The contest between Admira Wacker and First Vienna is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win at 38%. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a modestly open game, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.8% chance. Admira Wacker, playing at home against a similarly-ranked opponent, averages 1.25 goals scored and 1.5 conceded, while First Vienna on the road averages 1.17 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. The home win probability stands at 33%, the draw at 29%, and the away win at 38%. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 95%, Over 21.5 fouls at 88.9%, Over 2.5 cards at 80.2%, Over 23.5 fouls at 79.3%, Over 8.5 corners at 76.2%, Over 1.5 at 74.4%, Under 5.5 cards at 73.8%, and Under 3.5 at 73.7%. Admira Wacker’s recent form shows a win, while First Vienna is on a two-game winning streak, adding intrigue to a match where every outcome remains within reach.
Results analysis
The match saw First Vienna extend their two-game winning streak, with the win fitting the model’s prediction that the away side would prevail. The final score of 0-1 confirmed the away win, matching the model’s favourite pick of an away victory with a 38% probability. The model’s selections largely came through: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 95%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 88.9%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 80.2%, Over 23.5 fouls hit at 79.3%, Over 8.5 corners hit at 76.2%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 73.8%, and Under 3.5 hit at 73.7%. Only the Over 1.5 goal pick missed, with a 74.4% chance. The most likely total of two goals was not reached, but the overall outcome matched the model’s forecast.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Admira Wacker win✗ Miss
32.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
First Vienna win✓ Hit
38.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Admira Wacker
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.52
1.38
1.46
1.29
1.57
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.00
3.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
1.32
1.56
1.25
1.50
1.38
1.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
15% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (First Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
First Vienna
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.19
1.11
1.21
1.00
1.15
1.23
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
0.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
1.24
1.08
1.31
0.92
1.17
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
44% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Admira Wacker) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.4%
Under 1.5
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.0%
Under 2.5
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.3%
Under 3.5
73.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.0%
No
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
0-1 ✓
8.9%
0-0
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
5.7%
Admira Wacker goals ↓
First Vienna goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.7%
8.9%
6.9%
3.1%
1.1%
1
8.0%
14%
8.5%
3.9%
1.3%
2
5.7%
7.8%
5.3%
2.4%
0.8%
3
2.4%
3.2%
2.2%
1.0%
0.3%
4
0.7%
1.0%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Admira Wacker goals (down), columns = First Vienna goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC BW Linz
2.03
Grazer AK
2.00
SKN ST. Polten
1.87
SV Horn
1.60
SKU Amstetten
1.50
Floridsdorfer AC
1.50
First Vienna
1.43
SV Lafnitz
1.37
FC Liefering
1.23
Admira Wacker
1.20
Dornbirn
1.17
Sturm Graz II
1.13
SV Kapfenberg
1.13
SK Vorwarts Steyr
1.07
Rapid Wien II
1.00
Austria Vienna (Am)
0.97
Admira Wacker is 0.23 points worse than First Vienna in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 1.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC BW Linz
2.10
Grazer AK
1.73
FC Liefering
1.73
SKN ST. Polten
1.70
SKU Amstetten
1.63
SV Lafnitz
1.60
Sturm Graz II
1.43
Dornbirn
1.43
Floridsdorfer AC
1.37
SV Kapfenberg
1.33
Admira Wacker
1.30
SV Horn
1.27
SK Vorwarts Steyr
1.20
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.13
First Vienna
1.13
Rapid Wien II
1.10
Admira Wacker is 0.17 goals better than First Vienna in terms of goals scored per game (1.30 vs 1.13).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SKN ST. Polten
0.90
FC BW Linz
0.90
Grazer AK
0.97
Floridsdorfer AC
1.00
First Vienna
1.10
SV Horn
1.10
Admira Wacker
1.40
Dornbirn
1.47
SV Lafnitz
1.53
SKU Amstetten
1.63
SK Vorwarts Steyr
1.80
FC Liefering
1.80
Rapid Wien II
1.83
Sturm Graz II
1.87
SV Kapfenberg
1.87
Austria Vienna (Am)
2.03
Admira Wacker is 0.30 goals worse than First Vienna in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.10).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Liefering
54%
SKN ST. Polten
53%
FC BW Linz
53%
Floridsdorfer AC
52%
Grazer AK
52%
First Vienna
51%
SV Horn
51%
SV Lafnitz
51%
Austria Vienna (Am)
50%
SKU Amstetten
49%
Rapid Wien II
49%
Admira Wacker
49%
SK Vorwarts Steyr
47%
Dornbirn
47%
SV Kapfenberg
41%
Admira Wacker is 1.8 percentage points worse than First Vienna in terms of average possession (49% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Admira Wacker
For 5.0 · Against 6.0 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 14.3 · Total 29.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
First Vienna
For 6.4 · Against 6.7 · Total 13.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 13.0 · Total 26.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Admira Wacker
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (27)
10.5
10.3
10.8
3.0
3.2
2.9
26.6
27.1
26.1
vs Stronger (2)
10.5
11.0
10.0
6.0
5.0
7.0
30.0
29.0
31.0
vs Similar (25)
10.5
10.2
10.9
2.8
3.0
2.6
26.2
26.9
25.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
76%
67%
88%
37%
31%
43%
82%
78%
88%
% under line
24%
33%
12%
63%
69%
57%
18%
22%
12%
This opponent (First Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
First Vienna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (27)
13.1
12.8
13.4
1.5
1.9
1.2
26.1
27.8
24.4
vs Stronger (2)
22.0
22.0
-
2.5
5.0
0.0
21.0
21.0
-
vs Similar (25)
12.1
10.5
13.4
1.4
1.6
1.2
26.7
29.5
24.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
90%
80%
100%
19%
29%
8%
80%
80%
80%
% under line
10%
20%
0%
81%
71%
92%
20%
20%
20%
This opponent (Admira Wacker) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
First Vienna
13.1
Dornbirn
11.4
FC BW Linz
10.9
Admira Wacker
10.5
FC Liefering
10.5
SKU Amstetten
10.3
Rapid Wien II
10.1
SV Kapfenberg
10.1
Austria Vienna (Am)
9.9
Floridsdorfer AC
9.7
SK Vorwarts Steyr
9.4
SV Horn
9.3
Grazer AK
9.0
SV Lafnitz
8.9
SKN ST. Polten
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Horn
5.2
Dornbirn
4.9
SV Kapfenberg
4.9
Admira Wacker
4.8
FC BW Linz
4.6
SV Lafnitz
4.4
Austria Vienna (Am)
4.4
Floridsdorfer AC
4.2
FC Liefering
4.1
First Vienna
4.1
SK Vorwarts Steyr
4.1
Grazer AK
4.0
Rapid Wien II
3.5
SKU Amstetten
3.2
SKN ST. Polten
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SV Horn
30.8
Floridsdorfer AC
30.1
Grazer AK
27.8
FC BW Linz
27.6
SV Kapfenberg
27.4
Admira Wacker
26.6
FC Liefering
26.6
SV Lafnitz
26.3
First Vienna
26.1
SKU Amstetten
25.9
Dornbirn
25.9
SK Vorwarts Steyr
25.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
25.6
Rapid Wien II
25.1
SKN ST. Polten
23.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
65.3%
Under 9.5
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
62.1%
Under 3.5
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
88.9%
Under 21.5
11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Admira Wacker
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.70
0.69
0.46
0.64
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.76
0.58
0.50
0.69
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
48% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (First Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
First Vienna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.37
0.57
0.50
0.77
0.23
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.68
0.40
0.62
0.54
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
74% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Admira Wacker) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Admira Wacker over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Admira Wacker
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.81
0.69
1.00
0.64
0.64
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.68
0.80
0.67
1.00
0.69
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (First Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
First Vienna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.52
0.74
0.64
0.50
0.38
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.56
0.68
0.69
0.38
0.42
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
56% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Admira Wacker) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Admira Wacker over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
88.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GA (23)
€9m
FL (17)
€5m
FBL (21)
€5m
FV (24)
€5m
AV( (23)
€5m
SSP (20)
€4m
AW (23)
€4m
RWI (24)
€4m
SGI (22)
€4m
SA (20)
€3m
FA (19)
€3m
SK (23)
€3m
Admira Wacker and First Vienna have a similar squad value (both €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (4)
€3m
GA (7)
€2m
RWI (12)
€2m
FBL (9)
€2m
AW (7)
€2m
AV( (7)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
SGI (7)
€1m
FV (7)
€1m
SA (7)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (7)
€1m
Admira Wacker and First Vienna have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FV (8)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
FBL (4)
€1m
FL (6)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
FA (5)
€1m
AV( (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
SGI (6)
€1m
SA (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
RWI (4)
€1m
Admira Wacker's midfield is €1m less valuable than First Vienna's (€1m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GA (13)
€6m
AV( (11)
€2m
FBL (8)
€2m
AW (11)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
SGI (9)
€2m
FL (7)
€2m
SSP (8)
€1m
RWI (8)
€1m
SA (8)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (10)
€1m
Admira Wacker and First Vienna have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Austria: 2. Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →