This opponent (Atromitos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Atromitos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.23
1.50
1.12
1.00
1.36
vs Stronger (8)
0.12
2.12
0.00
2.33
0.20
2.00
vs Similar (14)
1.71
1.14
1.75
1.00
1.67
1.33
vs Weaker (8)
1.62
0.50
2.00
0.60
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
20% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.7%
Under 1.5
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.4%
@ 1.84+3.0%
Under 2.5
45.6%
@ 1.94-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.0%
Under 3.5
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.5%
No
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
13.7%
1-0 ✓
11.7%
3-0
9.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.6%
4-0
5.4%
AEK Athens FC goals ↓
Atromitos goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
3.1%
1.3%
0.3%
0.1%
1
12%
9.3%
2.9%
0.6%
0.1%
2
14%
9.2%
3.1%
0.7%
0.1%
3
9.9%
6.7%
2.3%
0.5%
0.1%
4
5.4%
3.7%
1.2%
0.3%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AEK Athens FC goals (down), columns = Atromitos goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
AEK Athens FC
2.34
Panathinaikos
2.16
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.08
PAOK
1.82
Aris Thessalonikis
1.45
OFI Crete
1.24
OFI
1.24
Atromitos
1.22
Volos NFC
1.08
PAS Giannina
1.00
Asteras Tripolis
0.97
Panetolikos
0.92
Ionikos
0.86
Lamia
0.83
Levadiakos
0.83
AEK Athens FC is 1.12 points better than Atromitos in terms of average points per game (2.34 vs 1.22).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
AEK Athens FC
1.97
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.95
Aris Thessalonikis
1.55
PAOK
1.53
Panathinaikos
1.32
OFI Crete
1.12
OFI
1.12
Atromitos
1.11
PAS Giannina
0.97
Panetolikos
0.94
Volos NFC
0.92
Levadiakos
0.81
Ionikos
0.78
Asteras Tripolis
0.72
Lamia
0.69
AEK Athens FC is 0.86 goals better than Atromitos in terms of goals scored per game (1.97 vs 1.11).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Panathinaikos
0.45
AEK Athens FC
0.45
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.68
PAOK
0.87
Asteras Tripolis
1.06
Aris Thessalonikis
1.11
Atromitos
1.11
OFI Crete
1.24
OFI
1.24
Levadiakos
1.42
PAS Giannina
1.47
Ionikos
1.53
Panetolikos
1.67
Lamia
1.69
Volos NFC
1.76
AEK Athens FC is 0.66 goals better than Atromitos in terms of goals conceded per game (0.45 vs 1.11).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
AEK Athens FC
For 5.2 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 18.0 · Against 12.3 · Total 30.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Atromitos
For 3.4 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 17.3 · Total 31.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AEK Athens FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.4
10.1
4.5
4.7
4.4
31.0
29.0
33.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
10.3
10.1
10.5
5.1
5.2
4.9
30.8
28.4
33.2
vs Weaker (33)
10.2
10.5
9.9
4.3
4.4
4.1
31.1
29.3
33.1
% over line
58%
55%
62%
62%
56%
68%
93%
86%
100%
% under line
42%
45%
38%
38%
44%
32%
7%
14%
0%
This opponent (Atromitos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Atromitos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.8
7.7
8.0
3.7
3.7
3.8
31.7
31.7
31.8
vs Stronger (12)
8.5
9.4
7.6
3.2
3.8
2.9
30.0
33.8
26.2
vs Similar (24)
7.7
7.8
7.5
4.2
4.0
4.5
33.0
31.3
34.9
vs Weaker (14)
7.6
6.0
9.2
3.1
3.0
3.3
30.9
30.7
31.2
% over line
30%
27%
33%
50%
46%
54%
93%
95%
90%
% under line
70%
73%
67%
50%
54%
46%
7%
5%
10%
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
AEK Athens FC
9.8
PAOK
9.3
PAS Giannina
9.1
Olympiakos Piraeus
9.0
Volos NFC
9.0
Aris Thessalonikis
8.8
Levadiakos
8.7
Panetolikos
8.7
Panathinaikos
8.5
OFI Crete
8.5
Lamia
8.3
Ionikos
8.2
Atromitos
7.9
Asteras Tripolis
7.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Panathinaikos
5.9
Aris Thessalonikis
5.5
PAOK
5.3
AEK Athens FC
5.3
Levadiakos
5.1
Volos NFC
4.9
Ionikos
4.8
OFI Crete
4.7
Panetolikos
4.4
Atromitos
4.3
Asteras Tripolis
4.2
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.2
PAS Giannina
4.1
Lamia
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Panetolikos
35.2
Lamia
35.1
OFI Crete
33.1
Volos NFC
33.0
Aris Thessalonikis
32.8
Ionikos
32.7
PAS Giannina
32.1
Panathinaikos
32.1
Atromitos
31.8
AEK Athens FC
31.1
Asteras Tripolis
30.8
PAOK
30.2
Olympiakos Piraeus
28.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
44.3%
Under 9.5
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
64.7%
Under 3.5
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
94.0%
Under 21.5
6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
AEK Athens FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.50
0.80
0.40
0.73
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.60
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.67
1.33
vs Weaker (20)
0.85
0.25
0.91
0.36
0.78
0.11
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Atromitos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Atromitos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.63
0.69
0.50
0.29
0.79
vs Stronger (8)
0.00
0.75
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.80
vs Similar (14)
0.86
0.71
1.12
0.50
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (8)
0.38
0.38
0.40
0.40
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AEK Athens FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atromitos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atromitos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atromitos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
AEK Athens FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.57
0.73
0.67
0.73
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.10
0.40
0.25
0.75
0.00
0.17
vs Weaker (20)
1.05
0.65
0.91
0.64
1.22
0.67
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Atromitos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Atromitos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.60
0.81
0.62
0.71
0.57
vs Stronger (8)
0.12
1.38
0.00
1.67
0.20
1.20
vs Similar (14)
0.86
0.43
0.62
0.50
1.17
0.33
vs Weaker (8)
1.25
0.12
1.60
0.20
0.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AEK Athens FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atromitos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atromitos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atromitos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
94.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 25.5 fouls
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home win
71.0%
1.28
-
-
-
-
-
-2.3%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
AEK Athens FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Levi García42%
Tom van Weert31%
Mijat Gaćinović27%
Steven Zuber25%
Orbelín Pineda25%
Nordin Amrabat23%
Sergio Araujo21%
Gerasimos Mitoglou12%
Harold Moukoudi7%
Paolo Fernandes7%
Petros Mantalos7%
Damian Szymański7%
Domagoj Vida3%
Djibril Sidibé0%
Konstantinos Galanopoulos0%
Cican Stanković0%
Ehsan Haji Safi0%
Milad Mohammadi0%
Niclas Eliasson0%
Giorgos Athanasiadis0%
Georgios Tzavellas0%
Jens Jønsson0%
Lazaros Rota0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Georgios Tzavellas38%
Damian Szymański30%
Nordin Amrabat23%
Sergio Araujo21%
Harold Moukoudi19%
Petros Mantalos17%
Mijat Gaćinović17%
Domagoj Vida16%
Lazaros Rota16%
Orbelín Pineda14%
Niclas Eliasson12%
Steven Zuber11%
Ehsan Haji Safi10%
Jens Jønsson9%
Djibril Sidibé8%
Paolo Fernandes7%
Giorgos Athanasiadis3%
Levi García3%
Konstantinos Galanopoulos0%
Cican Stanković0%
Milad Mohammadi0%
Tom van Weert0%
Gerasimos Mitoglou0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Petros Mantalos20%
Niclas Eliasson19%
Sergio Araujo17%
Levi García16%
Nordin Amrabat13%
Domagoj Vida10%
Djibril Sidibé8%
Milad Mohammadi8%
Paolo Fernandes7%
Ehsan Haji Safi7%
Mijat Gaćinović7%
Orbelín Pineda6%
Harold Moukoudi4%
Steven Zuber4%
Damian Szymański3%
Lazaros Rota3%
Jens Jønsson3%
Konstantinos Galanopoulos0%
Cican Stanković0%
Tom van Weert0%
Giorgos Athanasiadis0%
Georgios Tzavellas0%
Gerasimos Mitoglou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Levi García55%
Sergio Araujo41%
Mijat Gaćinović30%
Steven Zuber25%
Tom van Weert15%
Djibril Sidibé8%
Paolo Fernandes7%
Orbelín Pineda6%
Damian Szymański3%
Domagoj Vida3%
Lazaros Rota3%
Konstantinos Galanopoulos0%
Petros Mantalos0%
Cican Stanković0%
Ehsan Haji Safi0%
Milad Mohammadi0%
Nordin Amrabat0%
Niclas Eliasson0%
Harold Moukoudi0%
Giorgos Athanasiadis0%
Georgios Tzavellas0%
Jens Jønsson0%
Gerasimos Mitoglou0%
Atromitos
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aguibou Camara25%
Viðar Örn Kjartansson16%
Gaëtan Robail15%
Dorin Rotariu15%
Georgios Tzovaras12%
Juan Muñiz9%
Andreas Kuen9%
August Erlingmark8%
Samúel Kári Friðjónsson7%
Marios Tzavidas6%
Viktor Klonaridis4%
Wajdi Kechrida3%
Dimitris Chatziisaias3%
Andreas Gianniotis0%
Laurens De Bock0%
Stefanos Stroungis0%
Kyriakos Kivrakidis0%
Konstantinos Kotsopoulos0%
Giannis Ikonomidis0%
Theofanis Mavromatis0%
Dani Suarez0%
Eder González0%
Nikolaos Athanasiou0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kyriakos Kivrakidis67%
Laurens De Bock31%
August Erlingmark29%
Juan Muñiz27%
Aguibou Camara25%
Dimitris Chatziisaias23%
Theofanis Mavromatis22%
Eder González22%
Andreas Kuen17%
Stefanos Stroungis17%
Wajdi Kechrida13%
Konstantinos Kotsopoulos11%
Giannis Ikonomidis11%
Dani Suarez11%
Samúel Kári Friðjónsson11%
Andreas Gianniotis10%
Gaëtan Robail9%
Viktor Klonaridis8%
Georgios Tzovaras8%
Dorin Rotariu7%
Viðar Örn Kjartansson3%
Nikolaos Athanasiou0%
Marios Tzavidas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nikolaos Athanasiou20%
Andreas Kuen13%
Theofanis Mavromatis11%
Dani Suarez11%
Viktor Klonaridis8%
Laurens De Bock7%
Wajdi Kechrida7%
Marios Tzavidas6%
Eder González6%
Gaëtan Robail6%
Dimitris Chatziisaias3%
Andreas Gianniotis0%
Dorin Rotariu0%
Viðar Örn Kjartansson0%
Stefanos Stroungis0%
Kyriakos Kivrakidis0%
Konstantinos Kotsopoulos0%
Giannis Ikonomidis0%
Samúel Kári Friðjónsson0%
Juan Muñiz0%
August Erlingmark0%
Aguibou Camara0%
Georgios Tzovaras0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aguibou Camara25%
Konstantinos Kotsopoulos11%
Viðar Örn Kjartansson10%
Gaëtan Robail9%
Juan Muñiz9%
Andreas Kuen9%
Dorin Rotariu7%
Viktor Klonaridis4%
Georgios Tzovaras4%
Samúel Kári Friðjónsson4%
Marios Tzavidas3%
Eder González3%
Andreas Gianniotis0%
Wajdi Kechrida0%
Laurens De Bock0%
Dimitris Chatziisaias0%
Stefanos Stroungis0%
Kyriakos Kivrakidis0%
Giannis Ikonomidis0%
Theofanis Mavromatis0%
Dani Suarez0%
August Erlingmark0%
Nikolaos Athanasiou0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
AT (27)
€41m
OFI (24)
€18m
LEV (24)
€16m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
VN (25)
€10m
PG (36)
€4m
AEK Athens FC's squad is €73m more valuable than Atromitos's (€85m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
AT (13)
€22m
PAN (11)
€7m
OFI (6)
€6m
LEV (11)
€5m
AT (11)
€5m
VN (8)
€4m
ATR (7)
€3m
PG (12)
€1m
AEK Athens FC's attack is €40m more valuable than Atromitos's (€44m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
AT (5)
€7m
LEV (4)
€5m
OFI (5)
€3m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
VN (5)
€2m
PG (7)
€1m
AEK Athens FC's midfield is €13m more valuable than Atromitos's (€16m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
AT (9)
€12m
OFI (13)
€8m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
VN (12)
€5m
LEV (9)
€5m
PAN (11)
€3m
PG (17)
€2m
AEK Athens FC's defence is €20m more valuable than Atromitos's (€26m vs €6m).
Greece: Super League 1 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
Aris Thessalonikis
OFI
Volos NFC
PAS Giannina
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
Ionikos
Levadiakos
Lamia