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AEK Athens FC vs Olympiakos Piraeus Result & Analysis

Date: 02/04/2025
Time: 17:30
Final 2-0
AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC
Vs
31%
31%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Olympiakos Piraeus
Olympiakos Piraeus
Greece: Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The cup clash between AEK Athens FC and Olympiakos Piraeus is a tight affair, with the model favouring an away win at 39%. The expected total of 2.3 goals points to a modestly low-scoring match, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.4% chance. AEK’s home form shows they average 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against similarly ranked opponents, while Olympiakos, on the road, averages 1.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. The probabilities for the result are 31% for a home win, 31% for a draw, and 39% for an away win. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (99.0%), Home under 3.5 goals (97.5%), Under 5.5 (96.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.2%), Under 4.5 (91.2%), Home under 2.5 goals (90.3%), and Away +2 handicap (87.5% miss). All figures are presented exactly as given.

Results analysis

AEK Athens FC finished 2-0 against Olympiakos Piraeus (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 31% home win, 31% draw and 39% away win. Picks that landed: Under 7.5 (100%), Under 6.5 (99%), Home under 3.5 goals (98%), Under 5.5 (97%), Away under 3.5 goals (96%), Under 4.5 (91%), Home under 2.5 goals (90%). Missed: Away +2 handicap (88%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens FC win✓ Hit
30.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus win✗ Miss
38.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L10W21W50W21W30W06L01L00D23LA·PAN19/01H·PAN25/01A·PAO02/02H·PAN09/02H·ATR15/02A·AST23/02A·OLY26/02H·OLY02/03A·ARI09/03H·PAO30/03← Super League 1Cup →
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.470.901.930.501.061.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.901.801.201.000.602.60
vs Weaker (20)1.750.452.330.221.270.64
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D40W21W60W10W03L10W10W21W42WH·AST09/02A·PAN16/02H·PAO23/02H·AEK26/02A·AEK02/03A·BOD06/03H·OFI09/03H·OFI09/03H·BOD13/03H·PAN30/03← Super League 1Cup →
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.800.602.060.561.500.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)2.381.003.500.751.251.25
vs Weaker (22)1.590.451.580.501.600.40
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.1%
Under 1.5
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.4%
Under 2.5
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.9%
Under 3.5
79.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.6%
No
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-0
11.0%
0-1
10.8%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
2-0 ✓
5.7%
AEK Athens FC goals ↓
Olympiakos Piraeus goals →
01234
011%11%7.6%3.2%1.0%
19.2%14%8.2%3.4%1.1%
25.7%7.1%4.5%1.9%0.6%
32.1%2.6%1.6%0.7%0.2%
40.6%0.7%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AEK Athens FC goals (down), columns = Olympiakos Piraeus goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Aris Avato
2.33
Nea Ionia
2.33
Asteras Tripolis
2.29
Apollon Krya Vrysi
2.25
PAOK
2.25
Ethnikos Piraeus
2.25
Makedonikos Neapolis
2.00
Kifisia
2.00
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.00
Volos NFC
2.00
Kavala
2.00
Anagennisi Artas
2.00
OFI
2.00
Kampaniakos Chalastra
2.00
Iraklis 1908
2.00
PAS Giannina
2.00
Panserraikos
2.00
Panargiakos
2.00
Panachaiki FC
1.86
Panathinaikos
1.75
AEK Athens FC
1.67
Zakynthos
1.67
Diagoras
1.67
Mandraikos
1.50
Evosmou
1.50
Nea Artaki
1.50
Kalamata
1.50
Ilioupoli
1.50
Erani Filiatra
1.50
Niki Volos
1.50
Atromitos Palamas
1.50
Thyella Kamari
1.50
Trikala
1.50
Aigeas Plomariou
1.50
Panthrakikos
1.50
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
1.50
Panionios
1.43
Egaleo
1.40
Aris Thessalonikis
1.33
Larisa
1.33
Saronikos Anavyssou
1.00
Korinthos
1.00
Atromitos
1.00
Kallithea
0.67
Afantou
0.50
Kissamikos
0.00
Diagoras Ikaria
0.00
Panlakonikos
0.00
Ermis Amyntaio
0.00
Levadiakos
0.00
Agios Nikolaos
0.00
Apollon Paralimniou
0.00
Olympiakos Volos
0.00
Kydonias
0.00
Panetolikos
0.00
Orestis Orestiadas
0.00
Astrapi Mesopotamia
0.00
Pallixouriakos
0.00
Apollo Efpaliou
0.00
Ermionida
0.00
Doxa Volakas
0.00
Kilkisiakos
0.00
Episkopi
0.00
PAO Vardas
0.00
Agios Dimitrios Agrinio
0.00
Thyella Chalkeiou
0.00
Eordaikos
0.00
Sartis
0.00
Smolikas Falanis
0.00
Lamia
0.00
Astir Stavros
0.00
Akadimia Platamona
0.00
Naousa
0.00
Byron Kavala
0.00
Ermis Kanaliou
0.00
Spartakos Graikochoriou
0.00
Lefkimmi
0.00
Thyella Katsikas
0.00
Thyella Patras
0.00
AEK Athens FC is 0.33 points worse than Olympiakos Piraeus in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
PAS Giannina
6.00
Panthrakikos
4.50
Kifisia
3.40
Iraklis 1908
3.00
PAOK
2.75
Apollon Krya Vrysi
2.50
Nea Artaki
2.50
Zakynthos
2.17
Panlakonikos
2.00
Evosmou
2.00
Doxa Volakas
2.00
Kavala
2.00
Anagennisi Artas
2.00
Erani Filiatra
2.00
Ethnikos Piraeus
2.00
Atromitos Palamas
2.00
Aigeas Plomariou
2.00
Panargiakos
2.00
Asteras Tripolis
1.86
OFI
1.75
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.71
Volos NFC
1.67
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.67
Ilioupoli
1.50
Niki Volos
1.50
Trikala
1.50
Panachaiki FC
1.43
Atromitos
1.33
Panionios
1.29
Panathinaikos
1.25
Egaleo
1.20
Kissamikos
1.00
Levadiakos
1.00
Saronikos Anavyssou
1.00
Agios Nikolaos
1.00
Mandraikos
1.00
Apollon Paralimniou
1.00
Olympiakos Volos
1.00
Panetolikos
1.00
Astrapi Mesopotamia
1.00
Eordaikos
1.00
Larisa
1.00
Panserraikos
1.00
Akadimia Platamona
1.00
Aris Avato
1.00
Thyella Patras
1.00
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
1.00
AEK Athens FC
0.83
Aris Thessalonikis
0.67
Diagoras
0.67
Nea Ionia
0.67
Makedonikos Neapolis
0.50
Kalamata
0.50
Afantou
0.50
Thyella Kamari
0.50
Kallithea
0.33
Diagoras Ikaria
0.00
Ermis Amyntaio
0.00
Kydonias
0.00
Korinthos
0.00
Orestis Orestiadas
0.00
Pallixouriakos
0.00
Apollo Efpaliou
0.00
Ermionida
0.00
Kilkisiakos
0.00
Episkopi
0.00
PAO Vardas
0.00
Agios Dimitrios Agrinio
0.00
Thyella Chalkeiou
0.00
Sartis
0.00
Smolikas Falanis
0.00
Lamia
0.00
Astir Stavros
0.00
Naousa
0.00
Byron Kavala
0.00
Ermis Kanaliou
0.00
Spartakos Graikochoriou
0.00
Lefkimmi
0.00
Thyella Katsikas
0.00
AEK Athens FC is 0.88 goals worse than Olympiakos Piraeus in terms of goals scored per game (0.83 vs 1.71).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Makedonikos Neapolis
0.00
Korinthos
0.00
Diagoras
0.00
Nea Ionia
0.00
Anagennisi Artas
0.33
Larisa
0.33
Aris Avato
0.33
Kifisia
0.40
Kalamata
0.50
Ilioupoli
0.50
PAOK
0.50
Iraklis 1908
0.50
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
0.50
Asteras Tripolis
0.57
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.57
Aris Thessalonikis
0.67
PAS Giannina
0.67
Kallithea
0.67
Panionios
0.86
OFI
0.88
Saronikos Anavyssou
1.00
Mandraikos
1.00
Volos NFC
1.00
Orestis Orestiadas
1.00
Kilkisiakos
1.00
Episkopi
1.00
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.00
Panathinaikos
1.00
Ethnikos Piraeus
1.00
Afantou
1.00
Thyella Kamari
1.00
Smolikas Falanis
1.00
Lamia
1.00
Astir Stavros
1.00
Panserraikos
1.00
Byron Kavala
1.00
Aigeas Plomariou
1.00
Panthrakikos
1.00
Panachaiki FC
1.29
AEK Athens FC
1.33
Kavala
1.33
Zakynthos
1.33
Apollon Krya Vrysi
1.50
Evosmou
1.50
Nea Artaki
1.50
Erani Filiatra
1.50
Niki Volos
1.50
Atromitos Palamas
1.50
Atromitos
1.67
Panargiakos
1.67
Levadiakos
2.00
Panetolikos
2.00
Trikala
2.00
Naousa
2.00
Thyella Patras
2.00
Egaleo
2.60
Kissamikos
3.00
Agios Nikolaos
3.00
Pallixouriakos
3.00
Apollo Efpaliou
3.00
Agios Dimitrios Agrinio
3.00
Thyella Chalkeiou
3.00
Eordaikos
3.00
Akadimia Platamona
3.00
Ermis Kanaliou
3.00
Lefkimmi
3.00
Thyella Katsikas
3.00
Panlakonikos
4.00
Apollon Paralimniou
4.00
Olympiakos Volos
4.00
Kydonias
4.00
Doxa Volakas
4.00
Ermis Amyntaio
5.00
Astrapi Mesopotamia
5.00
PAO Vardas
5.00
Ermionida
7.00
Sartis
9.00
Spartakos Graikochoriou
11.00
Diagoras Ikaria
14.00
AEK Athens FC is 0.76 goals worse than Olympiakos Piraeus in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 0.57).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC

For 5.1 · Against 1.7 · Total 6.8

🚩 Corners

1203134112610133747934722611611712H·PAOA·ARIH·OLYA·ASTH·ATRH·PANA·PAOH·PANA·PANH·ATH
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.8

🟨 Cards

110542241233238313243356636511466H·PAOA·ARIH·OLYA·ASTH·ATRH·PANA·PAOH·PANA·PANH·ATH
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 11.7 · Total 24.2

⚠️ Fouls

290101714151010108111113913101581514141527292018222223232929H·PAOA·ARIH·OLYA·ASTH·ATRH·PANA·PAOH·PANA·PANH·ATH
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus

For 6.7 · Against 1.7 · Total 8.4

🚩 Corners

150311919178112371263311101015257129H·PANH·BODH·OFIH·OFIA·BODA·AEKH·PAOA·PANH·ASTA·LEV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.9 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

9014434414222136145744164195H·PANH·BODH·OFIH·OFIA·BODA·AEKH·PAOA·PANH·ASTA·LEV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 12.0 · Total 23.4

⚠️ Fouls

3802018121310101010681010151898131491138252020142033172720H·PANH·BODH·OFIH·OFIA·BODA·AEKH·PAOA·PANH·ASTA·LEV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.98.29.64.94.84.926.927.026.7
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (16)7.25.98.85.25.84.827.028.425.3
vs Weaker (34)9.79.410.04.74.45.026.826.227.4
% over line40%33%47%68%72%64%88%86%89%
% under line60%67%53%32%28%36%12%14%11%
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.48.28.64.44.34.524.625.024.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (14)7.87.97.74.34.44.222.725.119.8
vs Weaker (36)8.78.48.94.44.24.725.325.025.7
% over line38%39%36%66%58%75%67%70%64%
% under line62%61%64%34%42%25%33%30%36%
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Panionios
10.4
Kallithea
10.3
Kifisia
10.2
Panathinaikos
9.9
PAS Giannina
9.6
AEK Athens FC
9.4
Lamia
9.2
PAOK
9.1
OFI
8.9
Larisa
8.8
Asteras Tripolis
8.8
Panserraikos
8.7
Levadiakos
8.6
Volos NFC
8.6
Aris Thessalonikis
8.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.5
Atromitos
8.5
Ionikos
8.3
Panetolikos
8.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Panserraikos
6.9
Kifisia
6.7
Levadiakos
6.4
Volos NFC
6.4
Atromitos
6.4
Kallithea
6.1
Larisa
6.1
OFI
6.0
Panathinaikos
6.0
Aris Thessalonikis
6.0
Panionios
5.8
AEK Athens FC
5.7
Asteras Tripolis
5.6
PAOK
5.3
Panetolikos
5.3
PAS Giannina
5.1
Ionikos
5.1
Lamia
4.8
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Larisa
36.2
Volos NFC
33.6
Ionikos
32.9
Levadiakos
30.8
Panionios
30.3
Kifisia
30.3
Atromitos
30.3
Panserraikos
30.1
OFI
29.5
PAS Giannina
29.4
Panathinaikos
29.4
Aris Thessalonikis
29.1
Kallithea
28.7
Lamia
28.4
Panetolikos
27.7
AEK Athens FC
27.5
Asteras Tripolis
27.2
PAOK
25.2
Olympiakos Piraeus
24.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
47.2%
Under 9.5
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
57.6%
Under 3.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
49.9%
Under 21.5
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
AEK Athens FC or Draw✓ Hit
61.2%
Avg Implied -
31%
31%
39%
covers AEK Athens FC + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC or Olympiakos Piraeus✓ Hit
69.4%
Avg Implied -
31%
31%
39%
covers AEK Athens FC + Olympiakos Piraeus
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Olympiakos Piraeus✗ Miss
69.3%
Avg Implied -
31%
31%
39%
covers Draw + Olympiakos Piraeus
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
AEK Athens FC over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
66.3%
Under
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
29.6%
Under
70.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.7%
Under
90.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
71.4%
Under
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
35.6%
Under
64.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.2%
Under
86.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.8%
Under
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to AEK Athens FC, so a minus line means AEK Athens FC give that many goals of a start and Olympiakos Piraeus receive them. At -1, AEK Athens FC must win by two or more to land; a one-goal AEK Athens FC win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (AEK Athens FC)Actual: Draw
AEK Athens FC -2
3.8%
Draw -2
8.8%
Olympiakos Piraeus +2
87.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (AEK Athens FC)Actual: AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC -1
12.5%
Draw -1
18.1%
Olympiakos Piraeus +1
69.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (AEK Athens FC)Actual: AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC +1
61.2%
Draw +1
21.1%
Olympiakos Piraeus -1
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (AEK Athens FC)Actual: AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC +2
82.3%
Draw +2
11.6%
Olympiakos Piraeus -2
6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D10W20W11D00D03L00D00D10WA·PAN19/01H·PAN25/01A·PAO02/02H·PAN09/02H·ATR15/02A·AST23/02A·OLY26/02H·OLY02/03A·ARI09/03H·PAO30/03← Super League 1Cup →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.370.930.140.380.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.500.600.600.200.401.00
vs Weaker (20)0.700.251.110.110.360.36
Clean sheet %70% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D20W21W30W00D02L10W10W01L21WH·AST09/02A·PAN16/02H·PAO23/02H·AEK26/02A·AEK02/03A·BOD06/03H·OFI09/03H·OFI09/03H·BOD13/03H·PAN30/03← Super League 1Cup →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.330.940.440.430.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.880.621.500.750.250.50
vs Weaker (22)0.640.230.750.330.500.10
Clean sheet %70% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AEK Athens FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W11D30W10W30W03L01L00D13LA·PAN19/01H·PAN25/01A·PAO02/02H·PAN09/02H·ATR15/02A·AST23/02A·OLY26/02H·OLY02/03A·ARI09/03H·PAO30/03← Super League 1Cup →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.531.000.360.690.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.401.200.600.800.201.60
vs Weaker (20)1.050.201.220.110.910.27
Clean sheet %70% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W00D30W10W01L00D00D20W21WH·AST09/02A·PAN16/02H·PAO23/02H·AEK26/02A·AEK02/03A·BOD06/03H·OFI09/03H·OFI09/03H·BOD13/03H·PAN30/03← Super League 1Cup →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.271.120.121.070.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.500.382.000.001.000.75
vs Weaker (22)0.950.230.830.171.100.30
Clean sheet %77% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AEK Athens FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.599.0%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals97.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.596.8%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals96.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.591.2%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals90.3%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap87.5%-------✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals86.8%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap82.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls79.9%--------
Under 3.579.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards77.7%--------
Over 2.5 cards76.9%--------
Under 11.5 corners75.7%--------
Away over 0.5 goals71.4%-------✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 goals70.4%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

AEK Athens FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anthony Martial33%
Steven Zuber33%
Levi García33%
Frantzdy Pierrot22%
Harold Moukoudi20%
Gerasimos Mitoglou20%
Erik Lamela17%
Nordin Amrabat17%
Niclas Eliasson15%
Mijat Gaćinović11%
Aboubakary Koita9%
Petros Mantalos8%
Ehsan Hajsafi7%
Stavros Pilios6%
Paolo Fernandes5%
Jens Jønsson5%
Robert Ljubičić5%
Orbelín Pineda3%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Domagoj Vida0%
Alexander Callens0%
Roberto Pereyra0%
Damian Szymański0%
Moses Odubajo0%
Sotiris Tsiloulis0%
Alberto Brignoli0%
Lazaros Rota0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Erik Lamela39%
Petros Mantalos33%
Moses Odubajo33%
Jens Jønsson32%
Harold Moukoudi30%
Mijat Gaćinović26%
Lazaros Rota25%
Stavros Pilios24%
Aboubakary Koita22%
Damian Szymański20%
Orbelín Pineda17%
Nordin Amrabat17%
Frantzdy Pierrot15%
Levi García13%
Gerasimos Mitoglou13%
Roberto Pereyra12%
Alberto Brignoli11%
Paolo Fernandes11%
Ehsan Hajsafi7%
Anthony Martial6%
Niclas Eliasson5%
Thomas Strakosha5%
Robert Ljubičić5%
Domagoj Vida4%
Alexander Callens0%
Steven Zuber0%
Sotiris Tsiloulis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aboubakary Koita17%
Nordin Amrabat17%
Robert Ljubičić14%
Levi García13%
Erik Lamela13%
Petros Mantalos12%
Lazaros Rota12%
Damian Szymański12%
Domagoj Vida8%
Ehsan Hajsafi7%
Orbelín Pineda7%
Stavros Pilios6%
Anthony Martial6%
Paolo Fernandes5%
Niclas Eliasson5%
Mijat Gaćinović0%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Alexander Callens0%
Roberto Pereyra0%
Steven Zuber0%
Frantzdy Pierrot0%
Moses Odubajo0%
Harold Moukoudi0%
Sotiris Tsiloulis0%
Alberto Brignoli0%
Jens Jønsson0%
Gerasimos Mitoglou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Levi García27%
Frantzdy Pierrot19%
Erik Lamela17%
Aboubakary Koita17%
Nordin Amrabat17%
Sotiris Tsiloulis17%
Anthony Martial11%
Paolo Fernandes11%
Niclas Eliasson10%
Robert Ljubičić9%
Domagoj Vida8%
Moses Odubajo7%
Stavros Pilios6%
Harold Moukoudi5%
Petros Mantalos4%
Roberto Pereyra4%
Mijat Gaćinović0%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Alexander Callens0%
Ehsan Hajsafi0%
Steven Zuber0%
Damian Szymański0%
Alberto Brignoli0%
Orbelín Pineda0%
Jens Jønsson0%
Lazaros Rota0%
Gerasimos Mitoglou0%
Olympiakos Piraeus
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ayoub El Kaabi51%
Chiquinho22%
Gelson Martins21%
Charalampos Kostoulas20%
Kristoffer Velde15%
Roman Yaremchuk13%
Rodinei10%
Giulian Biancone10%
Panagiotis Retsos4%
David Carmo3%
Christos Mouzakitis3%
Santiago Hezze3%
Konstantinos Tzolakis0%
Giorgos Masouras0%
Willian0%
Sérgio Oliveira0%
Francisco Ortega0%
Luis Palma0%
Dani García0%
André Horta0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Marko Stamenić0%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos0%
Andreas Ndoj0%
Costinha0%
Bruno Onyemaechi0%
Antonis Papakanellos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Giulian Biancone29%
Marko Stamenić22%
Dani García21%
Santiago Hezze21%
David Carmo19%
Rodinei18%
Roman Yaremchuk17%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos17%
Panagiotis Retsos15%
Gelson Martins15%
Giorgos Masouras14%
Andreas Ndoj12%
Kristoffer Velde11%
Charalampos Kostoulas10%
Francisco Ortega9%
Bruno Onyemaechi9%
Sérgio Oliveira8%
Christos Mouzakitis6%
Costinha6%
Ayoub El Kaabi5%
Lorenzo Pirola3%
Konstantinos Tzolakis2%
Willian0%
Luis Palma0%
Chiquinho0%
André Horta0%
Antonis Papakanellos0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gelson Martins30%
Rodinei23%
Ayoub El Kaabi14%
Christos Mouzakitis12%
Chiquinho11%
Willian10%
Bruno Onyemaechi9%
Costinha9%
Roman Yaremchuk7%
Giulian Biancone5%
Panagiotis Retsos4%
Kristoffer Velde4%
Charalampos Kostoulas3%
Francisco Ortega3%
Dani García3%
Santiago Hezze3%
Konstantinos Tzolakis0%
Giorgos Masouras0%
Sérgio Oliveira0%
Luis Palma0%
David Carmo0%
André Horta0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Marko Stamenić0%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos0%
Andreas Ndoj0%
Antonis Papakanellos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ayoub El Kaabi49%
Luis Palma30%
Gelson Martins21%
Charalampos Kostoulas20%
Chiquinho17%
Kristoffer Velde15%
Costinha9%
Rodinei5%
Roman Yaremchuk3%
Panagiotis Retsos0%
Konstantinos Tzolakis0%
Giorgos Masouras0%
Willian0%
Sérgio Oliveira0%
Francisco Ortega0%
David Carmo0%
Dani García0%
André Horta0%
Giulian Biancone0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Marko Stamenić0%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos0%
Santiago Hezze0%
Andreas Ndoj0%
Bruno Onyemaechi0%
Christos Mouzakitis0%
Antonis Papakanellos0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
AT (27)
€41m
OFI (24)
€18m
LEV (24)
€16m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
KAL (28)
€11m
VN (25)
€10m
KIF (27)
€10m
I1 (25)
€9m
EGA (40)
€6m
PAN (27)
€6m
NV (24)
€6m
KAL (27)
€5m
PAN (24)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
ILI (31)
€4m
PG (36)
€4m
KAV (28)
€3m
MN (29)
€3m
KC (26)
€2m
PAN (32)
€2m
AEK Athens FC's squad is €90m less valuable than Olympiakos Piraeus's (€85m vs €175m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
AT (13)
€22m
PAN (11)
€7m
OFI (6)
€6m
LEV (11)
€5m
AT (11)
€5m
KIF (10)
€4m
KAL (8)
€4m
VN (8)
€4m
ATR (7)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
EGA (19)
€3m
PAN (11)
€2m
I1 (6)
€2m
NV (7)
€2m
LAR (7)
€2m
KAL (9)
€2m
PG (12)
€1m
KAV (12)
€1m
ILI (10)
€1m
MN (10)
€1m
PAN (12)
€1m
KC (8)
€1m
AEK Athens FC's attack is €40m less valuable than Olympiakos Piraeus's (€44m vs €84m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
AT (5)
€7m
LEV (4)
€5m
OFI (5)
€3m
I1 (7)
€3m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
KAL (6)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
KIF (6)
€2m
VN (5)
€2m
NV (6)
€1m
EGA (6)
€1m
PAN (3)
€1m
ILI (6)
€1m
KC (7)
€1m
LAR (3)
€1m
PG (7)
€1m
KAL (4)
€1m
MN (4)
€0m
PAN (7)
€0m
KAV (4)
€0m
PAN (1)
€0m
AEK Athens FC's midfield is €32m less valuable than Olympiakos Piraeus's (€16m vs €47m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
AT (9)
€12m
OFI (13)
€8m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
VN (12)
€5m
LEV (9)
€5m
KAL (14)
€5m
KIF (11)
€4m
I1 (12)
€4m
PAN (11)
€3m
KAL (14)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
NV (11)
€3m
EGA (15)
€2m
LAR (13)
€2m
PAN (10)
€2m
ILI (15)
€2m
PG (17)
€2m
KAV (12)
€1m
MN (15)
€1m
KC (11)
€1m
PAN (13)
€1m
AEK Athens FC's defence is €18m less valuable than Olympiakos Piraeus's (€26m vs €44m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
AAF wins
2
Draws
4
OP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

AEK Athens FC vs Olympiakos Piraeus · H/A from AAF
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/25HAAF Vs Olympiakos Piraeus0-1
26/02/25AOlympiakos Piraeus Vs AAF6-0
24/11/24AOlympiakos Piraeus Vs AAF4-1
15/05/24AOlympiakos Piraeus Vs AAF2-0
31/03/24HAAF Vs Olympiakos Piraeus1-0
07/01/24AOlympiakos Piraeus Vs AAF1-2
17/09/23HAAF Vs Olympiakos Piraeus1-1
03/05/23HAAF Vs Olympiakos Piraeus0-0

AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/03/25HAAF Vs PAOK2-3
09/03/25AAris Thessalonikis Vs AAF0-0
02/03/25HAAF Vs Olympiakos Piraeus0-1
26/02/25AOlympiakos Piraeus Vs AAF6-0
23/02/25AAsteras Tripolis Vs AAF0-3
15/02/25HAAF Vs Atromitos2-1
09/02/25HAAF Vs Panserraikos5-0
02/02/25APAOK Vs AAF1-2
25/01/25HAAF Vs Panetolikos1-0
19/01/25APanathinaikos Vs AAF1-0

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/03/25HOP Vs Panathinaikos4-2
13/03/25HOP Vs Bodo/Glimt2-1
09/03/25HOP Vs OFI Crete1-0
09/03/25HOP Vs OFI1-0
06/03/25ABodo/Glimt Vs OP3-0
02/03/25AAEK Athens FC Vs OP0-1
26/02/25HOP Vs AEK Athens FC6-0
23/02/25HOP Vs PAOK2-1
16/02/25APanserraikos Vs OP0-4
09/02/25HOP Vs Asteras Tripolis1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC
Greece: Cup
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDL1.96
HomeWWWLL2.44
AwayLWWLD1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%76%44%
AVG goals2.602.602.60
Over 1.5 %70%76%64%
Over 2.5 %50%44%56%
Over 3.5 %24%20%28%
Scored1.722.081.36
Conceded0.880.521.24
BTTS34%28%40%
Clean Sheet52%68%36%
Corners8.908.249.63
Cards6.105.766.47
Olympiakos Piraeus
Olympiakos Piraeus
Greece: Cup
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW2.14
HomeWWWWW2.38
AwayWWWWL1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%69%54%
AVG goals2.262.462.04
Over 1.5 %70%73%67%
Over 2.5 %40%50%29%
Over 3.5 %14%15%12%
Scored1.601.881.29
Conceded0.660.580.75
BTTS40%50%29%
Clean Sheet52%50%54%
Corners8.408.228.59
Cards4.894.834.95

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus3685
72%
2.4
6424+40
2.4
72%
44%
17%
8.1
33%
4.9
69%
25.4
69%
175
8447441.80.7
57%
2PanathinaikosPanathinaikos3669
56%
1.9
4936+13
2.4
61%
42%
28%
10.1
56%
6.1
89%
30.1
94%
109
4626381.41.0
57%
3Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis3866
50%
1.7
5038+12
2.3
76%
32%
16%
9.0
47%
5.3
84%
27.8
87%
41
227121.31.0
54%
4AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC3663
53%
1.8
5529+26
2.3
67%
44%
17%
8.5
34%
6.2
89%
27.1
89%
85
4416261.50.8
65%
5PAOKPAOK3662
53%
1.7
7143+28
3.2
83%
72%
33%
9.2
47%
5.2
72%
26.0
75%
82
3028242.01.2
58%
6LevadiakosLevadiakos4262
38%
1.5
6247+15
2.6
69%
52%
29%
8.4
27%
6.5
83%
30.4
95%
16
5551.51.1
49%
7Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis3859
47%
1.6
4744+3
2.4
74%
50%
11%
8.6
50%
5.9
84%
26.1
87%
13
5261.21.2
45%
8PanetolikosPanetolikos4259
38%
1.4
3534+1
1.6
52%
24%
2%
8.5
32%
5.5
80%
26.1
80%
13
7230.80.8
43%
9AtromitosAtromitos3852
37%
1.4
4641+5
2.3
71%
50%
8%
8.5
32%
6.1
84%
30.2
95%
12
3261.21.1
45%
10PanserraikosPanserraikos4247
31%
1.1
5271-19
2.9
79%
64%
33%
9.4
49%
6.7
85%
28.4
85%
6
2131.21.7
49%
11Volos NFCVolos NFC4241
26%
1.0
3965-26
2.5
74%
45%
21%
8.3
24%
6.2
85%
32.4
95%
10
4250.91.5
47%
12OFIOFI3238
31%
1.2
4047-7
2.7
81%
56%
28%
9.7
44%
6.3
84%
28.9
91%
18
6381.21.5
48%
13
OC
OFI Crete		3238
31%
1.2
4047-7
2.7
81%
56%
28%
9.7
44%
6.3
84%
29.9
91%
0
0001.21.5
-
14KallitheaKallithea3636
22%
1.0
3652-16
2.4
78%
47%
22%
9.7
53%
5.9
81%
28.5
94%
5
2131.01.4
45%
15
AK
Athens Kallithea		3533
20%
0.9
3352-19
2.4
77%
46%
23%
9.9
54%
5.9
77%
29.5
94%
0
0000.91.5
-
16LamiaLamia4122
10%
0.5
2372-49
2.3
68%
44%
17%
8.3
40%
4.8
68%
28.7
90%
0
0000.61.8
41%
Greece: Super League 1 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →

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