This opponent (Enosis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Enosis
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
2.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
2.47
0.47
2.00
0.47
2.93
vs Stronger (19)
0.21
2.68
0.22
2.11
0.20
3.20
vs Similar (11)
0.91
2.09
0.83
1.83
1.00
2.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
0% (-31pp vs league)
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.2%
Under 1.5
18.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.0%
Under 2.5
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.6%
Under 3.5
64.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.9%
No
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.7%
1-0
9.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-1 ✓
9.7%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
7.1%
0-0
5.8%
4-0
4.7%
AEL goals ↓
Enosis goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.8%
3.2%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
1
9.8%
9.8%
3.7%
1.0%
0.2%
2
12%
9.7%
4.0%
1.1%
0.2%
3
8.5%
7.1%
2.9%
0.8%
0.2%
4
4.7%
3.9%
1.6%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AEL goals (down), columns = Enosis goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.42
AEK Larnaca
1.92
Apollon Limassol
1.86
Pafos
1.72
Apoel Nicosia
1.44
Aris
1.42
Anorthosis
1.36
AEL
1.33
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Olympiakos
1.21
Krasava Ypsonas
1.21
Akritas
1.06
Ethnikos Achna
1.00
Enosis
0.15
AEL is 1.18 points better than Enosis in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 0.15).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.44
Pafos
1.83
AEK Larnaca
1.72
Aris
1.69
Apoel Nicosia
1.47
Apollon Limassol
1.44
AEL
1.24
Krasava Ypsonas
1.09
Anorthosis
1.06
Ethnikos Achna
1.03
Olympiakos
0.97
Akritas
0.94
Omonia Aradippou
0.94
Enosis
0.33
AEL is 0.91 goals better than Enosis in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 0.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Omonia Nicosia
0.67
AEK Larnaca
0.92
Pafos
1.06
Apollon Limassol
1.14
Anorthosis
1.21
Apoel Nicosia
1.25
Aris
1.25
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Olympiakos
1.33
Krasava Ypsonas
1.33
AEL
1.39
Ethnikos Achna
1.61
Akritas
1.76
Enosis
2.42
AEL is 1.03 goals better than Enosis in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 2.42).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Pafos
55%
Olympiakos
54%
Apoel Nicosia
54%
Apollon Limassol
53%
Aris
52%
Omonia Nicosia
51%
Anorthosis
50%
AEK Larnaca
49%
AEL
49%
Ethnikos Achna
48%
Krasava Ypsonas
47%
Akritas
44%
Omonia Aradippou
43%
Enosis
41%
AEL is 7.9 percentage points better than Enosis in terms of average possession (49% vs 41%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
AEL
For 3.5 · Against 3.2 · Total 6.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 17.4 · Total 32.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Enosis
For 3.1 · Against 6.1 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 12.4 · Total 26.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AEL
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.4
8.0
6.7
1.2
1.2
1.3
30.9
29.9
32.2
vs Stronger (15)
8.4
8.0
9.0
1.5
1.7
1.2
29.2
27.7
31.5
vs Similar (30)
6.8
8.0
5.5
1.3
1.1
1.5
32.0
31.5
32.5
vs Weaker (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
38%
43%
33%
18%
16%
20%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
62%
57%
67%
82%
84%
80%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Enosis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Enosis
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
8.4
8.6
1.2
1.4
1.1
27.1
27.1
27.1
vs Stronger (30)
8.9
8.7
9.0
1.1
0.6
1.6
25.8
26.3
25.5
vs Similar (20)
7.8
8.2
6.0
1.4
2.4
0.4
29.6
27.8
37.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
36%
29%
43%
14%
12%
15%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
64%
71%
57%
86%
88%
85%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Omonia Nicosia
10.2
Aris
9.8
Krasava Ypsonas
9.6
Apollon Limassol
9.6
Apoel Nicosia
9.6
Pafos
9.4
AEL
9.3
Akritas
9.2
AEK Larnaca
9.1
Enosis
8.9
Anorthosis
8.7
Ethnikos Achna
8.4
Olympiakos
8.2
Omonia Aradippou
7.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aris
5.7
Anorthosis
5.3
Omonia Aradippou
5.3
Apoel Nicosia
5.0
AEK Larnaca
5.0
Ethnikos Achna
5.0
Enosis
4.9
Apollon Limassol
4.9
AEL
4.8
Pafos
4.7
Olympiakos
4.5
Omonia Nicosia
4.5
Akritas
4.4
Krasava Ypsonas
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Anorthosis
29.5
Omonia Aradippou
28.9
Apoel Nicosia
28.3
Enosis
28.2
Olympiakos
28.0
AEL
27.8
Ethnikos Achna
27.2
Aris
26.4
AEK Larnaca
26.3
Pafos
25.9
Apollon Limassol
24.9
Krasava Ypsonas
24.9
Omonia Nicosia
24.8
Akritas
23.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
39.0%
Under 9.5
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
67.4%
Under 3.5
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
88.8%
Under 21.5
11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
AEL
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.53
0.40
0.60
0.53
0.47
vs Stronger (10)
0.00
0.90
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.80
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.39
0.56
0.44
0.78
0.33
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Enosis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Enosis
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
1.03
0.27
0.93
0.27
1.13
vs Stronger (19)
0.16
1.00
0.22
0.89
0.10
1.10
vs Similar (11)
0.45
1.09
0.33
1.00
0.60
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AEL over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEL over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEL over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enosis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enosis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enosis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
AEL
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.83
1.00
0.60
0.47
1.07
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
1.20
0.80
0.60
0.40
1.80
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.72
1.00
0.67
0.44
0.78
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Enosis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Enosis
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.20
1.43
0.20
1.07
0.20
1.80
vs Stronger (19)
0.05
1.68
0.00
1.22
0.10
2.10
vs Similar (11)
0.45
1.00
0.50
0.83
0.40
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AEL over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEL over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEL over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enosis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enosis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enosis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
AEL
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Zakaria Sawo44%
Luther Singh40%
Morgan Ferrier33%
Christoforos Frantzis33%
Andreas Makris27%
Sérgio Conceição27%
Andreas Panayiotou Filiotis20%
Fernando Forestieri17%
Léo Natel12%
Nemanja Glavčić9%
Guillermo Ochoa0%
Július Szőke0%
Bassel Jradi0%
Davor Zdravkovski0%
Vasilios Papafotis0%
Luka Bogdan0%
Ivan Milosavljević0%
Dušan Stevanović0%
Danil Paroutis0%
Emmanuel Imanishimwe0%
Stephane Keller0%
Panagiotis Kyriakou0%
Thapelo Maseko0%
François Régis Mughe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Morgan Ferrier67%
Július Szőke62%
Dušan Stevanović33%
Emmanuel Imanishimwe29%
Stephane Keller25%
Luther Singh20%
Andreas Panayiotou Filiotis20%
Sérgio Conceição18%
Thapelo Maseko14%
Guillermo Ochoa12%
Léo Natel12%
Zakaria Sawo11%
Ivan Milosavljević9%
Nemanja Glavčić9%
Bassel Jradi0%
Davor Zdravkovski0%
Andreas Makris0%
Vasilios Papafotis0%
Fernando Forestieri0%
Luka Bogdan0%
Danil Paroutis0%
Christoforos Frantzis0%
Panagiotis Kyriakou0%
François Régis Mughe0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sérgio Conceição27%
Léo Natel25%
Stephane Keller25%
Luther Singh20%
François Régis Mughe17%
Thapelo Maseko14%
Ivan Milosavljević9%
Nemanja Glavčić9%
Guillermo Ochoa0%
Július Szőke0%
Bassel Jradi0%
Davor Zdravkovski0%
Andreas Makris0%
Vasilios Papafotis0%
Fernando Forestieri0%
Morgan Ferrier0%
Luka Bogdan0%
Dušan Stevanović0%
Danil Paroutis0%
Christoforos Frantzis0%
Emmanuel Imanishimwe0%
Zakaria Sawo0%
Andreas Panayiotou Filiotis0%
Panagiotis Kyriakou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Christoforos Frantzis33%
Luther Singh20%
François Régis Mughe17%
Léo Natel12%
Luka Bogdan12%
Zakaria Sawo11%
Andreas Makris9%
Guillermo Ochoa0%
Július Szőke0%
Bassel Jradi0%
Davor Zdravkovski0%
Vasilios Papafotis0%
Fernando Forestieri0%
Morgan Ferrier0%
Ivan Milosavljević0%
Dušan Stevanović0%
Nemanja Glavčić0%
Sérgio Conceição0%
Danil Paroutis0%
Emmanuel Imanishimwe0%
Stephane Keller0%
Andreas Panayiotou Filiotis0%
Panagiotis Kyriakou0%
Thapelo Maseko0%
Enosis
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Demir Imeri33%
João Cesco17%
André Jordy Ella14%
Marco Krainz0%
Panagiotis Panagiotou0%
Loizos Kosmas0%
Spyros Risvanis0%
Emanuel Šakić0%
Marko Simonovski0%
Alen Kozar0%
Gal Kurež0%
Adebayo Adeleye0%
Emmanuel Okeke0%
Antonis Katsiaris0%
Dimitris Solomou0%
Zurab Museliani0%
Symeon Solomou0%
Christos Kyzas0%
Michalis Charalampous0%
Sean Ioannou0%
Jimmy Kazan0%
Jonas Goldschadt0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marco Krainz75%
Loizos Kosmas57%
Antonis Katsiaris43%
Panagiotis Panagiotou40%
Demir Imeri33%
Alen Kozar25%
Emmanuel Okeke25%
Jonas Goldschadt25%
Emanuel Šakić17%
João Cesco17%
Symeon Solomou17%
Christos Kyzas17%
André Jordy Ella14%
Michalis Charalampous14%
Jimmy Kazan14%
Spyros Risvanis0%
Marko Simonovski0%
Gal Kurež0%
Adebayo Adeleye0%
Dimitris Solomou0%
Zurab Museliani0%
Sean Ioannou0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marco Krainz25%
Panagiotis Panagiotou0%
Loizos Kosmas0%
Spyros Risvanis0%
Emanuel Šakić0%
Marko Simonovski0%
Demir Imeri0%
Alen Kozar0%
Gal Kurež0%
Adebayo Adeleye0%
Emmanuel Okeke0%
Antonis Katsiaris0%
João Cesco0%
Dimitris Solomou0%
Zurab Museliani0%
Symeon Solomou0%
Christos Kyzas0%
André Jordy Ella0%
Michalis Charalampous0%
Sean Ioannou0%
Jimmy Kazan0%
Jonas Goldschadt0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marco Krainz0%
Panagiotis Panagiotou0%
Loizos Kosmas0%
Spyros Risvanis0%
Emanuel Šakić0%
Marko Simonovski0%
Demir Imeri0%
Alen Kozar0%
Gal Kurež0%
Adebayo Adeleye0%
Emmanuel Okeke0%
Antonis Katsiaris0%
João Cesco0%
Dimitris Solomou0%
Zurab Museliani0%
Symeon Solomou0%
Christos Kyzas0%
André Jordy Ella0%
Michalis Charalampous0%
Sean Ioannou0%
Jimmy Kazan0%
Jonas Goldschadt0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
OA (18)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KY (20)
€4m
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
EA (2)
€0m
AEL's squad is €8m more valuable than Enosis's (€9m vs €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
KY (8)
€2m
OA (5)
€1m
OLY (4)
€1m
ENO (3)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
AEL's attack is €3m more valuable than Enosis's (€4m vs €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
OA (4)
€1m
KY (4)
€0m
OLY (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
EA (0)
€0m
AEL's midfield is €2m more valuable than Enosis's (€2m vs €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
OA (9)
€2m
OLY (8)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
EA (1)
€0m
AEL's defence is €3m more valuable than Enosis's (€3m vs €1m).
Cyprus: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
Aris
Anorthosis
Omonia Aradippou
Krasava Ypsonas
Olympiakos
Akritas
Ethnikos Achna