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Nacional vs Alverca Result & Analysis

Date: 18/04/2026
Time: 14:30
Final 1-0
Nacional
Nacional
Vs
38%
27%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Alverca
Alverca
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional win✓ Hit
38.2%
Avg Implied 42.5% · @ 2.17
Edge
-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.9%
Avg Implied 27.5% · @ 3.36
Edge
-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Alverca win✗ Miss
34.9%
Avg Implied 30.0% · @ 3.08
Edge
+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NacionalNacional

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L00D01L03L12L11D01L01L20W02LA·SPO01/02H·CAS08/02H·FC 15/02A·ARO21/02H·SC 28/02A·MOR07/03H·EST15/03A·FAM21/03H·EST04/04A·BEN12/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.471.461.461.001.47
vs Stronger (13)0.621.770.602.000.621.62
vs Similar (16)1.561.252.001.121.121.38
vs Weaker (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
Clean sheet %17% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Alverca) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AlvercaAlverca

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D12L11D11D11D00D22D14L21W31WH·EST31/01A·BEN08/02A·TON13/02H·SAN21/02A·GUI28/02H·AVS07/03A·GIL14/03H·SPO22/03A·RIO04/04H·CAS12/04
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.631.001.401.271.87
vs Stronger (7)0.433.000.503.000.333.00
vs Similar (18)1.391.441.381.121.401.70
vs Weaker (5)1.200.400.670.002.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%013%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.1%
Under 1.5
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.0%
@ 1.83+5.1%
Under 2.5
44.0%
@ 1.89-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.6%
Under 3.5
66.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.1%
No
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
1-0 ✓
6.9%
0-0
6.5%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
2-0
6.0%
Nacional goals ↓
Alverca goals →
01234
06.5%6.5%5.4%2.6%0.9%
16.9%13%8.2%3.9%1.4%
26.0%8.6%6.1%2.9%1.0%
33.0%4.3%3.1%1.5%0.5%
41.1%1.6%1.1%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nacional goals (down), columns = Alverca goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Porto
2.59
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
SC Braga
1.74
Famalicao
1.65
GIL Vicente
1.47
Moreirense
1.26
Guimaraes
1.24
Arouca
1.24
Alverca
1.15
Estoril
1.15
Santa Clara
1.06
Rio Ave
1.06
Nacional
1.00
Casa Pia
0.94
Estrela
0.88
Tondela
0.82
AVS
0.62
Torreense
0.50
Nacional is 0.15 points worse than Alverca in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.15).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.62
Benfica
2.18
FC Porto
1.94
SC Braga
1.88
Estoril
1.59
GIL Vicente
1.38
Arouca
1.38
Famalicao
1.24
Guimaraes
1.15
Estrela
1.12
Moreirense
1.09
Nacional
1.09
Alverca
1.03
Rio Ave
1.03
Santa Clara
0.94
Casa Pia
0.92
AVS
0.79
Tondela
0.79
Torreense
0.00
Nacional is 0.06 goals better than Alverca in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.53
Sporting CP
0.71
Benfica
0.74
Famalicao
0.85
Torreense
1.00
SC Braga
1.06
GIL Vicente
1.12
Santa Clara
1.21
Nacional
1.32
Moreirense
1.44
Guimaraes
1.50
Alverca
1.53
Casa Pia
1.58
Tondela
1.62
Estrela
1.65
Estoril
1.68
Rio Ave
1.68
Arouca
1.88
AVS
1.97
Nacional is 0.21 goals better than Alverca in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 1.53).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
SC Braga
63%
Sporting CP
62%
Torreense
60%
Benfica
58%
FC Porto
55%
Estoril
53%
Guimaraes
51%
Famalicao
51%
Arouca
50%
GIL Vicente
50%
Moreirense
50%
Santa Clara
48%
Rio Ave
47%
Estrela
47%
Nacional
46%
Alverca
45%
Tondela
44%
Casa Pia
41%
AVS
39%
Nacional is 1.3 percentage points better than Alverca in terms of average possession (46% vs 45%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

NacionalNacional

For 4.5 · Against 6.6 · Total 11.1

🚩 Corners

160115566754743614581211116111391195131311A·BENH·ESTA·FAMH·ESTA·MORH·SC A·AROH·FC H·CASA·SPO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 2.6 · Total 6.0

🟨 Cards

10051433353242346423367686510453A·BENH·ESTA·FAMH·ESTA·MORH·SC A·AROH·FC H·CASA·SPO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 12.2 · Total 27.2

⚠️ Fouls

31018131481813161313131515131313111511151231223129263026242627A·BENH·ESTA·FAMH·ESTA·MORH·SC A·AROH·FC H·CASA·SPO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AlvercaAlverca

For 6.2 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.9

🚩 Corners

20091148317381152511199220124108117161011H·CASA·RIOH·SPOA·GILH·AVSA·GUIH·SANA·TONA·BENH·EST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

1101212131321226523122233443411534A·RIOH·SPOA·GILH·AVSA·GUIH·SANA·TONA·BENH·ESTA·SC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 13.1 · Total 24.1

⚠️ Fouls

340101567139815713516161410141811171725132223202130242934H·CASA·RIOH·SPOA·GILH·AVSA·GUIH·SANA·TONA·BENH·EST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NacionalNacional

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.610.15.36.34.527.026.727.4
vs Stronger (20)10.411.49.74.96.53.826.225.926.5
vs Similar (29)10.310.210.45.86.25.427.627.128.2
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line58%58%58%70%88%54%88%88%88%
% under line42%42%42%30%12%46%12%12%12%
This opponent (Alverca) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AlvercaAlverca

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.97.99.93.83.44.320.422.018.7
vs Stronger (7)7.05.59.04.34.83.723.023.222.7
vs Similar (23)9.59.09.94.53.45.625.124.525.7
vs Weaker (20)9.38.210.72.92.73.112.617.09.4
% over line48%31%67%54%48%60%55%60%50%
% under line52%69%33%46%52%40%45%40%50%
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Famalicao
10.5
Nacional
10.4
Torreense
10.2
Rio Ave
10.0
Benfica
10.0
Sporting CP
9.8
Casa Pia
9.6
Tondela
9.4
Estrela
9.3
AVS
9.2
Arouca
9.2
GIL Vicente
9.1
Guimaraes
9.0
Santa Clara
8.9
Alverca
8.9
FC Porto
8.7
Estoril
8.6
SC Braga
8.4
Moreirense
8.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Santa Clara
6.2
Casa Pia
5.7
Famalicao
5.6
Arouca
5.6
Benfica
5.5
FC Porto
5.5
Nacional
5.5
Guimaraes
5.4
Sporting CP
5.4
Estrela
5.4
Torreense
5.3
AVS
5.3
Moreirense
5.1
Rio Ave
5.0
GIL Vicente
5.0
Alverca
4.9
Tondela
4.8
Estoril
4.6
SC Braga
4.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
32.1
Estrela
30.8
Santa Clara
30.7
Moreirense
29.8
Guimaraes
29.7
Casa Pia
28.5
GIL Vicente
27.9
Rio Ave
27.8
Estoril
27.6
Sporting CP
27.1
Arouca
27.0
Nacional
26.9
AVS
26.8
FC Porto
26.6
Benfica
26.5
SC Braga
24.5
Tondela
23.0
Alverca
20.0
Torreense
15.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
59.4%
Under 9.5
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
80.9%
Under 3.5
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
73.4%
Under 21.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NacionalNacional

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D00D01L01L01L00D10W02LA·SPO01/02H·CAS08/02H·FC 15/02A·ARO21/02H·SC 28/02A·MOR07/03H·EST15/03A·FAM21/03H·EST04/04A·BEN12/04
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.570.460.460.530.65
vs Stronger (13)0.150.620.200.400.120.75
vs Similar (16)0.620.560.620.500.620.62
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Alverca) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AlvercaAlverca

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D10W10W00D00D01L01L20W01LH·EST31/01A·BEN08/02A·TON13/02H·SAN21/02A·GUI28/02H·AVS07/03A·GIL14/03H·SPO22/03A·RIO04/04H·CAS12/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.800.200.730.600.87
vs Stronger (7)0.141.710.001.750.331.67
vs Similar (18)0.440.610.250.500.600.70
vs Weaker (5)0.600.200.330.001.000.50
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nacional over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alverca over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alverca over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alverca over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NacionalNacional

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L00D01L03L11D10W00D01L10W00DA·SPO01/02H·CAS08/02H·FC 15/02A·ARO21/02H·SC 28/02A·MOR07/03H·EST15/03A·FAM21/03H·EST04/04A·BEN12/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.901.001.000.470.82
vs Stronger (13)0.461.150.401.600.500.88
vs Similar (16)0.940.691.380.620.500.75
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Alverca) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AlvercaAlverca

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L01L01L11D00D21W13L01L30WH·EST31/01A·BEN08/02A·TON13/02H·SAN21/02A·GUI28/02H·AVS07/03A·GIL14/03H·SPO22/03A·RIO04/04H·CAS12/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.830.800.670.671.00
vs Stronger (7)0.291.290.501.250.001.33
vs Similar (18)0.940.831.120.620.801.00
vs Weaker (5)0.600.200.330.001.000.50
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nacional over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alverca over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alverca over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alverca over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards91.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls85.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards80.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.580.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls73.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners71.3%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Nacional
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jesús Ramírez42%
Ze Vitor13%
Paulinho Bóia12%
Léo Santos10%
Gabriel Veron8%
Miguel Baeza7%
Filipe Soares6%
Alan Núñez5%
Witiness Quembo4%
José Gomes4%
Chiheb Labidi4%
Liziero0%
Lucas João0%
Lenny Vallier0%
João Aurélio0%
Lucas França0%
André Sousa0%
Ulisses0%
Matheus Dias0%
Kaique0%
Daniel Júnior0%
Martim Gustavo Watts0%
Francisco Gonçalves0%
Joel Silva0%
Motez Nourani0%
Pablo Ruan0%
Deivison Souza Brito0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ulisses60%
Léo Santos39%
Lenny Vallier36%
Ze Vitor27%
Chiheb Labidi25%
Deivison Souza Brito25%
Matheus Dias23%
Liziero21%
Francisco Gonçalves20%
Paulinho Bóia18%
Jesús Ramírez18%
Daniel Júnior18%
Lucas França17%
Filipe Soares17%
Motez Nourani17%
Gabriel Veron15%
João Aurélio14%
Martim Gustavo Watts14%
Pablo Ruan13%
Witiness Quembo12%
José Gomes11%
Kaique11%
Alan Núñez10%
André Sousa8%
Miguel Baeza7%
Joel Silva6%
Lucas João5%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
José Gomes19%
André Sousa17%
Liziero14%
Alan Núñez10%
Léo Santos6%
Paulinho Bóia6%
Daniel Júnior6%
Lucas João5%
Witiness Quembo4%
Chiheb Labidi4%
Ze Vitor3%
Matheus Dias3%
Lenny Vallier0%
João Aurélio0%
Lucas França0%
Filipe Soares0%
Ulisses0%
Jesús Ramírez0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Gabriel Veron0%
Kaique0%
Martim Gustavo Watts0%
Francisco Gonçalves0%
Joel Silva0%
Motez Nourani0%
Pablo Ruan0%
Deivison Souza Brito0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jesús Ramírez48%
Paulinho Bóia12%
Miguel Baeza7%
Ze Vitor7%
Pablo Ruan4%
Witiness Quembo4%
Chiheb Labidi4%
Liziero0%
Léo Santos0%
Lucas João0%
Lenny Vallier0%
João Aurélio0%
Lucas França0%
Filipe Soares0%
José Gomes0%
André Sousa0%
Ulisses0%
Gabriel Veron0%
Matheus Dias0%
Alan Núñez0%
Kaique0%
Daniel Júnior0%
Martim Gustavo Watts0%
Francisco Gonçalves0%
Joel Silva0%
Motez Nourani0%
Deivison Souza Brito0%
Alverca
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marko Milovanović29%
Figueiredo22%
Gonçalo Esteves20%
Sandro Lima17%
Fabrício Garcia17%
Alexsandro Amorim11%
Chiquinho10%
Rhaldney7%
Lincoln7%
Kaiky Naves6%
Cédric Nuozzi4%
Davy Gui4%
Nabil Touaizi3%
Sergi Gómez0%
Sabit Abdulai0%
Matheus Mendes0%
Mathis Clairicia0%
Vasco Moreira0%
Tiago Leite0%
Gian Cabezas0%
Tomás Mendes0%
Diogo Spencer0%
André Gomes0%
Steven Baseya0%
Bastien Meupiyou0%
Isaac James0%
Julián Jose Martinez0%
Francisco Chissumba0%
Felipe Lima0%
Kauan Gomes0%
Zakaria Kassary0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Chiquinho30%
Rhaldney29%
Kaiky Naves25%
Sabit Abdulai24%
Nabil Touaizi21%
Gian Cabezas20%
Tomás Mendes20%
Gonçalo Esteves20%
Lincoln17%
Bastien Meupiyou17%
André Gomes16%
Isaac James16%
Alexsandro Amorim16%
Francisco Chissumba16%
Matheus Mendes11%
Figueiredo11%
Davy Gui11%
Marko Milovanović10%
Julián Jose Martinez9%
Steven Baseya8%
Sandro Lima7%
Vasco Moreira6%
Sergi Gómez3%
Mathis Clairicia0%
Tiago Leite0%
Diogo Spencer0%
Fabrício Garcia0%
Cédric Nuozzi0%
Felipe Lima0%
Kauan Gomes0%
Zakaria Kassary0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Chiquinho20%
Tomás Mendes20%
Lincoln17%
Nabil Touaizi15%
Isaac James11%
Figueiredo7%
Sandro Lima7%
Marko Milovanović6%
Sabit Abdulai6%
Davy Gui4%
Sergi Gómez0%
Rhaldney0%
Matheus Mendes0%
Mathis Clairicia0%
Vasco Moreira0%
Tiago Leite0%
Gian Cabezas0%
Gonçalo Esteves0%
Diogo Spencer0%
Kaiky Naves0%
André Gomes0%
Steven Baseya0%
Fabrício Garcia0%
Bastien Meupiyou0%
Cédric Nuozzi0%
Alexsandro Amorim0%
Julián Jose Martinez0%
Francisco Chissumba0%
Felipe Lima0%
Kauan Gomes0%
Zakaria Kassary0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Figueiredo15%
Tiago Leite11%
Sandro Lima7%
Marko Milovanović6%
Sabit Abdulai6%
Isaac James5%
Chiquinho5%
Lincoln3%
Nabil Touaizi3%
Sergi Gómez0%
Rhaldney0%
Matheus Mendes0%
Mathis Clairicia0%
Vasco Moreira0%
Gian Cabezas0%
Tomás Mendes0%
Gonçalo Esteves0%
Diogo Spencer0%
Kaiky Naves0%
André Gomes0%
Steven Baseya0%
Fabrício Garcia0%
Bastien Meupiyou0%
Cédric Nuozzi0%
Alexsandro Amorim0%
Julián Jose Martinez0%
Francisco Chissumba0%
Felipe Lima0%
Davy Gui0%
Kauan Gomes0%
Zakaria Kassary0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
TOR (32)
€19m
TON (20)
€10m
AVS (20)
€7m
Nacional's squad is €19m less valuable than Alverca's (€20m vs €39m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
MOR (5)
€5m
AVS (8)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
Nacional's attack is €9m less valuable than Alverca's (€6m vs €15m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
EST (5)
€3m
TOR (5)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
Nacional's midfield is €1m less valuable than Alverca's (€5m vs €6m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
TOR (15)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
TON (9)
€6m
AVS (10)
€3m
Nacional's defence is €10m less valuable than Alverca's (€9m vs €18m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
NAC wins
0
Draws
1
ALV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Nacional vs Alverca · H/A from NAC
DateH/AGameScore
07/12/25AAlverca Vs NAC1-0

NacionalNacional

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/26ABenfica Vs NAC2-0
04/04/26HNAC Vs Estrela2-0
21/03/26AFamalicao Vs NAC1-0
15/03/26HNAC Vs Estoril0-1
07/03/26AMoreirense Vs NAC1-1
28/02/26HNAC Vs SC Braga1-2
21/02/26AArouca Vs NAC3-0
15/02/26HNAC Vs FC Porto0-1
08/02/26HNAC Vs Casa Pia0-0
01/02/26ASporting CP Vs NAC2-1

AlvercaAlverca

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/26HALV Vs Casa Pia3-1
04/04/26ARio Ave Vs ALV1-2
22/03/26HALV Vs Sporting CP1-4
14/03/26AGIL Vicente Vs ALV2-2
07/03/26HALV Vs AVS0-0
28/02/26AGuimaraes Vs ALV1-1
21/02/26HALV Vs Santa Clara1-1
13/02/26ATondela Vs ALV1-1
08/02/26ABenfica Vs ALV2-1
31/01/26HALV Vs Estrela1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Nacional
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWL0.98
HomeDLLLW1.17
AwayLLDLL0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%33%19%
AVG goals2.663.042.31
Over 1.5 %76%79%73%
Over 2.5 %52%67%38%
Over 3.5 %24%38%12%
Scored1.161.500.85
Conceded1.501.541.46
BTTS52%58%46%
Clean Sheet16%17%15%
Corners10.3310.5810.08
Cards5.566.294.83
Alverca
Alverca
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLWW1.56
HomeDDDLW1.84
AwayLDDDW1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%52%32%
AVG goals2.682.482.88
Over 1.5 %80%76%84%
Over 2.5 %52%48%56%
Over 3.5 %30%24%36%
Scored1.401.441.36
Conceded1.281.041.52
BTTS56%44%68%
Clean Sheet30%44%16%
Corners8.877.949.87
Cards4.904.205.63

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC PortoFC Porto3488
82%
2.6
6618+48
2.5
71%
56%
24%
8.6
35%
5.5
82%
26.4
71%
467
2141051481.90.5
55%
2Sporting CPSporting CP3482
74%
2.4
8924+65
3.3
91%
71%
35%
9.9
53%
5.2
62%
25.9
79%
414
146911762.60.7
62%
3BenficaBenfica3480
68%
2.4
7425+49
2.9
88%
71%
32%
10.0
56%
5.3
73%
26.8
74%
357
172771082.20.7
58%
4SC BragaSC Braga3459
47%
1.7
6436+28
2.9
76%
68%
38%
8.4
32%
5.0
79%
23.5
62%
165
4156681.91.1
63%
5FamalicaoFamalicao3456
44%
1.6
4229+13
2.1
53%
38%
24%
10.4
56%
5.1
68%
32.1
94%
57
1620221.20.9
51%
6GIL VicenteGIL Vicente3450
38%
1.5
4738+9
2.5
76%
53%
26%
9.5
50%
5.1
67%
28.2
85%
29
118111.41.1
50%
7MoreirenseMoreirense3443
35%
1.3
3749-12
2.5
74%
50%
21%
8.4
35%
4.9
68%
29.2
94%
22
5891.11.4
50%
8GuimaraesGuimaraes3442
35%
1.2
3951-12
2.6
76%
44%
24%
8.4
38%
5.2
74%
29.6
88%
46
2211121.11.5
51%
9AroucaArouca3442
35%
1.2
4764-17
3.3
79%
68%
50%
9.0
44%
5.7
79%
25.9
79%
28
11881.41.9
50%
10EstorilEstoril3439
29%
1.1
5457-3
3.3
76%
62%
53%
9.3
41%
4.9
88%
25.8
82%
42
248101.61.7
53%
11AlvercaAlverca3439
29%
1.1
3552-17
2.6
76%
50%
24%
8.9
44%
4.9
64%
26.4
71%
39
156181.01.5
45%
12Santa ClaraSanta Clara3436
26%
1.1
3241-9
2.1
56%
35%
15%
9.0
50%
6.1
85%
29.5
94%
27
96120.91.2
48%
13Rio AveRio Ave3436
24%
1.1
3557-22
2.7
82%
59%
29%
10.8
68%
5.2
62%
27.4
79%
37
88211.01.7
47%
14NacionalNacional3434
26%
1.0
3745-8
2.4
74%
41%
18%
10.8
68%
5.7
74%
27.2
88%
20
6591.11.3
46%
15Casa PiaCasa Pia3634
19%
0.9
3357-24
2.5
75%
42%
28%
10.0
50%
5.6
83%
29.8
92%
27
96120.91.6
41%
16EstrelaEstrela3430
18%
0.9
3856-18
2.8
74%
53%
38%
9.1
35%
5.6
82%
29.7
97%
20
63111.11.6
47%
17TondelaTondela3428
18%
0.8
2755-28
2.4
68%
50%
29%
9.8
50%
5.4
71%
26.8
82%
10
2160.81.6
44%
18AVSAVS3421
9%
0.6
2767-40
2.8
79%
59%
38%
9.5
47%
5.0
67%
24.7
71%
7
3230.82.0
39%
19TorreenseTorreense21
0%
0.5
02-2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
11.5
50%
6.5
100%
25.5
100%
19
72100.01.0
60%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches