21W22D12LH·POR12/04A·TOR18/04A·BEN26/04H·LEI01/05A·PEN09/05H·CHA15/05H·CAS08/08A·FAM16/08H·ACA22/08A·ARO29/08← Segunda LigaPrimeira Liga →
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.600.971.401.001.800.93
vs Stronger (5)1.600.801.330.672.001.00
vs Similar (25)1.601.001.421.081.770.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NacionalNacional

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W20W12L02L20W22D20W01L23LA·BEN12/04H·ALV18/04A·TON25/04H·AVS02/05A·SAN11/05H·GUI16/05A·SAN10/08H·EST16/08A·GUI23/08H·EST30/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.401.471.070.871.73
vs Stronger (13)0.691.460.831.000.571.86
vs Similar (17)1.531.351.891.111.121.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Maritimo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%219%310%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
64.8%
Under 1.5
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
36.6%
Under 2.5
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
17.2%
Under 3.5
82.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
44.9%
No
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0
12.9%
0-1
11.3%
1-0
11.0%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
Maritimo goals ↓
Nacional goals →
01234
013%11%6.9%2.5%0.7%
111%15%7.3%2.7%0.7%
26.6%7.2%3.9%1.4%0.4%
32.3%2.5%1.4%0.5%0.1%
40.6%0.7%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Maritimo goals (down), columns = Nacional goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Porto
2.59
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
SC Braga
1.74
Famalicao
1.65
GIL Vicente
1.47
Moreirense
1.26
Arouca
1.24
Guimaraes
1.24
Estoril
1.15
Alverca
1.15
Maritimo
1.12
Academico Viseu
1.10
Rio Ave
1.06
Santa Clara
1.06
Nacional
1.00
Casa Pia
0.94
Estrela
0.88
Maritimo is 0.12 points better than Nacional in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.62
Benfica
2.18
FC Porto
1.94
SC Braga
1.88
Estoril
1.59
Arouca
1.38
GIL Vicente
1.38
Famalicao
1.24
Guimaraes
1.15
Estrela
1.12
Moreirense
1.09
Nacional
1.09
Maritimo
1.08
Academico Viseu
1.06
Rio Ave
1.03
Alverca
1.03
Santa Clara
0.94
Casa Pia
0.92
Maritimo is 0.01 goals worse than Nacional in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.09).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.53
Sporting CP
0.71
Benfica
0.74
Famalicao
0.85
SC Braga
1.06
GIL Vicente
1.12
Santa Clara
1.21
Nacional
1.32
Moreirense
1.44
Guimaraes
1.50
Alverca
1.53
Maritimo
1.55
Academico Viseu
1.58
Casa Pia
1.58
Estrela
1.65
Estoril
1.68
Rio Ave
1.68
Arouca
1.88
Maritimo is 0.23 goals worse than Nacional in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
SC Braga
63%
Sporting CP
62%
Benfica
58%
FC Porto
55%
Estoril
53%
Guimaraes
51%
Famalicao
51%
Arouca
50%
GIL Vicente
50%
Moreirense
50%
Santa Clara
48%
Rio Ave
47%
Estrela
47%
Nacional
46%
Alverca
45%
Casa Pia
41%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MaritimoMaritimo

For 3.5 · Against 4.3 · Total 7.8

🚩 Corners

1403245152662252486512759688761469A·AROH·ACAA·FAMH·CASH·CHAA·BENA·TORA·PACH·OLIA·UNI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.4

🟨 Cards

80122621222213356224153834448866A·AROH·ACAA·FAMH·CASH·CHAA·PENH·LEIA·BENA·TORH·POR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.8 · Against 12.6 · Total 27.4

⚠️ Fouls

360981516161117132112221412101191015151817312730333622202533A·AROH·ACAA·FAMH·CASH·CHAA·BENA·TORA·PACH·OLIA·UNI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NacionalNacional

For 4.6 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.8

🚩 Corners

1604334744426648678481157711881014151216H·ESTA·GUIH·ESTA·SANH·GUIA·SANH·AVSA·TONH·ALVA·BEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

70211225224321521221513374737336H·ESTA·GUIH·ESTA·SANH·GUIA·SANH·AVSA·TONH·ALVA·BEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 13.6 · Total 27.2

⚠️ Fouls

310129818131314151713161081415161515181321262629302622313031H·ESTA·GUIH·ESTA·SANH·GUIA·SANH·AVSA·TONH·ALVA·BEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MaritimoMaritimo

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)7.97.87.94.85.24.327.223.729.9
vs Stronger (10)6.5-6.53.73.83.631.5-31.5
vs Similar (39)8.07.88.25.25.64.826.823.729.6
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line24%12%31%68%75%62%83%80%85%
% under line76%88%69%32%25%38%17%20%15%
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NacionalNacional

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.411.19.74.65.33.926.926.527.4
vs Stronger (22)10.511.69.44.04.23.726.927.226.6
vs Similar (27)10.410.89.85.36.14.327.026.128.0
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line61%62%60%60%72%48%88%90%85%
% under line39%38%40%40%28%52%12%10%15%
This opponent (Maritimo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Famalicao
10.5
Rio Ave
10.4
Nacional
10.2
Benfica
10.1
Sporting CP
9.8
Casa Pia
9.6
Academico Viseu
9.5
GIL Vicente
9.1
Estoril
9.0
Santa Clara
9.0
Estrela
9.0
Alverca
8.9
FC Porto
8.9
Arouca
8.9
Guimaraes
8.5
Maritimo
8.1
SC Braga
8.1
Moreirense
7.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Santa Clara
5.9
Maritimo
5.8
Academico Viseu
5.8
Casa Pia
5.6
Arouca
5.6
Estrela
5.5
Famalicao
5.4
Nacional
5.4
Guimaraes
5.2
Moreirense
5.2
FC Porto
5.2
Sporting CP
5.1
Benfica
5.0
Rio Ave
5.0
GIL Vicente
4.9
SC Braga
4.9
Alverca
4.8
Estoril
4.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
32.0
Santa Clara
30.1
Estrela
29.9
Moreirense
29.5
Casa Pia
29.2
Guimaraes
28.9
GIL Vicente
27.9
Rio Ave
27.0
Nacional
26.9
Estoril
26.7
Sporting CP
26.2
FC Porto
26.1
Arouca
26.0
Benfica
25.8
Academico Viseu
25.3
SC Braga
24.7
Maritimo
24.6
Alverca
23.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
41.3%
Under 9.5
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
73.0%
Under 3.5
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
87.7%
Under 21.5
12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Maritimo or Draw
65.4%
Avg Implied -
33%
32%
35%
covers Maritimo + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Maritimo or Nacional
67.8%
Avg Implied -
33%
32%
35%
covers Maritimo + Nacional
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Nacional
66.7%
Avg Implied -
33%
32%
35%
covers Draw + Nacional
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Maritimo over/under 0.5
Over
65.5%
Under
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maritimo over/under 1.5
Over
28.8%
Under
71.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maritimo over/under 2.5
Over
9.3%
Under
90.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maritimo over/under 3.5
Over
2.3%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 0.5
Over
66.4%
Under
33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5
Over
29.8%
Under
70.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5
Over
9.8%
Under
90.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 3.5
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Maritimo, so a minus line means Maritimo give that many goals of a start and Nacional receive them. At -1, Maritimo must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Maritimo win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Maritimo)
Maritimo -2
4.1%
Draw -2
9.5%
Nacional +2
86.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Maritimo)
Maritimo -1
13.6%
Draw -1
19.7%
Nacional +1
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Maritimo)
Maritimo +1
65.4%
Draw +1
20.2%
Nacional -1
14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Maritimo)
Maritimo +2
85.6%
Draw +2
10.0%
Nacional -2
4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MaritimoMaritimo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D20W21W00D02L00D11D02L11DH·POR12/04A·TOR18/04A·BEN26/04H·LEI01/05A·PEN09/05H·CHA15/05H·CAS08/08A·FAM16/08H·ACA22/08A·ARO29/08← Segunda LigaPrimeira Liga →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.470.670.470.930.47
vs Stronger (5)1.000.400.670.331.500.50
vs Similar (25)0.760.480.670.500.850.46
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NacionalNacional

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D20W11D01L00D22D00D01L11DA·BEN12/04H·ALV18/04A·TON25/04H·AVS02/05A·SAN11/05H·GUI16/05A·SAN10/08H·EST16/08A·GUI23/08H·EST30/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.670.400.470.400.87
vs Stronger (13)0.000.620.000.330.000.86
vs Similar (17)0.710.710.670.560.750.88
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Maritimo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Maritimo over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maritimo over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maritimo over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MaritimoMaritimo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L01L11D01L11D10W10W20W01LH·POR12/04A·TOR18/04A·BEN26/04H·LEI01/05A·PEN09/05H·CHA15/05H·CAS08/08A·FAM16/08H·ACA22/08A·ARO29/08← Segunda LigaPrimeira Liga →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.500.730.530.870.47
vs Stronger (5)0.600.400.670.330.500.50
vs Similar (25)0.840.520.750.580.920.46
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NacionalNacional

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W00D01L01L20W00D20W00D12LA·BEN12/04H·ALV18/04A·TON25/04H·AVS02/05A·SAN11/05H·GUI16/05A·SAN10/08H·EST16/08A·GUI23/08H·EST30/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.731.070.600.470.87
vs Stronger (13)0.690.850.830.670.571.00
vs Similar (17)0.820.651.220.560.380.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Maritimo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Maritimo over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maritimo over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maritimo over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.8%-------
Under 6.599.3%-------
Under 5.597.7%-------
Home under 3.5 goals97.7%-------
Away under 3.5 goals97.5%-------
Over 19.5 fouls94.3%-------
Under 4.593.2%-------
Home under 2.5 goals90.7%-------
Away under 2.5 goals90.2%-------
Over 21.5 fouls87.7%-------
Over 2.5 cards87.2%-------
Away +2 handicap86.4%-------
Home +2 handicap85.6%-------
Under 3.582.8%-------
Under 11.5 corners80.3%-------
Over 23.5 fouls77.5%-------
Over 3.5 cards73.0%-------
Home under 1.5 goals71.2%-------
Under 10.5 corners70.6%-------
Away under 1.5 goals70.2%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Maritimo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Simo Bouzaidi33%
Paulo Henrique25%
Raphael Guzzo25%
Adrián Butzke25%
Maurice Boakye25%
Martín Tejón25%
Igor Julião0%
Romain Correia0%
Vladan Danilović0%
Alfonso Pastor0%
Samuel Bamba0%
Rodrigo Andrade0%
Rafael Fernandes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Raphael Guzzo75%
Igor Julião50%
Adrián Butzke25%
Paulo Henrique0%
Romain Correia0%
Vladan Danilović0%
Simo Bouzaidi0%
Alfonso Pastor0%
Samuel Bamba0%
Rodrigo Andrade0%
Rafael Fernandes0%
Maurice Boakye0%
Martín Tejón0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Martín Tejón25%
Igor Julião0%
Paulo Henrique0%
Raphael Guzzo0%
Romain Correia0%
Vladan Danilović0%
Simo Bouzaidi0%
Alfonso Pastor0%
Adrián Butzke0%
Samuel Bamba0%
Rodrigo Andrade0%
Rafael Fernandes0%
Maurice Boakye0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Paulo Henrique50%
Martín Tejón50%
Igor Julião0%
Raphael Guzzo0%
Romain Correia0%
Vladan Danilović0%
Simo Bouzaidi0%
Alfonso Pastor0%
Adrián Butzke0%
Samuel Bamba0%
Rodrigo Andrade0%
Rafael Fernandes0%
Maurice Boakye0%
Nacional
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Liziero25%
Léo Santos25%
Wesley Gasolina25%
Miguel Baeza25%
Ze Vitor25%
Pablo Messias Cardozo25%
Filipe Soares0%
Stavros Gavriel0%
Matheus Dias0%
Daniel Júnior0%
Daniel De la Cruz0%
Markus Jensen0%
Renato Marin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Filipe Soares50%
Wesley Gasolina25%
Matheus Dias25%
Ze Vitor25%
Daniel Júnior25%
Liziero0%
Léo Santos0%
Stavros Gavriel0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Daniel De la Cruz0%
Markus Jensen0%
Renato Marin0%
Pablo Messias Cardozo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Liziero25%
Léo Santos25%
Daniel Júnior25%
Filipe Soares0%
Wesley Gasolina0%
Stavros Gavriel0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Matheus Dias0%
Ze Vitor0%
Daniel De la Cruz0%
Markus Jensen0%
Renato Marin0%
Pablo Messias Cardozo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Léo Santos25%
Liziero0%
Filipe Soares0%
Wesley Gasolina0%
Stavros Gavriel0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Matheus Dias0%
Ze Vitor0%
Daniel Júnior0%
Daniel De la Cruz0%
Markus Jensen0%
Renato Marin0%
Pablo Messias Cardozo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
AV (27)
€16m
MAR (27)
€16m
Maritimo's squad is €4m less valuable than Nacional's (€16m vs €20m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
AV (11)
€8m
MAR (10)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
MOR (5)
€5m
Maritimo and Nacional have a similar attack value (both €7m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
MAR (6)
€3m
EST (5)
€3m
AV (6)
€3m
Maritimo's midfield is €2m less valuable than Nacional's (€3m vs €5m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
MAR (11)
€6m
AV (10)
€6m
Maritimo's defence is €2m less valuable than Nacional's (€6m vs €9m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
MAR wins
2
Draws
2
NAC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Maritimo vs Nacional · H/A from MAR
DateH/AGameScore
21/01/24HMAR Vs Nacional3-1
12/08/23ANacional Vs MAR1-2
12/03/21ANacional Vs MAR1-2
31/10/20HMAR Vs Nacional0-0
31/03/19HMAR Vs Nacional3-2
10/11/18ANacional Vs MAR1-0
20/02/17HMAR Vs Nacional0-0
16/09/16ANacional Vs MAR2-0

MaritimoMaritimo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26AArouca Vs MAR2-1
22/08/26HMAR Vs Academico Viseu2-2
16/08/26AFamalicao Vs MAR1-2
08/08/26HMAR Vs Casa Pia1-0
15/05/26HMAR Vs Chaves1-3
09/05/26APenafiel Vs MAR1-0
01/05/26HMAR Vs Leixoes3-2
26/04/26ABenfica B Vs MAR1-2
18/04/26ATorreense Vs MAR1-0
12/04/26HMAR Vs Portimonense1-0

NacionalNacional

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HNAC Vs Estrela2-3
23/08/26AGuimaraes Vs NAC1-0
16/08/26HNAC Vs Estoril2-0
10/08/26ASanta Clara Vs NAC2-2
16/05/26HNAC Vs Guimaraes2-0
11/05/26ASanta Clara Vs NAC2-0
02/05/26HNAC Vs AVS1-2
25/04/26ATondela Vs NAC0-2
18/04/26HNAC Vs Alverca1-0
12/04/26ABenfica Vs NAC2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Maritimo
Maritimo
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDL1.82
HomeWWLWD1.68
AwayLWLWL1.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%44%60%
AVG goals2.282.202.36
Over 1.5 %68%68%68%
Over 2.5 %38%32%44%
Over 3.5 %20%20%20%
Scored1.381.241.52
Conceded0.900.960.84
BTTS50%56%44%
Clean Sheet38%36%40%
Corners8.098.008.14
Cards6.006.245.77
Nacional
Nacional
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLL0.98
HomeWLWWL1.12
AwayLWLDL0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%33%19%
AVG goals2.622.922.35
Over 1.5 %74%75%73%
Over 2.5 %48%58%38%
Over 3.5 %24%33%15%
Scored1.141.420.88
Conceded1.481.501.46
BTTS48%50%46%
Clean Sheet20%25%15%
Corners10.2310.929.54
Cards5.385.924.83

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC PortoFC Porto412
100%
3.0
90+9
2.2
100%
25%
0%
11.0
75%
1.7
33%
22.5
75%
467
2141051482.20.0
55%
2Sporting CPSporting CP410
75%
2.5
125+7
4.2
100%
100%
100%
5.2
0%
4.2
50%
24.0
50%
414
146911763.01.2
62%
3AroucaArouca49
75%
2.2
73+4
2.5
75%
50%
25%
8.5
25%
4.8
50%
19.0
25%
28
11881.80.8
50%
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara48
50%
2.0
53+2
2.0
50%
25%
25%
9.5
50%
3.8
75%
27.5
100%
27
96121.20.8
48%
5BenficaBenfica37
67%
2.3
113+8
4.7
100%
100%
67%
8.3
33%
3.7
67%
25.3
100%
357
172771083.71.0
58%
6GIL VicenteGIL Vicente37
67%
2.3
30+3
1.0
33%
0%
0%
7.7
0%
4.3
67%
24.7
100%
29
118111.00.0
50%
7MaritimoMaritimo47
50%
1.8
65+1
2.8
75%
75%
25%
7.0
0%
4.5
50%
26.2
75%
16
7361.51.2
-
8EstrelaEstrela35
33%
1.7
76+1
4.3
100%
100%
100%
6.0
0%
4.7
67%
23.3
67%
20
63112.32.0
47%
9SC BragaSC Braga24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
5.0
0%
5.0
100%
32.0
100%
165
4156681.51.0
63%
10NacionalNacional44
25%
1.0
66+0
3.0
75%
50%
50%
8.2
25%
4.2
50%
25.5
75%
20
6591.51.5
46%
11MoreirenseMoreirense34
33%
1.3
36-3
3.0
67%
67%
67%
6.3
0%
5.3
100%
28.3
67%
22
5891.02.0
50%
12GuimaraesGuimaraes43
25%
0.8
35-2
2.0
25%
25%
25%
6.0
0%
6.0
75%
26.0
75%
46
2211120.81.2
51%
13Rio AveRio Ave43
25%
0.8
27-5
2.2
75%
25%
25%
8.2
25%
3.0
33%
19.8
50%
37
88210.51.8
47%
14FamalicaoFamalicao42
0%
0.5
24-2
1.5
50%
25%
0%
9.5
50%
4.0
50%
28.2
100%
57
1620220.51.0
51%
15Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu42
0%
0.5
48-4
3.0
75%
75%
50%
7.2
25%
4.5
75%
28.8
100%
16
8361.02.0
-
16AlvercaAlverca42
0%
0.5
48-4
3.0
100%
50%
50%
8.2
50%
4.2
50%
20.8
75%
39
156181.02.0
45%
17EstorilEstoril41
0%
0.2
27-5
2.2
100%
25%
0%
10.5
50%
3.2
25%
25.5
100%
42
248100.51.8
53%
18Casa PiaCasa Pia40
0%
0.0
011-11
2.8
50%
25%
25%
6.0
0%
3.5
75%
27.0
100%
27
96120.02.8
41%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

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