Admira Wacker are tipped to win, with the model favouring a home victory and the overall shape of the game leaning toward a modest scoreline. The expected total goals sit at 2.5, with the most likely total being two goals, a 27% chance. The single most probable score is 1-1, carrying a 13.4% probability. Home form shows Admira scoring 1.75 and conceding 1.08 against similar opposition, while Wacker Innsbruck, on the road, averages no goals scored and 2.5 conceded. The model’s picks include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Under 6.5 (98.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.3%), Under 5.5 (95.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (93.1%), Away under 2.5 goals (92.6%), Home +2 handicap (91.7%) and Under 4.5 (89.2%). Home win probability is 49%, draw 28% and away win 23%.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Admira Wacker win
49.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
28.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Wacker Innsbruck win
22.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Admira Wacker
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.07
1.86
1.00
1.31
1.12
vs Stronger (4)
1.50
1.50
2.50
0.50
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (26)
1.58
1.00
1.75
1.08
1.43
0.93
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Wacker Innsbruck) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wacker Innsbruck
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
0.86
2.25
0.25
0.33
1.67
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (4)
1.00
1.25
2.00
0.00
0.00
2.50
vs Weaker (2)
3.00
0.00
5.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Admira Wacker) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
72.3%
Under 1.5
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
45.4%
Under 2.5
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
24.1%
Under 3.5
75.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
49.7%
No
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-0
9.7%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.9%
Admira Wacker goals ↓
Wacker Innsbruck goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.5%
6.7%
3.8%
1.2%
0.3%
1
11%
13%
5.9%
1.9%
0.5%
2
9.7%
9.3%
4.5%
1.4%
0.3%
3
4.9%
4.7%
2.3%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.9%
1.8%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Admira Wacker goals (down), columns = Wacker Innsbruck goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC BW Linz
2.40
Floridsdorfer AC
2.00
First Vienna
2.00
FC Liefering
2.00
Austria Salzburg
1.80
Wacker Innsbruck
1.80
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.80
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.40
Rapid Wien II
1.20
Sturm Graz II
1.20
Admira Wacker
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
Voitsberg
1.00
WSPG Wels
0.80
SKN ST. Polten
0.60
SV Kapfenberg
0.60
Admira Wacker is 0.60 points worse than Wacker Innsbruck in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 1.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Liefering
2.60
FC BW Linz
2.60
Sturm Graz II
2.00
Austria Salzburg
2.00
Floridsdorfer AC
1.80
First Vienna
1.80
Voitsberg
1.40
Wacker Innsbruck
1.40
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.40
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.20
SV Kapfenberg
1.20
Rapid Wien II
1.20
WSPG Wels
1.20
Admira Wacker
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
SKN ST. Polten
0.20
Admira Wacker is 0.20 goals worse than Wacker Innsbruck in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC BW Linz
0.60
SKN ST. Polten
0.80
Wacker Innsbruck
1.00
Admira Wacker
1.00
Floridsdorfer AC
1.20
First Vienna
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.20
Austria Salzburg
1.40
FC Liefering
1.60
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
2.00
Voitsberg
2.00
WSPG Wels
2.00
Rapid Wien II
2.20
SV Kapfenberg
2.40
Sturm Graz II
2.60
Admira Wacker and Wacker Innsbruck are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Admira Wacker
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Wacker Innsbruck
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Admira Wacker
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
10.5
7.7
0.4
0.4
0.5
24.4
27.5
22.3
vs Stronger (5)
7.0
-
7.0
1.0
0.0
1.7
23.0
-
23.0
vs Similar (44)
9.2
10.5
8.0
0.4
0.4
0.4
24.8
27.5
22.0
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
40%
50%
33%
10%
8%
12%
80%
100%
67%
% under line
60%
50%
67%
90%
92%
88%
20%
0%
33%
This opponent (Wacker Innsbruck) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wacker Innsbruck
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (12)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Admira Wacker) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
SKN ST. Polten
10.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
10.5
FC Liefering
10.3
SV Kapfenberg
10.3
SKU Amstetten
10.2
First Vienna
10.1
Floridsdorfer AC
10.0
Rapid Wien II
9.7
Voitsberg
9.0
FC BW Linz
8.8
Admira Wacker
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Kapfenberg
6.5
Voitsberg
5.7
SKN ST. Polten
5.5
Floridsdorfer AC
5.4
SKU Amstetten
5.3
First Vienna
5.0
FC Liefering
4.9
Admira Wacker
4.7
FC BW Linz
4.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
4.3
Rapid Wien II
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
First Vienna
26.4
Floridsdorfer AC
26.0
Voitsberg
25.3
Austria Vienna (Am)
25.2
FC Liefering
25.1
SV Kapfenberg
24.1
SKU Amstetten
23.8
Rapid Wien II
23.8
Admira Wacker
23.3
SKN ST. Polten
22.5
FC BW Linz
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
44.7%
Under 9.5
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
72.3%
Under 3.5
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
66.3%
Under 21.5
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Admira Wacker or Draw
77.4%
Avg Implied -
49%
28%
23%
covers Admira Wacker + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker or Wacker Innsbruck
71.8%
Avg Implied -
49%
28%
23%
covers Admira Wacker + Wacker Innsbruck
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Wacker Innsbruck
50.8%
Avg Implied -
49%
28%
23%
covers Draw + Wacker Innsbruck
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Admira Wacker over/under 0.5
Over
78.3%
Under
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 1.5
Over
45.2%
Under
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 2.5
Over
19.9%
Under
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 3.5
Over
6.9%
Under
93.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wacker Innsbruck over/under 0.5
Over
61.8%
Under
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wacker Innsbruck over/under 1.5
Over
25.1%
Under
74.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wacker Innsbruck over/under 2.5
Over
7.4%
Under
92.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wacker Innsbruck over/under 3.5
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Admira Wacker, so a minus line means Admira Wacker give that many goals of a start and Wacker Innsbruck receive them. At -1, Admira Wacker must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Admira Wacker win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Admira Wacker)
Admira Wacker -2
10.5%
Draw -2
15.4%
Wacker Innsbruck +2
74.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Admira Wacker)
Admira Wacker -1
25.9%
Draw -1
23.3%
Wacker Innsbruck +1
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Admira Wacker)
Admira Wacker +1
77.4%
Draw +1
14.2%
Wacker Innsbruck -1
8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Admira Wacker)
Admira Wacker +2
91.7%
Draw +2
6.1%
Wacker Innsbruck -2
2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Admira Wacker
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.53
0.93
0.57
0.62
0.50
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.75
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (26)
0.81
0.50
0.92
0.67
0.71
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Wacker Innsbruck) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wacker Innsbruck
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.86
0.57
1.50
0.00
0.00
1.33
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.00
4.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
71% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Admira Wacker) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Admira Wacker over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wacker Innsbruck over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wacker Innsbruck over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wacker Innsbruck over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Admira Wacker
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.53
0.93
0.43
0.69
0.62
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
0.75
1.50
0.50
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.77
0.50
0.83
0.42
0.71
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Wacker Innsbruck) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wacker Innsbruck
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.29
0.75
0.25
0.33
0.33
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.50
0.25
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
71% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Admira Wacker) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Admira Wacker over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wacker Innsbruck over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wacker Innsbruck over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wacker Innsbruck over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Austria: 2. Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →