AF Elbasani vs Dinamo Tirana Result & Analysis

The match between AF Elbasani and Dinamo Tirana is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win. Home and away win probabilities sit at 32% and 38% respectively, with a 30% chance of a draw. The expected total of 2.5 goals points to a moderate scoring game, and the single most likely score is 1-1, which carries a 14.2% probability. AF Elbasani, playing at home against a similarly-strengthened opponent, averages 1.29 goals scored and 1.14 conceded, while Dinamo Tirana, on the road, averages 1.33 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. The model’s selections include an 76.4% chance of Under 3.5 and a 72.0% chance of Over 1.5. The home side’s recent form shows a draw-heavy run, while the visitors come off a win, adding to the uncertainty. All probabilities are expressed as percentages, and every suggested pick is listed with its exact percentage.

The match ended in a 1-1 draw, a shock for the pre-match favourite, Dinamo Tirana, who had a 38% chance of victory. The model’s call was wrong, as the game finished level. AF Elbasani, coming off a draw, and Dinamo Tirana, fresh from a win, both struggled to break the deadlock. The model’s suggested picks proved accurate: Under 3.5 goals hit at 76.4% and Over 1.5 goals hit at 72.0%. The most likely scoreline, 1-1, matched reality, while the 2-goal total had a 27% probability. Overall, the prediction model missed the winner but captured the match’s low-scoring nature.