AEK Athens FC vs PAOK Result & Analysis

The model favours a home win for AEK Athens FC, with a 53% chance of victory, a 26% chance of a draw and a 21% chance of PAOK winning. The expected total goals is 2.8, with the single most likely scoreline 1-1 at a 12.3% probability. AEK, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 2.0 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded. PAOK, on the road, averages 1.17 goals scored and concedes 2.0 against similar teams. The suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 95.5%, Over 2.5 cards at 92.7%, Over 21.5 fouls at 89.8%, Under 11.5 corners at 83.2%, Over 3.5 cards at 82.7%, Over 23.5 fouls at 80.7%, Over 1.5 at 77.7%, and Under 10.5 corners at 74.2%. AEK’s recent form shows they have been unbeaten in their last five matches, while PAOK comes off a win. The model’s selections reflect a high likelihood of a tightly contested match with a 1-1 outcome.

The pre-match favourite, a home win for AEK Athens FC at 53 percent, failed to materialise as the match finished 1-1, a draw that kept AEK unbeaten in their last five. The model’s call was wrong. The model’s selection of Over 2.5 cards at 92.7 percent hit, as did the Under 11.5 corners at 83.2 percent, the Over 1.5 goals at 77.7 percent, and the Under 10.5 corners at 74.2 percent. The Over 19.5 fouls at 95.5 percent missed, as did the Over 21.5 fouls at 89.8 percent, the Over 3.5 cards at 82.7 percent, and the Over 23.5 fouls at 80.7 percent. The most likely score of 1-1, with a 25 percent chance, proved correct.