The contest between Admira Wacker and First Vienna is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win. The odds are almost even: a 36% chance for a home victory, 29% for a draw, and 35% for an away triumph. The expected total of 2.7 goals points to a modestly high-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.6% probability. Admira Wacker, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 2.08 goals scored and 1.42 conceded, while First Vienna, on the road, nets 1.21 and concedes only 0.64 on average. The model’s suggested picks include an 83.7% chance of over 2.5 cards, an 82.5% chance of over 19.5 fouls, an 81.3% chance of under 11.5 corners, a 75.6% chance of over 1.5 (miss), a 72.3% chance of under 3.5 (hit), and a 71.8% chance of under 10.5 corners. Admira Wacker’s recent form shows a win after a rough patch, while First Vienna is riding a two-game winning streak. The match remains finely balanced, but the model’s pick points to a home win.
Results analysis
Admira Wacker’s win-streak ended in a 0-0 draw against First Vienna, a result that surprised the pre-match favourite. The model had tipped a home win with a 36% probability, but the prediction proved wrong. The match finished level, with both sides failing to score. The model’s other selections were mixed: the Over 1.5 goal pick, at 75.6%, missed, while the Under 3.5 goal pick, at 72.3%, hit. Admira Wacker entered the game on a win, having beaten WSPG Wels 3-1, whereas First Vienna was riding a two-game winning run, having defeated SKU Amstetten 1-0. The final score of 0-0 confirmed the unexpected draw.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Admira Wacker win✗ Miss
36.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
First Vienna win✗ Miss
35.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Admira Wacker
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
1.03
2.14
1.29
1.75
0.81
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
0.67
2.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
1.92
1.12
2.08
1.42
1.79
0.86
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (First Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
First Vienna
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.10
1.07
1.57
1.25
0.69
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
1.19
1.15
1.15
1.69
1.21
0.64
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
-
-
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Admira Wacker) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.6%
Under 1.5
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.6%
Under 2.5
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.7%
Under 3.5
72.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.3%
No
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
2-1
8.3%
0-0 ✓
8.2%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
0-1
8.0%
2-0
6.3%
0-2
6.1%
Admira Wacker goals ↓
First Vienna goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.2%
8.0%
6.1%
2.7%
0.9%
1
8.2%
14%
8.1%
3.6%
1.2%
2
6.3%
8.3%
5.5%
2.4%
0.8%
3
2.8%
3.7%
2.4%
1.1%
0.4%
4
1.0%
1.3%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Admira Wacker goals (down), columns = First Vienna goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
SKN ST. Polten
1.93
Austria Lustenau
1.90
Admira Wacker
1.76
Floridsdorfer AC
1.71
FC Liefering
1.66
SKU Amstetten
1.57
First Vienna
1.48
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.38
Austria Salzburg
1.32
Austria Klagenfurt
1.24
Rapid Wien II
1.21
WSPG Wels
1.14
SV Kapfenberg
1.07
Stripfing
0.83
Sturm Graz II
0.76
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
0.66
Admira Wacker is 0.28 points better than First Vienna in terms of average points per game (1.76 vs 1.48).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Admira Wacker
1.76
SKN ST. Polten
1.62
FC Liefering
1.62
Floridsdorfer AC
1.50
Austria Lustenau
1.48
SKU Amstetten
1.46
WSPG Wels
1.34
Stripfing
1.33
Austria Salzburg
1.29
Rapid Wien II
1.28
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.24
Austria Klagenfurt
1.17
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.17
SV Kapfenberg
1.10
First Vienna
1.10
Sturm Graz II
1.00
Admira Wacker is 0.66 goals better than First Vienna in terms of goals scored per game (1.76 vs 1.10).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Floridsdorfer AC
0.64
First Vienna
0.86
SKN ST. Polten
0.93
Austria Lustenau
1.00
Admira Wacker
1.00
SKU Amstetten
1.21
Austria Salzburg
1.32
WSPG Wels
1.41
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.41
FC Liefering
1.41
Austria Klagenfurt
1.52
Rapid Wien II
1.55
Sturm Graz II
1.69
SV Kapfenberg
1.83
Stripfing
1.92
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
2.07
Admira Wacker is 0.14 goals worse than First Vienna in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.86).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Liefering
53%
Austria Lustenau
47%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Admira Wacker
For 6.7 · Against 2.7 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 3.0 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 13.7 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
First Vienna
For 2.5 · Against 4.5 · Total 7.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 11.5 · Total 22.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Admira Wacker
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.2
7.4
7.0
1.3
1.1
1.4
23.8
24.9
23.0
vs Stronger (4)
8.5
10.0
7.0
2.0
1.0
5.0
25.0
27.0
23.0
vs Similar (45)
7.0
7.0
7.0
1.2
1.1
1.3
23.6
24.5
23.0
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
18%
29%
10%
20%
13%
26%
76%
86%
70%
% under line
82%
71%
90%
80%
87%
74%
24%
14%
30%
This opponent (First Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
First Vienna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
10.0
7.4
1.5
1.5
1.5
25.1
21.3
27.7
vs Stronger (3)
3.0
3.0
-
3.3
5.0
0.0
25.0
25.0
-
vs Similar (46)
8.8
11.2
7.4
1.4
1.2
1.6
25.1
20.7
27.7
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
29%
43%
20%
18%
17%
19%
71%
43%
90%
% under line
71%
57%
80%
82%
83%
81%
29%
57%
10%
This opponent (Admira Wacker) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
SKN ST. Polten
10.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
10.5
FC Liefering
10.3
SV Kapfenberg
10.3
SKU Amstetten
10.2
First Vienna
10.1
Floridsdorfer AC
10.0
Rapid Wien II
9.7
Austria Klagenfurt
9.4
Austria Lustenau
9.3
Admira Wacker
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Kapfenberg
6.5
SKN ST. Polten
5.5
Floridsdorfer AC
5.4
SKU Amstetten
5.3
Austria Klagenfurt
5.1
Austria Lustenau
5.0
First Vienna
5.0
FC Liefering
4.9
Admira Wacker
4.7
Austria Vienna (Am)
4.3
Rapid Wien II
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
First Vienna
26.4
Floridsdorfer AC
26.0
Austria Vienna (Am)
25.2
FC Liefering
25.1
SV Kapfenberg
24.1
SKU Amstetten
23.8
Rapid Wien II
23.8
Austria Lustenau
23.3
Admira Wacker
23.3
SKN ST. Polten
22.5
Austria Klagenfurt
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
39.9%
Under 9.5
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
67.4%
Under 3.5
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
69.3%
Under 21.5
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Admira Wacker
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.47
1.00
0.64
0.56
0.31
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.81
0.50
1.00
0.75
0.64
0.29
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (First Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
First Vienna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.43
0.43
0.71
0.81
0.19
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.67
0.48
0.46
0.77
0.86
0.21
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Admira Wacker) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Admira Wacker over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Admira Wacker
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.57
1.14
0.64
1.19
0.50
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.33
1.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
1.12
0.62
1.08
0.67
1.14
0.57
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (First Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
First Vienna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.67
0.64
0.86
0.44
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.52
0.67
0.69
0.92
0.36
0.43
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Admira Wacker) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Admira Wacker over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (17)
€5m
AL (22)
€5m
FV (24)
€5m
AV( (23)
€5m
SSP (20)
€4m
AW (23)
€4m
RWI (24)
€4m
SGI (22)
€4m
AS (22)
€4m
SB (22)
€3m
WW (19)
€3m
SA (20)
€3m
FA (19)
€3m
SK (23)
€3m
Admira Wacker and First Vienna have a similar squad value (both €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (4)
€3m
AL (10)
€2m
RWI (12)
€2m
AW (7)
€2m
AV( (7)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
SGI (7)
€1m
FV (7)
€1m
SB (9)
€1m
WW (7)
€1m
SA (7)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
AS (7)
€1m
SK (7)
€1m
Admira Wacker and First Vienna have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FV (8)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
FL (6)
€1m
FA (5)
€1m
AL (3)
€1m
AV( (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
SB (5)
€1m
SGI (6)
€1m
SA (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
WW (4)
€1m
RWI (4)
€1m
AS (4)
€1m
Admira Wacker's midfield is €1m less valuable than First Vienna's (€1m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AV( (11)
€2m
AS (11)
€2m
AW (11)
€2m
AL (9)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
SGI (9)
€2m
FL (7)
€2m
WW (8)
€1m
SSP (8)
€1m
RWI (8)
€1m
SA (8)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (10)
€1m
Admira Wacker and First Vienna have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Austria: 2. Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
SKN ST. Polten
Austria Lustenau
Floridsdorfer AC
FC Liefering
SKU Amstetten
Austria Vienna (Am)
Austria Salzburg
Austria Klagenfurt
Rapid Wien II
WSPG Wels
SV Kapfenberg
Sturm Graz II
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Stripfing