AF Elbasani vs Dinamo Tirana Result & Analysis

AF Elbasani’s defensive record at home, conceding just under one goal per game, sets the tone for a tight affair, while Dinamo Tirana’s away defense is similarly solid, allowing fewer than one goal per match. The model favours a home win, with a 37 % probability, followed by a 32 % chance of a draw and a 31 % chance of an away win. The expected total is 2.1 goals, centring on a 2-goal outcome that is 28 % likely. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.8 % chance.

AF Elbasani will score about 1.33 goals at home and concede 0.93, while Dinamo Tirana will net 1.07 goals away and allow 0.87. The model’s selection of Under 3.5 carries an 83.1 % probability. The final score of the last match was 3-0 for AF Elbasani.

AF Elbasani’s recent form, coming off a draw, has been steady, while Dinamo Tirana, after a defeat, looked unsettled. The model’s favourite, a home win with a 37 % probability, proved correct as Elbasani triumphed 3-0. The predicted 2-goal total was surpassed, but the Under 3.5 selection, with an 83.1 % chance, hit its mark. The most likely scoreline of 1-1 (14.8 %) did not materialise, yet the 3-goal margin underscored Elbasani’s dominance. Overall, the model’s call and its key selection performed as expected, confirming the forecast’s reliability.