PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Accrington vs Swindon Result & Analysis

Date: 18/10/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 4-0
Accrington
Accrington
Vs
31%
28%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Swindon
Swindon
England: League Two
Referee: A Young

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Accrington win✓ Hit
31.0%
Avg Implied 26.0% · @ 3.58
Edge
+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.8%
Avg Implied 26.5% · @ 3.52
Edge
+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Swindon win✗ Miss
41.2%
Avg Implied 47.5% · @ 1.96
Edge
-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AccringtonAccrington

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L11D02L00D01L10W21W13L02L01LA·SAL16/08H·GRI23/08H·DON26/08A·SHR30/08A·CHE06/09H·COL13/09A·MIL20/09H·WAL27/09A·BAR04/10H·NEW11/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.301.351.290.621.31
vs Stronger (5)1.200.601.000.502.001.00
vs Similar (25)1.001.441.461.540.501.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Swindon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SwindonSwindon

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L21W02L21W30W31W31W23L20W10WA·CAR12/08A·OLD16/08H·BAR19/08H·SHR23/08A·CRE30/08A·BAR06/09H·HAR13/09A·SAL20/09H·BRO27/09A·NEW04/10
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.201.931.402.001.00
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (27)1.961.191.931.402.000.92
vs Weaker (2)2.501.00--2.501.00
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Accrington) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.1%
Under 1.5
22.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.6%
@ 1.85+1.4%
Under 2.5
48.4%
@ 1.87-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.5%
Under 3.5
70.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.5%
No
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
8.4%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
5.6%
Accrington goals ↓
Swindon goals →
01234
07.7%8.4%7.1%3.5%1.3%
16.9%13%8.9%4.4%1.6%
25.1%7.6%5.6%2.8%1.0%
32.1%3.2%2.4%1.2%0.4%
40.7%1.0%0.7%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Accrington goals (down), columns = Swindon goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bromley
1.89
Milton Keynes Dons
1.87
Cambridge
1.78
Notts County
1.78
Salford
1.71
Grimsby
1.69
Chesterfield
1.67
Barnet
1.65
Swindon
1.63
Oldham
1.48
Crewe
1.46
Colchester
1.43
Walsall
1.41
Bristol Rvs
1.35
Fleetwood Town
1.33
Accrington
1.15
Gillingham
1.15
Cheltenham
1.13
Shrewsbury
1.07
Newport County
0.93
Tranmere
0.89
Crawley Town
0.87
Harrogate
0.85
Barrow
0.78
Accrington is 0.48 points worse than Swindon in terms of average points per game (1.15 vs 1.63).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Milton Keynes Dons
1.87
Grimsby
1.60
Notts County
1.59
Bromley
1.54
Swindon
1.52
Barnet
1.52
Chesterfield
1.48
Cambridge
1.43
Crewe
1.39
Colchester
1.35
Salford
1.31
Oldham
1.30
Fleetwood Town
1.24
Walsall
1.22
Bristol Rvs
1.22
Tranmere
1.17
Gillingham
1.15
Cheltenham
1.15
Newport County
1.04
Accrington
1.02
Barrow
0.98
Crawley Town
0.96
Shrewsbury
0.91
Harrogate
0.85
Accrington is 0.50 goals worse than Swindon in terms of goals scored per game (1.02 vs 1.52).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cambridge
0.72
Oldham
0.96
Milton Keynes Dons
0.98
Bromley
1.00
Notts County
1.06
Colchester
1.07
Grimsby
1.10
Barnet
1.15
Salford
1.16
Chesterfield
1.19
Walsall
1.22
Accrington
1.26
Crewe
1.26
Fleetwood Town
1.26
Swindon
1.28
Bristol Rvs
1.41
Crawley Town
1.48
Harrogate
1.48
Shrewsbury
1.50
Gillingham
1.57
Newport County
1.67
Barrow
1.70
Tranmere
1.72
Cheltenham
1.72
Accrington is 0.02 goals better than Swindon in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 1.28).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Chesterfield
58%
Barnet
56%
Crawley Town
56%
Grimsby
55%
Notts County
55%
Colchester
54%
Swindon
52%
Cambridge
51%
Salford
50%
Crewe
50%
Fleetwood Town
50%
Milton Keynes Dons
49%
Cheltenham
49%
Tranmere
49%
Oldham
48%
Accrington
48%
Harrogate
47%
Gillingham
47%
Newport County
47%
Barrow
46%
Bromley
44%
Shrewsbury
44%
Walsall
41%
Accrington is 4.3 percentage points worse than Swindon in terms of average possession (48% vs 52%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AccringtonAccrington

For 4.4 · Against 4.1 · Total 8.5

🚩 Corners

130434483535455621125157811891081356H·NEWA·BARH·WALA·MILH·COLA·CHEA·SHRH·DONH·GRIA·SAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

60113112424313335112416646352H·NEWA·BARH·WALA·MILH·COLA·CHEA·SHRH·DONH·GRIA·SAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 11.8 · Total 24.6

⚠️ Fouls

33091010911147141517171315866257132019192521323023123233H·NEWA·BARH·WALA·MILH·COLA·CHEA·SHRH·DONH·GRIA·SAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SwindonSwindon

For 4.9 · Against 5.9 · Total 10.8

🚩 Corners

160656410667284352682421211101613107714614A·NEWH·BROA·SALH·HARA·BARA·CREH·SHRH·BARA·OLDA·CAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

9054212122311112233219334423533A·NEWH·BROA·SALH·HARA·BARA·CREH·SHRH·BARA·OLDA·CAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 10.4 · Total 22.4

⚠️ Fouls

290151413910121081291114119131311914729222218212520262021A·NEWH·BROA·SALH·HARA·BARA·CREH·SHRH·BARA·OLDA·CAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AccringtonAccrington

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.78.49.04.74.64.825.125.025.3
vs Stronger (10)9.19.29.04.25.23.223.023.821.7
vs Similar (40)8.68.29.04.84.45.225.625.325.9
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line43%38%48%72%72%72%72%71%74%
% under line57%62%52%28%28%28%28%29%26%
This opponent (Swindon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SwindonSwindon

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.810.98.93.63.63.622.221.722.7
vs Stronger (1)14.0-14.03.0-3.021.0-21.0
vs Similar (46)9.610.88.43.73.73.722.421.723.0
vs Weaker (3)12.013.011.52.32.02.520.020.020.0
% over line52%61%44%48%50%46%54%43%64%
% under line48%39%56%52%50%54%46%57%36%
This opponent (Accrington) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Bromley
10.8
Harrogate
10.7
Oldham
10.7
Crawley Town
10.5
Shrewsbury
10.1
Newport County
10.1
Cheltenham
10.1
Grimsby
10.0
Barrow
10.0
Walsall
9.9
Chesterfield
9.9
Barnet
9.8
Swindon
9.8
Bristol Rvs
9.7
Crewe
9.7
Salford
9.5
Cambridge
9.5
Colchester
9.4
Fleetwood Town
9.4
Notts County
9.4
Milton Keynes Dons
8.9
Tranmere
8.8
Accrington
8.8
Gillingham
7.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Accrington
5.0
Gillingham
4.6
Crewe
4.5
Colchester
4.4
Chesterfield
4.3
Grimsby
4.3
Tranmere
4.2
Crawley Town
4.1
Salford
4.1
Bromley
4.0
Milton Keynes Dons
4.0
Bristol Rvs
4.0
Cambridge
4.0
Barrow
4.0
Notts County
3.9
Shrewsbury
3.9
Barnet
3.9
Oldham
3.8
Walsall
3.8
Swindon
3.7
Fleetwood Town
3.6
Cheltenham
3.6
Newport County
3.6
Harrogate
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Oldham
25.9
Cheltenham
25.8
Salford
25.6
Colchester
25.5
Crewe
25.4
Accrington
25.2
Milton Keynes Dons
24.6
Barnet
24.6
Grimsby
24.5
Gillingham
24.4
Cambridge
24.0
Crawley Town
23.7
Tranmere
23.2
Fleetwood Town
23.2
Newport County
23.0
Bristol Rvs
22.9
Shrewsbury
22.9
Chesterfield
22.5
Notts County
22.1
Swindon
22.1
Barrow
21.9
Walsall
21.8
Bromley
21.6
Harrogate
21.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.5%
Under 9.5
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.9%
Under 3.5
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
67.3%
Under 21.5
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AccringtonAccrington

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L00D00D01L10W10W00D01L01LA·SAL16/08H·GRI23/08H·DON26/08A·SHR30/08A·CHE06/09H·COL13/09A·MIL20/09H·WAL27/09A·BAR04/10H·NEW11/10
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.470.880.290.230.69
vs Stronger (5)1.000.201.000.251.000.00
vs Similar (25)0.520.520.850.310.170.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Swindon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SwindonSwindon

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L21W00D10W30W20W11D02L20W10WA·CAR12/08A·OLD16/08H·BAR19/08H·SHR23/08A·CRE30/08A·BAR06/09H·HAR13/09A·SAL20/09H·BRO27/09A·NEW04/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.630.800.670.800.60
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (27)0.850.590.800.670.920.50
vs Weaker (2)0.500.50--0.500.50
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Accrington) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Accrington over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Accrington over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Accrington over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swindon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swindon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swindon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AccringtonAccrington

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W02L00D00D00D11D13L01L00DA·SAL16/08H·GRI23/08H·DON26/08A·SHR30/08A·CHE06/09H·COL13/09A·MIL20/09H·WAL27/09A·BAR04/10H·NEW11/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.830.471.000.380.62
vs Stronger (5)0.200.400.000.251.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.480.920.621.230.330.58
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Swindon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SwindonSwindon

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D02L11D00D11D20W21W00D00DA·CAR12/08A·OLD16/08H·BAR19/08H·SHR23/08A·CRE30/08A·BAR06/09H·HAR13/09A·SAL20/09H·BRO27/09A·NEW04/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.571.130.731.200.40
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (27)1.110.591.130.731.080.42
vs Weaker (2)2.000.50--2.000.50
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Accrington) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Accrington over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Accrington over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Accrington over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swindon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swindon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swindon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards82.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls81.0%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.577.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards71.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.570.5%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Accrington
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kelsey Mooney25%
Tyler Walton22%
Charlie Caton17%
Paddy Madden15%
Shaun Whalley15%
Alex Henderson14%
Josh Woods14%
Isaac Heath13%
Isaac Sinclair12%
Anjola Popoola10%
David Ogundele Abimbola9%
Benn Ward8%
Luke Butterfield8%
Farrend Rawson6%
Freddie Sass3%
Seamus Conneely3%
Donald Love3%
Devon Matthews2%
Conor Grant0%
Michael Kelly0%
Charlie Brown0%
Oliver Wright0%
Dan Martin0%
Liam Coyle0%
Logan Pye0%
Joe Bauress0%
Connor O'Brien0%
Joshua Smith0%
Finlay Tunstall0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tyler Walton39%
Donald Love37%
Dan Martin36%
Devon Matthews25%
Alex Henderson25%
Joshua Smith22%
Charlie Brown21%
Logan Pye20%
Isaac Heath19%
Seamus Conneely19%
Shaun Whalley18%
Liam Coyle15%
Paddy Madden15%
Josh Woods14%
Freddie Sass13%
Conor Grant12%
Joe Bauress11%
Connor O'Brien10%
Farrend Rawson9%
Benn Ward8%
Luke Butterfield8%
Isaac Sinclair5%
Oliver Wright4%
Kelsey Mooney0%
Michael Kelly0%
Charlie Caton0%
Anjola Popoola0%
Finlay Tunstall0%
David Ogundele Abimbola0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Shaun Whalley24%
Isaac Heath13%
Kelsey Mooney12%
Tyler Walton11%
Alex Henderson11%
Charlie Brown10%
Isaac Sinclair10%
Dan Martin9%
Luke Butterfield8%
Paddy Madden6%
Donald Love5%
Conor Grant4%
Liam Coyle4%
Freddie Sass3%
Farrend Rawson3%
Devon Matthews2%
Seamus Conneely0%
Michael Kelly0%
Oliver Wright0%
Charlie Caton0%
Logan Pye0%
Benn Ward0%
Joe Bauress0%
Josh Woods0%
Connor O'Brien0%
Anjola Popoola0%
Joshua Smith0%
Finlay Tunstall0%
David Ogundele Abimbola0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Isaac Heath19%
Josh Woods17%
Paddy Madden15%
Shaun Whalley15%
Tyler Walton11%
Alex Henderson7%
Donald Love5%
Conor Grant4%
Seamus Conneely3%
Isaac Sinclair2%
Farrend Rawson0%
Kelsey Mooney0%
Michael Kelly0%
Charlie Brown0%
Oliver Wright0%
Dan Martin0%
Liam Coyle0%
Charlie Caton0%
Logan Pye0%
Luke Butterfield0%
Benn Ward0%
Joe Bauress0%
Devon Matthews0%
Connor O'Brien0%
Anjola Popoola0%
Freddie Sass0%
Joshua Smith0%
Finlay Tunstall0%
David Ogundele Abimbola0%
Swindon
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aaron Drinan46%
Ben Middlemas25%
Fletcher Holman23%
Ollie Palmer21%
Harry Smith20%
Ollie Clarke17%
James Scanlon17%
Billy Bodin14%
Princewill Ehibhatiomhan13%
Paul Glatzel9%
Billy Kirkman9%
Joe Snowdon9%
Ryan Tafazolli9%
Finley Munroe8%
Junior Hoilett7%
Michael Olakigbe6%
James Ball4%
Filozofe Mabete4%
Jamie Knight-Lebel3%
Will Wright3%
Joel McGregor3%
Darren Oldaker2%
Tom Nichols2%
Gavin Kilkenny2%
Connor Ripley0%
Daniel Butterworth0%
Jake Thomas Batty0%
Thomas Wilson-Brown0%
Adam Murphy0%
Aidan Borland0%
Jake Tabor0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Harry Smith40%
Adam Murphy33%
Finley Munroe29%
Ben Middlemas25%
Tom Nichols22%
Daniel Butterworth20%
Billy Kirkman18%
Jake Tabor18%
Ollie Clarke17%
Joe Snowdon15%
Junior Hoilett14%
Filozofe Mabete14%
Will Wright14%
Joel McGregor14%
Jamie Knight-Lebel13%
Ryan Tafazolli13%
Thomas Wilson-Brown13%
Aaron Drinan12%
Gavin Kilkenny12%
Aidan Borland12%
Paul Glatzel9%
James Ball9%
Connor Ripley8%
Jake Thomas Batty6%
Darren Oldaker5%
Ollie Palmer5%
Billy Bodin4%
Michael Olakigbe0%
Princewill Ehibhatiomhan0%
Fletcher Holman0%
James Scanlon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Finley Munroe25%
Fletcher Holman18%
Joe Snowdon15%
Junior Hoilett14%
Darren Oldaker12%
Aaron Drinan12%
Michael Olakigbe12%
Jake Thomas Batty12%
Will Wright11%
Paul Glatzel9%
Billy Kirkman9%
Ollie Palmer5%
James Ball4%
Connor Ripley4%
Ollie Clarke3%
Joel McGregor3%
Gavin Kilkenny2%
Harry Smith0%
Daniel Butterworth0%
Ryan Tafazolli0%
Tom Nichols0%
Billy Bodin0%
Filozofe Mabete0%
Thomas Wilson-Brown0%
Adam Murphy0%
Ben Middlemas0%
Princewill Ehibhatiomhan0%
Jamie Knight-Lebel0%
Aidan Borland0%
Jake Tabor0%
James Scanlon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ben Middlemas25%
Aaron Drinan24%
Ollie Palmer24%
Ollie Clarke14%
Michael Olakigbe12%
Paul Glatzel9%
Fletcher Holman9%
Jake Tabor9%
Will Wright3%
James Ball0%
Harry Smith0%
Junior Hoilett0%
Connor Ripley0%
Daniel Butterworth0%
Ryan Tafazolli0%
Darren Oldaker0%
Tom Nichols0%
Billy Bodin0%
Gavin Kilkenny0%
Filozofe Mabete0%
Joe Snowdon0%
Finley Munroe0%
Jake Thomas Batty0%
Thomas Wilson-Brown0%
Adam Murphy0%
Princewill Ehibhatiomhan0%
Jamie Knight-Lebel0%
Billy Kirkman0%
Aidan Borland0%
Joel McGregor0%
James Scanlon0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MKD (24)
€15m
SAL (26)
€8m
NC (24)
€6m
CHE (24)
€6m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
BRO (19)
€4m
BAR (15)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
OLD (21)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
Accrington's squad is €1m less valuable than Swindon's (€2m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MKD (8)
€5m
CHE (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (2)
€0m
BAR (3)
€0m
SHR (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
Accrington's attack is €1m less valuable than Swindon's (€1m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MKD (6)
€7m
SAL (5)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
BRO (6)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
BAR (5)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
BR (4)
€0m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
Accrington and Swindon have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAL (12)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
BAR (9)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CAM (8)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
Accrington and Swindon have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
3
ACC wins
3
Draws
1
SWI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Accrington vs Swindon · H/A from ACC
DateH/AGameScore
22/03/25ASwindon Vs ACC0-0
30/11/24HACC Vs Swindon2-2
16/11/24HACC Vs Swindon2-2
12/03/24ASwindon Vs ACC1-2
28/11/23HACC Vs Swindon3-4
06/03/21HACC Vs Swindon2-1
17/11/20ASwindon Vs ACC0-3

AccringtonAccrington

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/10/25HACC Vs Newport County0-1
04/10/25ABarnet Vs ACC2-0
27/09/25HACC Vs Walsall1-3
20/09/25AMilton Keynes Dons Vs ACC1-2
13/09/25HACC Vs Colchester1-0
06/09/25ACheltenham Vs ACC1-0
30/08/25AShrewsbury Vs ACC0-0
26/08/25HACC Vs Doncaster0-2
23/08/25HACC Vs Grimsby1-1
16/08/25ASalford Vs ACC2-1

SwindonSwindon

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/10/25ANewport County Vs SWI0-1
27/09/25HSWI Vs Bromley2-0
20/09/25ASalford Vs SWI3-2
13/09/25HSWI Vs Harrogate3-1
06/09/25ABarrow Vs SWI1-3
30/08/25ACrewe Vs SWI0-3
23/08/25HSWI Vs Shrewsbury2-1
19/08/25HSWI Vs Barnet0-2
16/08/25AOldham Vs SWI1-2
12/08/25ACardiff Vs SWI2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Accrington
Accrington
England: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.12
HomeDLWLL1.12
AwayLDLWL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%24%32%
AVG goals2.502.642.36
Over 1.5 %74%76%72%
Over 2.5 %46%48%44%
Over 3.5 %24%32%16%
Scored1.081.240.92
Conceded1.421.401.44
BTTS46%56%36%
Clean Sheet28%24%32%
Corners8.688.389.00
Cards4.984.755.22
Swindon
Swindon
England: League Two
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW1.60
HomeWLWWW1.83
AwayWWWLW1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%50%38%
AVG goals3.123.213.04
Over 1.5 %80%79%81%
Over 2.5 %62%58%65%
Over 3.5 %44%46%42%
Scored1.761.881.65
Conceded1.361.331.38
BTTS64%67%62%
Clean Sheet22%25%19%
Corners9.8310.878.88
Cards3.753.783.72

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Notts CountyNotts County4987
53%
1.8
7852+26
2.7
73%
55%
27%
9.2
45%
4.4
65%
24.4
73%
6
2221.61.1
55%
2BromleyBromley4687
52%
1.9
7146+25
2.5
76%
52%
28%
10.3
63%
3.7
57%
21.8
59%
4
1121.51.0
44%
3Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons4686
52%
1.9
8645+41
2.8
78%
54%
37%
8.8
37%
3.8
61%
23.4
61%
15
5731.91.0
49%
4SalfordSalford4984
53%
1.7
6457+7
2.5
65%
47%
24%
9.8
51%
3.7
43%
25.3
71%
8
3231.31.2
50%
5CambridgeCambridge4682
48%
1.8
6633+33
2.2
72%
35%
13%
9.2
50%
3.1
35%
22.9
59%
5
2121.40.7
51%
6GrimsbyGrimsby4881
48%
1.7
7753+24
2.7
71%
50%
31%
10.5
54%
4.0
65%
24.2
69%
4
1021.61.1
55%
7ChesterfieldChesterfield4880
44%
1.7
7157+14
2.7
71%
44%
29%
10.2
58%
4.1
56%
22.0
48%
6
3121.51.2
58%
8BarnetBarnet4676
46%
1.7
7053+17
2.7
76%
48%
30%
10.2
57%
3.6
50%
23.8
65%
4
0131.51.2
56%
9SwindonSwindon4675
48%
1.6
7059+11
2.8
85%
63%
28%
11.2
74%
3.5
46%
20.7
37%
4
2111.51.3
52%
10OldhamOldham4668
39%
1.5
6044+16
2.3
65%
48%
20%
10.1
61%
3.9
63%
25.0
72%
3
1111.31.0
48%
11CreweCrewe4667
41%
1.5
6458+6
2.7
72%
52%
30%
9.3
59%
3.9
52%
25.5
74%
4
2111.41.3
50%
12ColchesterColchester4666
39%
1.4
6249+13
2.4
67%
35%
20%
9.1
37%
4.1
63%
24.9
76%
4
1021.31.1
54%
13WalsallWalsall4665
39%
1.4
5656+0
2.4
70%
48%
26%
10.0
59%
3.8
50%
23.1
61%
3
1121.21.2
41%
14Bristol RvsBristol Rvs4662
41%
1.3
5665-9
2.6
72%
52%
30%
9.4
39%
4.7
76%
24.2
70%
5
2031.21.4
-
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town4661
33%
1.3
5758-1
2.5
74%
46%
20%
10.0
57%
3.8
54%
23.0
63%
3
1111.21.3
50%
16AccringtonAccrington4653
30%
1.2
4758-11
2.3
67%
37%
20%
9.5
48%
4.0
54%
22.2
48%
2
1111.01.3
48%
17GillinghamGillingham4653
28%
1.2
5372-19
2.7
70%
46%
30%
9.5
43%
4.0
61%
23.9
63%
3
1211.21.6
47%
18CheltenhamCheltenham4652
30%
1.1
5379-26
2.9
80%
48%
33%
9.6
54%
3.6
48%
22.7
61%
3
1111.21.7
49%
19ShrewsburyShrewsbury4649
28%
1.1
4269-27
2.4
63%
46%
30%
8.2
30%
4.0
54%
22.3
61%
3
0120.91.5
44%
20Newport CountyNewport County4643
26%
0.9
4877-29
2.7
76%
57%
28%
9.5
54%
4.0
54%
23.5
70%
2
0011.01.7
47%
21TranmereTranmere4641
22%
0.9
5479-25
2.9
83%
54%
35%
10.2
54%
3.8
57%
22.4
61%
4
1111.21.7
49%
22Crawley TownCrawley Town4640
17%
0.9
4468-24
2.4
74%
43%
26%
12.0
78%
4.1
59%
25.7
76%
3
2111.01.5
56%
23HarrogateHarrogate4639
22%
0.8
3968-29
2.3
70%
37%
17%
10.3
63%
3.1
39%
21.7
41%
1
0100.81.5
47%
24BarrowBarrow4636
20%
0.8
4578-33
2.7
72%
63%
33%
9.9
59%
3.3
48%
20.4
39%
2
0111.01.7
46%
England: League Two 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League Two stats & trends →

← all matches