Admira Wacker vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz Result & Analysis

Admira Wacker are tipped to edge the game, with a 53% chance of victory, a 23% draw probability and a 24% chance for Schwarz-Wei Bregenz to win. The model’s pick is a home win, and the expected total of 3.3 goals points to a high-scoring affair. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.4% chance. In attack, Admira average 1.64 goals scored and 1.27 conceded at home against similarly-matched teams, while Schwarz-Wei Bregenz averages 1.73 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on the road. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 85.7%, Over 1.5 goals at 85.5% (hit), Under 11.5 corners at 80.3%, Over 19.5 fouls at 79.1%, Under 10.5 corners at 70.6% and Over 3.5 cards at 70.5%. Admira come off a win, whereas Schwarz-Wei Bregenz return from a defeat, setting the stage for a competitive match.

The upset came early, as the pre-match favourite, Admira Wacker, failed to convert its 53% edge and the match finished 2-2, a draw that defied the model’s pick. The model had called a home win with a 53% probability, but that call was wrong. The only other selection was Over 1.5 goals, which the model assigned an 85.5% chance and it hit, as the final tally of four goals matched the over. Admira Wacker, coming off a win, had a recent run of WLWLL, while Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz, after a defeat, had LWDWL. The final score of 2-2 confirmed the draw.