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AF Elbasani vs Bylis Result & Analysis

Date: 04/12/2024
Time: 15:30
Final 3-1
AF Elbasani
AF Elbasani
Vs
51%
30%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bylis
Bylis
Albania: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AF Elbasani win✓ Hit
51.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bylis win✗ Miss
19.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AF ElbasaniAF Elbasani

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D10W00D11D11D00D05L11D11D13LH·EGN22/09A·BYL29/09A·VLL06/10H·PAR20/10H·SKE26/10A·TEU31/10H·DIN04/11A·LAC10/11H·TIR24/11A·EGN30/11
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.001.930.871.601.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.051.051.111.001.001.09
vs Weaker (10)3.200.903.170.673.251.25
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Bylis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BylisBylis

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L01L01L01L40W11D00D04L02L10WA·VLL22/09H·AF 29/09A·PAR05/10H·SKE20/10H·TEU25/10A·DIN31/10H·LAC04/11A·TIR10/11H·EGN24/11H·VLL29/11
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.331.620.940.641.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.001.261.380.920.501.70
vs Weaker (7)1.711.572.671.001.002.00
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (AF Elbasani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%220%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.3%
Under 1.5
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
37.2%
Under 2.5
62.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
17.7%
Under 3.5
82.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
41.8%
No
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.7%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
12.5%
2-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.4%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
AF Elbasani goals ↓
Bylis goals →
01234
013%7.4%3.3%0.8%0.2%
115%13%4.7%1.2%0.2%
211%8.7%3.3%0.8%0.2%
35.3%4.1%1.6%0.4%0.1%
41.9%1.4%0.6%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AF Elbasani goals (down), columns = Bylis goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.66
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.58
Partizani
1.50
Dinamo Tirana
1.45
AF Elbasani
1.39
Teuta Durrës
1.22
Bylis
1.17
Tirana
1.08
Skenderbeu Korce
1.06
Laci
1.03
AF Elbasani is 0.22 points better than Bylis in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.47
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.34
Dinamo Tirana
1.34
Tirana
1.19
AF Elbasani
1.11
Partizani
1.05
Skenderbeu Korce
0.97
Bylis
0.92
Laci
0.86
Teuta Durrës
0.81
AF Elbasani is 0.19 goals better than Bylis in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 0.92).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0.79
Partizani
0.89
Laci
1.03
AF Elbasani
1.06
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.16
Teuta Durrës
1.17
Dinamo Tirana
1.18
Tirana
1.22
Skenderbeu Korce
1.25
Bylis
1.39
AF Elbasani is 0.33 goals better than Bylis in terms of goals conceded per game (1.06 vs 1.39).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AF ElbasaniAF Elbasani

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D11D11D00D03L01L00D11DH·EGN22/09A·BYL29/09A·VLL06/10H·PAR20/10H·SKE26/10A·TEU31/10H·DIN04/11A·LAC10/11H·TIR24/11A·EGN30/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.470.930.470.670.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.400.600.440.560.360.64
vs Weaker (10)1.600.201.670.331.500.00
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Bylis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BylisBylis

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D00D20W00D00D01L01L10WA·VLL22/09H·AF 29/09A·PAR05/10H·SKE20/10H·TEU25/10A·DIN31/10H·LAC04/11A·TIR10/11H·EGN24/11H·VLL29/11
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.500.880.440.290.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.570.480.770.380.300.60
vs Weaker (7)0.710.571.330.670.250.50
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (AF Elbasani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AF Elbasani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AF Elbasani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AF Elbasani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bylis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bylis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bylis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AF ElbasaniAF Elbasani

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W00D00D00D00D02L10W11D02LH·EGN22/09A·BYL29/09A·VLL06/10H·PAR20/10H·SKE26/10A·TEU31/10H·DIN04/11A·LAC10/11H·TIR24/11A·EGN30/11
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.531.000.400.930.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.650.450.670.440.640.45
vs Weaker (10)1.600.701.500.331.751.25
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Bylis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BylisBylis

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L01L01L20W11D00D03L01L00DA·VLL22/09H·AF 29/09A·PAR05/10H·SKE20/10H·TEU25/10A·DIN31/10H·LAC04/11A·TIR10/11H·EGN24/11H·VLL29/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.830.750.500.361.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.430.780.620.540.201.10
vs Weaker (7)1.001.001.330.330.751.50
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (AF Elbasani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AF Elbasani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AF Elbasani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AF Elbasani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bylis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bylis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bylis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.582.3%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (24)
€7m
DT (27)
€7m
TD (22)
€6m
PAR (29)
€5m
AE (25)
€5m
TIR (20)
€5m
VS (23)
€4m
SK (27)
€4m
LAC (22)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
PAR (13)
€2m
TD (9)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
TIR (7)
€2m
ER (6)
€2m
SK (9)
€2m
LAC (6)
€1m
VS (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (5)
€2m
ER (5)
€1m
VS (7)
€1m
TIR (5)
€1m
AE (5)
€1m
LAC (6)
€1m
TD (4)
€1m
PAR (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (13)
€3m
TD (9)
€3m
VS (10)
€3m
TIR (8)
€2m
DT (11)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
PAR (11)
€2m
SK (12)
€2m
LAC (10)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
AE wins
2
Draws
0
BYL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

AF Elbasani vs Bylis · H/A from AE
DateH/AGameScore
29/09/24ABylis Vs AE0-1
09/05/24ABylis Vs AE2-3
26/02/24ABylis Vs AE0-0
21/12/23HAE Vs Bylis2-2

AF ElbasaniAF Elbasani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/11/24AEgnatia Rrogozhinë Vs AE3-1
24/11/24HAE Vs Tirana1-1
10/11/24ALaci Vs AE1-1
04/11/24HAE Vs Dinamo Tirana0-5
31/10/24ATeuta Durrës Vs AE0-0
26/10/24HAE Vs Skenderbeu Korce1-1
20/10/24HAE Vs Partizani1-1
06/10/24AVllaznia Shkodër Vs AE0-0
29/09/24ABylis Vs AE0-1
22/09/24HAE Vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë0-0

BylisBylis

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/11/24HBYL Vs Vllaznia Shkodër1-0
24/11/24HBYL Vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë0-2
10/11/24ATirana Vs BYL4-0
04/11/24HBYL Vs Laci0-0
31/10/24ADinamo Tirana Vs BYL1-1
25/10/24HBYL Vs Teuta Durrës4-0
20/10/24HBYL Vs Skenderbeu Korce0-1
05/10/24APartizani Vs BYL1-0
29/09/24HBYL Vs AF Elbasani0-1
22/09/24AVllaznia Shkodër Vs BYL2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AF Elbasani
AF Elbasani
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 1 Wins / 7 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDDL2.02
HomeDDDLD2.38
AwayWDDDL1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%71%42%
AVG goals2.853.172.54
Over 1.5 %77%88%67%
Over 2.5 %52%58%46%
Over 3.5 %38%42%33%
Scored1.852.211.50
Conceded1.000.961.04
BTTS58%54%62%
Clean Sheet40%42%38%
Corners---
Cards---
Bylis
Bylis
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLW1.70
HomeLWDLW2.04
AwayLLLDL1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%62%38%
AVG goals2.462.352.58
Over 1.5 %68%62%75%
Over 2.5 %46%38%54%
Over 3.5 %30%31%29%
Scored1.361.581.12
Conceded1.100.771.46
BTTS44%38%50%
Clean Sheet40%50%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë3863
45%
1.7
5130+21
2.1
74%
34%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2131.30.8
-
2Vllaznia ShkodërVllaznia Shkodër3860
42%
1.6
5644+12
2.6
79%
55%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1131.51.2
-
3PartizaniPartizani3857
37%
1.5
4034+6
1.9
68%
26%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.10.9
-
4Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana3855
37%
1.4
5145+6
2.5
82%
50%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.31.2
-
5AF ElbasaniAF Elbasani3650
31%
1.4
4038+2
2.2
75%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.1
-
6Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës3644
28%
1.2
2942-13
2.0
64%
39%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2130.81.2
-
7BylisBylis3642
31%
1.2
3350-17
2.3
64%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
8TiranaTirana3639
19%
1.1
4344-1
2.4
72%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.2
-
9Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce3638
25%
1.1
3545-10
2.2
69%
42%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.01.2
-
10LaciLaci3637
22%
1.0
3137-6
1.9
58%
33%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.91.0
-
Albania: Superliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: Superliga stats & trends →

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