Admira Wacker is expected to come out on top in this match against Rapid Wien II, with a 52% chance of a home win. The match is likely to be an open and high-scoring affair, with an expected total of 3 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 11.6%.
Admira Wacker has been struggling in recent form, having suffered two straight defeats, but they have shown resilience at home, scoring an average of 2.11 goals and conceding 1.56. Rapid Wien II, on the other hand, have had a mixed run of form, but they tend to struggle away from home, scoring 0.8 goals and conceding 1.4 against stronger opponents.
The model's selection is for Admira Wacker to win, with a 52% chance of victory, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 23% chance of an away win. The model also suggests selecting Over 1.5 goals, with an 81.5% probability, and Over 3.5 cards, with a 72.9% probability. Home win percentage is 52%, draw percentage is 25%, and away win percentage is 23%.
A major upset in Austria's 2. Liga as Rapid Wien II stunned Admira Wacker 0-1. This result extends Rapid Wien II's run of three wins in five matches. The model's selection, Home win, was wrong, as the pre-match favourite Admira Wacker failed to come through. The model's call was incorrect, with a pre-match probability of 52%. The model's selection of Home win was the favourite, but it didn't deliver. The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals hit, but only just, with a probability of 81.5%.
Admira Wacker| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.77 | 1.03 | 2.07 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.06 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 1.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 2.50 |
| vs Similar (26) | 1.81 | 0.96 | 2.00 | 1.08 | 1.64 | 0.86 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 30% (+4pp vs league) | |||||
Rapid Wien II| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.30 | 1.60 | 1.33 | 1.53 | 1.27 | 1.67 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.50 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (28) | 1.36 | 1.64 | 1.36 | 1.57 | 1.36 | 1.71 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 20% (-6pp vs league) | |||||
| Rapid Wien II goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 12% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 8.4% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Admira Wacker
Rapid Wien II
Admira Wacker| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 7.2 | 7.5 | 7.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 23.2 | 25.0 | 22.3 |
| vs Stronger (5) | 7.0 | - | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 23.0 | - | 23.0 |
| vs Similar (44) | 7.2 | 7.5 | 7.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 23.2 | 25.0 | 22.2 |
| vs Weaker (1) | - | - | - | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| % over line | 15% | 25% | 11% | 16% | 9% | 22% | 69% | 75% | 67% |
| % under line | 85% | 75% | 89% | 84% | 91% | 78% | 31% | 25% | 33% |
Rapid Wien II| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.6 | 10.6 | 10.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 21.4 | 18.5 | 25.2 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 12.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 25.5 | 24.0 | 27.0 |
| vs Similar (46) | 10.4 | 10.7 | 10.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 20.7 | 17.7 | 24.8 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 64% | 62% | 67% | 20% | 15% | 25% | 57% | 38% | 83% |
| % under line | 36% | 38% | 33% | 80% | 85% | 75% | 43% | 62% | 17% |
Admira Wacker| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.73 | 0.47 | 0.93 | 0.50 | 0.56 | 0.44 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 0.50 | 0.75 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| vs Similar (26) | 0.77 | 0.42 | 0.92 | 0.58 | 0.64 | 0.29 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 60% (+34pp vs league) | |||||
Rapid Wien II| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.70 | 0.57 | 0.60 | 0.53 | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.50 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (28) | 0.71 | 0.54 | 0.57 | 0.50 | 0.86 | 0.57 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+30pp vs league) | |||||
Admira Wacker| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.03 | 0.57 | 1.14 | 0.50 | 0.94 | 0.62 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 1.00 | 0.75 | 1.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (26) | 1.04 | 0.54 | 1.08 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.57 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+27pp vs league) | |||||
Rapid Wien II| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.60 | 1.03 | 0.73 | 1.00 | 0.47 | 1.07 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (28) | 0.64 | 1.11 | 0.79 | 1.07 | 0.50 | 1.14 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 37% (+10pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 87.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 1.5 | 81.5% | 1.16 | 1.19 | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.17 | 1.17 | +2.0% | ✗ Miss |
| Over 19.5 fouls | 80.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 11.5 corners | 78.9% | 1.31 | 1.35 | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | +9.2% | - |
| Over 3.5 cards | 72.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 | H | 0-3 | |
| 19/09/25 | A | 2-2 | |
| 14/03/25 | A | 0-3 | |
| 17/09/24 | H | 3-1 | |
| 12/03/23 | H | 3-1 | |
| 29/10/22 | A | 2-1 |
Admira Wacker| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 14/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 08/05/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 02/05/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 26/04/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 17/04/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 11/04/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 03/04/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 20/03/26 | H | 0-3 | |
| 13/03/26 | A | 1-4 |
Rapid Wien II| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 08/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 03/05/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 17/04/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 10/04/26 | H | 1-4 | |
| 06/04/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 03/04/26 | H | 0-2 | |
| 20/03/26 | A | 0-3 | |
| 13/03/26 | H | 4-1 | |
| 06/03/26 | A | 4-0 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | FC BW Linz | 4 | 12 | 100% | 3.0 | 12 | 1 | +11 | 3.2 | 75% | 75% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.0 | 0.2 | - |
| 2 | Austria Salzburg | 4 | 9 | 75% | 2.2 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 4.0 | 100% | 75% | 75% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | - |
| 3 | Wacker Innsbruck | 4 | 9 | 75% | 2.2 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 2.5 | 50% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 0.8 | - |
| 4 | FC Liefering | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 4.0 | 100% | 100% | 75% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 53% |
| 5 | First Vienna | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 3.5 | 75% | 75% | 75% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | - |
| 6 | Floridsdorfer AC | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 3.2 | 75% | 50% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.5 | - |
| 7 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3.5 | 75% | 75% | 75% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | - |
| 8 | SKU Amstetten | 4 | 6 | 25% | 1.5 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 2.8 | 100% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | - |
| 9 | Austria Vienna (Am) | 4 | 6 | 50% | 1.5 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 2.8 | 75% | 75% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.5 | - |
| 10 | Rapid Wien II | 4 | 6 | 50% | 1.5 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 2.5 | 75% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | - |
| 11 | Voitsberg | 4 | 5 | 25% | 1.2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3.0 | 75% | 50% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | - |
| 12 | WSPG Wels | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3.0 | 100% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | - |
| 13 | Admira Wacker | 4 | 3 | 25% | 0.8 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1.8 | 50% | 25% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | - |
| 14 | Sturm Graz II | 4 | 3 | 25% | 0.8 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 4.0 | 100% | 75% | 75% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 2.8 | - |
| 15 | SKN ST. Polten | 4 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 1.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 16 | SV Kapfenberg | 4 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3.8 | 75% | 75% | 75% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 2.8 | - |